Early 18F-FDG-PET Response During Radiation Therapy for HPV-Related Oropharyngeal Cancer May Predict Disease Recurrence

Translational risk-adapted approaches to de-escalated radiation for human papillomavirus-positive oropharyngeal cancer: Past, present, and future

Interest in the use of de-escalated radiation to treat patients with newly diagnosed human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive oropharyngeal cancer has grown dramatically with the publication of prospective trials demonstrating the efficacy of such an approach. While the rationale for de-escalation--- namely to decrease treatment-related toxicity while maintaining the excellent rates of disease control historically observed in patients with this disease-is inherently obvious, uncertainty exists regarding how to best select patients for de-escalation. Consequently, risk-adapted strategies using a variety of translational and clinical platforms have been increasingly popularized to better refine treatment. These have integrated contemporary methods of mid-treatment response assessment using advanced technologies and molecular assays to customize the radiation dose. By monitoring the response as patients actively proceed through treatment, risk-adapted protocols have the potential to provide insight into the biological behavior of tumors and make individualized therapy possible. The purpose of this review is to summarize the evidence to date on risk-adapted approaches to de-escalated radiation-- highlighting the clinical, radiological, and biological data which may ultimately help usher the principles of precision medicine into practice for patients with HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer.

Interim 18F-FDG-PET based response-adaptive dose escalation of proton therapy for head and neck cancer: a treatment planning feasibility study

BACKGROUND

Image-driven dose escalation to tumor subvolumes has been proposed to improve treatment outcome in head and neck cancer (HNC). We used 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) acquired at baseline and into treatment (interim) to identify biologic target volumes (BTVs). We assessed the feasibility of interim dose escalation to the BTV with proton therapy by simulating the effects to organs at risk (OARs).

METHODS

We used the semiautomated just-enough-interaction (JEI) method to identify BTVs in 18F-FDG-PET images from nine HNC patients. Between baseline and interim FDG-PET, patients received photon radiotherapy. BTV was identified assuming that high standardized uptake value (SUV) at interim reflected tumor radioresistance. Using Eclipse (Varian Medical Systems), we simulated a 10% (6.8 Gy(RBE1.1)) and 20% (13.6 Gy(RBE1.1)) dose escalation to the BTV with protons and compared results with proton plans without dose escalation.

RESULTS

At interim 18F-FDG-PET, radiotherapy resulted in reduced SUV compared to baseline. However, spatial overlap between high-SUV regions at baseline and interim allowed for BTV identification. Proton therapy planning demonstrated that dose escalation to the BTV was feasible, and except for some 20% dose escalation plans, OAR doses did not significantly increase.

CONCLUSION

Our in silico analysis demonstrated the potential for interim 18F-FDG-PET response-adaptive dose escalation to the BTV with proton therapy. This approach may give more efficient treatment to HNC with radioresistant tumor subvolumes without increasing normal tissue toxicity. Studies in larger cohorts are required to determine the full potential for interim 18F-FDG-PET-guided dose escalation of proton therapy in HNC.

Biomechanical imaging biomarker during chemoradiotherapy predicts treatment response in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

Objective. For response-adapted adaptive radiotherapy (R-ART), promising biomarkers are needed to predict post-radiotherapy (post-RT) responses using routine clinical information obtained during RT. In this study, a patient-specific biomechanical model (BM) of the head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) was proposed using the pre-RT maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) of18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) and tumor structural changes during RT as evaluated using computed tomography (CT). In addition, we evaluated the predictive performance of BM-driven imaging biomarkers for the treatment response of patients with HNSCC who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT).Approach. Patients with histologically confirmed HNSCC treated with definitive CCRT were enrolled in this study. All patients underwent CT two times as follows: before the start of RT (pre-RT) and 3 weeks after the start of RT (mid-RT). Among these patients, 67 patients who underwent positron emission tomography/CT during the pre-RT period were included in the final analysis. The locoregional control (LC), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) prediction performances of whole tumor stress change (TS) between pre- and mid-RT computed using BM were assessed using univariate, multivariate, and Kaplan-Meier survival curve analyses, respectively. Furthermore, performance was compared with the pre and post-RT SUVmax, tumor volume reduction rate (TVRR) during RT, and other clinical prognostic factors.Main results. For both univariate, multivariate, and survival curve analyses, the significant prognostic factors were as follows (p< 0.05): TS and TVRR for LC; TS and pre-RT FDG-SUVmaxfor PFS; and TS only for OS. In addition, for 2 year LC, PFS, and OS prediction, TS showed a comparable predictive performance to post-RT FDG-SUVmax.Significance. BM-driven TS is an effective prognostic factor for tumor treatment response after CCRT. The proposed method can be a feasible functional imaging biomarker that can be acquired during RT using only routine clinical data and may provide useful information for decision-making during R-ART.

