Prognostic Value of Echocardiographic Calcium Score in Patients With a Clinical Indication for Stress Echocardiography

Evolution of Stress Echocardiogram in the Era of CT Angiography

The ideal diagnostic modality for acute chest pain is a highly debated topic in the cardiovascular community. With the rapid rise of coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) and the fall of functional testing, stress echocardiography (SE) is at a delicate crossroads. Though there are many advantages of coronary CTA, it is not without its flaws. The exact realm of SE needs to be clearly defined, as well as which patients need diagnostic testing. The emergence of additional parameters will propel the evolution of modern SE. In this review article, we explore the role of SE, guidelines, comparison of SE versus CTA, and additional parameters in the coronary CTA era.

Stress-echocardiography or coronary computed tomography in suspected chronic coronary syndrome after the 2019 European Guidelines? A practical guide

Stress-echocardiography can rightly be considered one of the champions of cardiac functional imaging, thanks to its real-time imaging, high temporal resolution, high safety and very low cost. When stress-echocardiography is performed at top technical quality, hence taking advantage of ultrasound contrast media for endocardial border delineation at least for suboptimal cases, subjectivity is minimized, and with the routine use of coronary flow reserve measurement (left anterior descending coronary artery, stress/rest ratio reduced or normal, i.e. <>2.0) diagnostic sensitivity is strengthened. The true competitor of any type of functional imaging, stress-echocardiography included, is nowadays coronary computed tomography angiography, which is instead a diagnostic method directly, noninvasively assessing coronary anatomy, apparently the holy grail for any cardiologist. The new 2019 Guidelines on chronic coronary syndrome of the European Society of Cardiology change the existing landscape and clinical practice, while they probably cannot clarify which type of test, functional or anatomic, should be first chosen in different clinical scenarios of suspected chronic coronary syndrome. We review the existing data and the authors' personal view in order to assess how functional stress-echocardiography compares with coronary computed tomography angiography regarding three main aspects: diagnosis of coronary artery disease, guidance of therapy (coronary revascularization versus medical therapy) and risk stratification.

Resting Left Ventricular Global Longitudinal Strain to Identify Silent Myocardial Ischemia in Asymptomatic Patients with Diabetes Mellitus

BACKGROUND

Screening for silent coronary artery disease in asymptomatic patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) is challenging and controversial. In this context, it seems crucial to identify early markers of coronary artery disease.

METHODS

The aim of this study was to investigate the incremental value of resting left ventricular (LV) global longitudinal strain (GLS) for the prediction of positive results on stress (exercise or dobutamine) transthoracic echocardiography in 273 consecutive asymptomatic high-risk patients with DM. Positive results on stress transthoracic echocardiography were defined as stress-induced LV wall motion abnormalities (new or worsening preexisting abnormalities).

RESULTS

Compared with patients with negative stress results, those with positive stress results (n = 28 [10%]) more frequently had cardiovascular risk factors, complications of DM, vascular disease, moderate and severe calcification of the aortic valve and mitral annulus, and worse resting LV GLS (-16.7 ± 2.9% vs -19.0 ± 1.9%, P < .001). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, DM duration > 10 years, diabetic retinopathy, LV hypertrophy, and impaired LV GLS (odds ratio, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.14-1.70] per percentage increase; odds ratio, 5.16 [95% CI, 1.96-13.59] for LV GLS worse than -18%) were independently associated with positive results on stress transthoracic echocardiography. The area under the curve to predict positive results was 0.74 for LV GLS with a cutoff of -18.0% (sensitivity 68%, specificity 78%). The area under the curve of the multivariable model to predict test results was improved by the addition of LV GLS (P < .001), with a bias-corrected area under the curve after bootstrapping of 0.842 [95% CI, 0.753-0.893].

CONCLUSIONS

The present findings show that resting LV GLS is associated with the presence of silent ischemia and could be useful to better identify asymptomatic patients with DM who might benefit from coronary artery disease screening.

