1
|
Gutierrez-Naranjo JM, Moreira A, Valero-Moreno E, Bullock TS, Ogden LA, Zelle BA. -A machine learning model to predict surgical site infection after surgery of lower extremity fractures. INTERNATIONAL ORTHOPAEDICS 2024; 48:1887-1896. [PMID: 38700699 DOI: 10.1007/s00264-024-06194-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2023] [Accepted: 04/22/2024] [Indexed: 06/14/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE This study aimed to develop machine learning algorithms for identifying predictive factors associated with the risk of postoperative surgical site infection in patients with lower extremity fractures. METHODS A machine learning analysis was conducted on a dataset comprising 1,579 patients who underwent surgical fixation for lower extremity fractures to create a predictive model for risk stratification of postoperative surgical site infection. We evaluated different clinical and demographic variables to train four machine learning models (neural networks, boosted generalised linear model, naïve bayes, and penalised discriminant analysis). Performance was measured by the area under the curve score, Youdon's index and Brier score. A multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) was used to optimise predictor selection. RESULTS The final model consisted of five predictors. (1) Operating room time, (2) ankle region, (3) open injury, (4) body mass index, and (5) age. The best-performing machine learning algorithm demonstrated a promising predictive performance, with an area under the ROC curve, Youdon's index, and Brier score of 77.8%, 62.5%, and 5.1%-5.6%, respectively. CONCLUSION The proposed predictive model not only assists surgeons in determining high-risk factors for surgical site infections but also empowers patients to closely monitor these factors and take proactive measures to prevent complications. Furthermore, by considering the identified predictors, this model can serve as a reference for implementing preventive measures and reducing postoperative complications, ultimately enhancing patient outcomes. However, further investigations involving larger datasets and external validations are required to confirm the reliability and applicability of our model.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - Alvaro Moreira
- Department of Pediatrics, UT Health San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, USA.
| | | | - Travis S Bullock
- Department of Orthopaedics, UT Health San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, 78229-3900, USA
| | - Liliana A Ogden
- Department of Orthopaedics, UT Health San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, 78229-3900, USA
| | - Boris A Zelle
- Department of Orthopaedics, UT Health San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, 78229-3900, USA.
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Welzel L, Omar M, Müller CW. Complications following surgical treatment of ankle fractures in the elderly: can they be avoided? Orthop Rev (Pavia) 2024; 16:116370. [PMID: 38666190 PMCID: PMC11043027 DOI: 10.52965/001c.116370] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2024] [Accepted: 03/24/2024] [Indexed: 04/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Following surgical treatment of ankle fractures, geriatric patients face high complication rates (CR) in literature. Commonly used diagnostic and treatment algorithms fail to consider requirements of ageing patients which increases the risk of postoperative complications. Objective Present study critically evaluated surgical management of ankle fractures in patients over 65 years old, with focus on identifying modifiable risk factors and effective comorbidity management strategies. Methods We conducted a retrospective single-center study on patients who underwent surgical treatment of an ankle fracture. Based on their age, participants were divided into non-geriatric patients (NGP<65y) and geriatric patients (GP≥65y). We analyzed overall CR and number of minor and major complications in relation to timing of surgery, biological sex, injury pattern, osteosynthesis, pre-existing medical conditions, and postoperative care. Results 402 patients were included. GP encountered significantly higher overall (p<0.001), minor (p<0.001) and major (p=0.003) complications. They presented more complex, displaced and open fractures. Predominant factor contributing to higher CR in NGP and markedly in GP was concomitant diseases, presenting a strong OR of 19,290 (p<0.001) and 17,022 (p<0.001). Delaying surgery and managing comorbidities preoperatively had a favorable impact. Conclusion We revealed a high significant correlation between pre-existing medical conditions and postoperative results. To ascertain viability of delayed surgery in facilitating additional diagnostics and treatment of comorbidities, further comparative trials with a larger cohort are imperative.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Lukas Welzel
- Department of Orthopedics and Traumatology Asklepios Klinik Wandsbek
- Department of Traumatology Hannover Medical School
- Department of Orthopedics and Traumatology Schön Klinik Neustadt
| | - Mohamed Omar
- Department of Traumatology Hannover Medical School
| | | |
Collapse
|
3
|
Jiang F, Guo H, Zeng Q, Long P, Zeng C, Yan H. Preoperative temporary fixation for fractures around the ankle using a simple extensible external fixator significantly improves patient comfort. Foot Ankle Surg 2024; 30:239-244. [PMID: 38123374 DOI: 10.1016/j.fas.2023.12.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/03/2023] [Revised: 11/13/2023] [Accepted: 12/10/2023] [Indexed: 12/23/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The authors developed a simple extensible external fixator, which has the advantages of easy application and inexpensiveness. The present study aimed to make a comparison between this external fixator and calcaneal traction in preoperative temporary fixation for malaligned ankle fractures and pilon fractures. METHODS From May 2020 to February 2022, patients with malaligned ankle fractures or Rüedi-Allgöwer type 2 or 3 pilon fractures with obvious soft tissue swelling were retrospectively reviewed and divided into the calcaneal traction group and the external fixation group. The two groups of patients were matched 1:1 before making comparisons. RESULTS A total of 38 patients were included. Higher General Comfort Questionnaire score and lower visual analog scale score were noticed in the external fixation group during hospitalization (p < 0.05), while the operation latency time, total cost, patient satisfaction, and functional outcomes one year after surgery were not significantly different between the two groups. No wound complications were observed. CONCLUSION Preoperative temporary fixation for fractures around the ankle using this simple extensible external fixator significantly improves patient comfort when compared to calcaneal traction. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE III, retrospective comparative study.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Feijuan Jiang