Initial Feasibility and Acute Toxicity Outcomes From a Phase 2 Trial of 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography Response-Based De-escalated Definitive Chemoradiotherapy for p16+ Oropharynx Cancer: A Planned Interim Analysis

PURPOSE

18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) parameters are prognostic of oncologic outcomes in human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). We used FDG-PET imaging biomarkers to select patients for de-escalated chemoradiotherapy (CRT), hypothesizing that acute toxicity will be improved with de-escalation.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

This is a planned interim initial feasibility and acute toxicity report from a phase 2, prospective, nonrandomized study, which enrolled patients with stage I-II p16+ OPSCC. All patients started definitive CRT to 70 Gy in 35 fractions, and those who met de-escalation criteria on midtreatment FDG-PET at fraction 10 completed treatment at 54 Gy in 27 fractions. We report the acute toxicity and patient-reported outcomes for 59 patients with a minimum follow-up of 3 months.

RESULTS

There were no statistically significant differences between baseline patient characteristics in the standard and de-escalated cohorts. There were 28 of 59 (47.5%) patients who met FDG-PET de-escalation criteria and collectively received 20% to 30% less dose to critical organs at risk known to affect toxicity. At 3 months posttreatment, patients who received de-escalated CRT lost significantly less weight (median, 5.8% vs 13.0%; P < .001), had significantly less change from baseline in penetration-aspiration scale score (median, 0 vs 1; P = .018), and had significantly fewer aspiration events on repeat swallow study (8.0% vs 33.3%, P = .037) compared with patients receiving standard CRT.

CONCLUSIONS

Approximately half of patients with early-stage p16+ OPSCC are selected for de-escalation of definitive CRT using midtreatment FDG-PET biomarkers, which resulted in significantly improved rates of observed acute toxicity. Further follow-up is ongoing and will be required to determine whether this de-escalation approach preserves the favorable oncologic outcomes for patients with p16+ OPSCC before adoption.

A Radiomics-Based Classifier for the Progression of Oropharyngeal Cancer Treated with Definitive Radiotherapy

In this study, we investigated whether radiomics features from pre-treatment positron emission tomography (PET) images could be used to predict disease progression in patients with HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer treated with definitive proton or x-ray radiotherapy. Machine learning models were built using a dataset from Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota (n = 72) and tested on a dataset from Mayo Clinic, Phoenix, Arizona (n = 22). A total of 71 clinical and radiomics features were considered. The Mann-Whitney U test was used to identify the top 2 clinical and top 20 radiomics features that were significantly different between progression and progression-free patients. Two dimensionality reduction methods were used to define two feature sets (manually filtered or machine-driven). A forward feature selection scheme was conducted on each feature set to build models of increased complexity (number of input features from 1 to 6) and evaluate model robustness and overfitting. The machine-driven features had superior performance and were less prone to overfitting compared to the manually filtered features. The four-variable Gaussian Naïve Bayes model using the 'Radiation Type' clinical feature and three machine-driven features achieved a training accuracy of 79% and testing accuracy of 77%. These results demonstrate that radiomics features can provide risk stratification beyond HPV-status to formulate individualized treatment and follow-up strategies.

