Dynamic liver function is an independent predictor of recurrence-free survival after curative liver resection for HCC - A retrospective cohort study

Establishing and Externally Validating a Hemoglobin, Albumin, Lymphocyte, and Platelet (HALP) Score-Based Nomogram for Predicting Early Recurrence in BCLC Stage 0/A Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients After Radical Liver Resection: A Multi-Center Study

Purpose

Early recurrence (ER) is associated with poor prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this study, we developed and externally validated a nomogram based on the hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocytes, and platelets (HALP) score to predict ER for patients with BCLC stage 0/A HCC who underwent radical liver resection.

Patients and Methods

A total of 808 BCLC stage 0/A HCC patients from six hospitals were included in this study, and they were assigned to a training cohort (n = 500) and an external validation cohort (n = 308). We used univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis to identify the independent risk factors for disease-free survival (DFS). We also established and externally validated a nomogram based on these risk predictors. The nomogram was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), the concordance index (C-index), the calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and Kaplan‒Meier analysis.

Results

Multivariate COX regression showed that HBV DNA ≥10,000 IU/mL (P < 0.001), HALP score ≤38.20 (P < 0.001), tumor size (P = 0.003), clinically significant portal hypertension (P = 0.001), Edmondson-Steiner grade (III-IV) (P = 0.007), satellite nodules (P < 0.001), and MVI (P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for post-operative tumor recurrence. The AUC of our nomogram for predicting the 2-year and 5-year DFS was 0.756 and 0.750, respectively, in the training cohort and 0.764 and 0.705, respectively, in the external validation cohort. We divided the patients into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups according to the risk score calculated by the nomogram. There were statistically significant differences in the DFS and overall survival (OS) among the three groups of patients (P < 0.001).

Conclusion

We developed and externally validated a new nomogram, which is accurate and can predict ER in BCLC stage 0/A HCC patients after curative liver resection.

Alkaline phosphatase combined with γ-glutamyl transferase is an independent predictor of prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving programmed death-1 inhibitors

Background

Immunotherapy plays an increasingly critical role in the systemic treatment of HCC. This current study aimed to establish a novel prognostic predictor of Programmed death 1 (PD-1) inhibitor therapy in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) independent of Child-Pugh grade.

Methods

Our study screened patients with HCC who received PD-1 inhibitors at Tongji Hospital Affiliated to Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology from January 2018 to December 2020. ALG grade was determined by the patient's serum ALP and GGT levels before the initiation of PD-1 inhibitors. The endpoints of our study were overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS). Follow-up ended at May 31, 2022.

Results

Eighty- five patients (77 with Child-Pugh grade A, 8 with Child-Pugh grade B at baseline) were enrolled according to the inclusion criteria. Patients with Child-Pugh grade A achieved longer PFS and OS than those with Child-Pugh grade B. Patients with ALG grade 3 at baseline showed worse tumor response and poorer survival, and ALG grade could stratify patients with Child-Pugh grade A into subgroups with significantly different prognosis.

Conclusions

ALG grade, combining ALP and GGT, is a novel and readily available prognostic marker and the predictive effect of ALG grade on patient prognosis is independent of Child-Pugh grade.

Early and late recurrence after hepatectomy in patients with low-level HBV-DNA hepatocellular carcinoma under antiviral therapy

Background

Antiviral therapy has been shown to benefit long-term survival after curative hepatectomy in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with high levels of HBV-DNA, but the impact of antiviral therapy on patient recurrence in patients with low levels of HBV-DNA remains less clear.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study analyzing 296 patients with HBV-associated HCC with HBV-DNA levels < 2000 IU/mL who underwent hepatectomy at Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University between March 2013 and December 2017, of whom 157 patients received antiviral therapy (antiviral group) and 139 patients did not receive antiviral therapy (non-antiviral group), propensity score matching was used for survival analysis of patients in both groups, and subgroup analysis of major risk factors was performed.

