TNMF versus TNM in staging of colorectal cancer

Creation of a Novel Inflammation-Based Score for Operable Colorectal Cancer Patients

Aim

Systemic inflammation has been implicated in the progression of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). We evaluated the prognostic ability of a comprehensive score based on several inflammatory indexes in operable CRC patients.

Patients and Methods

Between July 2013 and September 2017, this study retrospectively identified 1279 CRC patients receiving radical surgery in Wuhan Union Hospital and randomly assigned them into training (N=921) and validation (N=358) sets. A novel score, the CRC-specific inflammatory index (CSII), was developed from a series of inflammatory indexes significantly associated with survival in patients with CRC. This novel score was then divided into three categories and compared to the well-known systematic inflammatory index (SII) and TNM stage. Finally, a survival nomogram was generated by combining the CSII and other informative clinical features.

Results

The CSII-OS was calculated as 1.110×lg ALRI + 1.082×CAR + 0.792×PI, while CSII-DFS was 1.709×lg ALRI + 1.033×CAR based on multivariable Cox regression analysis. Patients with high CSII experienced a worse OS (HR=23.72, 95% CI, 11.30-49.78, P <0.001) and worse DFS (HR=15.62, 95% CI, 6.95-35.08, P <0.001) compared to those in CRC patients with low CSII. Moreover, ROC analyses showed that the CSII possessed excellent performance (AUC=0.859) in predicting OS and DFS. The AUC of the OS nomogram based on CSII, TNM stage, and chemotherapy was 0.897, while that of the DFS nomogram based on CSII, T stage, and TNM stage was 0.873. High-quality calibration curves in both OS and DFS nomograms were observed. Verification in the validation dataset showed results consistent with those in the training dataset.

Conclusion

The CSII is a CRC-specific prognostic score based on the combination of available inflammatory indexes. High CSII is a strong predictor of worse survival outcomes. The CSII also exhibits better predictive performance compared to SII or TNM stage in operable CRC patients.

Personalizing prognostic prediction in early-onset Colorectal Cancer

Accurately estimating prognosis based on clinicopathologic variables could improve risk stratification for patients with early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC). Our primary goal was to create and validate a survival nomogram with adequate performance for predicting overall survival (OS) in patients with EOCRC. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis was applied to identify clinical features statistically related to OS. Then we established and internally validated a survival nomogram based on surveillance, epidemiology and end results (SEER) database (N=23813). A cohort of 77 patients with EOCRC from Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University (RHWU) was employed to detect the external validity of the survival nomogram. Moreover, we compared the predictive accuracy of survival nomogram with TNM stage, and also compared the OS between endoscopy and surgery groups before and after propensity score matching (PSM) among EOCRC patients with early stage (Tis-T1N0M0). We selected seven informative indexes (N stage, M stage, perineural invasion, chemotherapy, surgery primary site, summary stage and tumor grade) for the construction of the survival nomogram. Then the survival nomogram exhibited good discrimination with C-index of 0.829, 0.841 and 0.796 in the SEER training, SEER validation and RHWU validation sets, respectively. Calibration curves showed good concordance between the survival nomogram predictions and actual outcomes for 1-year, 3-year and 5-year OS. Furthermore, the survival nomogram was superior to risk stratification by TNM stage in predicting OS among patients with EOCRC. Early-stage patients treated with endoscopy showed similar survival to those with surgery before and after PSM. We proposed a survival nomogram based on the extensively used parameters to precisely predict OS in EOCRC patients. This survival nomogram will contribute to aid oncologists better risk stratification and prognostication for patients with EOCRC.

Prognostic evaluation of colorectal cancer using three new comprehensive indexes related to infection, anemia and coagulation derived from peripheral blood

Background: Many indicators of peripheral blood in routine blood test (BRT) results of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients are related to prognosis. Currently, indexes such as NLR (Neutrophil-to- Lymphocyte Ratio), PLR (Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio) and LMR (Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte ratio) evaluate the survival risk of patients by assessing the inflammatory - immune status of CRCs. These indexes are more comprehensive and accurate than independent estimates. We hope to design more effective indexes through fully considering the correlation and significance between BRT indicators and prognosis, so as to play a guiding role in clinical malignant estimation of CRCs.

Methods: 701 CRCs in training set and 256 CRCs in test set were included in the study samples, and their clinical data, tumor pathology results and peripheral blood routine results were collected. The prognosis, progression, and survival status of all patients were determined after follow-up. Above data were used for statistical analysis and designing new indexes.

