Pathologic nodal classification is the most discriminating prognostic factor for disease-free survival in rectal cancer patients treated with preoperative chemoradiotherapy and curative resection

Prognostic analysis of rectal cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: different prognostic factors in patients with different TRGs

PURPOSE

The extent of tumor regression varies widely among locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients who receive neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by total mesorectal excision (TME). The purpose of this retrospectively study is to assess prognostic factors in LARC patients with NCRT, and further to analyze survival outcomes in patients with different tumor regression grades (TRGs).

METHODS

This study includes LARC patients who underwent NCRT and TME at our institution. We retrospectively analyzed the clinicopathological characteristics and survival of all patients, and performed subgroup analysis for patients with different TRGs. Survival differences were compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log rank test. Additionally, a multiple Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The study included 393 patients, with 21.1%, 26.5%, 45.5%, and 6.9% achieving TRG 0, TRG 1, TRG 2, and TRG 3, respectively. The overall survival (OS) rate and disease-free survival (DFS) rate for all patients were 89.4% and 70.7%, respectively. Patients who achieved TRG 0-3 had different 5-year OS rates (96.9%, 91.1%, 85.2%, and 68.8%, P = 0.001) and 5-year DFS rates (80.8%, 72.4%, 67.0%, 55.8%, P = 0.031), respectively. Multivariate analyses showed that the neoadjuvant rectal (NAR) score was an independent prognostic indicator for both overall survival (OS) (HR = 4.040, 95% CI = 1.792-9.111, P = 0.001) and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR = 1.971, 95% CI = 1.478-2.628, P ˂ 0.001). In the subgroup analyses, the NAR score was found to be associated with DFS in patients with TRG 1 and TRG 2. After conducting multivariate analysis, it was found that ypT stage was a significant predictor of DFS for TRG 1 patients (HR = 4.384, 95% CI = 1.721-11.168, P = 0.002). On the other hand, ypN stage was identified as the dominant prognostic indicator of DFS for TRG 2 patients (HR = 2.795, 95% CI = 1.535-5.091, P = 0.001). However, none of these characteristics was found to be correlated with survival in patients with TRG 0 or TRG 3.

CONCLUSION

NAR score, in particular, appears to be the most powerful prognostic factor. It is important to consider various prognostic predictors for patients with different TRGs.

The ypT may better predict the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy than tumor regression grade in locally advanced rectal cancer patients diagnosed ypT1-4N0

PURPOSE

This study aimed to assess the impact of ypT stage and tumor regression grade (TRG) on the long-term prognosis of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) stage ypT1-4N0 after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 585 patients with histologically diagnosed middle-low LARC (cT3-4 or cN + by pelvic MRI) from 2014 to 2019. All patients underwent NCRT, followed by total mesorectal excision. Disease-free survival (DFS) rates were compared among patients with different ypT stages and TRGs by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. The chi-square test was used to analyze the relationship between clinicopathological or therapeutic factors and ypT stage.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 35.8 months (range 2.8-71.8 months). The 3-year DFS was 79.5%. A better 3-year DFS was achieved in patients with a pathologic complete response (94.0% vs. 74.3%, p < 0.001) and those in the ypT0-2 (86.5% vs. 66.6%, p < 0.001), ypN0 (85.0% vs. 60.2%, p < 0.001), and TRG0 + 1 (83.1% vs. 73.0%, p = 0.004) subgroups. A total of 309 patients (52.8%) achieved stage ypT1-4N0 after surgery. Among these patients, the ypT1-2N0 subgroup achieved a significantly higher 3-year DFS than the ypT3-4N0 subgroup (85.4% vs. 72.8%, p = 0.018); in contrast, the 3-year DFS did not significantly differ between the TRG1 and TRG2 + 3 subgroups (79.9% vs. 81.1%, p = 0.833). In the ypT1-2N0 or ypT3-4N0 subgroup, different TRG had no significant effect on failure patterns.

CONCLUSIONS

For LARC patients with a ypT1-4N0 status after NCRT, ypT stage may be a more effective predictor of long-term prognosis than TRG.

Endoscopic resection of residual rectal neoplasia after definitive chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer

The conventional approach to treating locally advanced rectal cancer, commonly defined as cT3 or cT4 primary tumors or with nodal metastases, involves chemoradiation (CRT) followed by surgical resection. There is a growing recognition of the potential for nonsurgical management following CRT or total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT), which allows for organ preservation. "Watch and wait" strategy may be considered if complete clinical response is achieved. In cases when adenoma or superficial cancer is present, a novel approach known as "salvage endoscopic resection of the residual disease" is emerging as a viable nonsurgical option for carefully selected patients. This review discusses available evidence and future potential for endoscopic management of residual neoplasia after oncological treatment of rectal cancer.

Post-Chemoradiation Metastatic, Persistent and Resistant Nodes in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: Metrics and Their Impact on Long-Term Outcome

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the long-term oncological progression pattern of locally advanced rectal cancer patients with post-neoadjuvant nodal metastatic disease (ypN+) and correlate potential prognostic features associated with proven radiochemoresistant nodal biology.

METHODS

Individual patient data (100 variables) from a 20-year consecutive single-institution multidisciplinary experience (1995-2015), delivering multimodal therapy to rectal cancer patient candidates for radical treatment, including a neoadjuvant component and surgical resection with or without intraoperative radiotherapy followed by optional adjuvant chemotherapy. The ypN+ disease data was registered in the context of initial staging categories post-neoadjuvant T status (ypT).

RESULTS

Data on 487 patients showed histologically confirmed diagnoses of metastatic nodal disease in 108 specimens (ypN+, 22.1). There was a significant age difference (p = 0.009) between the ypN groups: age ≥ 65 was 57.6% in pN0 and 43.5% in ypN+ and patients aged < 65 constituted 42.4% of pN0 and 56.5% of ypN+. According to the clinical stage there were statistically significant differences (p = 0.001) in the categories' distribution: ypN+ patients 10.8% were stage II and 89.2% were stage III. Univariant analysis on outcome variables showed statistically significant differences in overall survival at 7 years (63.8% vs. 55.7%, p = 0.016) disease-free survival (DFS) (78% vs. 53.8%, p = 0.000) and local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) (93.6% vs. 84%, p = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of nodal metastases (ypN+) after neoadjuvant therapy containing long-course pelvic irradiation severely impacts the long-term outcome for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer and correlates with multiple clinical and therapeutic variable metrics. Implementation of local and systemic therapies should be adapted and intensified in relation to the finding of ypN+ category in surgical specimens.

Correlation between T stage and lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer treated with preoperative chemoradiotherapy

Background:

Depth of tumor is a risk factor for lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer, but impact of yield pathologic T (ypT) stage on lymph node involvement in rectal cancer remains unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the correlation between ypT stage and lymph node metastasis.

Methods:

From January 2010 to December 2015, 602 patients who were diagnosed with rectal cancer and treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by radical operation were reviewed retrospectively. The correlations between ypT stage and lymph node status and survival were evaluated.

Results:

On pathology, 179 (29.7%) patients exhibited regional lymph node metastasis. Lymph node metastasis was seen in 8.5% of ypT0 patients, 20% of ypT1, 18.4% of ypT2, 47.5% of ypT3, and 27.3% of ypT4. Positive lymph node metastasis was correlated with ypT stage. In addition, the difference of lymph node metastasis in ypT stage subgroups was statistically significant (p < 0.001). Five-year disease-free survival was significantly different in the ypT stage subgroups (88.7% versus 86.7% versus 82.6% versus 64.7% versus 72.7%, p < 0.001), as was 5-year overall survival (96.2% versus 90.0% versus 95.8% versus 80.0% versus 90.9%, p < 0.001).

Conclusion:

YpT stage is associated with lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant CRT and radical operation, and ypT0 patients exhibited an 8.5% lymph node metastasis rate. Therefore, the decision for local excision or the watch-and-wait strategy for rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant CRT and predicted to show a pathologic complete response should be considered with caution.

Lymph node regression grading of locally advanced rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and total rectal mesenteric excision are the main standards of treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Lymph node regression grade (LRG) is an indicator of prognosis and response to preoperative nCRT based on postsurgical metastatic lymph node pathology. Common histopathological findings in metastatic lymph nodes after nCRT include necrosis, hemorrhage, nodular fibrosis, foamy histiocytes, cystic cell reactions, areas of hyalinosis, residual cancer cells, and pools of mucin. A number of LRG systems designed to classify the amount of lymph node regression after nCRT is mainly concerned with the relationship between residual cancer cells and regressive fibrosis and with estimating the number of lymph nodes existing with residual cancer cells. LRG offers significant prognostic information, and in most cases, LRG after nCRT correlates with patient outcomes. In this review, we describe the systematic classification of LRG after nCRT, patient prognosis, the correlation with tumor regression grade, and the typical histopathological findings of lymph nodes. This work may serve as a reference to help predict the clinical complete response and determine lymph node regression in patients based on preservation strategies, allowing for the formulation of more accurate treatment strategies for LARC patients, which has important clinical significance and scientific value.