The Utility of Interim Positron Emission Tomography Imaging to Inform Adaptive Radiotherapy for Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

ABSTRACT

In this article, as part of this special issue on biomarkers of early response, we review the current evidence to support the use of positron emission tomography (PET) imaging during chemoradiation therapy to inform biologically adaptive radiotherapy for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. We review literature covering this topic spanning nearly 3 decades, including the use of various radiotracers and discoveries of novel predictive PET biomarkers. Through understanding how observational trials have informed current interventional clinical trials, we hope that this review will encourage researchers and clinicians to incorporate PET response criteria in new trial designs to advance biologically optimized radiotherapy.

The Promise and Future of Radiomics for Personalized Radiotherapy Dosing and Adaptation

Quantitative image analysis, also known as radiomics, aims to analyze large-scale quantitative features extracted from acquired medical images using hand-crafted or machine-engineered feature extraction approaches. Radiomics has great potential for a variety of clinical applications in radiation oncology, an image-rich treatment modality that utilizes computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and positron emission tomography (PET) for treatment planning, dose calculation, and image guidance. A promising application of radiomics is in predicting treatment outcomes after radiotherapy such as local control and treatment-related toxicity using features extracted from pretreatment and on-treatment images. Based on these individualized predictions of treatment outcomes, radiotherapy dose can be sculpted to meet the specific needs and preferences of each patient. Radiomics can aid in tumor characterization for personalized targeting, especially for identifying high-risk regions within a tumor that cannot be easily discerned based on size or intensity alone. Radiomics-based treatment response prediction can aid in developing personalized fractionation and dose adjustments. In order to make radiomics models more applicable across different institutions with varying scanners and patient populations, further efforts are needed to harmonize and standardize the acquisition protocols by minimizing uncertainties within the imaging data.

Prognostic and predictive values of baseline and mid-treatment FDG-PET in oropharyngeal carcinoma treated with primary definitive (chemo)radiation and impact of HPV status: review of current literature and emerging roles

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

This study provides a review of the literature assessing whether semiquantitative PET parameters acquired at baseline and/or during definitive (chemo)radiotherapy ("prePET" and "iPET") can predict survival outcomes in patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPC), and the impact of human papilloma virus (HPV) status.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A literature search was carried out using PubMed and Embase between 2001 to 2021 in accordance with PRISMA.

RESULTS

The analysis included 22 FDG-PET/CT studies^1-22, 19 pre-PET and 3 both pre-PET and iPET^14,18,20,. The analysis involved 2646 patients, of which 1483 are HPV-positive (17 studies: 10 mixed and 7 HPV-positive only), 589 are HPV-negative, and 574 have unknown HPV status. Eighteen studies found significant correlations of survival outcomes with pre-PET parameters, most commonly primary or "Total" (combined primary and nodal) metabolic tumour volume and/or total lesional glycolysis. Two studies could not establish significant correlations and both employed SUVmax only. Two studies also could not establish significant correlations when taking into account of the HPV-positive population only. Because of the heterogeneity and lack of standardized methodology, no conclusions on optimal cut-off values can be drawn. Ten studies specifically evaluated HPV-positive patients: five showed positive correlation of pre-PET parameters and survival outcomes, but four of these studies did not include advanced T or N staging in multivariate analysis^1,6,15,22, and two studies only showed positive correlations after excluding high risk patients with smoking history⁷ or adverse CT features²². Two studies found that prePET parameters predicted treatment outcomes only in HPV-negative but not HPV-positive patients^10,16. Two studies found that iPET parameters could predict outcomes in HPV-positive patients but not prePET parameters^14,18.

CONCLUSION

The current literature supports high pre-treatment metabolic burden prior to definitive (chemo)radiotherapy can predict poor treatment outcomes for HPV-negative OPC patients. Evidence is conflicting and currently does not support correlation in HPV-positive patients.