An echocardiography-derived calcium score as a predictor of major adverse cardiovascular events in peritoneal dialysis patients-A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

An echocardiography-derived calcium score (ECS) has been shown to predict cardiovascular (CV) mortality in the general population but has not been utilized in the dialysis population.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study including 125 prevalent PD patients. Two blinded and independent echocardiographers determined the ECS for each subject at baseline. The primary outcome was the three-point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) which is a composite outcome comprising CV death, non-fatal myocardial infarction and non-fatal stroke. The secondary outcome was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

The mean age was 61 ± 13 years. The median follow-up duration was 40 months (range 1-50). Seventy six (60.8%) of the subjects had diabetes mellitus (DM). The median duration of dialysis was 32 (IQR 16-54) months. The incidences of MACE and all-cause mortality were 13.0 per 100 patient-years and 18.3 per 100 patient-years. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified the following three independent predictors of MACE: ECS (HR 1.253/unit increase in ECS, 95% CI 1.014-1.547, p = .036), DM (HR 2.467, 95% CI 1.014-6.005, p = .047) and pre-existing cardiovascular disease (CVD) (HR 2.441, 95% CI 1.261-4.728, p = .008); and the following two predictors of all-cause mortality: pre-existing CVD (HR 2.156, 95% CI 1.251-3.714, p = .006) and serum albumin (HR 0.887/g/L increase in serum albumin, 95% CI 0.839-0.937, p < .001).

CONCLUSION

The ECS appears to be a significant predictor of MACE in PD patients independently of DM and pre-existing CVD.

Risk factors associated with valvular calcification in patients with chronic kidney disease. Analysis of NEFRONA study

INTRODUCTION

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at high risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Subclinical cardiac structural alterations have prognostic value in these patients. The aim was to analyse the prevalence of valvular calcification, the evolution and the relationship with different risk factors.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Part of the sample of the NEFRONA study was randomly selected. Aortic and mitral valve calcification were analysed in echocardiograms performed at the baseline visit and at 24 months.

RESULTS

We included 397 patients, the estimated basal glomerular filtrate (eGFR) was 33 ml/min with significant decrease to 30.9 ml/min. There was an increase in the area of carotid and femoral plaque, as well as an increase in patients with aortic and mitral calcification at 24 months. A positive association of mitral calcification at 24 months with age, ankle-brachial index (ABI) and calcium-phosphorus product (CaxP) at baseline visit was observed, without association with eGFR. Aortic calcification at 24 months was positively associated with age, phosphorous and total carotid plaque area at baseline, with no relationship to eGFR.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant prevalence of valvular calcification was observed in patients with CKD without known cardiovascular disease.Two-year progression was observed independently of the eGFR. Patients with higher risk of mitral valve calcification were those with older age, higher ABI and CaxP product. Patients with a higher risk of aortic calcification were those with older age, higher phosphorous levels and larger area of carotid plaque. Identifying these higher risk patients would help to avoid future cardiovascular events intensifying follow-ups.

Correlation between echocardiographic calcium score and coronary artery lesion severity on invasive coronary angiography

OBJECTIVES

The direct correlation between Echocardiographic non-coronary calcium score (ECS) and lesion severity on invasive coronary angiography (ICA) is not reported. The aim of the present study was to find the correlation between ECS and Gensini score.

METHODS

One hundred seventy patients aged ≥18 years posted for clinically indicated ICA were included. All the patients underwent standard transthoracic echocardiography. ECS and Gensisni scores were calculated. The primary outcome measure was to find a correlation of ECS with Gensini score, whereas the secondary outcome measure was to correlate ECS with traditional risk factors for coronary artery disease. The Chi-square/Fisher exact test was used to compare qualitative variables. Spearman's correlation analysis was used for assessing the correlation between ECS score and the Gensini score. Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to detect the cut-off value of the ECS score.

RESULTS

The correlation of total ECS with Gensini score was positive and statistically significant (r = 0.550, p-value < 0.0001). As ECS increased, the Gensini score increased. ECS value of >1 detected CAD with 56.5% sensitivity, 79.5% specificity. Eight-nine percent of patients who had ECS >1, had Gensini score ≥18, whereas 44.3% of patients who had ECS ≤1, had Gensini score ≥18. The patients with ECS >1 had significantly higher Gensini scores than the patients with ECS ≤1.