Collagen Score in the Tumor Microenvironment Predicts the Prognosis of Rectal Cancer Patients after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Little is known about the relationship between collagen and the prognosis of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). This study aimed to quantitatively analyze collagen alterations, establish a collagen score (CS) in the tumor microenvironment, and evaluate and validate the relationship of the CS with prognosis in these patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 365 primary patients diagnosed with LARC after nCRT between 2011 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed (training cohort: 210; independent validation cohort: 155). Multiple collagen features of two fields in the tumor microenvironment, the core of the tumor (CT) and the invasive margin (IM), were derived from multiphoton imaging, and the CS_IM-CT was generated using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

The CS_IM-CT was created based on 3 features: collagen area, number of collagen fibers and a Gabor textural feature. In the training cohort, the CS_IM-CT predicted 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.765 (0.675-0.854) and an overall survival (OS) with AUROC of 0.822 (0.734-0.909). Additionally, the CS_IM-CT was significantly associated with DFS and OS in the two cohorts. A nomogram with the CS_IM-CT was developed and showed good prognostic value predicting a 3-year DFS with an AUROC of 0.826 (0.748-0.905) and an OS with AUROC of 0.882 (0.803-0.960).

CONCLUSIONS

The CS_IM-CT is an effective prognostic marker in patients with LARC after nCRT, and the nomogram with the CS_IM-CT can be used to accurately predict the individual prognosis of these patients.

Serum hsa-miR-30e As a Potential Biomarker to Predict the Effect of Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation Therapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Objective: To identify serum microRNAs (miRNAs) correlated with response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy (NCRT) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients using in silico analysis and laboratory validation studies. Methods: GSE68204 and GSE68204 data sets were analyzed to identify differentially expressed (DE) miRNAs in NCRT responders using the GEO2R Limma package within the R software suite. Then we used quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction to detect the upregulated target miRNAs in the serum of 20 LARC patients. Logistic regression was used to evaluate the effect of serum miRNA level on response. Gene Ontology and pathway enrichment analyses were performed to predict the corresponding functions of the DE miRNAs. Correlation between the expression of the hub target genes and the abundance of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes was further investigated. Results: hsa-miR-30e and hsa-miR-210 were verified to be upregulated in tumor tissues of NCRT responders. Subsequent liquid-biopsy studies revealed that the serum level of miR-30e was associated with a 2.47-fold increased incidence of NCRT-responsive patients in comparison with nonresponders (p-value = 0.038, Mann-Whitney test). Nine hub target genes of hsa-miR-30e were enriched in pathways including immune regulation. The expression of these hub target genes was correlated with abundance of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes. Conclusion: In summary, hsa-miR-30e was determined to be upregulated in rectal cancer tissues of NCRT-responders. Further investigations showed that increased serum levels of hsa-miR-30e were associated with an effective NCRT response in LARC patients.

Prognostic importance of circumferential resection margin in the era of evolving surgical and multidisciplinary treatment of rectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Circumferential resection margin is considered an important prognostic parameter after rectal cancer surgery, but its impact might have changed because of improved surgical quality and tailored multimodality treatment. The aim of this systematic review was to determine the prognostic importance of circumferential resection margin involvement based on the most recent literature.

METHODS

A systematic literature search of MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library was performed for studies published between January 2006 and May 2019. Studies were included if 3- or 5-year oncological outcomes were reported depending on circumferential resection margin status. Outcome parameters were local recurrence, overall survival, disease-free survival, and distant metastasis rate. The Newcastle Ottawa Scale and Jadad score were used for quality assessment of the studies. Meta-analysis was performed using a random effects model and reported as a pooled odds ratio or hazard ratio with 95% confidence interval.

RESULTS

Seventy-five studies were included, comprising a total of 85,048 rectal cancer patients. Significant associations between circumferential resection margin involvement and all long-term outcome parameters were uniformly found, with varying odds ratios and hazard ratios depending on circumferential resection margin definition (<1 mm, ≤1 mm, otherwise), neoadjuvant treatment, study period, and geographical origin of the studies.

CONCLUSION

Circumferential resection margin involvement has remained an independent, poor prognostic factor for local recurrence and survival in most recent literature, indicating that circumferential resection margin status can still be used as a short-term surrogate endpoint.

Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Does Not Contribute to Worse Survival in Pathological Node-Negative Rectal Cancer

Purpose: The prognostic significance of ypN0 rectal cancer with comparison to pN0 disease still remains poorly defined. This study aimed to compare the prognosis of ypN0 and pN0 rectal cancer.

Methods: Eligible patients were identified from the SEER18 registries research database (the latest data up to date was on April 15, 2019). Propensity score (PS) matching was usually performed to reduce the imbalance and potential confounding that were introduced by inherent differences between the groups. The cause-specific survival (CSS) was analyzed to evaluate the prognostic prediction of ypN0 and pN0 groups using the Kaplan–Meier method with the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazard model was also used to identify independent prognostic variables.

Results: In total, 26,832 patients diagnosed with pN0 or ypN0 rectal cancer were confirmed as the final cohort, including 7,237 (27.0%) patients with radiation and 19,595 (73.0%) patients without radiation prior to surgery. The median follow-up time was up to 81 months. After adjusting for other prognostic factors, neoadjuvant radiotherapy was not an independent prognostic variable of CSS (HR = 1.100, 95%CI = 0.957–1.265, P = 0.180, using pN0 group as the reference).

Conclusions: ypN0 rectal cancer was strongly associated with worse pathological diagnoses compared with pN0 rectal cancer, contributing to worse oncologic outcomes. However, the receipt of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy was not an independent prognostic factor of worse prognosis in pathological node-negative patients. Our study could give guidance to the treatment of ypN0 rectal cancer.

The prognostic significance of the treatment response of regional lymph nodes and the refinement of the current TNM staging system in locally advanced rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

The current TNM staging system uses the same category definitions for both rectal cancer patients with and without neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT). However, ypTNM stage, especially ypN stage does not predict patient survival after NCRT well. Whether tumor regression in lymph nodes (LRG) may improve the prediction has not been well studied. In total, 358 patients with rectal cancer who received NCRT followed by radical resection were recruited from 2004 to 2015, and the median follow‐up time was 57.5 months. The main outcome measure was disease‐free survival (DFS). In univariate analysis, factors associated with DFS were ypT stage, ypN stage, number of negative lymph nodes (NLN), lymph node ratio (LNR), tumor regression grade (TRG), M‐TTRG (modified ypT stage by combining ypT stage and TRG), maximum LRG (LRGmax), sum score of LRG (LRGsum), LRG ratio (average value of LRGsum), and M‐NLRG (modified ypN stage by combining LRGmax and LNR). In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, M‐TTRG and M‐NLRG (p < 0.001 and p = 0.030, respectively) were significantly associated with DFS. The estimated 5‐year DFS rates were 86.6%, 60.3%, and 36.4% for patients with M‐NLRG‐0, M‐NLRG‐1, and M‐NLRG‐2, respectively (p < 0.001). A significant difference in survival was observed among patients with NCRT after incorporating TRG and LRG simultaneously into the current ypTNM staging system (p < 0.001). LRG was an important prognostic factor in rectal cancer patients treated with NCRT and could refine the ypTNM staging system. The modified ypTNM staging system in combination with LRGmax, LNR, and TRG could improve the DFS prediction in each subset of patients.

Oncologic effects of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with ypT0-2N0 rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and curative surgery: a meta-analysis

Purpose

The role of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with ypT0–2N0 rectal cancer following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and curative surgery is uncertain. We performed a meta-analysis using selected studies to compare adjuvant chemotherapy with observation for this cohort of patients.

Methods

PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched. Data were pooled, and overall effect size was calculated using random effect models. Outcome measures were 5-year overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), local, and distant recurrence.

Results

We included 17 nonrandomized studies for qualitative analysis and 16 nonrandomized studies that examined 4,747 patients for the meta-analysis. In analysis of patients with ypT0N0 rectal cancer, adjuvant chemotherapy had no significant effect on OS (odds ratio [OR], 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.86–2.72; I² = 27%), DFS (OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 0.61–2.42; I² = 5%), local recurrence (OR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.08–7.37; I² = 0%), and distant recurrence (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.41–2.62; I² = 0%). In analysis of patients with ypT1–2N0 rectal cancer, adjuvant chemotherapy also had no significant effect on OS (OR, 2.15; 95% CI, 0.59–7.80; I² = 26%), DFS (OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 0.35–7.85; I² = 44%), local recurrence (OR, 2.56; 95% CI, 0.72–9.13; I² = 0%), and distant recurrence (OR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.23–5.87; I² = 0%).