Consensuses, controversies, and future directions in treatment deintensification for human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal cancer

The most common cancer caused by human papillomavirus (HPV) infection in the United States is oropharyngeal cancer (OPC), and its incidence has been rising since the turn of the century. Because of substantial long-term morbidities with chemoradiation and the favorable prognosis of HPV-positive OPC, identifying the optimal deintensification strategy for this group has been a keystone of academic head-and-neck surgery, radiation oncology, and medical oncology for over the past decade. However, the first generation of randomized chemotherapy deintensification trials failed to change the standard of care, triggering concern over the feasibility of de-escalation. National database studies estimate that up to one third of patients receive nonstandard de-escalated treatments, which have subspecialty-specific nuances. A synthesis of the multidisciplinary deintensification data and current treatment standards is important for the oncology community to reinforce best practices and ensure optimal patient outcomes. In this review, the authors present a summary and comparison of prospective HPV-positive OPC de-escalation trials. Chemotherapy attenuation compromises outcomes without reducing toxicity. Limited data comparing transoral robotic surgery (TORS) with radiation raise concern over toxicity and outcomes with TORS. There are promising data to support de-escalating adjuvant therapy after TORS, but consensus on treatment indications is needed. Encouraging radiation deintensification strategies have been reported (upfront dose reduction and induction chemotherapy-based patient selection), but level I evidence is years away. Ultimately, stage and HPV status may be insufficient to guide de-escalation. The future of deintensification may lie in incorporating intratreatment response assessments to harness the powers of personalized medicine and integrate real-time surveillance.

Randomized Phase II Study of Physiologic MRI-Directed Adaptive Radiation Boost in Poor Prognosis Head and Neck Cancer

PURPOSE

We conducted a randomized phase II multicenter clinical trial to test the hypothesis that physiologic MRI-based radiotherapy (RT) dose escalation would improve the outcome of patients with poor prognosis head and neck cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

MRI was acquired at baseline and at RT fraction 10 to create low blood volume/apparent diffusion coefficient maps for RT boost subvolume definition in gross tumor volume. Patients were randomized to receive 70 Gy (standard RT) or 80 Gy to the boost subvolume (RT boost) with concurrent weekly platinum. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS) with significance defined at a one-sided 0.1 level, and secondary endpoints included locoregional failure (LRF), overall survival (OS), comparison of adverse events and patient reported outcomes (PRO).

RESULTS

Among 81 randomized patients, neither the primary endpoint of DFS (HR = 0.849, P = 0.31) nor OS (HR = 1.19, P = 0.66) was significantly improved in the RT boost arm. However, the incidence of LRF was significantly improved with the addition of the RT boost (HR = 0.43, P = 0.047). Two-year estimates [90% confidence interval (CI)] of the cumulative incidence of LRF were 40% (27%-53%) in the standard RT arm and 18% (10%-31%) in the RT boost arm. Two-year estimates (90% CI) for DFS were 48% (34%-60%) in the standard RT arm and 57% (43%-69%) in the RT boost arm. There were no significant differences in toxicity or longitudinal differences seen in EORTC QLQ30/HN35 subscales between treatment arms in linear mixed-effects models.

CONCLUSIONS

Physiologic MRI-based RT boost decreased LRF without a significant increase in grade 3+ toxicity or longitudinal PRO differences, but did not significantly improve DFS or OS. Additional improvements in systemic therapy are likely necessary to realize improvements in DFS and OS.

Human Papillomavirus-Associated Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Clinical Trial Demographics

Simple Summary

HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is unique amongst oropharyngeal cancers in its high responsiveness to treatment and its lower mortality rate. As a result, numerous clinical trials have been conducted to identify treatment modalities and protocols. In order for these trials to have meaningful impact on HPV-associated OPSCC patients, proper demographic representation by trial participants is essential. The aim of our systematic review and meta-analysis was to assess the demographics of trial participants for HPV-associated OPSCC clinical trials and compare them with those reported by national databases. We determined that clinical-trial participants were predominately non-smoking white men, with tonsils as the primary tumor site. These findings reflect the demographics reported by the National Cancer Database. Our results imply that HPV-associated OPSCC clinical trials appropriately represent the target population and offer immense benefit.

