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van der Geest KSM, Sandovici M, Brouwer E, Mackie SL. Diagnostic Accuracy of Symptoms, Physical Signs, and Laboratory Tests for Giant Cell Arteritis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. JAMA Intern Med 2020; 180:1295-1304. [PMID: 32804186 PMCID: PMC7432275 DOI: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.3050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 74] [Impact Index Per Article: 18.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2020] [Accepted: 05/25/2020] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
Importance Current clinical guidelines recommend selecting diagnostic tests for giant cell arteritis (GCA) based on pretest probability that the disease is present, but how pretest probability should be estimated remains unclear. Objective To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of symptoms, physical signs, and laboratory tests for suspected GCA. Data Sources PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews were searched from November 1940 through April 5, 2020. Study Selection Trials and observational studies describing patients with suspected GCA, using an appropriate reference standard for GCA (temporal artery biopsy, imaging test, or clinical diagnosis), and with available data for at least 1 symptom, physical sign, or laboratory test. Data Extraction and Synthesis Screening, full text review, quality assessment, and data extraction by 2 investigators. Diagnostic test meta-analysis used a bivariate model. Main Outcome(s) and Measures Diagnostic accuracy parameters, including positive and negative likelihood ratios (LRs). Results In 68 unique studies (14 037 unique patients with suspected GCA; of 7798 patients with sex reported, 5193 were women [66.6%]), findings associated with a diagnosis of GCA included limb claudication (positive LR, 6.01; 95% CI, 1.38-26.16), jaw claudication (positive LR, 4.90; 95% CI, 3.74-6.41), temporal artery thickening (positive LR, 4.70; 95% CI, 2.65-8.33), temporal artery loss of pulse (positive LR, 3.25; 95% CI, 2.49-4.23), platelet count of greater than 400 × 103/μL (positive LR, 3.75; 95% CI, 2.12-6.64), temporal tenderness (positive LR, 3.14; 95% CI, 1.14-8.65), and erythrocyte sedimentation rate greater than 100 mm/h (positive LR, 3.11; 95% CI, 1.43-6.78). Findings that were associated with absence of GCA included the absence of erythrocyte sedimentation rate of greater than 40 mm/h (negative LR, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.08-0.44), absence of C-reactive protein level of 2.5 mg/dL or more (negative LR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.25-0.59), and absence of age over 70 years (negative LR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.27-0.86). Conclusions and Relevance This study identifies the clinical and laboratory features that are most informative for a diagnosis of GCA, although no single feature was strong enough to confirm or refute the diagnosis if taken alone. Combinations of these symptoms might help direct further investigation, such as vascular imaging, temporal artery biopsy, or seeking evaluation for alternative diagnoses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kornelis S. M. van der Geest
- Department of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands
| | - Maria Sandovici
- Department of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands
| | - Elisabeth Brouwer
- Department of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands
| | - Sarah L. Mackie
- Leeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, NIHR (National Institute for Health Research) Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS (National Health Service) Trust, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
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Ing EB, Miller NR, Nguyen A, Su W, Bursztyn LLCD, Poole M, Kansal V, Toren A, Albreki D, Mouhanna JG, Muladzanov A, Bernier M, Gans M, Lee D, Wendel C, Sheldon C, Shields M, Bellan L, Lee-Wing M, Mohadjer Y, Nijhawan N, Tyndel F, Sundaram ANE, Ten Hove MW, Chen JJ, Rodriguez AR, Hu A, Khalidi N, Ing R, Wong SWK, Torun N. Neural network and logistic regression diagnostic prediction models for giant cell arteritis: development and validation. Clin Ophthalmol 2019; 13:421-430. [PMID: 30863010 PMCID: PMC6388759 DOI: 10.2147/opth.s193460] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE To develop and validate neural network (NN) vs logistic regression (LR) diagnostic prediction models in patients with suspected giant cell arteritis (GCA). Design: Multicenter retrospective chart review. METHODS An audit of consecutive patients undergoing temporal artery biopsy (TABx) for suspected GCA was conducted at 14 international medical centers. The outcome variable was biopsy-proven GCA. The predictor variables were age, gender, headache, clinical temporal artery abnormality, jaw claudication, vision loss, diplopia, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-reactive protein, and platelet level. The data were divided into three groups to train, validate, and test the models. The NN model with the lowest false-negative rate was chosen. Internal and external validations were performed. RESULTS Of 1,833 patients who underwent TABx, there was complete information on 1,201 patients, 300 (25%) of whom had a positive TABx. On multivariable LR age, platelets, jaw claudication, vision loss, log C-reactive protein, log erythrocyte sedimentation rate, headache, and clinical temporal artery abnormality were statistically significant predictors of a positive TABx (P≤0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve/Hosmer-Lemeshow P for LR was 0.867 (95% CI, 0.794, 0.917)/0.119 vs NN 0.860 (95% CI, 0.786, 0.911)/0.805, with no statistically significant difference of the area under the curves (P=0.316). The misclassification rate/false-negative rate of LR was 20.6%/47.5% vs 18.1%/30.5% for NN. Missing data analysis did not change the results. CONCLUSION Statistical models can aid in the triage of patients with suspected GCA. Misclassification remains a concern, but cutoff values for 95% and 99% sensitivities are provided (https://goo.gl/THCnuU).