Conclusion

Adjuvant chemotherapy may have no oncologic benefits in patients with ypT0–2N0 rectal cancer after nCRT and radical surgery. Routine use of adjuvant chemotherapy for those patients may be avoided.

Lymph Node Harvest After Neoadjuvant Treatment for Rectal Cancer and Its Impact on Oncological Outcomes

The aim of this study was to analyze the influence of neoadjuvant treatment on nodal harvest after rectal cancer surgery and its impact on long-term oncological outcomes. A retrospective analysis of patients with rectal cancer who received curative intent treatment from 2002 to 2012 in our institution was performed. Data on various clinic-pathological and treatment details were recovered from the records. The number of nodes harvested after surgery was analyzed. The influence of number of nodes harvested on overall survival and disease free survival was analyzed. Among the 459 patients included in this study, 326 underwent surgery after neoadjuvant treatment (NAT). The mean number of nodes harvested was significantly lower in patients who received NAT compared with those who did not (8.9 ± 5.77 vs 14 ± 9.84, p < 0.001). However, the mean number of pathologically positive nodes was not significantly different. A minimum of 12 nodes were harvested in only 27.9% of patients who received NAT. No lymph nodes were identified in the specimen in 15 patients (4.6%) who underwent surgery after NAT. The only independent factors influencing harvest of a minimum of 12 nodes were patient age and NAT. The 5-year overall survival was not significantly different in patients in whom < 12 or ≥ 12 nodes were harvested (64% vs 69% respectively, p = 0.5). Neoadjuvant chemoradiation significantly reduces nodal harvest in patients undergoing treatment for rectal cancer. However, this reduced nodal harvest did not adversely impact survival in patients. However, every effort must be made by the surgeon and the pathologist to maximize the nodal harvest.

YpN0 rectal cancer patients with sterilized lymph nodes after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy are of greater risk of recurrence

BACKGROUND

Indication for adjuvant chemotherapy in ypN0 rectal cancer patients after chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is debated. The clinical significance of the presence of sterilized lymph nodes (LNS) in ypN0 patients remains to be determined.

AIMS

To assess the prognostic value of LNS in ypN0 rectal cancers after neoadjuvant CRT.

METHODS

From 2006-2016, 235 patients underwent TME surgery for non-metastatic mid-low rectal cancer after CRT. A lymph node was considered sterilized if there were signs of treatment response (fibrosis, necrosis or mucus) without residual tumor cells.

RESULTS

180 patients (77%) were classified ypN0 and 55 (23%) ypN+. LNS was present in 20 patients (9%). In ypN0 patients, 5-year OS was similar between patients with and without LNS. In contrast, 5-year DFS was significantly lower in ypN0/LNS + patients (58% vs. 78%, p = 0.043) and was similar to those staged ypN+. In multivariate analysis, two factors were independent predictors of DFS: mesorectal grading (OR = 3.14; 95%CI: 1.10-8.34; p = 0.033) and the presence of LNS (OR = 3.93, 95% CI: 1.06-11.81, p = 0.042) CONCLUSION: The presence of LNS in ypN0 rectal cancer after neoadjuvant CRT is associated with an increased risk of recurrence and may be taken into account for the discussion of adjuvant chemotherapy.

Oxaliplatin-Based Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Rectal Cancer After Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy (ADORE): Long-Term Results of a Randomized Controlled Trial

PURPOSE

We evaluated the role of oxaliplatin as adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with rectal cancer who received preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) with fluoropyrimidine monotherapy and total mesorectal excision (TME).

METHODS

The ADORE trial (adjuvant oxaliplatin in rectal cancer) is a multicenter, randomized trial in patients with postoperative ypStage II (ypT3-4N0) or III (ypT_anyN1-2) rectal cancer after fluoropyrimidine-based preoperative CRT and TME. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive adjuvant chemotherapy either with FL (fluorouracil 380 mg/m² and leucovorin 20 mg/m²) or FOLFOX (oxaliplatin 85 mg/m², leucovorin 200 mg/m², and fluorouracil bolus 400 mg/m² on day 1, fluorouracil infusion 2,400 mg/m² for 46 hours). Stratification factors included ypStage and participating center. Primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

A total of 321 patients were enrolled between November 19, 2008, and June 12, 2012. Six-year DFS rates were 68.2% in the FOLFOX arm versus 56.8% in the FL arm, with a stratified hazard ratio of 0.63 (95% CI, 0.43 to 0.93; P = .018) by intention-to-treat analysis. In the subgroup analysis for DFS, FOLFOX was favorable versus FL in patients with ypStage III, ypN1b, ypN2, high-grade histology, minimally regressed tumor, and an absence of lymphovascular or perineural invasion. Six-year overall survival rate was 78.1% in the FOLFOX arm versus76.4% in the FL arm (hazard ratio, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.45 to 1.19; P = .21). In the subgroup analysis for OS, FOLFOX was favorable versus FL in patients with ypN2 and minimally regressed tumor.

CONCLUSION

Adjuvant FOLFOX improved DFS in patients with rectal cancer with ypStage II and III disease after preoperative CRT. Adjuvant FOLFOX may be considered on the basis of the postoperative pathologic stage in those who received preoperative CRT and TME.

Preoperative Carcinoembryonic Antigen as a Poor Prognostic Factor in Stage I-III Colorectal Cancer After Curative-Intent Resection: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

BACKGROUND

Preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) has yet to be used as a prognostic or adjuvant chemotherapy factor for colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included all stage I-III CRC patients with different preoperative serum CEA levels (≤ 5, 5-10, and > 10 ng/ml) at a single center between 1995 and 2010. Propensity score matching was performed in a 1:1 ratio between the two elevated CEA groups (5-10 ng/ml and > 10 ng/ml) and in a 1:2 ratio between the elevated and non-elevated groups (≤ 5 ng/ml), with a caliper of 0.05.

RESULTS

After exclusion and matching, 3857 patients had preoperative CEA levels ≤ 5 ng/ml, 1121 patients had CEA levels between 5 and 10 ng/ml, and 1121 patients had CEA levels > 10 ng/ml. Elevated preoperative CEA showed an increased risk of overall survival (5-10 ng/ml: hazard ratio [HR] 1.376; > 10 ng/ml: HR 1.523; both p < 0.001), cancer-specific survival (5-10 ng/ml: HR 1.404; > 10 ng/ml: HR 1.712; both p < 0.001), and recurrence free interval (5-10 ng/ml: HR 1.190; > 10 ng/ml: HR 1.468; both p < 0.05). Patients with negative lymph node staging (LNs) and CEA > 10 ng/ml, as well as those with positive LNs and CEA ≤ 5 ng/ml, showed similar overall survival (5-year survival: 72% vs. 69%; p = 0.542) and recurrence free intervals (19.9 vs. 21.72 months; p = 0.662).

CONCLUSIONS

A preoperative CEA level can be an independent prognostic factor for stage I-III CRC after curative resection. Patients with negative LNs and preoperative CEA level > 10 ng/ml should be considered for intensive follow-up or adjuvant chemotherapy.

Tumor regression grade as a clinically useful outcome predictor in patients with rectal cancer after preoperative chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

The prognostic role of tumor regression grade is not clear. This study evaluated the prognostic significance of tumor regression grade in patients with rectal cancer after preoperative chemoradiotherapy.

METHODS

A total of 639 patients with confirmed rectal cancer who had undergone preoperative chemoradiotherapy and radical resection during the period October 2002 through December 2011 were included in this study. The tumor regression grade was graded: TRG0 (complete response), TRG1 (moderate), TRG2 (minimal), and TRG3 (poor). The prognostic significance of tumor regression grade was evaluated.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of 56.7 months, the rates of 5-year overall survival, disease-free survival, and local recurrence-free survival among the TRG groups differed significantly (all P < .001). For patients with TRG0, TRG1, and TRG2-3, disease-free survivals were different between the ypStage (P < .001, P < .001, and P = .043). Multivariate analysis revealed findings to substantiate that the tumor regression grade represents a valuable and independent prognostic factor for long-term, disease-free survival (P = .041). Independent predictors of TRG2-3 consisted of lymphovascular invasion, tumor budding, and the pretreatment serum level of carcinoembryonic antigen in multivariate regression analysis. Clinical risk grouping, using 3 predictors for TRG2-3 was different (P < .001).