Abstract

The objective of our paper was to answer the following question: how do patients with HPV-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma OPSCC (Population) enrolled in clinical trials (Intervention), compared with national database reports of HPV-associated OPSCC patients (Comparison), present demographically (Outcome)? We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies pertaining to clinical trials of HPV-associated OPSCC and participant demographics in the United States. PubMed, Scopus, CINAHL, and the Cochrane Library were searched from inception to 2 February 2022. Studies of overlapping participant cohorts and/or studies conducted outside of the United States were excluded. Primary outcomes were patient age, sex, and race. Secondary outcomes were smoking history, alcohol history, history of prior cancer, and tumor origin site. Meta-analysis of single means (mean, N for each study, and standard deviation) for age, pack years, and smoking years was performed. Pooled prevalence rates of gender, race, alcohol history, tobacco history, and tumor origin site were expressed as a percentage, with 95% confidence intervals. Meta-analysis found patients to be predominately non-smoking white males, with tumors originating from the tonsil. Our findings reflected the demographics reported by the National Cancer Database (NCDB) for HPV-associated OPSCC. This indicates that HPV-associated OPSCC patients are appropriately represented in clinical trial demographics.

Post-Radiotherapy PET Image Outcome Prediction by Deep Learning Under Biological Model Guidance: A Feasibility Study of Oropharyngeal Cancer Application

Purpose

To develop a method of biologically guided deep learning for post-radiation 18FDG-PET image outcome prediction based on pre-radiation images and radiotherapy dose information.

Methods

Based on the classic reaction–diffusion mechanism, a novel biological model was proposed using a partial differential equation that incorporates spatial radiation dose distribution as a patient-specific treatment information variable. A 7-layer encoder–decoder-based convolutional neural network (CNN) was designed and trained to learn the proposed biological model. As such, the model could generate post-radiation 18FDG-PET image outcome predictions with breakdown biological components for enhanced explainability. The proposed method was developed using 64 oropharyngeal patients with paired 18FDG-PET studies before and after 20-Gy delivery (2 Gy/day fraction) by intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). In a two-branch deep learning execution, the proposed CNN learns specific terms in the biological model from paired 18FDG-PET images and spatial dose distribution in one branch, and the biological model generates post-20-Gy 18FDG-PET image prediction in the other branch. As in 2D execution, 718/233/230 axial slices from 38/13/13 patients were used for training/validation/independent test. The prediction image results in test cases were compared with the ground-truth results quantitatively.

Results

The proposed method successfully generated post-20-Gy 18FDG-PET image outcome prediction with breakdown illustrations of biological model components. Standardized uptake value (SUV) mean values in 18FDG high-uptake regions of predicted images (2.45 ± 0.25) were similar to ground-truth results (2.51 ± 0.33). In 2D-based Gamma analysis, the median/mean Gamma Index (&lt;1) passing rate of test images was 96.5%/92.8% using the 5%/5 mm criterion; such result was improved to 99.9%/99.6% when 10%/10 mm was adopted.

Conclusion

The developed biologically guided deep learning method achieved post-20-Gy 18FDG-PET image outcome predictions in good agreement with ground-truth results. With the breakdown biological modeling components, the outcome image predictions could be used in adaptive radiotherapy decision-making to optimize personalized plans for the best outcome in the future.

Prospective Study of PET/MRI Tumor Response During Chemoradiotherapy for Patients With Low-risk and Intermediate-risk p16-positive Oropharynx Cancer

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to examine tumor response with positron emission tomography (PET)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) during chemoradiotherapy as a predictor of outcome in patients with p16-positive oropharynx cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with p16-positive oropharynx cancer were treated with chemoradiotherapy. Low-risk (LR) disease was defined as T1-T3 and N0-2b and ≤10 pack-years and intermediate-risk (IR) disease as T4 or N2c-3 or >10 pack-years. Patients underwent a PET/MRI scan pretreatment and at fraction 10. Change in value of imaging means were analyzed by analysis of variance. K-means clustering with Euclidean distance functions were used for patient clustering. Silhouette width was used to determine the optimal number of clusters. Linear regression was performed on all radiographic metrics using patient and disease characteristics.