CONCLUSIONS

The correlation of total ECS with Gensini score was positive and statistically significant.

Association of Global Cardiac Calcification with Atrial Fibrillation and Recurrent Stroke in Patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

BACKGROUND

Calcium deposits in the heart have been associated with cardiovascular events, mortality, stroke, and atrial fibrillation (AF). However, there is no accepted standard method for scoring cardiac calcifications. Existing methods have also not been validated for the assessment of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of various cardiac calcification scores with new-onset AF and stroke recurrence in a cohort of patients with ESUS.

METHODS

In this study, 181 consecutive patients with stroke diagnosed with ESUS were identified and evaluated. They were followed for new-onset AF and ischemic stroke recurrence for a median duration of 2.1 years. Various echocardiographic cardiac calcification scores were assessed on transthoracic echocardiography performed during the evaluation of ESUS and subsequently assessed for their relation to AF detection and recurrent stroke. The echocardiographic calcium scores assessed were the (1) global cardiac calcium score (GCCS), (2) echocardiographic calcium score (eCS), (3) echocardiographic calcification score, (4) echocardiographic composite cardiac calcium score, and (5) total heart calcification score. Only two of these scoring schemes, GCCS and eCS, quantified the cardiac calcium burden.

RESULTS

Higher calcium scores as measured by GCCS and eCS were found to be significantly associated with subsequent AF detection as well as recurrent ischemic stroke in patients with ESUS. The association with recurrent stroke remained significant even after adjustment for comorbidities and AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher cardiac calcification measured using the GCCS and eCS is independently associated with AF detection and recurrent ischemic stroke in patients with ESUS, and these scores can be useful markers for further risk stratification in patients with ESUS.

Cardiovascular Calcification as a Marker of Increased Cardiovascular Risk and a Surrogate for Subclinical Atherosclerosis: Role of Echocardiography

The risk prediction of future cardiovascular events is mainly based on conventional risk factor assessment by validated algorithms, such as the Framingham Risk Score, the Pooled Cohort Equations and the European SCORE Risk Charts. The identification of subclinical atherosclerosis has emerged as a promising tool to refine the individual cardiovascular risk identified by these models, to prognostic stratify asymptomatic individuals and to implement preventive strategies. Several imaging modalities have been proposed for the identification of subclinical organ damage, the main ones being coronary artery calcification scanning by cardiac computed tomography and the two-dimensional ultrasound evaluation of carotid arteries. In this context, echocardiography offers an assessment of cardiac calcifications at different sites, such as the mitral apparatus (including annulus, leaflets and papillary muscles), aortic valve and ascending aorta, findings that are associated with the clinical manifestation of atherosclerotic disease and are predictive of future cardiovascular events. The aim of this paper is to summarize the available evidence on clinical implications of cardiac calcification, review studies that propose semiquantitative ultrasound assessments of cardiac calcifications and evaluate the potential of ultrasound calcium scores for risk stratification and prevention of clinical events.

Heart valve calcification and cardiac hemodynamics

PURPOSE

Heart valve calcification (VC) is associated with increased cardiovascular risk, but the hemodynamic and functional profile of patients affected by VC has not been fully explored.

METHODS

The study population was formed by consecutive unselected patients included in seven echocardiographic laboratories in a 2-week period. A comprehensive echocardiographic examination was performed. VC was defined by the presence of calcification on at least one valve.

