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Zhang Q, Zheng P, Hong Z, Li L, Liu N, Bian Z, Chen X, Wu H, Zhao S. Machine learning in risk prediction of continuous renal replacement therapy after coronary artery bypass grafting surgery in patients. Clin Exp Nephrol 2024; 28:811-821. [PMID: 38536563 PMCID: PMC11266206 DOI: 10.1007/s10157-024-02472-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2023] [Accepted: 01/29/2024] [Indexed: 07/24/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to develop machine learning models for risk prediction of continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) following coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery in intensive care unit (ICU) patients. METHODS We extracted CABG patients from the electronic medical record system of the hospital. The endpoint of this study was the requirement for CRRT after CABG surgery. The Boruta method was used for feature selection. Seven machine learning algorithms were developed to train models and validated using 10 fold cross-validation (CV). Model discrimination and calibration were estimated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plot, respectively. We used the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method to illustrate the effects of the features attributed to the model and analyze the effects of individual features on the output of the mode. RESULTS In this study, 72 (37.89%) patients underwent CRRT, with a higher mortality compared to those patients without CRRT. The Gaussian Naïve Bayes (GNB) model with the highest AUC were considered as the final predictive model and performed best in predicting postoperative CRRT. The analysis of importance revealed that cardiac troponin T, creatine kinase isoenzyme, albumin, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, NYHA, serum creatinine, and age were the top seven features of the GNB model. The SHAP force analysis illustrated how created model visualized individualized prediction of CRRT. CONCLUSIONS Machine learning models were developed to predict CRRT. This contributes to the identification of risk variables for CRRT following CABG surgery in ICU patients and enables the optimization of perioperative managements for patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qian Zhang
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Peng Zheng
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Zhou Hong
- Department of Neurology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Jianghan University (Wuhan City Fifth Hospital), Wuhan, Hubei, China
| | - Luo Li
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery of the First Affiliated Hospital & Institute for Cardiovascular Science, Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China
- Suzhou Medical College, Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Nannan Liu
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Zhiping Bian
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xiangjian Chen
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Hengfang Wu
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Sheng Zhao
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
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Yin L, Li L, Gao M, Qi Y, Xu L, Peng J. circMIRIAF aggravates myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury via targeting miR-544/WDR12 axis. Redox Biol 2024; 73:103175. [PMID: 38795544 PMCID: PMC11140810 DOI: 10.1016/j.redox.2024.103175] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/02/2024] [Revised: 04/26/2024] [Accepted: 04/29/2024] [Indexed: 05/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Exploring and discovering novel circRNAs is one of the ways to develop innovative drugs for the diagnosis and treatment of myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury (MI/RI). In the work, some dysregulated circRNAs were found by microarray screening analysis in AC16 cells, and hsa_circRNA_104852 named circMIRIAF was screened, which was up-regulated in AC16 cells damaged by hypoxia-reoxygenation injury (H/RI). The comprehensive analysis of ceRNA network revealed the potential relationship of circMIRIAF/miR-544/WDR12. Then, the results of interaction research confirmed that circMIRIAF acted as sponge of miR-544 to positively regulate WDR12 protein expression. Further, the validation results indicate that miR-544 silencing increased the expression of WDR12, and WDR12 activated Notch1 signal to aggravate H/RI of AC16 cells and MI/RI of mice via regulating oxidative stress and inflammation. Furthermore, silencing circMIRIAF caused the decreased circMIRIAF levels and the increased miR-544 levels in cardiomyocytes, while excessive miR-544 inhibited WDR12 expression to alleviate the disorder. On the contrary, excessive circMIRIAF increased WDR12 expression by adsorbing miR-544 to exacerbate H/RI in AC16 cells. In addition, circMIRIAF siRNA reversed the aggravation of H/RI in cells caused by WDR12 overexpression. Overall, circMIRIAF can serve as a drug target or treating MI/RI, and circMIRIAF could sponge miR-544 and enhance WDR12 expression to aggravate MI/RI, which may provide a novel therapeutic strategy for MI/RI treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lianhong Yin
- Department of Pharmaceutical Analysis, Dalian Medical University, Western 9 Lvshunnan Road, Dalian, 116044, China
| | - Lili Li
- College of Pharmacy, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei, 230012, China
| | - Meng Gao
- Department of Pharmaceutical Analysis, Dalian Medical University, Western 9 Lvshunnan Road, Dalian, 116044, China
| | - Yan Qi
- Department of Pharmaceutical Analysis, Dalian Medical University, Western 9 Lvshunnan Road, Dalian, 116044, China
| | - Lina Xu
- Department of Pharmaceutical Analysis, Dalian Medical University, Western 9 Lvshunnan Road, Dalian, 116044, China.
| | - Jinyong Peng
- Department of Pharmaceutical Analysis, Dalian Medical University, Western 9 Lvshunnan Road, Dalian, 116044, China; College of Pharmacy, Hubei University of Chinese Medicine, Wuhan, 430065, China; Hubei Shizhen Laboratory, Wuhan, 430065, China.