RESULTS

Twenty-four patients were enrolled with 7 LR and 11 IR patients available for analysis. Pretreatment imaging characteristics between LR and IR patients were similar. Patients with LR disease exhibited a larger reduction in maximum standardized uptake value (SUV) compared with IR patients (P<0.05). Cluster analysis defined 2 cohorts that exhibited a similar intratreatment response. Cluster 1 contained 7 of 7 LR patients and 8 of 11 IR patients. Cluster 2 contained 3 of 11 IR patients. Cluster 2 exhibited significant differences compared with cluster 1 in the change in primary tumor peak SUV and largest lymph node median SUV.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified that IR p16-positive oropharynx cancers exhibit heterogeneity in their PET/MRI response to chemoradiotherapy. These data support further study of intratreatment imaging response as a potential mechanism to identify patients with IR oropharynx cancer suitable for treatment deintensification.

Early HPV ctDNA Kinetics and Imaging Biomarkers Predict Therapeutic Response in p16+ Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

PURPOSE

In locally advanced p16+ oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC), (i) to investigate kinetics of human papillomavirus (HPV) circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and association with tumor progression after chemoradiation, and (ii) to compare the predictive value of ctDNA to imaging biomarkers of MRI and FDG-PET.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Serial blood samples were collected from patients with AJCC8 stage III OPSCC (n = 34) enrolled on a randomized trial: pretreatment; during chemoradiation at weeks 2, 4, and 7; and posttreatment. All patients also had dynamic-contrast-enhanced and diffusion-weighted MRI, as well as FDG-PET scans pre-chemoradiation and week 2 during chemoradiation. ctDNA values were analyzed for prediction of freedom from progression (FFP), and correlations with aggressive tumor subvolumes with low blood volume (TVLBV) and low apparent diffusion coefficient (TVLADC), and metabolic tumor volume (MTV) using Cox proportional hazards model and Spearman rank correlation.

RESULTS

Low pretreatment ctDNA and an early increase in ctDNA at week 2 compared with baseline were significantly associated with superior FFP (P < 0.02 and P < 0.05, respectively). At week 4 or 7, neither ctDNA counts nor clearance were significantly predictive of progression (P = 0.8). Pretreatment ctDNA values were significantly correlated with nodal TVLBV, TVLADC, and MTV pre-chemoradiation (P < 0.03), while the ctDNA values at week 2 were correlated with these imaging metrics in primary tumor. Multivariate analysis showed that ctDNA and the imaging metrics performed comparably to predict FFP.

CONCLUSIONS

Early ctDNA kinetics during definitive chemoradiation may predict therapy response in stage III OPSCC.

A positron emission tomography radiomic signature for distant metastases risk in oropharyngeal cancer patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy

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The wavelet_LHL_GLDZM_LILDE feature was found to be associated with progression-free survival.

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A binary radiomics risk score was strongly associated with distant metastases for patients with HPV p16-negtive disease.

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Improved risk stratification could identify high-risk patients as potential candidates for adjuvant immunotherapy.

Background and purpose

Disease recurrence and distant metastases (DM) are major concerns for oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) patients receiving definitive chemo-radiotherapy. Here, we investigated whether pre-treatment primary tumor positron emission tomography (PET) features could predict progression-free survival (PFS) or DM.

Methods and materials

Primary tumors were delineated on pre-treatment PET scans for patients treated between 2005 and 2018 using gradient-based segmentation. Radiomic image features were extracted, along with SUV metrics. Features with zero variance and strong correlation to tumor volume, stage, p16 status, age or smoking were excluded. A random forest model was used to identify features associated with PFS. Kaplan-Meier methods, Cox regression and logistic regression with receiver operating characteristics (ROC) and 5-fold cross-validated areas-under-the-curve (CV-AUCs) were used.