- Department of Foot and Ankle Surgery, Center for Orthopedic Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Hao Guo
- Department of Foot and Ankle Surgery, Center for Orthopedic Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Qing Zeng
- Department of Foot and Ankle Surgery, Center for Orthopedic Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Peibo Long
- Department of Foot and Ankle Surgery, Center for Orthopedic Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China
| | - Canjun Zeng
- Department of Foot and Ankle Surgery, Center for Orthopedic Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China.
| | - Han Yan
- Department of Foot and Ankle Surgery, Center for Orthopedic Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, PR China.
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Tong J, Ajrawat P, Chahal J, Daud A, Whelan DB, Nauth A, Dehghan N, Hoit G. Early Versus Delayed Weight Bearing and Mobilization After Ankle Fracture Fixation Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials. Orthopedics 2024; 47:71-78. [PMID: 37561102 DOI: 10.3928/01477447-20230804-08] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 08/11/2023]
Abstract
The purpose of this review was to determine whether there is a benefit to early weight bearing or mobilization in surgically treated ankle fractures. All randomized controlled trials that analyzed early vs delayed weight bearing and/or mobilization after an ankle surgery were included. The primary outcome measure was the pooled Olerud Molander Ankle Score 1 year postoperatively. No significant differences in ankle function were found at 1 year postoperatively between early and delayed weight bearing and mobilization. The 12-week results demonstrated superior early ankle function scores for patients who had early weight bearing. Patients who had early mobilization were at increased risk for postoperative complications. In surgically treated ankle fractures, early weight bearing resulted in improved short-term ankle function scores. [Orthopedics. 2024;47(2):71-78.].
Collapse
|
5
|
Ding W, Xu J, Zhu Y, Nian S, Lu Y, Zheng M, Zhu X, Wang Z, Ji F, Tang H. Comparative study on the clinical efficacy of small plate assisted anatomic plate and traditional double plate in the treatment of Rüedi and Allgöwer II - III pilon fracture. BMC Surg 2023; 23:352. [PMID: 37980470 PMCID: PMC10657612 DOI: 10.1186/s12893-023-02251-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/04/2023] [Accepted: 10/27/2023] [Indexed: 11/20/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical efficacy of small plate assisted anatomical plate and traditional double plate in the treatment of Rüedi and Allgöwer II - III pilon fracture. METHODS AND MATERIALS The data of 68 patients with pilon fracture admitted to Hospital from June 2017 to June 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Study group and control group were divided according to different operation methods, with 34 cases in each group. There were 28 cases of Rüedi and Allgöwer II type and 40 cases of Rüedi and Allgöwer III type. Perioperative period data, Ankle joint function score, visual analog scale (VAS) scores and the incidence of incision complications were analyzed between these two groups. RESULTS There were no significant differences in full load time, fracture healing time between these two groups (P > 0.05). The operation time, intraoperative blood loss, length of hospital stay, Ankle joint function score and postoperative incision complication rate in observation group were lower than those in control group (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION Small plate assisted anatomic plate is comparable to traditional double plate in the treatment of pilon fracture in terms of complete loading time, fracture healing time, but the former can shorten the operation time, reduce intraoperative blood loss and effectively reduce the incidence of postoperative complications.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Wenbin Ding
- Department of Orthopedics, Changhai Hospital, Naval Military Medical University, 168 Changhai Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Jianing Xu
- Department of Orthopedics, Changhai Hospital, Naval Military Medical University, 168 Changhai Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Ya Zhu
- Department of Orthopedics, The Second People's Hospital of Huai'an, The Affiliated Huai'an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huai'an, 223003, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Shensheng Nian
- Department of Orthopedics, Changhai Hospital, Naval Military Medical University, 168 Changhai Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Yifeng Lu
- Department of Orthopedics, Changhai Hospital, Naval Military Medical University, 168 Changhai Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Miaomiao Zheng
- Department of Orthopedics, Changhai Hospital, Naval Military Medical University, 168 Changhai Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Xiang Zhu
- Department of Orthopedics, Changhai Hospital, Naval Military Medical University, 168 Changhai Road, Shanghai, China
| | - Zimin Wang
- Department of Orthopedics, Changhai Hospital, Naval Military Medical University, 168 Changhai Road, Shanghai, China.