Results

The baseline characteristics of the two groups were comparable. At a median follow-up of 54 months, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates after propensity score matching (PSM) were 94.9%, 80.8%, 66.5%, and 90.9%, 64.6%, 49.4% for the antiviral and non-antiviral groups, respectively, p = 0.009, and the corresponding 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS for the two groups were 81.8%, 76.8%, 76.8%, and 67.7%, 55.6%, 55.6%, respectively. p = 0.001, and the overall survival and recurrence-free survival were significantly better in the antiviral group than in the non-antiviral group. Multi-factor COX regression analysis showed that prothrombin time ≥ 13 s, methemoglobin level ≥ 20 ng/ml, platelet count ≥ 100 × 109/L, tumor size > 5 cm, tumor multiplicity was associated with early recurrence, and antiviral treatment was an independent protective factor for early recurrence of HCC (HR, 0.431; 95% CI 0.274–0.679; p < 0.001), but not associated with a low risk of late relapse (HR, 0.822; 95% CI 0.526–1.284; p = 0.389), and the main risk factors for late relapse included AST levels > 40 IU/ml, ALP levels > 130 IU/L, and the presence of satellite nodules, and subgroup analysis showed that compared to HBeAg-positive patients, antiviral therapy could significantly prolonged the recurrence-free survival of HBeAg-negative patients.

Conclusion

Antiviral therapy reduces early tumor recurrence after hepatectomy in patients with low levels of HBV-DNA.

Liver resection for single large hepatocellular carcinoma: a prognostic factors study

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Liver resection is the only curative therapeutic option for large hepatocellular carcinoma (&gt; 5 cm), but survival is worse than in smaller tumours, mostly due to the high recurrence rate. There is currently no proper tool for stratifying relapse risk. Herein, we investigated prognostic factors before hepatectomy in patients with a single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We retrospectively identified 119 patients who underwent liver resection for a single large HCC in 2 tertiary academic French centres and collected pre- and post-operative clinical, biological and radiological features. The primary outcome was overall survival at five years. Secondary outcomes were recurrence-free survival at five years and prognostic factors for recurrence.

RESULTS

A total of 84% of the patients were male, and the median age was 66 years old (IQR 58-74). Thirty-nine (33%) had Child-Pugh A cirrhosis, and the mean Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 6 (6-6). The aetiology of liver disease was predominantly alcohol-related (48%), followed by nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (22%), hepatitis B (18%) and hepatitis C (10%). The mean tumour size was 70 mm (55-110). The median overall survival was 72.5 months (IC 95%: 56.2-88.7), and the five-year overall survival was 55.1 ± 5.5%. The median recurrence-free survival was 26.6 months (95% CI: 16.0-37.1), and the five-year recurrence-free survival rate was 37.8 ± 5%. In multivariate analysis, preoperative prognostic factors for recurrence were baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) &gt; 7 ng/mL (p&lt;0.001), portal veinous invasion (p=0.003) and cirrhosis (p=0.020). Using these factors, we created a simple recurrence-risk scoring system that classified three groups with distinct disease-free survival medians (p&lt;0.001): no risk factors (65 months), 1 risk factor (36 months), and ≥2 risk factors (8.9 months).

CONCLUSION

Liver resection is the only curative option for large HCC, and we confirmed that survival could be acceptable in experienced centres. Recurrence is the primary issue of surgery, and we proposed a simple preoperative score to help identify patients with the most worrisome prognosis and possible candidates for combined therapy.