CONCLUSION

The tumor regression grade may represent a useful prognostic variable to better individualize the prognosis and potentially further therapy for each rectal cancer patient who underwent chemoradiotherapy.

Patterns of failure in rectal cancer with positive circumferential resection margin after surgery following preoperative chemoradiation: a propensity score matching analysis

OBJECTIVE:

To compare the patterns of failure between rectal cancer patients with negative and positive circumferential resection margin (CRM) after surgery following preoperative chemoradiation.

METHODS:

Of 944 stage II-III rectal cancer patients treated with radical surgery following preoperative chemoradiation, 74 patients (7.8%) showed positive CRM. Each 72 patients from negative and positive CRM groups were identified by propensity score matching and compared in terms of survival outcomes and patterns of failure. Local failure was defined as recurrence at the anastomosis site or adjacent to the mesorectal fascia.

RESULTS:

The median follow-up was 46 months (range, 4-155). No difference was observed in 5-year local recurrence-free survival (93.4% vs 89.6%, p = 0.442) in the negative and positive CRM groups. There was statistically significant difference in relapse-free survival (57.1% vs 39.1%, p = 0.042). Negative CRM group showed favorable outcomes than positive CRM in distant metastasis-free survival (59.4% vs 43.3%, p = 0.069) and overall survival (67.5% vs 55.8%, p = 0.186), but the difference was not statistically significant. As the initial failure pattern, there were 30 and 43 recurrences in the negative and positive CRM groups (local 6.6 and 7.3%, regional 12.8 and 14.4%, and distant 38.5 and 54.9%). Isolated local recurrence was identified in two with negative CRM and in none with positive CRM (p = 0.497).

CONCLUSION:

Distant metastasis was the major pattern of failure regardless of CRM involvement in rectal cancer patients treated with surgery following preoperative chemoradiation. It would be taken account of our finding on adjuvant treatment for the patient with positive CRM.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE:

Investigation of the patterns of failure in patients with CRM involvement after preoperative chemoradiation followed by surgery can be conducive to selecting the appropriate approach to additional treatment for them.

Is adjuvant chemotherapy necessary for patients with ypT0-2N0 rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and curative surgery?

Background and objective

The benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy for patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) and curative surgery remains controversial, particularly among those responding well to NCRT. This retrospective study aimed to clarify the benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy in terms of the oncological outcomes of patients with ypT0–2N0 rectal cancer after NCRT and curative surgery.

Methods

All patients with ypT0–2N0 rectal cancer after NCRT and curative resection between 2005 and 2014 were examined. The oncological outcomes between patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy and those without any chemotherapy were compared.

Results

The clinicopathological characteristics of 110 patients were reviewed in this study; one patient was excluded due to lack of follow-up. Of the 109 patients included, 58 (53.2%) underwent adjuvant chemotherapy (chemo group), whereas the remaining 51 (46.8%) did not receive any chemotherapy (non-chemo group). After a median follow-up of 50 months, there were no significant differences in the 5-year overall survival (OS) or recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates between the groups (OS: 92.1 vs 86.3%, P = 0.375; RFS: 80.9 vs 74.7%, P = 0.534). Subgroup analysis also demonstrated no significant differences in 5-year OS and RFS rates between patients with ypT0N0 rectal cancer (P = 0.712 and P = 0.599, respectively) and those with ypT1–2N0 disease (P = 0.255 and P = 0.278, respectively).

Conclusions

These results indicate that patients with ypT0–2N0 rectal cancer after NCRT followed by curative surgery may not derive significant benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. However, further prospective randomized trials, with larger sample sizes, are warranted to confirm this conclusion.

Prognostic value of tumour regression grade in locally advanced rectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

The current standard of care for locally advanced rectal cancer involves neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by total mesorectal excision. There is a spectrum of response to neoadjuvant therapy; however, the prognostic value of tumour regression grade (TRG) in predicting disease-free survival (DFS) or overall survival (OS) is inconsistent in the literature.

METHOD

This study was performed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. A systematic search was undertaken using Ovid MEDLINE, Embase and Google Scholar. Inclusion criteria were Stage II and III locally advanced rectal cancer treated with long-course CRT followed by radical surgery. The aim of the meta-analysis was to assess the prognostic implication of each TRG for rectal cancer following neoadjuvant CRT. Long-term prognosis was assessed. The main outcome measures were DFS and OS. A random effects model was performed to pool the hazard ratio (HR) from all included studies.

RESULTS

There were 4875 patients from 17 studies, with 775 (15.9%) attaining a pathological complete response (pCR) and 719 (29.9%) with no response. A significant association with OS was identified from a pooled-estimated HR for pCR (HR = 0.47, P = 0.002) and nonresponding tumours (HR = 2.97; P < 0.001). Previously known tumour characteristics, such as ypN, lymphovascular invasion and perineural invasion, were also significantly associated with DFS and OS, with estimated pooled HRs of 2.2, 1.4 and 2.3, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, the degree of TRG was of prognostic value in predicting long-term outcomes. The current challenge is the development of a high-validity tests to predict pCR.

Long-term outcomes in patients with ypT0 rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and curative resection

Objective

For patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT), significant pathological response of the primary tumor has been proposed to identify candidates for organ preservation. However, this does not address metastatic lymph nodes in the mesorectum. The aim of this study was to assess the incidence of lymph node metastases in ypT0 patients treated with NCRT and curative resection and to explore risk factors associated with survival.

Methods

This was a retrospective study of patients with ypT0 rectal cancer after NCRT and curative resection at a tertiary care center in China from 2005 to 2014.

Results

A total of 60 (18.6%) patients who underwent surgery after NCRT and achieved ypT0 were enrolled in this study; one patient was excluded owing to lack of follow-up. Of these 59 patients, lymph node metastases were found in the mesorectum (ypT0N+) in eight (13.6%) patients. After a median follow-up of 52 months, 5-year recurrence-free survival (82.7% vs. 62.5%, P=0.014) and overall survival (OS) (90.9% vs. 70.0%, P=0.032) were much higher in ypN0 than ypN+ patients. Multivariate analyses showed that ypN+ status (P=0.009) and perioperative blood transfusion (BT) (P=0.001) were significantly independent risk factors associated with recurrence; however, no factor was correlated with 5-year OS.

Conclusions

Patients with ypT0N0 rectal cancer can achieve excellent long-term outcomes; however, positive lymph nodes or tumor deposits can still be found in 13.6% of ypT0 patients. Nodal positivity in the mesorectum and perioperative BT are independent risk factors for recurrence.

The effect of adjuvant chemotherapy on survival and recurrence after curative rectal cancer surgery in patients who are histologically node negative after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

AIM

The aim of this study was to evaluate whether adjuvant chemotherapy will affect recurrence rate or disease-free and overall survival in patients with rectal adenocarcinoma who were staged with MRI node-positive disease (mrN+) preoperatively. These patients underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy with curative rectal cancer surgery and their pathological staging was negative for nodal disease (ypN0). There is no consensus on the role of adjuvant chemotherapy in such patients.

METHOD

Patients who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and underwent curative rectal cancer surgery for rectal adenocarcinoma staged as [mrTxN+M0] on MRI staging and who on pathological staging were found to be [ypTxN0M0] were retrospectively identified from January 2008 December 2012 from two tertiary referral centres (Royal Marsden Hospital, London and Saint-Andre Hospital, Bordeaux).

RESULTS

One hundred and sixty-three patients were recruited and, after propensity matching at a ratio of 2:1, n = 80 patients were divided to receive adjuvant (n = 28) or no adjuvant treatment (n = 52). A comparison of adjuvant chemotherapy vs no adjuvant therapy showed that the mean overall survival was 2.67 vs 3.60 years (P = 0.42) and disease-free survival was 2.27 vs 3.32 years (P = 0.14).

CONCLUSION

This study found no significant difference in survival or disease recurrence between patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy and patients who did not. There is no clear evidence to support or dismiss the use of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients who were node positive on preoperative MRI and node negative on histopathological staging. Further multicentre prospective randomized trials are needed to identify the appropriate treatment regime for this group of patients.

Simultaneous integrated boost intensity-modulated radiotherapy versus 3-dimensional conformal radiotherapy in preoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer

Purpose

To evaluate the feasibility of simultaneous integrated boost intensity-modulated radiotherapy (SIB-IMRT) for preoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy (PCRT) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), by comparing with 3-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3D-CRT).

Materials and Methods

Patients who were treated with PCRT for LARC from 2015 January to 2016 December were retrospectively enrolled. Total doses of 45 Gy to 50.4 Gy with 3D-CRT or SIB-IMRT were administered concomitantly with 5-fluorouracil plus leucovorin or capecitabine. Surgery was performed 8 weeks after PCRT. Between PCRT and surgery, one cycle of additional chemotherapy was administered. Pathologic tumor responses were compared between SIB-IMRT and 3D-CRT groups. Acute gastrointestinal, genitourinary, hematologic, and skin toxicities were compared between the two groups based on the RTOG toxicity criteria.