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Chen J, Zhang T, Feng D, Liu Y, Zhang T, Wang J, Liu L. A 9-year analysis of medical malpractice litigations in coronary artery bypass grafting in China. J Cardiothorac Surg 2023; 18:73. [PMID: 36782245 PMCID: PMC9926683 DOI: 10.1186/s13019-023-02172-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2022] [Accepted: 01/27/2023] [Indexed: 02/15/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is one of the high-risk litigated medical specialties. Further elucidating the causes behind these malpractice claims can help physicians avoid patient injury. This study analyzed CABG litigations occurred in different level hospitals to outline the basic characteristics, as well as present a analysis on the medical malpractice that result in lawsuits. METHODS This study utilized the "China Judgments Online" database to compile litigations from 2012 to 2021 across China. 109 cases related to the CABG were included in the study, and were analyzed for demographic, patient outcomes and verdict characteristics in different levels of hospitals. RESULTS The median age of plaintiff patient was 62 years, the median length of stay was 25 days, and the median responsibility ratio of the litigation cases was 30%. The average proportion of responsibility of national, provincial and municipal hospitals were 29.6%, 28.4% and 39.5% respectively, and the median days after surgery to death of that were 15, 9 and 5 separately. The top 5 postoperative complications in dispute cases were: low cardiac output syndrome, postoperative hemorrhage, non-surgical site infections, surgical site infections and arrhythmia. CONCLUSIONS The diagnosis and treatment capabilities of coronary artery bypass grafting in different levels of hospitals in China were inconsistent, and the treatment capabilities in prefecture-level hospitals were lower than that in national hospitals. The procedural error, failure to properly monitor the patient and diagnostic errors were common in CABG litigations. Postoperative complications related to surgical injuries and insufficient basic postoperative management lead to a higher responsibility proportion.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jie Chen
- grid.488137.10000 0001 2267 2324Medical School of Chinese People’s Liberation Army, Beijing, China ,grid.411634.50000 0004 0632 4559Department of Medical Quality Management, Peking University People’s Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Tianyi Zhang
- grid.414252.40000 0004 1761 8894Institution of Hospital Management, Medical Innovation Research Division of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Dan Feng
- grid.414252.40000 0004 1761 8894Institution of Hospital Management, Medical Innovation Research Division of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Yuehui Liu
- grid.414252.40000 0004 1761 8894Institution of Hospital Management, Medical Innovation Research Division of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Tao Zhang
- grid.411634.50000 0004 0632 4559Department of Vascular Surgery, Peking University People’s Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Jingtong Wang
- Department of Medical Quality Management, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China.
| | - Lihua Liu
- Institution of Hospital Management, Medical Innovation Research Division of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
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Zhou J, Cao X, Du Y, Shi Y, Pan W, Jia S. Risk factors for acute pulmonary embolism in patients with off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting: implications for nursing. J Int Med Res 2021; 48:300060520971445. [PMID: 33249970 PMCID: PMC7708707 DOI: 10.1177/0300060520971445] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective Acute pulmonary embolism (APE) is a serious complication after off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCABG). We aimed to analyze the risk factors for APE in patients with OPCABG. Methods In this retrospective, observational study, patients with OPCABG who were treated in our hospital from 1 January 2018 to 31 March 2020 were included. The basic characteristics of patients and results of preoperative laboratory examinations were collected and analyzed. Results A total of 707 patients with OPCABG were included and the incidence of APE was 3.21%. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), a history of smoking, number of bypass grafting, duration of surgery, and age were significant risk factors for APE in patients with OPCABG. The areas under the curves of LVEF, number of bypass grafting, duration of surgery, and age were 0.773, 0.759, 0.738, and 0.723, respectively. The cutoff values of LVEF, number of bypass grafting, duration of surgery, and age were 59.84, 3.18, 237.42, and 73.28, respectively. Conclusions LVEF, a history of smoking, number of bypass grafting, duration of surgery, and age may be risk factors for APE in patients with OPCABG. Early measures should be taken to target these risks to prevent APE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jinli Zhou
- Jiangsu College of Nursing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xiuhong Cao
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Huai'an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University and The Second People's Hospital of Huai'an, Huai'an, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yeping Du
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Huai'an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University and The Second People's Hospital of Huai'an, Huai'an, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yan Shi
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Huai'an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University and The Second People's Hospital of Huai'an, Huai'an, Jiangsu, China
| | - Weiwei Pan
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Huai'an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University and The Second People's Hospital of Huai'an, Huai'an, Jiangsu, China
| | - Suhong Jia
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Huai'an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University and The Second People's Hospital of Huai'an, Huai'an, Jiangsu, China
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Greco KJ, Rao N, Urman RD, Brovman EY. A Dashboard for Tracking Mortality After Cardiac Surgery Using a National Administrative Database. Cardiol Res 2021; 12:86-90. [PMID: 33738011 PMCID: PMC7935641 DOI: 10.14740/cr1220] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2021] [Accepted: 02/09/2021] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Mortality after cardiac surgery is publicly reportable and used as a quality metric by national organizations. However, detailed institutional comparisons are often limited in publicly reported ratings, while publicly reported mortality data are generally limited to 30-day outcomes. Dashboards represent a useful method for aggregating data to identify areas for quality improvement. METHODS We present the development of a dashboard of cardiac surgery performance using cardiac surgery admissions in a national administrative dataset, allowing institutions to better analyze their clinical outcomes. We identified cardiac surgery admissions in the Medicare Limited Data Sets from April 2016 to March 2017 using diagnosis-related group (DRG) codes for cardiac valve and coronary bypass surgeries. RESULTS Using these data, we created a dashboard prototype to enable hospitals to compare their individual performance against state and national benchmarks, by all cardiac surgeries, specific cardiac surgery DRGs and by specific surgeons. Mortality rates are provided at 30, 60 and 90 days post-operatively as well as 1 year. Users can filter results by state, hospital and surgeon, and visualize summary data comparing these filtered results to national metrics. Examples of using the dashboard to examine hospital and individual surgeon mortality are provided. CONCLUSIONS We demonstrate how this database can be used to compare data between comparator hospitals on local, state and national levels to identify trends in mortality and areas for quality improvement.
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Affiliation(s)
- Katherine J. Greco
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | | | - Richard D. Urman
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
- Center for Surgery and Public Health, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Ethan Y. Brovman
- Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Tufts Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA
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