Secular trends were considered in the evaluation of universal hepatitis B vaccination in Taiwan

Association of Nationwide Hepatitis B Vaccination and Antiviral Therapy Programs With End-Stage Liver Disease Burden in Taiwan

IMPORTANCE

Chronic infections of hepatitis B and C viruses are the main causes of end-stage liver disease (ESLD) worldwide. The successful control of viral hepatitis is critical to reducing the burden of ESLD.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association of 2 world-first nationwide neonatal hepatitis B vaccinations and national antiviral therapy programs implemented in Taiwan (in 1984 and 2003, respectively) with the burden of ESLD.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study included children and adults aged 5 to 39 years from the National Cancer Registry Database and the National Death Registry Database between 1979 and 2018 in Taiwan. Individuals who died from chronic liver disease (CLD) and cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or were diagnosed with HCC were included for analysis. Analyses were performed in January 2021.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The main outcomes were measures of age, period, and cohort associations with CLD mortality and HCC incidence and mortality using an age-period-cohort analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 43 604 individuals (mean [SD] age, 33.3 [6.0] years; 37 755 men [86.6%]) with ESLD in the cohort, there were 17 904 CLD deaths, 11 504 HCC deaths, and 14 196 HCC incident events. There was a significant increase in all 3 disease burdens after age 20 years. From 2004 to 2018, CLD mortality decreased by 26% (adjusted rate ratio [aRR], 0.74; 95% CI, 0.70-0.82), HCC mortality decreased by 50% (aRR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.45-0.58), and HCC incidence decreased by 53% (aRR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.44-0.52). A sharply declining association by cohort was observed from the 1982 to 1986 birth cohort to the 2007 to 2011 birth cohort, during which CLD mortality decreased by 82% (aRR, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.00-1.13), HCC mortality decreased by 63% (aRR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.09-0.68), and HCC incidence decreased by 80% (aRR, 0.20; 95% CI, 0.00-0.48). The associations of age, period, and cohort were similar between male and female individuals and between urban and rural areas. The percentage of chronic hepatitis B infections in patients with HCC decreased from 83.3% (95% CI, 79.7%-86.5%) for those born from 1980 to 1984 to 55.6% (95% CI, 21.2%-86.3%) (from 2000 to 2004).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

These findings suggest that the national hepatitis B vaccination program and the antiviral therapy program jointly were associated with substantial reductions in the burden of ESLD in Taiwan.

Decrease in the prevalence of hepatitis B and D virus infections in an endemic area in Peru 23 years after the introduction of the first pilot vaccination program against hepatitis B

In 1991, Peru launched the first vaccination program against hepatitis B in children aged under 5 years in the hyperendemic [hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis D virus (HDV)] province of Abancay. We conducted a cross-sectional study to determine the prevalence of HBV and HDV infections, 23 years after the launch of the vaccination program, as well as the post-vaccine response against hepatitis B in terms of prevalence of hepatitis B surface antibody (anti-HBs ≥10 mUI/ml). Among 3165 participants aged from 0 to 94 years, the prevalence rates of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), and hepatitis B core antibody (total anti-HBc) were 1.2% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.85–1.64%], and 41.67% (95% CI 39.95–43.41%), respectively. The prevalence rate of anti-HBs at protective levels (≥10 mUI/ml) in individuals who HBsAg and anti-HBc negative was 66.36% (95% CI 64.15–68.51%). The prevalence rate of HBsAg in children aged <15 years was nil, and among adult HBsAg carriers, the prevalence of hepatitis D antibody (anti-HDV) was 5.26% (2/38; 95% CI 0.64–17.74). These findings showed that HBV prevalence has changed from high to low endemicity, 23 years following implementation of the vaccination program against hepatitis B, and HDV infection was not detected in those aged <30 years.