- Department of Orthopedics, The Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China.
| | - Fang Ji
- Department of Orthopedics, The Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China.
| | - Hao Tang
- Department of Orthopedics, Changhai Hospital, Naval Military Medical University, 168 Changhai Road, Shanghai, China.
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Baumfeld T, Burgos V, Souza V, Pires RE, Campos T, Baumfeld D. Ankle fractures malreduction rate and its causes in two Brazilian tertiary training hospitals. Injury 2023; 54 Suppl 6:110811. [PMID: 38143130 DOI: 10.1016/j.injury.2023.05.042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2023] [Revised: 05/07/2023] [Accepted: 05/11/2023] [Indexed: 12/26/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Ankle fractures are one of the most frequent injuries managed by any trauma surgeon. Literature has shown that adequate reduction is of utmost importance to achieve satisfactory functional outcomes. However, malreduction rates remain high worldwide. The objective of the present study is to evaluate the quality of ankle fracture reduction in two major trauma centers in a large Brazilian city and to analyze the factors associated with malreduction METHODS: Epidemiologic data of 382 patients (189 men; 193 women) aged between 7 and 87 years who underwent osteosynthesis of the ankle in two trauma centers in a large Brazilian city. Electronic clinical records, preoperative and immediate postoperative radiographs in anteroposterior (AP), lateral and mortise views were evaluated. Pettrone's criteria were used to evaluate the quality of ankle fractures reduction. All radiographs were independently evaluated by two foot and ankle senior surgeons RESULTS: Overall, malreduction rate was 22.2%. Forty-seven (55.2%) fractures classified as malreduced had medial malleolar displacement The results showed three factors that significantly affected the quality of reduction (p<0.05), patients over 60 years, open fractures and fracture-dislocations. Patients aged over 60 years were twice more likely to have poor reduction of ankle fractures than younger ones. The risk of poor fracture reduction among those individuals with open fractures is 2.15 times greater than among patients with closed injuries. Fracture-dislocation imposed a 2.7 higher risk for malreduction DISCUSSION: We found a malreduction rate below most series previously published. Further results agree with the literature. Elderly people aged over 60 years, fracture dislocations and open fractures are associated with worse results, influencing the quality of the reduction, clinical outcomes, and the development of post-traumatic arthrosis CONCLUSION: Ankle fractures malreduction are associated with higher age, open fractures, and fracture-dislocations.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Túlio Campos
- Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) - Brazil
| | | |
Collapse
|
7
|
Gao Y, Zhu H, Guo Y, Yu X. Early Reduction of the Posterior Column: A Surgical Technique in AO/OTA C3 Tibial Pilon Fractures. J Pers Med 2023; 13:jpm13030551. [PMID: 36983732 PMCID: PMC10051139 DOI: 10.3390/jpm13030551] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2023] [Revised: 03/08/2023] [Accepted: 03/13/2023] [Indexed: 03/30/2023] Open
Abstract
Staged treatment for pilon fractures is widely accepted. It remains to be discussed how to reduce and fix posterior column fractures while avoiding clinical complications. We provided a staged treatment protocol with detailed surgical techniques for closed AO Foundation/Orthopaedic Trauma Association (AO/OTA) C3 tibial pilon fractures with fibular fractures. In the first stage, the internal fixation of the fibula and distal tibial posterior column is accompanied by an external fixator. After swelling, the medial and anterior columns were fixed via the posteromedial approach in the second stage. We advocate early reduction and fixation of the posterior column and lateral column. The right timing of surgery can ensure well-reduced articular surface and alignment while minimizing soft tissue complications.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yanchun Gao
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200233, China
| | - Hongyi Zhu
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200233, China
| | - Yanjie Guo
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200233, China
| | - Xingang Yu
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200233, China
| |
Collapse
|