Results

SIB-IMRT was used in 53 patients, and 3D-CRT in 41 patients. After PCRT, no significant differences were noted in tumor responses, pathologic complete response (9% vs. 7%; p = 1.000), pathologic tumor regression Grade 3 or higher (85% vs. 71%; p = 0.096), and R0 resection (87% vs. 85%; p = 0.843). Grade 2 genitourinary toxicities were significantly lesser in the SIB-IMRT group (8% vs. 24%; p = 0.023), but gastrointestinal toxicities were not different across the two groups.

Conclusion

SIB-IMRT showed lower GU toxicity and similar tumor responses when compared with 3D-CRT in PCRT for LARC.

Pre-treatment carcinoembryonic antigen and outcome of patients with rectal cancer receiving neo-adjuvant chemo-radiation and surgical resection: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Neo-adjuvant chemo-radiation is the standard of care for patients with locally advanced rectal carcinoma. The aim of the present paper is to evaluate the relationship of the baseline serologic concentration of the carcinoembryonic antigen with the outcome. Data sources included MEDLINE and Web of Science databases. A systematic search of the databases by a predefined criterion has been conducted. Chemo-radiation followed by surgical resection of rectal tumors was the intervention of interest. From selected studies, the relationships between carcinoembryonic antigen and pathologic complete response, disease-free survival and overall survival were assessed. Carcinoembryonic antigen correlated significantly and inversely with the rate of pathologic complete responses (OR 2.00). Similar to this relationship, a low baseline carcinoembryonic antigen concentration was associated with a better disease-free survival (OR 1.88) and a better overall survival (OR 1.85). Heterogeneity of studies and publication bias were considerable in evaluating the relationship of baseline carcinoembryonic antigen and pathologic complete response. Baseline carcinoembryonic antigen should be regarded as a predictor of outcome of patients undergoing neo-adjuvant chemo-radiation. A calibration of the cutoff value from 5 to 3 ng/ml appears more appropriate to this patient population and should be evaluated in prospective trials.

Tumor Regression Grade After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation and Surgery for Low Rectal Cancer Evaluated by Multiple Correspondence Analysis: Ten Years as Minimum Follow-up

BACKGROUND

The role of Mandard's tumor regression grade (TRG) classification is still controversial in defining the prognostic role of patients who have undergone neoadjuvant chemoradiation (CRT) and total mesorectal excision. The present study evaluated multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) as a tool to better cluster variables, including TRG, for a homogeneous prognosis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 174 patients with a minimum follow-up period of 10 years were stratified into 2 groups: group A (TRG 1-3) and group B (TRG 4-5) using Mandard's classification. Overall survival and disease-free survival were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analysis. Subsequently, MCA was used to analyze TRG plus the other prognostic variables.

RESULTS

The overall response to CRT was 55.7%, including 13.2% with a pathologic complete response. TRG group A correlated strictly with pN status (P = .0001) and had better overall and disease-free survival than group B (85.1% and 75.6% vs. 71.1% and 67.3%; P = .06 and P = .04, respectively). The TRG 3 subset (about one third of our series) showed prognostically heterogeneous behavior. In addition to multivariate analysis, MCA separated TRG 1 and TRG 2 versus TRG 4 and TRG 5 well and also allocated TRG 3 patients close to the unfavorable prognostic variables.

CONCLUSION

TRG classification should be used in all pathologic reports after neoadjuvant CRT and radical surgery to enrich the prognostic profile of patients with an intermediate risk of relapse and to identify patients eligible for more conservative treatment. Thus, MCA could provide added value.

Redefining the Positive Circumferential Resection Margin by Incorporating Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy Treatment Response in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: A Multicenter Validation Study

Purpose

This study was conducted to validate the prognostic influence of treatment response among patients with positive circumferential resection margin for locally advanced rectal cancer.

Materials and Methods

Clinical data of 197 patientswith positive circumferentialresection margin defined as ≤ 2 mm after preoperative chemoradiotherapy followed by total mesorectal excision between 2004 and 2009were collected forthis multicenter validation study. All patients underwent median 50.4Gy radiationwith concurrentfluoropyrimidine based chemotherapy. Treatmentresponse was dichotomized to good response, including treatmentresponse of grade 2 or 3, and poor response, including grade 0 or 1.

Results

After 52 months median follow-up, 5-year overall survival (OS) for good responders and poor responders was 79.1% and 48.4%, respectively (p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, circumferential resection margin involvement and treatment response were a prognosticator for OS and locoregional recurrence-free survival. In subgroup analysis, good responders with close margin showed significantly better survival outcomes for survival. Good responders with involved margin and poor responders with close margin shared similar results, whereas poorresponderswith involved margin hadworst survival (5-year OS, 81.2%, 57.0%, 50.0%, and 32.4%, respectively; p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Among patients with positive circumferential resection margin after preoperative chemoradiotherapy, survival of the good responders was significantly better than poor responders. Subgroup analysis revealed that definition of positive circumferential resection margin may be individualized as involvement for good responders, whereas ≤ 2 mm for poor responders.

Less than 12 lymph nodes in the surgical specimen after neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy: an indicator of tumor regression in locally advanced rectal cancer?

BACKGROUND

The number of lymph node retrieved in the surgical specimen is important for tumor staging and has paramount impact on prognosis in colorectal cancer and imitates the adequacy of lymph node surgical clearance. The paucity of lymph node yields in patients undergoing resection after preoperative chemo radiotherapy (CRT) in rectal cancer has seen. Lower total number of lymph nodes in the total mesoractal excision (TME) specimen after CRT, could a marker of better tumor response.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the prospectively managed data of patients underwent excision for rectal cancer, who treated by neoadjuvant radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer. From 2010 to 2014, 364 patients underwent rectal cancer surgery, of which ninety-one treated with neoadjuvant treatment. Standard surgical and pathological protocols were followed. Patients were categorized into two groups based on the number of total harvested lymph nodes with group 1, having 12 or more nodes harvested, and group 2 including patients who had <12 lymph nodes harvested. The total number of lymph nodes retrieved from the surgical specimen was correlated with grade of tumor regression with neoadjuvant treatment.

RESULTS

Out of 91 patients, 38 patients (42%) had less than 12 lymph nodes examined in specimen. The difference in median number of lymph nodes was observed significantly as 9 (range, 2-11) versus 16 (range, 12-32), in group 2 and 1, respectively (P<0.01). Patients with fewer lymph node group were comparable with respect to age, BMI, pre-operative staging, neoadjuvant treatment. Pathological complete response in tumor pCR was seen with significantly higher rate (40% vs. 26%, P<0.05) in group 2. As per Mandard criteria, there was significant difference in tumor regression grade (TRG) between both the groups (P<0.05). Among patients with metastatic lymph nodes, median LNR was lower in <12 lymph nodes group at 0.167 (range, 0.09-0.45) versus 0.187 (range, 0.05-0.54), difference was not statistically significant (P=0.81).

CONCLUSIONS

Retrieval of fewer than 12 lymph nodes in surgical specimen of rectal cancer who had received neo-adjuvant radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy should be considered as a good indicator of tumor response with better local disease control, and a good prognostic factor, rather than as a pointer of poor diligence of the surgical and pathological assessment.

Elevated platelet count as predictor of recurrence in rectal cancer patients undergoing preoperative chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery

The impact of systemic inflammatory response (SIR) on prognostic and predictive outcome in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) has not been fully investigated. This retrospective study enrolled 89 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant CRT and for whom platelet (PLT) counts and SIR status [neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR)] were available. Both clinical values of PLT and SIR status in rectal cancer patients were investigated. Elevated PLT, NLR, PLR, and pathologic TNM stage III [ypN(+)] were associated with significantly poor overall survival (OS). Elevated PLT, NLR, and ypN(+) were shown to independently predict OS. Elevated PLT and ypN(+) significantly predicted poor disease-free survival (DFS). Elevated PLT was identified as the only independent predictor of DFS. PLT counts are a promising pre-CRT biomarker for predicting recurrence and poor prognosis in rectal cancer.