Trends in mortality burden of hepatocellular carcinoma, cirrhosis, and fulminant hepatitis before and after roll-out of the first pilot vaccination program against hepatitis B in Peru: An analysis of death certificate data

The first pilot vaccination program against hepatitis B in Peru was implemented in the hyperendemic Abancay province in 1991. To assess the impact of vaccination on mortality rates of hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), cirrhosis, and fulminant hepatitis, we compared mortality trends before (1960-1990) and after (1991-2012) roll-out of the vaccination program, using death certificate data from the Municipalidad Provincial de Abancay. Our results showed that, following program roll-out, the overall mortality rates (per 100,000 population) decreased from 9.20 to 3.30 for HCC (95% CI, 1.28-10.48%; P<0.014), from 16.0 to 6.3 for cirrhosis (95% CI, 3.20-16.10%; P<0.004), and from 34.80 to 1.28 for fulminant hepatitis (95% CI, 16.70-50.30%; P<0.001). The absolute number of deaths attributable to cirrhosis (10 [8.80%] vs. 0.0%; P<0.001) and fulminant hepatitis (83 [40.0%] vs. 5 [19.20%]; P<0.026) decreased in 5-14-year-old children following vaccination. These findings showed reduced mortality rates of hepatitis B-related liver diseases, particularly cirrhosis and fulminant hepatitis in children under 15years, following implementation of the vaccination program against hepatitis B.

Predicting emergency departments visit rates from septicemia in Taiwan using an age-period-cohort model, 1998 to 2012

The aim of this study was to determine the age-period-cohort (APC) effects on the rate of infection-related emergency department (ED) visits from septicemia for predicting the same in recent periods.In our study, we investigated the longitudinal trends in septicemia-related visit rates. Using an APC model to decompose the septicemia visit rates into the effects of age, time period, and cohort, and examine whether their effects varied by sex.The septicemia ED visit rate was classified as the International Classification of Disease Code 038 by primary and secondary diagnosis between 1998 and 2012.In both males and females, the visit rate of septicemia showed an increase from 2003 through 2012. An increase in septicemia visit rate after 2003 was observed in all age groups. An APC model indicated a reversal increasing period effect, which increased prominently from 2003 to 2012 in both males and females. The age effect showed an increasing trend. The cohort effect tended to show a slight oscillation from 1913 to 1988. With reference to the prediction of the logarithms of the age-specific 5-year visit rates, we observed that the younger cohorts exhibited a slightly increasing trend, as compared to the older cohorts.The period effect can explain the increase in septicemia visit rates, suggesting the role of screening for septicemia. Furthermore, it is well known that aging is a relevant risk variable for infectious diseases. The present study concludes that the aged population exhibited a strong increasing future trend for septicemia-related ED visit rates.

Changing incidence patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma among age groups in Taiwan

BACKGROUND & AIMS

This study examined and compared the incidence patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma among age groups in Taiwan, 30 years after a universal hepatitis B virus immunization program was launched.

METHODS

Data for hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosed in 2003-2011 were collected from the population-based Taiwan Cancer Registry. Age-standardized incidence rates were calculated to analyze and compare the changes in incidence rates and trends. More specific analyses were performed on four age groups separated by sex.

RESULTS

A total of 82,856 patients were diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma in 2003-2011 in Taiwan, yielding an age-standardized incidence rate of 32.97 per 100,000 person-years. Hepatocellular carcinoma was predominantly diagnosed in middle-aged adults (50.1%) and elderly people (49.1%), in contrast to the low incidences in children (0.04%) and adolescents and young adults (0.8%). Striking variations in trends were found for children (annual percent change: -16.6%, 2003-2010) and adolescents and young adults (annual percent change: -7.9%, 2003-2011). The incidence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma in children decreased to zero in 2011; only a slight decline in trends occurred for the middle-aged group (annual percent change: -2%, 2003-2011), and a slight upward trend was observed for elderly people (1.3%), specifically in women (1.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

In Taiwan, hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma was nearly eradicated in children in 2011. The findings on age-specific incidence patterns and trends of hepatocellular carcinoma suggest that different control strategies for treating this devastating disease in the future be made according to age.