Artificial Intelligence Outperforms Clinical Judgment in Triage for Postoperative ICU Care: Prospective Preliminary Results

Unlocking the potential of big data and AI in medicine: insights from biobanking

Big data and artificial intelligence are key elements in the medical field as they are expected to improve accuracy and efficiency in diagnosis and treatment, particularly in identifying biomedically relevant patterns, facilitating progress towards individually tailored preventative and therapeutic interventions. These applications belong to current research practice that is data-intensive. While the combination of imaging, pathological, genomic, and clinical data is needed to train algorithms to realize the full potential of these technologies, biobanks often serve as crucial infrastructures for data-sharing and data flows. In this paper, we argue that the 'data turn' in the life sciences has increasingly re-structured major infrastructures, which often were created for biological samples and associated data, as predominantly data infrastructures. These have evolved and diversified over time in terms of tackling relevant issues such as harmonization and standardization, but also consent practices and risk assessment. In line with the datafication, an increased use of AI-based technologies marks the current developments at the forefront of the big data research in life science and medicine that engender new issues and concerns along with opportunities. At a time when secure health data environments, such as European Health Data Space, are in the making, we argue that such meta-infrastructures can benefit both from the experience and evolution of biobanking, but also the current state of affairs in AI in medicine, regarding good governance, the social aspects and practices, as well as critical thinking about data practices, which can contribute to trustworthiness of such meta-infrastructures.

Prediction of intensive care unit admission (>24h) after surgery in elective noncardiac surgical patients using machine learning algorithms

Background

To develop a highly discriminative machine learning model for the prediction of intensive care unit admission (>24h) using the easily available preoperative information from electronic health records. An accurate prediction model for ICU admission after surgery is of great importance for surgical risk assessment and appropriate utilization of ICU resources.

Method

Data were collected retrospectively from a large hospital, comprising 135,442 adult patients who underwent surgery except for cardiac surgery between 1 January 2014, and 31 July 2018 in China. Multiple existing predictive machine learning algorithms were explored to construct the prediction model, including logistic regression, random forest, adaptive boosting, and gradient boosting machine. Four secondary analyses were conducted to improve the interpretability of the results.

Results

A total of 2702 (2.0%) patients were admitted to the intensive care unit postoperatively. The gradient boosting machine model attained the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.90. The machine learning models predicted intensive care unit admission better than the American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.68). The gradient boosting machine recognized several features as highly significant predictors for postoperatively intensive care unit admission. By applying subgroup analysis and secondary analysis, we found that patients with operations on the digestive, respiratory, and vascular systems had higher probabilities for intensive care unit admission.

Conclusion

Compared with conventional American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status and logistic regression model, the gradient boosting machine could improve the performance in the prediction of intensive care unit admission. Machine learning models could be used to improve the discrimination and identify the need for intensive care unit admission after surgery in elective noncardiac surgical patients, which could help manage the surgical risk.