Results

A total of 114 patients were included. With median follow-up 40 months (range: 3–138 months), 14 patients had local recurrence, 21 had DM and 38 died. Two-year actuarial local control, distant control, PFS and overall survival was 89%, 84%, 70% and 84%, respectively. The wavelet_LHL_GLDZM_LILDE feature slightly improved PFS prediction compared to clinical features alone (CV-AUC 0.73 vs. 0.71). Age > 65 years (HR = 2.64 (95%CI: 1.36–5.2), p = 0.004) and p16-negative disease (HR = 3.38 (95%CI: 1.72–6.66), p < 0.001) were associated with poor PFS. A binary radiomic classifier strongly predicted DM with multivariable HR = 3.27 (95%CI: 1.15–9.31), p = 0.027, specifically for patients with p16-negative disease with 2-year DM-free survival 83% for low-risk vs. 38% for high-risk patients (p = 0.004).

Conclusions

A radiomics signature strongly associated with DM risk could provide a tool for improved risk stratification, potentially adding adjuvant immunotherapy for high-risk patients.

Mid-treatment Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography in Human Papillomavirus-related Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Treated with Primary Radiotherapy: Nodal Metabolic Response Rate can Predict Treatment Outcomes

AIMS

To evaluate whether biomarkers derived from fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography (FDG PET-CT) performed prior to (prePET) and during the third week (interim PET; iPET) of radiotherapy can predict treatment outcomes in human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective analysis included 46 patients with newly diagnosed OPC treated with definitive (chemo)radiation and all patients had confirmed positive HPV status (HPV+OPC) based on p16 immunohistochemistry. The maximum standardised uptake value (SUV_max), metabolic tumour volume (MTV) and total lesional glycolysis (TLG) of primary, index node (node with the highest TLG) and total lymph nodes and their median percentage (≥50%) reductions in iPET were analysed, and correlated with 5-year Kaplan-Meier and multivariable analyses (smoking, T4, N2b-3 and AJCC stage IV), including local failure-free survival, regional failure-free survival, locoregional failure-free survival (LRFFS), distant metastatic failure-free survival (DMFFS), disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival.

RESULTS

There was no association of outcomes with prePET parameters observed on multivariate analysis. A complete metabolic response of primary tumour was seen in 13 patients; the negative predictive value for local failure was 100%. More than a 50% reduction in total nodal MTV provided the best predictor of outcomes, including LRFFS (88% versus 47.1%, P = 0.006, hazard ratio = 0.153) and DFS (78.2% versus 41.2%, P = 0.01, hazard ratio = 0.234). More than a 50% reduction in index node TLG was inversely related to DMFFS: a better nodal response was associated with a higher incidence of distant metastatic failure (66.7% versus 100%, P = 0.009, hazard ratio = 3.0).

CONCLUSION

The reduction (≥50%) of volumetric nodal metabolic burden can potentially identify a subgroup of HPV+OPC patients at low risk of locoregional failure but inversely at higher risk of distant metastatic failure and may have a role in individualised adaptive radiotherapy and systemic therapy.

The ability of post-chemoradiotherapy DWI ADCmean and 18F-FDG SUVmax to predict treatment outcomes in head and neck cancer: impact of human papilloma virus oropharyngeal cancer status

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the ability of post-chemo-radiotherapy (CRT) diffusion-weighted-MRI apparent diffusion coefficient (ADCmean) and 18F-FDG PET maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) to predict disease-free survival (DFS) in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), and to determine whether this ability is influenced by human papillomavirus oropharyngeal cancer (HPV-OPC) status.

METHODS

This prospective cohort observational study included 65 participants (53 male, mean ± SD age 59.9 ± 7.9 years, 46 HPV-OPC) with stage III or IV HNSCC. Primary tumour and nodal ADCmean (pre-treatment, 6- and 12-weeks post-CRT) and SUVmax (12-weeks post-CRT) were measured. Variables were compared with 2-year DFS (independent t-test/Mann-Whitney test) and overall DFS (Cox regression), before and after accounting for HPV-OPC status. Variables were also compared between HPV-OPC and other HNSCC subgroups after stratifying for DFS.