[Lymph node dissection after primary surgery and neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy of rectal cancer. Interim analysis of a multicenter prospective observational study (OCUM)]

INTRODUCTION

The OCUM trial (NCT01325649) aims to clarify whether low rates of local recurrence are also achieved when the indications for neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy are not based on the clinical TNM staging but on preoperative magnetic resonance imaging with measurement of the tumor distance to the circumferential resection margin. In this interim analysis the lymph node status in OCUM patients was investigated as a surrogate parameter for quality of surgery and histopathological work-up.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Until now a total of 560 patients have been included in this study. Total mesorectal excision (TME) without pretreatment was undertaken in 338 patients (60.4 %) and neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy was administered in 222 (39.6 %) patients. The histological work-up was performed according to the guidelines of the German Association of Pathologists. Data are given as median values and ranges in brackets.

RESULTS

The lymph node yield was 24 (7-79) in 338 patients undergoing primary TME surgery without pretreatment, while 20 (3-56) lymph nodes were identified in patients after neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy (p = 0.001). A minimum of 12 lymph nodes were analyzed in 335 out of 338 patients (99.1 %) and in 209 out of 222 patients (94.1 %) following neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy (p = 0.001). Lymph node metastasis was identified (p = 0.362) in 116 out of 338 patients without pretreatment (34.3 %) and in 71 out of 222 patients after neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy (32.0 %). Patient age did not influence the number of identified lymph nodes or rate of lymph node metastasis.

CONCLUSION

In this trial the number of identified lymph nodes suggests that the quality of surgery and histopathological work-up were adequate compared to the standards defined by national guidelines. Neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy led to a reduced lymph node yield compared to surgery without pretreatment; however, this did not influence the rate of lymph node metastasis.

The number of retrieved lymph nodes needed for accurate staging differs based on the presence of preoperative chemoradiation for rectal cancer

The aim of this study is to investigate if retrieval of 12 lymph nodes (LNs) is sufficient to avoid stage migration as well as to evaluate the prognostic impact of insufficient LN retrieval in different treatment settings of rectal cancer, particularly in the case of preoperative chemoradiotherapy (pCRT).The data of all patients with biopsy proven rectal adenocarcinoma who underwent curative surgery between January 2005 and December 2012 were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses for oncologic outcomes were performed in LN metastasis or no LN metastasis (LN-) group. Subgroup analyses were performed according to whether a patient had received pCRT.A total of 1825 patients were enrolled into the study. The maximal Chi-square method revealed the minimum number of harvested LNs required to be 12. Univariate and multivariate analyses found LNs ≥ 12 to be an independent prognostic factor for both overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.5, 95% confidence intervals [CIs]: 0.3-0.8; P = 0.002) and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR = 0.6, 95% CI: 0.4-0.7; P < 0.001) in the LN- group. In the LN- group, LNs ≥ 12 continued to be a significant prognostic factor both for OS and DFS in the subgroup of patients who did not undergo pCRT. However, in the subgroup of the LN- patients who underwent pCRT, LN ≥ 8 was significant for DFS and OS.Retrieval of LNs ≥ 12 and LNs ≥ 8 should be achieved to obtain accurate staging and optimal treatment for the non-pCRT and pCRT groups in rectal cancer, respectively.

A population-based study elicits a reverse correlation between age and overall survival in elderly patients with rectal carcinoma receiving adjuvant chemotherapy

Colorectal cancer is the third most common cancer and the fourth most common cause of cancer-related death globally. This population-based study aimed to explore the predictive factors that affected the overall survival of rectal cancer patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy plus radical surgery using a Cox proportional hazards modeling approach. A total of 619 patients with rectal cancer who underwent surgery were enrolled between October 2006 and May 2013. Clinical characteristics of the patients were compared among the groups and potential prognostic factors were analyzed using the spss program, version 19.0. Patients aged ≥ 70 years have distinctive characteristics such as lager tumour size (≥ 5 cm), damaged micturition and higher incidence of diabetes compared to younger and middle-aged patients. Male gender, tumour size (≥ 5 cm), poor differentiation, later stage, adjuvant chemotherapy, damaged micturition, hypertension or diabetes are associated with a worse prognosis for rectal cancer patients (P < 0.05). However, smoking is a favourable factor to the patients (P = 0.018). Age of ≥ 70 years is an independent prognostic factor for patients with rectal cancer after surgery (P = 0.000) and elderly patients with Stage II and III disease receiving adjuvant chemotherapy show a favourable prognosis. The elderly patients who suffered from diabetes receiving adjuvant chemotherapy have a poor prognosis. Further prospective and large population studies are warranted to confirm the findings of this study.

Significance of histologic tumor grade in rectal cancer treated with preoperative chemoradiotherapy followed by curative surgery: A multi-institutional retrospective study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

To evaluate the pre-treatment clinical factors affecting recurrence and survival in rectal cancer patients who receive preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and curative surgery.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The clinical data of 1782 patients from 8 institutions in Korea were analyzed. The potential prognostic factors that could be acquired before radical surgery were patient age, gender, clinical T and N stages, tumor size and location, tumor grade, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, and the concurrent chemotherapy regimen. The relapse-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS), and cumulative incidence of locoregional and distant recurrence were analyzed according to the clinical factors.

RESULTS

Among the pre-treatment clinical factors, tumor grade, pre-CRT CEA level, tumor location, and clinical N stage were significant prognostic factors affecting the RFS. The high-grade tumor was the hazardous factor for RFS on the multivariate analysis [Hazard ratio (HR), 1.83; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.29-2.58; p=0.001]. The 5-year RFS rate for high-grade tumors was significantly lower than that for low-grade tumors (63.8% vs. 78.8%, p<0.001). The tumor grade was a significant prognostic factor for distant recurrence (HR, 1.83, 95% CI, 1.29-2.58; p<0.001), but not for locoregional recurrence (HR, 1.49, 95% CI, 0.68-3.26; p=0.320) on the multivariate analysis. The 5-year OS rate for high-grade tumors was significantly lower than that for low-grade tumors (70.6% vs. 85.5%, p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

The tumor grade is the significant pre-treatment clinical factor for recurrence and survival in rectal cancer patients who receive preoperative CRT and curative surgery.

Clinical relevance of morphologic MRI criteria for the assessment of lymph nodes in patients with rectal cancer

AIM

The aim of this study is the evaluation of lymph node staging by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) within clinical routine in patients with rectal cancer.

METHOD

Routine MRI reports (3 T) of 65 consecutive patients with rectal cancer were retrospectively categorized in lymph node tumor positive or negative (mriN+; mriN0) and compared to the final histopathological results (pN+; pN0). Sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV), positive predictive value (PPV), and accuracy were calculated. The original MRI readings were then reanalyzed in order to identify the longest short-axis lymph node diameter for each patient. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to calculate a possible cutoff value for the short-axis lymph node diameter.

RESULTS

Overall sensitivity was 94 %, specificity 13 %, NPV 86 %, PPV 28 %, and accuracy 34 %. The best accuracy could be calculated for a short-diameter cutoff of ≤5 mm (83 %); pN+ and pN0 groups were then significantly different (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

In clinical routine, lymph node assessment in patients with rectal cancer through MRI tends to overstage malignant lymphadenopathy. A ≤5-mm cutoff value for the short-axis lymph node diameter of benign nodes is able to improve the accuracy and has potential to lower the risk of overstaging.

The influence of neoadjuvant therapy for the prognosis in patients with rectal carcinoma: a retrospective study

Rectal cancer, defined as a cancerous lesion of the colon distal to the rectosigmoid junction, is the fourth most common cancer cause of death globally. There were 474 patients with rectal cancer who underwent surgery between October 2007 and May 2013 enrolled in our center. Patients were respectively categorized by neoadjuvant therapy. This study aimed to explore the predictive factors that affected the Progression-free survival and overall survival of the patients with rectal cancer. Clinical characteristics of patients were compared with the groups and potential prognostic factors were analyzed by SPSS 19.0. In our study, neoadjuvant therapy increased the anus-retained rate (64.4 vs 53.4 % P = 0.016) and remission rate in the treatment group, compared to the non-treatment group (62.6 vs 34.8 %; P = 0.000). The neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiotherapy, more operative duration, anus retained and micturition damaged are positive prognostic factors of PFS to patients. Poor differentiation, the tumor of ulcer, invasive, and pT4 stage, contributed the poor factors for PFS of patients (P < 0.05). Additionally, the patients with neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiotherapy and adjuvant chemotherapy underwent the better prognosis of OS. Adjuvant chemotherapy cannot increase PFS of the patients who accepted neoadjuvant therapy after surgery get pCR, but can improve OS. The anus-retained and neoadjuvant radiotherapy, duration of surgery in rectal cancer have the positive correlation. Micturition damaged and neoadjuvant radiotherapy were positively correlated as well. In conclusion, adjuvant chemotherapy does not improve the PFS of patients with pCR to neoadjuvant therapy, but is good for OS. Further prospective and large population-based clinical studies are needed to establish clinical guidelines for the use of neoadjuvant therapy and adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with rectal cancer.