LiMAx Prior to Radioembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma as an Additional Tool for Patient Selection in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis

Background and Aims: Radioembolization (RE) has recently demonstrated a non-inferior survival outcome compared to systemic therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Therefore, current guidelines recommend RE for patients with advanced HCC and preserved liver function who are unsuitable for transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or systemic therapy. However, despite the excellent safety profile of RE, post-therapeutic hepatic decompensation remains a serious complication that is difficult to predicted by standard laboratory liver function parameters or imaging modalities. LiMAx® is a non-invasive test for liver function assessment, measuring the maximum metabolic capacity for 13C-Methacetin by the liver-specific enzyme CYP 450 1A2. Our study investigates the potential of LiMAx® for predicting post-interventional decompensation of liver function. Patients and methods: In total, 50 patients with HCC with or without liver cirrhosis and not amenable to TACE or systemic treatments were included in the study. For patients prospectively enrolled in our study, LiMAx® was carried out one day before RE (baseline) and 28 and 90 days after RE. Established liver function parameters were assessed at baseline, day 28, and day 90 after RE. The relationship between baseline LiMAx® and pre-and post-interventional liver function parameters, as well as the ability of LiMAx® to predict hepatic decompensation, were analyzed. Results: We observed a strong association between baseline LiMAx® and bilirubin, albumin, ALBI grade, and MELD score. Patients presenting with Child–Pugh score B 28 days after RE or with a deterioration in Child–Pugh score by at least one point had a significantly lower baseline LiMAx® compared to those with Child–Pugh score A or with stable Child–Pugh score. The ability of LiMAx® to predict hepatic decompensation after RE was determined using ROC curve analysis and was compared to MELD score and ALBI grade. LiMAx® achieved a substantial AUC of 0.8117, comparable to MELD score and ALBI grade. Conclusion: Patients with lower LiMAx® values at baseline have a significantly increased risk for hepatic decompensation after RE, despite being categorized as Child–Pugh A. Therefore, LiMAx® can be used as an additional tool to identify patients at high risk of post-interventional hepatic failure.

Tenofovir vs. entecavir on prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection

BACKGROUND

Entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) are recommended as first-line choices regarding the treatment of chronic hepatits B. The impact of the two antiviral agents on prognosis of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative liver resection remains to be explored. We aimed to assess the effect of antiviral therapy with ETV or TDF after curative resection on the prognosis of patients with HBV-related HCC.

METHODS

A total of 1173 consecutive patients who were treated with ETV or TDF after curative liver resection for HCC were enrolled in the study. HCC recurrence, overall survival, postoperative liver function reserve, and early virologic (VR) and biochemical responses (BR) of patients were compared between the ETV and TDF groups by propensity score matching (PSM) from the date of liver resection for HCC.

RESULTS

No difference was observed with recurrence-free survival between TDF and ETV in the PSM cohort (hazard ratio [HR], 0.91; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.70-1.17; P = 0.45). No difference was observed with early VR and BR between TDF and ETV in the PSM cohort. Compared with ETV, TDF therapy was associated with significantly better protection of liver function and higher overall survival rates in the PSM cohort (HR, 0.37; 95% CI 0.20-0.71; P = 0.002). After PSM, 69 (40.8%) patients in the ETV group and 63 (57.3%) patients in the TDF group had single tumor recurrence, while the TDF group had significantly more patients with single tumor recurrence in the PSM cohort (P = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients who underwent curative resection for HBV-related HCC, TDF treatment had a significantly better overall survival and better protection of liver function, but no difference in the incidences of HCC recurrence than ETV treatment.