RESULTS

Population was formed of 1098 patients (mean age 65 ± 15 years; 47% female). VC was present in 31% of the overall population. Compared with subjects without VC, VC patients were older (60 ± 14 vs 75 ± 9; P < .0001), had more hypertension (40% vs 57%; P = .0005), diabetes (11% vs 18%; P = .002), coronary artery disease (22% vs 38%; P = .04), and chronic kidney disease (4% vs 8%; P = .007). Furthermore, VC patients had lower ejection fraction (55 ± 14 vs 53 ± 25; P < .0001), worse diastolic function (E/e' 8.5 ± 4.6 vs 13.0 ± 7.1; P < .0001) and higher pulmonary artery pressure (29 ± 9 vs 37 ± 12; P < .0001). The association between VC and EF was not independent of etiology (p for VC 0.13), whereas the association with E/e' and PASP was independent in a full multivariate model (P < .0001 and P = .0002, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Heart valve calcification patients were characterized by a worse functional and hemodynamic profile compared to patients with normal valve. The association between VC and diastolic function and PASP were independent in comprehensive multivariate models.

[Risk factors associated with valvular calcification in patients with chronic kidney disease. Analysis of NEFRONA Study]

INTRODUCTION

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at high risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Subclinical cardiac structural alterations have prognostic value in these patients. The aim was to analyse the prevalence of valvular calcification, the evolution and the relationship with different risk factors.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Part of the sample of the NEFRONA study was randomly selected. Aortic and mitral valve calcification were analysed in echocardiograms performed at the baseline visit and at 24 months.

RESULTS

We included 397 patients, the estimated basal glomerular filtrate (eGFR) was 33ml/min with significant decrease to 30.9ml/min. There was an increase in the area of carotid and femoral plaque, as well as an increase in patients with aortic and mitral calcification at 24 months. A positive association of mitral calcification at 24 months with age, ankle-brachial index (ABI) and calcium-phosphorus product (CaxP) at baseline visit was observed, without association with eGFR. Aortic calcification at 24 months was positively associated with age, phosphorous and total carotid plaque area at baseline, with no relationship to eGFR.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant prevalence of valvular calcification was observed in patients with CKD without known cardiovascular disease.Two-year progression was observed independently of the eGFR. Patients with higher risk of mitral valve calcification were those with older age, higher ABI and CaxP product. Patients with a higher risk of aortic calcification were those with older age, higher phosphorous levels and larger area of carotid plaque. Identifying these higher risk patients would help to avoid future cardiovascular events intensifying follow-ups.

Validity of visual assessment of aortic valve morphology in patients with aortic stenosis using two-dimensional echocardiography

The diagnostic value of a visual assessment of aortic valve (AV) morphology for grading aortic stenosis (AS) remains unclear. A visual score (VS) for assessing the AV was developed and its reliability with respect to Doppler measurements and the calcium score (ctCS) derived by multislice computed tomography was evaluated. 99 Patients with AS of various severity and 38 patients without AS were included in the analysis. Echocardiographic studies were evaluated using the new VS which includes echogenicity, thickening, localization of lesions and leaflet mobility, with a total score ranging from 0 to 11. The association of VS with ctCS and the severity of AS was analyzed. There was a significant correlation of VS with AV hemodynamic parameters and with ctCS. The cut-off value for the detection of AS of any grade was a VS of 6 (sensitivity 95%, specificity 85% for women; sensitivity 85%, specificity 88% for men). A VS of 9 for women and of 10 for men was able to predict severe AS with a high specificity (96% in women and 94% in men, AUC 0.8 and 0.86, respectively). The same cut-off values were identified for the detection of ctCS of ≥ 1600 AU and ≥ 3000 AU with a specificity of 77% and 82% (AUC 0.69 and 0.81, respectively). Assessment of aortic valve morphology can serve as an additional diagnostic tool for the detection of AS and an estimation of its severity.

Visually assessed coronary and cardiac calcium outperforms perfusion data during scintigraphy in the prediction of adverse outcomes

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether calcifications of the coronary arteries (coronary artery calcium 0 to 4 score), or extending the assessment also to cardiac valves and thoracic aorta (overall calcium 0 to 8 score), as seen on computed tomography for attenuation correction during stress-scintigraphy (SPECT-CT), are associated with total mortality and non-fatal myocardial infarction. We aimed to assess whether these calcifications added to the prognostic value of SPECT imaging.