Impact of Lymph Node Ratio on Oncologic Outcomes in ypStage III Rectal Cancer Patients Treated with Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy followed by Total Mesorectal Excision, and Postoperative Adjuvant Chemotherapy

PURPOSE

To evaluate the prognostic impact of the lymph node ratio (LNR) in ypStage III rectal cancer patients who were treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the data of 638 consecutive patients who underwent NCRT followed by total mesorectal excision, and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy for rectal cancer from 2004 to 2011. Of these, 125 patients were positive for lymph node (LN) metastasis and were analyzed in this study.

RESULTS

The median numbers of examined and metastatic LNs were 17 and 2, respectively, and the median LNR was 0.143 (range, 0.02-1). Median follow-up time was 55 months. In multivariate analyses, LNR was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR] 2.17, p = 0.041), disease-free survival (DFS) (HR 2.28, p = 0.005), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) (HR 2.30, p = 0.010). When ypN1 patients were divided into low (low LNR ypN1 group) and high LNR (high LNR ypN1 group) according to a cut-off value of 0.152, the high LNR ypN1 group had poorer OS (p = 0.043) and DFS (p = 0.056) compared with the low LNR ypN1 group. And there were no differences between the high LNR ypN1 group and the ypN2 group in terms of the OS (p = 0.703) and DFS (p = 0.831).

CONCLUSIONS

For ypN-positive rectal cancer patients, the LNR was a more effective prognostic marker than the ypN stage, circumferential resection margin, or tumor regression grade after NCRT, and could be used to discern the high-risk group among ypN1 patients.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of the accuracy of MRI and endorectal ultrasound in the restaging and response assessment of rectal cancer following neoadjuvant therapy

AIM

Restaging imaging by MRI or endorectal ultrasound (ERUS) following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy is not routinely performed, but the assessment of response is becoming increasingly important to facilitate individualization of management.

METHOD

A search of the MEDLINE and Scopus databases was performed for studies that evaluated the accuracy of restaging of rectal cancer following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy with MRI or ERUS against the histopathological outcome. A systematic review of selected studies was performed. The methodological quality of studies that qualified for meta-analysis was critically assessed to identify studies suitable for inclusion in the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Sixty-three articles were included in the systematic review. Twelve restaging MRI studies and 18 restaging ERUS studies were eligible for meta-analysis of T-stage restaging accuracy. Overall, ERUS T-stage restaging accuracy (mean [95% CI]: 65% [56-72%]) was nonsignificantly higher than MRI T-stage accuracy (52% [44-59%]). Restaging MRI is accurate at excluding circumferential resection margin involvement. Restaging MRI and ERUS were equivalent for prediction of nodal status: the accuracy of both investigations was 72% with over-staging and under-staging occurring in 10-15%.

CONCLUSION

The heterogeneity amongst restaging studies is high, limiting conclusive findings regarding their accuracies. The accuracy of restaging imaging is different for different pathological T stages and highest for T3 tumours. Morphological assessment of T- or N-stage by MRI or ERUS is currently not accurate or consistent enough for clinical application. Restaging MRI appears to have a role in excluding circumferential resection margin involvement.

Oncologic results and prognostic predictors of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer showing ypN0 after radical surgery following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

Adjuvant chemotherapy is recommended for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer after radical surgery following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) regardless of the final pathologic stage. However, the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy in ypN0 patients remains controversial. The aim of this study was to evaluate the oncologic outcomes and analyze the prognostic factors for ypN0 patients in order to estimate prognosis and establish an effective adjuvant chemotherapy strategy for stage 0-II rectal cancers after radical surgery following NCRT.

METHODS

Between January 1999 and December 2009, the medical records of 202 patients who had been diagnosed with locally advanced rectal cancer, underwent radical surgery following NCRT, and showed ypN0 were retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 60.5 months. The 5-year local recurrence rate was 3.1 %. The 5-year disease-free survival and 5-year overall survival were 86.3 and 86.9 %. Postirradiation T3-4 and abdominoperineal resection (APR) were the independent prognostic indicators for disease-free survival (p = 0.001, p = 0.003) and overall survival (p = 0.001, p = 0.002). Adjuvant chemotherapy improved local recurrence in the patient with ypT3-4 and patients who had undergone APR (p = 0.014, p = 0.002). APR affected local recurrence, disease-free survival, and overall survival of ypT3-4 patients (p = 0.013. 0.029, and 0.001) CONCLUSIONS: Postirradiation T3-4 and APR are the significant prognostic factors for ypN0. Further randomized prospective study is needed to evaluate the oncologic benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in ypN0 patients, especially those with ypT3-4 and those having undergone APR, and to confirm which chemotherapeutic agent could improve the oncologic outcomes of patients poorly responding to NCRT.

Oncologic Impact of Fewer Than 12 Lymph Nodes in Patients Who Underwent Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation Followed by Total Mesorectal Excision for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

A minimum of 12 harvested lymph nodes (hLNs) are recommended in colorectal cancer. However, a paucity of hLNs is frequently presented after preoperative chemoradiation (pCRT) in rectal cancer and the significance of this is still uncertain. The aim of this study is to analyze the impact of hLNs on long-term oncologic outcomes. A total of 302 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent pCRT and curative resection between 1989 and 2009 were reviewed. Patients were categorized into 2 groups according to the number of hLNs: <12 versus ≥12 LN. The 2 groups were compared with respect to 5-year disease-free and overall survival. The optimal number or ratio of hLNs was investigated in subgroup analysis according to LN status. The median follow-up was 57 months. Patient characteristics other than age did not differ between the 2 groups. The group with <12 LNs had more favorable ypTNM and ypN stage than those with ≥12 LNs. However, the long-term oncologic outcomes were not significantly different between the 2 groups. In subgroup analysis of ypN(-), the group with <5 hLNs had the most favorable oncologic outcomes. In ypN(+) cases, a higher LN ratio tended to be associated with poorer 5-year overall survival. The paucity of hLNs in locally advanced rectal cancer after chemoradiation did not imply poor oncologic outcomes in this study. In addition, <5 hLNs in ypN(-) patients could reflect a good tumor response rather than suboptimal radicality.

Postoperative chemotherapy in patients with rectal cancer receiving preoperative radio(chemo)therapy: A meta-analysis of randomized trials comparing surgery ± a fluoropyrimidine and surgery + a fluoropyrimidine ± oxaliplatin

BACKGROUND

There is no consensus on the role of postoperative chemotherapy in patients with rectal cancer who have received preoperative radio(chemo)therapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed of trials that used preoperative radio(chemo)therapy and randomized patients either between postoperative chemotherapy and observation or between a fluoropyrimidine only (FU-only) and a fluoropyrimidine with oxaliplatin (FU-OXA) as postoperative chemotherapy.

RESULTS

Five randomized studies compared postoperative chemotherapy with observation in a total of 2398 patients. None of these trials demonstrated a statistically significant benefit of chemotherapy for OS and DFS. The pooled differences in OS and DFS did not differ statistically significantly between the chemotherapy group and the observation group. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were 0.95 (CI: 0.82-1.10), P = 0.49 and 0.92 (CI: 0.80-1.04), P = 0.19, respectively. In the subgroup of trials in which randomization was performed after surgery (n = 753), a statistically significant positive pooled chemotherapy effect was observed for DFS (HR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.62-1.00, P = 0.047), but not for OS (P = 0.39). Four randomized trials compared adjuvant FU-OXA with adjuvant FU-only in 2710 patients. In two trials, the difference in DFS between groups was statistically significant in favour of FU-OXA, and in the other two trials, the difference was not significant. The pooled difference in DFS between the FU-OXA group and the FU-only group was not statistically significant: HR = 0.84 (CI: 0.66-1.06), P = 0.15.

CONCLUSION

The use of postoperative chemotherapy in patients with rectal cancer receiving preoperative radio(chemo)therapy is not based on strong scientific evidence.

Tumor regression grades: Potential outcome predictor of locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma after preoperative radiotherapy

AIM: To analyze tumor regression grade (TRG) for prognosis of locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma (LARA) treated with preoperative radiotherapy.

METHODS: One hundred and ninety patients with clinical stage II/III LARA were studied. All patients underwent radical surgery (between 2004 and 2010) after 30-Gy/10-fraction preoperative radiotherapy (pre-RT). All 190 patients received a short course of pre-RT and were reassessed for disease recurrence and survival; the slides of surgical specimens were reviewed and classified according to Mandard TRG. We compared patients with good response (Mandard TRG1 or TRG2) vs patients with bad/poor response (Mandard TRG3-5). Outcomes evaluated were 5-year overall survival (OS), 5-year disease-free survival (DFS), and local, distant and mixed recurrence. Fisher’s exact test or χ² test, log-rank test and proportional hazards regression analysis were used to calculate the probability that Mandard TRG was associated with patient outcomes.