Upregulation of Stress-Induced Protein Kinase CK1 Delta is associated with a Poor Prognosis for patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective: This study was designed to analyze the expression of CSNK1D in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and investigate the relationship between the expression of CSNK1D and the prognosis of HCC patients. Methods: The CSNK1D and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) expression levels in patients with HCC and their corresponding clinical data were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and sorted with a Perl program. CSNK1D and AFP expression differences in liver tissue and liver cancer were compared and analyzed, based on the online database human cancer metastasis database, the relationships between the expression levels of CSNK1D and AFP and the proliferation and metastases of HCC were explored. The immunohistochemical data obtained from the Human Protein Atlas Database further verified the differences in the expression levels of CSNK1D and AFP in liver tissues and liver cancer tissues. Through Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, the effects of CSNK1D and AFP expression levels on the prognosis of patients with HCC were investigated, and the influences of and patients' gender, age and grades of cancer cells, tumor size, the status of lymph node metastasis, distant metastasis, and tumor stage on the expression of CSNK1D were analyzed with R language. The influence of differential expressions of CSNK1D on survival time was compared and the prognostic factors influencing the survival of HCC patients were statistically explored by univariate analysis and multivariate analysis. The potential influencing mechanism of CSNK1D on the prognosis of HCC patients was explored by Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) enrichment. Results: The expression level of CSNK1D and AFP in cancer foci was significantly higher than that in normal tissues, However, in the same patient, the expression levels of AFP in paracarcinoma tissues and cancer tissues showed no significant difference. The expression level of CSNK1D in HCC with distant metastases was higher than that in those without metastasis, but the expression level of AFP in metastatic HCC was lower than that in those HCC without metastases. In immunohistochemical tests, CSNK1D was moderately positive in normal liver tissues, slightly positive in normal bile duct tissues, and highly positive in HCC. AFP was slightly positive in normal liver tissues and negative in HCC, but it was not detected in normal intrahepatic bile duct tissue. Survival analysis results suggested that the higher expression level of CSNK1D corresponded to the shorter survival period, whereas the expression level of AFP showed no significant influence on survival time. The expression level of CSNK1D was not correlated with gender, age, the status of lymph node metastasis status, or distant metastasis of patients. The main factors influencing the expression level of CSNK1D included tumor size, cancer cell grade, and tumor stage. The expression levels of CSNK1D in T2 and T3 were higher than that in T1. The expression levels of CSNK1D in G3 and G4 were higher than that in G1. The expression levels of CSNK1D in Stage II and Stage III were higher than that in Stage I. Univariate analysis suggested that tumor size, cell grade, distant metastasis, clinical stage, and CSNK1D expression level were the prognostic factors influencing the survival of patients. Multivariate analysis suggested that CSNK1D expression level was an independent factor influencing the prognosis of HCC patients. GSEA enrichment analysis indicated that CSNK1D mainly affected the prognosis of HCC patients through cell cycle, WNT signaling pathway, amino acid degradation metabolism, and other pathways. Conclusion: CSNK1D is an independent influencing factor for the prognosis of HCC patients and has the potential to be developed as a potential therapeutic target for HCC, and better than AFP in predicting the prognosis of HCC.

Real-world evidence in hepatocellular carcinoma

Real-world evidence includes all health-related information, such as electronic health records, insurance claims, pharmacy records and wearables that are obtained outside of clinical trials. These data can provide critical insights into the natural history of disease and evaluate the safety and effectiveness of treatment regimens used in clinical practice. Real-world data have been applied to varying degrees by global regulatory agencies to inform and expedite many phases of drug development and help refine the use of therapeutic regimens after marketing, especially in populations that are under-represented in registration trials. For the management of hepatocellular carcinoma, early detection provides the best chance for curative therapies, whose success has been evaluated in numerous cohorts. The availability of novel systemic therapies, including kinase inhibitors and immunotherapies, has provided new treatment options and improved survival in patients with advanced stage hepatocellular carcinoma. Real-world longitudinal observational studies can help understand the long-term safety and effectiveness of these agents.

Peritumoral edema in preoperative magnetic resonance imaging is an independent prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Peritumoral edema is an independent prognostic risk factor for malignant tumors. Therefore, assessment of peritumoral edema in preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) may provide better prognostic information in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

AIM

To determine whether peritumoral edema in preoperative MRI is a prognostic factor for HCC.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 90 patients with HCC confirmed by surgical pathology was performed. All patients' peritumoral edema in preoperative MRI was reviewed by two radiologists. The association of disease recurrence with peritumoral edema and clinicopathological features was assessed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Interobserver agreement for evaluating peritumoral edema was determined using Cohen's κ coefficient.

