Diabetes and Risk of Sudden Death in Coronary Artery Disease Patients Without Severe Systolic Dysfunction

QRS-T angle: is it a specific parameter associated with sudden cardiac death in type 2 diabetes? Results from the SURDIAGENE and the Mini-Finland prospective cohorts

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Type 2 diabetes is associated with a high risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD), but the risk of dying from another cause (non-SCD) is proportionally even higher. The aim of the study was to identify easily available ECG-derived features associated with SCD, while considering the competing risk of dying from non-SCD causes.

METHODS

In the SURDIAGENE (Survie, Diabete de type 2 et Genetique) French prospective cohort of individuals with type 2 diabetes, 15 baseline ECG parameters were interpreted among 1362 participants (mean age 65 years; HbA1c 62±17 mmol/mol [7.8±1.5%]; 58% male). Competing risk models assessed the prognostic value of clinical and ECG parameters for SCD after adjusting for age, sex, history of myocardial infarction, N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), HbA1c and eGFR. The prospective Mini-Finland cohort study was used to externally validate our findings.

RESULTS

During median follow-up of 7.4 years, 494 deaths occurred including 94 SCDs. After adjustment, frontal QRS-T angle ≥90° (sub-distribution HR [sHR] 1.68 [95% CI 1.04, 2.69], p=0.032) and NT-proBNP level (sHR 1.26 [95% CI 1.06, 1.50] per 1 log, p=0.009) were significantly associated with a higher risk of SCD. Nevertheless, frontal QRS-T angle was the only marker not to be associated with causes of death other than SCD (sHR 1.08 [95% CI 0.84, 1.39], p=0.553 ). These findings were replicated in the Mini-Finland study subset of participants with diabetes (sHR 2.22 [95% CI 1.05, 4.71], p=0.04 for SCD and no association for other causes of death).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

QRS-T angle was specifically associated with SCD risk and not with other causes of death, opening an avenue for refining SCD risk stratification in individuals with type 2 diabetes.

OUP accepted manuscript

More than 40 years after the first implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implantation, sudden cardiac death (SCD) still accounts for more than five million deaths worldwide every year. Huge efforts in the field notwithstanding, it is now increasingly evident that the current strategy of long-term prevention based on left ventricular ejection fraction as the key selection criterion is actually of very limited impact, also because the largest absolute numbers of SCD are encountered in the general population not known to be at risk. It has been recently reemphasized that SCD is often not so sudden, with almost half of the victims experiencing typical warning symptoms preceding the event. Importantly, heeded and prompt medical attention can dramatically improve survival. Essentially, such timely action increases the chances of the SCD event being witnessed by emergency medical services and provides the opportunity for early intervention. In addition, newer technologies incorporating digital data acquisition, transfer between interconnected devices, and artificial intelligence, should allow dynamic, real-time monitoring of diverse parameters and therefore better identification of subjects at short-term SCD risk. Along with warning symptoms, these developments allow a new approach of near-term prevention based on the hours and minutes preceding SCD. In the present review, we challenge the current paradigm of mid- and long-term prevention using ICD in patients at the highest risk of SCD, and introduce a complementary concept applicable to the entire population that would aim to pre-empt SCD by timely detection and intervention within the minutes or hours prior to the event.