RESULTS: One hundred and sixty-six of 190 patients (87.4%) were identified as Mandard bad responders (TRG3-5). High Mandard grade was correlated with tumor height (41.7% < 6 cm vs 58.3% ≥ 6 cm, P = 0.050), ypT stage (75% ypT0-2 vs 25% ypT3-4, P = 0.000), and ypN stage (75% ypN0 vs 25% ypN1, P = 0.031). In univariate survival analysis, Mandard grade bad responders had significantly worse OS and DFS than good responders (TRG1/2) (OS, 83.1% vs 96.4%, P = 0.000; DFS, 72.3% vs 92.0%, P = 0.002). In multivariate survival analysis, Mandard bad responders had significantly worse DFS than Mandard good responders (DFS 3.8 years (95%CI: 1.2-12.2 years, P = 0.026).

CONCLUSION: Mandard grade good responders had a favorable prognosis. TRG may be a potential predictor for DFS in LARA after pre-RT.

Impression of prognosis regarding pathologic stage after preoperative chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer

AIM: To ascertain pathologic stage as a prognostic indicator for rectal cancer patients receiving preoperative chemoradiotherapy (PCRT).

METHODS: Patients with mid- and low rectal carcinoma (magnetic resonance imaging - based clinical stage II or III) between 2000 and 2009 and treated with curative radical resection were identified. Patients were divided into two groups: PCRT and No-PCRT. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was examined according to pathologic stage and addition of adjuvant treatment.

RESULTS: Overall, 894 patients were identified. Of these, 500 patients received PCRT. Adjuvant chemotherapy was delivered to 81.5% of the No-PCRT and 94.8% of the PCRT patients. Adjuvant radiotherapy was given to 29.4% of the patients in the No PCRT group. The 5-year RFS for the No-PCRT group was 92.6% for Stage I, 83.3% for Stage II, and 72.9% for Stage III. The 5-year RFS for the PCRT group was 95.2% for yp Stage 0, 91.7% for yp Stage I, 73.9% for yp Stage II, and 50.7% for yp Stage III.

CONCLUSION: Pathologic stage can predict prognosis in PCRT patients. 5-year RFS is significantly lower among PCRT patients than No-PCRT patients in pathologic stage II and III. These results should be taken into account when considering adjuvant treatment for patients treated with PCRT.

Two-week Course of Preoperative Radiotherapy for Locally Advanced Rectal Adenocarcinoma: 8 Years' Experience in a Single Institute

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate local control and survival in locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma patients who underwent a preoperative 2-week course of radiotherapy (RT) and to identify prognostic factors influencing the survival rate.

METHODS

We analyzed 377 consecutively treated patients with locally advanced (T3/T4 or node positive) rectal adenocarcinoma. All patients underwent a preoperative 2-week course of RT (30 Gy in 10 fractions) followed by curative surgery. Regression model was used to examine prognostic factors for the disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates. The Statistical Analysis System software package, version 9.3, was used for analysis.

RESULTS

The median follow-up for all living patients was 63.8 months (range, 5.1 to 131.7). The 5-year DFS and OS rates were 64.5% (95% CI, 59.0-69.4) and 75.6% (95% CI, 70.5-80.0), respectively. The 5-year cumulative incidences of local recurrence and distant metastases were 5.4% (95% CI, 2.9-7.9) and 29.0% (95% CI, 23.9-30.1), respectively. The pathologic complete response rate was achieved in 17 patients (4.5%). The Multivariate Cox Regression model showed that factors affecting DFS were the surgical technique, pre-RT pathologic grade, ypT, ypN, and comorbidity; and factors improving OS were low anterior resection, low pre-RT grade, low ypT, and low ypN.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients treated with preoperative RT with 30 Gy in 10 fractions had similar local control, 5-year DFS and OS to reported long course RT regimen. The surgical technique, pre-RT pathologic grade, ypT, and ypN seemed to affect the OS. Further study on combining a 2-week course of preoperative RT with concurrent chemotherapy would be warranted.

The role of fibrinogen as a predictor in preoperative chemoradiation for rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

To perform chemoradiotherapy (CRT) effectively, it is clinically beneficial to identify predictors of tumor response after CRT. This study examined the association between plasma fibrinogen level before preoperative CRT and tumor response in advanced rectal cancer.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of 947 patients who received preoperative CRT followed by curative surgery for primary rectal cancer. We analyzed clinical factors that could be associated with pathologic tumor response in terms of downstaging (ypStage 0-I), primary tumor regression (ypT0-1), and complete response (ypT0N0).

RESULTS

Downstaging was observed in 366 patients (38.6%), primary tumor regression in 187 patients (19.7%) and complete response in 138 patients (14.6%). Multivariate analysis found that pre-CRT carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, fibrinogen level, hemoglobin level, clinical T and N classification, distance from anal verge, and histologic grade were significant predictive factors for downstaging; CEA level, fibrinogen level, and N classification predicted primary tumor regression; CEA level, and fibrinogen level were predictive for complete response.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that fibrinogen level was a significant predictor of pathologic tumor response after preoperative CRT.

Identification of hypoxanthine and phosphoenolpyruvic Acid as serum markers of chemoradiotherapy response in locally advanced rectal cancer

Purpose

Patients show variable responses to chemoradiotherapy (CRT), which is generally administered before surgery for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). The aim of this study was to identify molecular markers predictive of CRT responses by analysis of low-mass ions (LMIs) in serum of LARC patients.

Materials and Methods

LMIs (< 1,000 m/z) in serum obtained before CRT from 73 LARC (cT3-4) patients were profiled using matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization mass spectrometry. LMIs with higher weighting factors in discriminating CRT responses were selected using principal components analysis and discriminant analysis. Selected LMIs were identified using the Human Metabolome Database. The concentrations of identified LMIs were determined by colorimetric enzyme assay, and compared according to post-CRT pathological stage (ypStage) or Dworak’s tumor regression grade (TRG).

Results

The nine highest-ranking LMIs were selected. Among them, two LMIs with 137.08 and 169.04 m/z were identified as hypoxanthine (HX) and phosphoenolpyruvic acid (PEP), respectively. Higher HX concentration was observed in patients with ypStage 0-1 compared to ypStage 2-4 (p=0.034) or ypStage 3-4 (p=0.030); a similar difference was observed between TRG 4-3 and TRG 1 (p=0.035). HX > 16.0 μM showed significant association with ypStage 0-1 or TRG 4-3 than ypStage 3-4 (p=0.009) or TRG 1 (p=0.024), respectively. In contrast, a significantly lower concentration of PEP was observed in TRG 4-3 compared with TRG 2-1 (p=0.012).

Conclusion

Findings of this study demonstrated that serum concentrations of HX and PEP, identified using LMI profiling, may be useful for predicting the CRT response of LARC patients before treatment.

Neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy using concurrent S-1 and irinotecan in rectal cancer: impact on long-term clinical outcomes and prognostic factors

PURPOSE

To assess the long-term outcomes of patients with rectal cancer who received neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy (NCRT) with concurrent S-1 and irinotecan (S-1/irinotecan) therapy.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The study group consisted of 115 patients with clinical stage T3 or T4 rectal cancer. Patients received pelvic radiation therapy (45 Gy) plus concurrent oral S-1/irinotecan. The median follow-up was 60 months.

RESULTS

Grade 3 adverse effects occurred in 7 patients (6%), and the completion rate of NCRT was 87%. All 115 patients (100%) were able to undergo R0 surgical resection. Twenty-eight patients (24%) had a pathological complete response (ypCR). At 60 months, the local recurrence-free survival was 93%, disease-free survival (DFS) was 79%, and overall survival (OS) was 80%. On multivariate analysis with a proportional hazards model, ypN2 was the only independent prognostic factor for DFS (P=.0019) and OS (P=.0064) in the study group as a whole. Multivariate analysis was additionally performed for the subgroup of 106 patients with ypN0/1 disease, who had a DFS rate of 85.3%. Both ypT (P=.0065) and tumor location (P=.003) were independent predictors of DFS. A combination of these factors was very strongly related to high risk of recurrence (P<.0001), which occurred most commonly in the lung.

CONCLUSIONS

NCRT with concurrent S-1/irinotecan produced high response rates and excellent long-term survival, with acceptable adverse effects in patients with rectal cancer. ypN2 is a strong predictor of dismal outcomes, and a combination of ypT and tumor location can identify high-risk patients among those with ypN0/1 disease.