RESULTS

Recurrence and non-recurrence after an average 20.8 month follow-up was 25.6% (23/90) and 74.4% (67/90), respectively. The ratio of peritumoral edema of 90 patients with HCC in preoperative MRI was 35.6% (32/90). In univariate Cox regression analysis, peritumoral edema [hazard ratio (HR) 11.08, P < 0.001], tumor diameter (HR 4.12, P = 0.001), microvascular invasion (HR 2.78, P = 0.020), gender (HR 0.29, P = 0.006), cirrhosis (HR 2.45, P = 0.049), ascites syndrome (HR 2.83, P = 0.022), aspartate aminotransferase(AST)/alanine aminotransferase(ALT) (HR 5.07, P = 0.003) were indicators for HCC recurrence. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, the tumor diameter (HR 2.53, P = 0.032) and peritumoral edema (HR 8.71, P < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors of HCC. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of peritumoral edema and tumor diameter were 82.6%&60.9%, 80.6%&77.6%, 59.4%&48.3%, and 93.1%&85.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Peritumoral edema in preoperative MRI may be considered as a biomarker of prognostic information for patients with HCC.

Matrine promotes hepatic oval cells differentiation into hepatocytes and alleviates liver injury by suppression of Notch signalling pathway

AIMS

Recent studies have shown that the hyperactive Notch pathway is involved in cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development by regulating differentiation of hepatic oval cells (HOCs) into cancer cells. The aim of this study was to investigate whether matrine can alleviate liver injury and promote HOC differentiation into hepatocytes by suppression of Notch pathway.

MAIN METHODS

We evaluated the expression of Notch-1, Jagged-1, and Hes-1 in HCC tissue by immunohistochemistry. Stem cell characteristics of HOCs were evaluated by CCK-8, cell cycle, and apoptosis. The expression of Notch pathway, HOC markers and albumin (ALB) was detected by immunohistochemistry, QRT-PCR and western blotting. The effects of matrine in protecting liver in vivo were investigated in a rat Solt-Farber precancerous model.

KEY FINDINGS

We found an abnormal activated Notch pathway in HCC tissue, and the hyperactive Notch pathway was strongly associated with poor liver function in patients with cirrhosis with HCC. Using siNotch-1 to inhibit Notch pathway confirmed that Notch pathway could maintain stem cell characteristics of HOCs. Matrine inhibited stem cell characteristics of HOCs, the expression of Notch pathway and HOC markers but upregulated ALB. Matrine in combined with siNotch-1 RNA decreased the more potently inhibited HOC markers and Notch pathway. In rat Solt-Farber precancerous model, prophylactic application of matrine alleviated liver injury, downregulated Notch pathway and HOC markers, and upregulated ALB in a dose-dependent manner.

SIGNIFICANCE

Matrine could promote the differentiation of HOCs into hepatocytes by inhibiting the Notch signalling pathway and alleviate liver injury.

Circulating tumor cells are an indicator for the administration of adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization in hepatocellular carcinoma: A single-center, retrospective, propensity-matched study

Background

High rates of postoperative tumor recurrence contribute to poor outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Here, we investigated whether circulating tumor cells (CTCs) status can predict the benefit of adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with HCC.

Methods

The retrospective study enrolled 344 HCC patients with preoperative CTCs analysis. Clinical outcomes including recurrence and survival were compared between those who received and who did not receive adjuvant TACE. Similar comparisons were made for patients stratified according to CTC status (CTC‐negative [CTC = 0], n = 123; CTC‐positive [CTC ≥ 1], n = 221). Propensity score matching (PSM) strategy was adopted to offset differences between two groups.