RESULTS

Absolute post-CRT ADCmean values predicted 2-year DFS and overall DFS for all participants (p = 0.03/0.03, 6-week node; p = 0.02/0.03 12-week primary tumour) but not in the HPV-OPC subgroup. In participants with DFS, percentage interval changes in primary tumour ADCmean at 6- and 12-weeks were higher in HPV-OPC than other HNSCC (p = 0.01, 6 weeks; p = 0.005, 12 weeks). The 12-week post-CRT SUVmax did not predict DFS.

CONCLUSION

Absolute post-CRT ADCmean values predicted DFS in HNSCC but not in the HPV-OPC subgroup. Amongst participants with DFS, post-CRT percentage interval changes in primary tumour ADCmean were significantly higher in HPV-OPC than in other HNSCC. Knowledge of HPV-OPC status is crucial to the clinical utilisation of post-CRT DWI-MRI for the prediction of outcomes.

MR-Guided Radiotherapy for Head and Neck Cancer: Current Developments, Perspectives, and Challenges

Based on the development of new hybrid machines consisting of an MRI and a linear accelerator, magnetic resonance image guided radiotherapy (MRgRT) has revolutionized the field of adaptive treatment in recent years. Although an increasing number of studies have been published, investigating technical and clinical aspects of this technique for various indications, utilizations of MRgRT for adaptive treatment of head and neck cancer (HNC) remains in its infancy. Yet, the possible benefits of this novel technology for HNC patients, allowing for better soft-tissue delineation, intra- and interfractional treatment monitoring and more frequent plan adaptations appear more than obvious. At the same time, new technical, clinical, and logistic challenges emerge. The purpose of this article is to summarize and discuss the rationale, recent developments, and future perspectives of this promising radiotherapy modality for treating HNC.

Early MRI Blood Volume Changes in Constrictor Muscles Correlate With Postradiation Dysphagia

PURPOSE

Predicting individual patient sensitivity to radiation therapy (RT) for tumor control or normal tissue toxicity is necessary to individualize treatment planning. In head and neck cancer, radiation doses are limited by many nearby critical structures, including structures involved in swallowing. Previous efforts showed that imaging parameters correlate with RT dose; here, we investigate the role of dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) blood volume (BV) changes in predicting dysphagia.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

This study included 32 patients with locally advanced oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma treated with definitive chemoradiation on an institutional protocol incorporating baseline and early midtreatment DCE-MRI. BV maps of the pharyngeal constrictor muscles (PCM) were created, and BV increases midtreatment were correlated with the following parameters at 3 and 12 months post-RT: RT dose, Dynamic Imaging Grade of Swallowing Toxicity swallow score, aspiration frequency, European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer HN35 patient-reported outcomes, physician-reported dysphagia, and feeding tube (FT) dependence.

RESULTS

The mean BV to the PCMs increased from baseline to fraction 10, which was significant for the superior PCM (P = .006) and middle PCM (P < .001), with a trend in the inferior PCM where lower mean doses were seen (P = .077). The factors associated with FT dependence at 3 months included BV increases in the total PCM (correlation, 0.48; P = .006) and middle PCM (correlation, 0.50; P = .004). A post-RT increase in aspiration was associated with a BV increase in the superior PCM (correlation, 0.44; P = .013),and the increase in the total PCMs was marginally significant (correlation, 0.34; P = .06). The best-performing models of FT dependence (area under the receiver operating curve [AUC] = 0.84) and aspiration increases (AUC = 0.78) included BV increases as well as a mean RT dose to middle PCM.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that midtreatment BV increases derived from DCE-MRI are an early predictor of dysphagia. Further investigation of these promising imaging markers to assess individual patient sensitivity to treatment and the patient's subsequent risk of toxicities is warranted to improve personalization of RT planning.