Results: It was found that high NE, MONO, RDW-CV/SD and PLT in peripheral blood indicated poor prognosis of DFS and OS. Conversely, CRCs with postoperative tumor progression or death had lower LY, EO, RBC, HGB, HCT, MCV, MCH, MCHC, PDW, and P-LCR. IRR, ARR and CRR related to infection, anemia and coagulation were designed respectively using the largest AUC indicators (P<0.05) selected by ROC curve. The formula: IRR= (NE*MONO)/(LY*EO); ARR= (HGB*MCHC)/RDW-CV; CRR=PLT/PDW. Results of Kaplan‑Meier survival analysis and multivariate COX proportional hazard analysis adjusted for age, gender, TNM stage, infiltration, adhesion showed IRR, ARR, CRR were all able to be used as the evaluation standard of survival of CRC. The result was also authenticated in the test set.

Conclusion: We designed three different prognostic indexes of colorectal cancer, IRR, ARR and CRR, which could be used as risk indicators of CRC prognosis, tumor progression and survival.

Double-edged sword of inflammasome genetics in colorectal cancer prognosis

Inflammation is a colorectal cancer (CRC) hallmark. Inflammasome-dependent cytokines IL-1ß and IL-18 can play a beneficial or detrimental role in tumorigenesis depending on cancer type. Variants in inflammasome genes were associated with tumor development and/or outcome, and have been proposed as potential biomarkers for population screening. In this study, 215 CRC patients followed-up for 10 years were examined for 9 polymorphisms in selected inflammasome genes. Multivariate association analysis and survival analysis were performed to evaluate the association between the polymorphisms and CRC prognosis. Variants associated with lower levels of IL-18 (rs1834481, rs5744256), or with increased activation of inflammasome receptors NLRP1 (rs12150220) and NLRP3 (rs35829419) resulted detrimental to CRC prognosis and may be used as prognostic markers.

Prognostic Value of Lymphovascular Invasion in Node-Negative Upper Urinary Tract Urothelial Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Radical Nephroureterectomy

PURPOSE

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic impact of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) in patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) for upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We collected data from 180 patients who were treated with RNU from 2005 to 2013 at our institution. The Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used for univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

LVI was present in 28 patients (15.6%), which was associated with higher pathological tumor stage (p<0.001), tumor necrosis (p=0.012), lymph node metastasis (p=0.017) and multifocality (p=0.012). On multivariate analysis, LVI was an independent prognostic factor of recurrence-free survival [RFS: hazard ratio (HR)=2.954; 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.539-5.671; p=0.001] and cancer-specific survival (CSS: HR=3.530; 95% CI=1.701-7.325; p=0.001) in all patients. In patients with node-negative UTUC, LVI was also a significant predictor of RFS (HR=3.732; 95% CI 1.866-7.464; p<0.001) and CSS (HR=3.825; 95% CI=1.777-8.234; p=0.001).

CONCLUSION

LVI status was an independent predictor in patients with UTUC who underwent RNU. The estimate of LVI could help physicians identify high-risk patients and make a better medication regimen of adjuvant chemotherapy.

Combining Red Blood Cell Distribution Width (RDW-CV) and CEA Predict Poor Prognosis for Survival Outcomes in Colorectal Cancer

Background: Colorectal cancer is one of the common tumors that seriously threaten human health worldwide. Serum tumor markers, including CEA and CA19-9, have become the focus of research on colorectal cancer in recent years. As one of the classic blood test results, RDW is related to the pathological features, diagnosis and prognosis of various cancers in recent studies. We hope to search the correlation between RDW and the pathological features of colorectal cancer through the following studies, explore the potential relationship between RDW and the prognosis of colorectal cancer, and find a more effective prognostic evaluation method by combining other blood markers.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 168 patients with colorectal cancer included in this study, collected their clinical data, tumor pathological features and their preoperative blood test results including RDW value and tumor markers, and grouped them. After 3 and 5 years of follow-up, the recurrence and survival status were defined, and the above data were statistically analyzed.

Results: The distribution frequency/rate of abnormal RDW-CV in colorectal cancer patients was significantly increased in the elderly (>62), colon cancer, serosal permeability, lymph node metastasis, stage III and IV, peripheral adhesion (P < 0.05). Furthermore, RDW-CV was significantly positively correlated with abnormal high values of tumor serum markers CEA and CA19-9 (P < 0.05). More importantly, ROC curve analysis found that the abnormal increase in RDW-CV in colorectal cancer was associated with the shortening of DFS and OS in patients who were followed up for 3 and 5 years (P < 0.05). Further combined with CEA, it was found that the prognosis and survival of patients with colorectal cancer in 3 and 5 years were more accurate and effective than independent prediction (AUC of DFS in 3/5years=0.630/0.635, AUC of OS in 3/5 years=0.692/0.652).

Conclusion: RDW-CV is correlated with the pathological features of colorectal cancer, indicating a worse malignant tendency of tumor. RDW-CV can independently evaluate the prognosis of colorectal cancer patients, and combined with the high value of CEA, it can effectively indicate the adverse recurrence and survival prognosis.