Results

In the study cohort as a whole or in CTC‐negative cohort, there were no observable differences in overall survival (OS) or time to recurrence (TTR) between TACE and control group (P > .05). In CTC‐positive patients, PSM generated 64 patient pairs, and patients with adjuvant TACE had significantly better clinical outcomes (OS: not reached vs 36.4 months, P < .001; TTR: 45.8 vs 9.8 months, P < .001). Adjuvant TACE significantly reduced early recurrence (≤2 years) (64.1% vs 31.7%, P < .001) in CTC‐positive patients. Notably, adjuvant TACE influenced TTR and OS even in subgroups of CTC‐positive patients with low risk of recurrence according to traditional evaluation.

Conclusions

Preoperative CTC status could serve as an indicator for the administration of adjuvant TACE in HCC patients. Adjuvant TACE benefits CTC‐positive HCC patients mainly by reducing early recurrence.

Preoperative Liver Function Guiding HCC Resection in Normal and Cirrhotic Liver

Background

Liver resection is the most effective available therapy for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The accurate selection of patients for surgery requires determination of technical resectability and the risk of recurrence, as well as assessment of liver function and functional reserve to avoid postoperative liver failure. Previous studies have underlined the effectiveness and reliability of the LiMAx® test to evaluate liver function preoperatively. Nevertheless, data concerning HCC evaluation are lacking.

Methods

From 2014 to 2019, 92 patients with HCC underwent additional assessment of liver function using the LiMAx test prior to decision for or against liver resection. Preoperative LiMAx results were compared between cirrhotic and noncirrhotic liver. The clinical decision for surgery was evaluated applying the various liver function parameters available.

Results

Forty-six patients underwent liver resection. The LiMAx results were higher in resected patients (388 vs. 322 µg/kg/h; p = 0.004). LiMAx values were an independent risk factor for the presence of liver cirrhosis in multivariate analysis. In 17 patients, surgical treatment was cancelled due to major impairment of liver function. Only 4 out of 46 resected patients presented with post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) grade ≥B. Histologic assessment revealed liver cirrhosis in 10 resected patients without PHLF.

Conclusion

Preoperative determination of liver function by the LiMAx test enables effective and safe patient selection for HCC resection in both cirrhotic and noncirrhotic liver.

Future liver remnant function as a predictor of postoperative morbidity following liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma - A risk factor analysis

BACKGROUND

Advances in anaesthesia and surgical technique have considerably reduced mortality in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing liver resection. However, extended resections in patients with liver cirrhosis still represent a challenge. The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive value of volume/function analysis for the prediction of morbidity in HCC patients following liver resection.

METHODS

Between 2001 and 2014, a total of 261 patients who underwent open hepatectomy for HCC were enrolled in this study. Future liver remnant volume (FLRV) and future liver remnant function (FLRF) based on LiMAx testing were obtained retrospectively. Uni- and multivariable analyses were performed to identify predictors for postoperative ascites, post-hepatectomy haemorrhage (PHH), and wound healing disorders (WHD) within the total cohort and in a subgroup of cirrhotic patients.

RESULTS

The most commonly observed complication was ascites (57.1%), followed by liver failure (25.3%), PHH (19.5%), and WHD (19.2%). FLRF was a major predictor of postoperative ascites (AUC 0.776; OR 0.987, p = 0.001), PHH (AUC 0.717; OR 0.984, p = 0.001), and WHD (AUC 0.660; OR 0.994, p = 0.032) in total cohort. Multivariable analysis of the cirrhosis subgroup showed FLRF to be an independent predictor of ascites (AUC 0.814; OR 0.989, p = 0.021), PHH (AUC 0.677; OR 0.991, p = 0.040), and WHD (AUC 0.615; OR 0.989, p = 0.033).

CONCLUSIONS

FLRF is a major predictor of postoperative ascites, haemorrhage, and wound healing disorders in cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients whereas FLRV failed to show significant correlations. Preoperative calculation of FLRF may augment surgical decision-making in high-risk patients and thereby improve perioperative outcome.