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Affiliation(s)
- Edsel B Ing
- Ophthalmology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada,
| | - Neil R Miller
- Ophthalmology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | | | - Wanhua Su
- Statistics, MacEwan University, Edmonton, AB, Canada
| | | | | | - Vinay Kansal
- Ophthalmology, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
| | | | - Dana Albreki
- Ophthalmology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | | | | | | | - Mark Gans
- Ophthalmology, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | - Dongho Lee
- University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Colten Wendel
- Ophthalmology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Claire Sheldon
- Ophthalmology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Marc Shields
- Ophthalmology, University of Virginia, Fisherville, VA, USA
| | - Lorne Bellan
- Ophthalmology, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada
| | | | | | | | - Felix Tyndel
- Neurology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | | | | | - John J Chen
- Ophthalmology & Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | | | - Angela Hu
- Rheumatology, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada
| | - Nader Khalidi
- Rheumatology, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada
| | - Royce Ing
- Undergraduate Science, Ryerson University, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | | | - Nurhan Torun
- Ophthalmology, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA
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Ing E, Zhang A, Michaelov E, Wang W. Comparison of Dynamic Contour Tonometry and Non-contact Tonometry in Older Patients Presenting with Headache or Vision Loss. Open Ophthalmol J 2018; 12:104-109. [PMID: 30008972 PMCID: PMC6018127 DOI: 10.2174/1874364101812010104] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/01/2018] [Revised: 04/16/2018] [Accepted: 06/03/2018] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Dynamic Contour Tonometry (DCT) is touted to be the most accurate tonometer for Intraocular Pressure (IOP) measurement. Non-Contact “air puff” Tonometry (NCT) may be the most commonly used tonometer for screening of IOP. Elevated IOP is important to exclude in patients presenting with headache or vision loss. Objective: To determine the agreement between DCT and NCT. Methods: The IOP of adult patients 50 years of age or older presenting with headache or vision loss for possible temporal artery biopsy were prospectively recorded. NCT and DCT measurements were obtained within thirty minutes. The right eye IOP measurements were compared with paired t-test, and Bland- Altman plot analysis. The left eye IOP measurements were subsequently analyzed for confirmation of results. Results: There were 106 subjects with complete right eye data, and 104 subjects with complete left eye data. The average age was 72 years, and 70% were female. The NCT IOP was on average 3.9 mm Hg lower in the right eye, and 3.5 mm Hg lower in the left eye compared with DCT. (p<.001) In the right eye the Bland-Altman analysis showed the 95% agreement interval between the two tonometers was -2.5 to 10.4 mmHg and in the left eye -3.0 to 9.9 mmHg. Conclusion: The IOP from NCT and DCT should not be used interchangeably because their level of disagreement includes clinically important discrepancies of up to 10 mm Hg.
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Affiliation(s)
- Edsel Ing
- Department of Ophthalmology and Vision Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Angela Zhang
- Department of Ophthalmology and Vision Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Evan Michaelov
- Schulich School of Medicine, Western University, Ontario, Canada
| | - Wendy Wang
- Schulich School of Medicine, Western University, Ontario, Canada
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