Pediatric trauma smackdown: PTS vs SIPA

Pediatric Age-adjusted Shock Index (SIPA): From Injury to Outcome in Blunt Abdominal Trauma

Purpose

The Shock Index Pediatric Age-Adjusted (SIPA) score is a useful tool for identifying pediatric trauma patients at a risk of poor outcomes and for triaging. We are studying the relationship between elevated SIPA score and specific outcomes in pediatric trauma patients.

Materials and Methods

A retrospective study was conducted in which case records of 58 pediatric patients with blunt abdominal trauma were evaluated and tabulated for their SIPA scores only at the time of their initial presentation and categorized into two groups - normal SIPA and elevated SIPA. The primary outcomes were need for blood transfusion, need for any intervention, and need for emergency surgery, and the secondary outcomes were need for computed tomography (CT) scan, need for a ventilator, intensive care unit (ICU) stay, length of hospital stay, and mortality. Statistical methods were applied to find a relationship between elevated SIPA score and the primary and secondary outcomes.

Results

An elevated SIPA score was noted in 27 (46%) patients. There was a significant relationship between elevated SIPA scores and patients needing blood transfusion (68.75%, n = 11) and length of hospital stay (10.48 ± 7.54 days). A significant relationship between elevated SIPA score and need for emergency surgery (54.54%, n = 6), need for a CT scan (56%, n = 14), and ICU stay (50%, n = 2) was not found.

Conclusion

We have seen in our study that elevated SIPA scores at presentation are significantly related to need for blood transfusion and length of hospital stay. In more than half of the patients, elevated SIPA was associated with need for emergency surgery and requirement of CT scan, but it was statistically not significant. Therefore, assessment of this parameter can help in identifying such poor outcomes.

Validation of the Conventional Trauma and Injury Severity Score and a Newly Developed Survival Predictive Model in Pediatric Patients with Blunt Trauma: A Nationwide Observation Study

To date, there is no clinically useful prediction model that is suitable for Japanese pediatric trauma patients. Herein, this study aimed to developed a model for predicting the survival of Japanese pediatric patients with blunt trauma and compare its validity with that of the conventional TRISS model. Patients registered in the Japan Trauma Data Bank were grouped into a derivation cohort (2009-2013) and validation cohort (2014-2018). Logistic regression analysis was performed using the derivation dataset to establish prediction models using age, injury severity, and physiology. The validity of the modified model was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Among 11 predictor models, Model 1 and Model 11 had the best performance (AUC = 0.980). The AUC of all models was lower in patients with survival probability Ps < 0.5 than in patients with Ps ≥ 0.5. The AUC of all models was lower in neonates/infants than in other age categories. Model 11 also had the best performance (AUC = 0.762 and 0.909, respectively) in patients with Ps < 0.5 and neonates/infants. The predictive ability of the newly modified models was not superior to that of the current TRISS model. Our results may be useful to develop a highly accurate prediction model based on the new predictive variables and cutoff values associated with the survival mortality of injured Japanese pediatric patients who are younger and more severely injured by using a nationwide dataset with fewer missing data and added valuables, which can be used to evaluate the age-related physiological and anatomical severity of injured patients.