BACKGROUND

The presence/amount of calcium in the coronary arteries, but also in the heart valves and aorta, has been associated with cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality. This information can be obtained during SPECT-CT examinations, where low resolution CT images are co-registered for attenuation correction of myocardial perfusion, but then discarded.

METHODS

Clinical data were collected on 353 consecutive patients submitted to stress SPECT-CT between Sept 2010 and Oct 2012, for suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). Follow-up data on outcomes were collected retrospectively.

RESULTS

Mean age was 72 and 58% were male. Mean follow-up was 6.4 years, during which 48 subjects died (15 from CV causes) and 10 had non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI). Reversible perfusion defects were detected in 55 patients (15.6%), 39 of whom (11%) had >mild defects. The presence of a calcium score > 1 in the attenuation correction images was the strongest univariate predictor of all-cause death or MI (hazard ratio 7.21, p < .001). On multivariate analysis, controlling for age, gender and myocardial perfusion defects an overall calcium score > 2 remained a predictor of all-cause death or non-fatal MI (hazard ratio 4.12, p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Visual assessment of coronary or overall coronary, cardiac and aortic calcium in the CT images used for attenuation correction during SPECT-CT is feasible and reproducible. It was strongly associated with all-cause death and MI, even after controlling for clinical variables and myocardial perfusion data. This simple visual calcium assessment does not add additional costs or radiation, and may significantly improve risk-assessment of patients with suspected CAD undergoing SPECT-CT.

CONDENSED ABSTRACT

Calcium in the coronary arteries, heart valves and aorta has been associated with worse prognosis. We sought to determine whether assessment of such calcifications on computed tomography images (co-registered for myocardial perfusion attenuation correction and then discarded) are independently associated with long-term outcome on top of available data. We enrolled 353 consecutive patients, referred for suspected coronary artery disease. An overall calcium score > 1 in the attenuation correction images was the strongest univariate (hazard ratio 7.21, p < .001) and multivariate predictor of all-cause death or non-fatal MI (hazard ratio 4.12, p < .001), even after controlling for clinical variables and myocardial perfusion data.

Multifocal cardiovascular calcification in patients with established cardiovascular disease; prevalence, risk factors, and relation with recurrent cardiovascular disease

Aims

The aim is to investigate (multifocal) cardiovascular calcification in patients with established cardiovascular disease (CVD), regarding prevalence, risk factors, and relation with recurrent CVD or vascular interventions. Coronary artery calcification (CAC), thoracic aortic calcification (TAC) (including ascending aorta, aortic arch, descending aorta), mitral annular calcification (MAC), and aortic valve calcification (AVC) are studied.

Methods

The study concerned 568 patients with established CVD enrolled in the ORACLE cohort. All patients underwent computed tomography. Prevalence of site-specific and multifocal calcification was determined. Ordinal regression analyses were performed to quantify associations of risk factors with cardiovascular calcification, and Cox regression analyses to determine the relation between calcium scores and recurrent CVD or vascular interventions.

Results

Calcification was multifocal in 76% (N = 380) of patients with calcification. Age (per SD) was associated with calcification at all locations (lowest OR 2.17; 99%CI 1.54–3.11 for ascending aorta calcification). Diabetes mellitus and systolic blood pressure were associated with TAC, whereas male sex was a determinant of CAC. TAC and CAC were related to the combined endpoint CVD or vascular intervention (N = 68). In a model with all calcium scores combined, only CAC was related to the combined outcome (HR 1.39; 95%CI 1.15–1.68).

Conclusion

Cardiovascular calcification is generally multifocal in patients with established CVD. Differences in associations between risk factors and calcification at various anatomical locations stress the divergence in pathophysiological pathways. CAC is most strongly related to recurrent CVD or vascular interventions independent of traditional risk factors, and independent of heart valve and thoracic aorta calcification.

Thoracic Aortic Calcification: Diagnostic, Prognostic, and Management Considerations

Thoracic aortic calcification (TAC) is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes, and for the cardiovascular imager, is predominantly encountered in 4 settings: 1) incidentally, for example, during a coronary artery calcium scan; 2) as part of dedicated screening; 3) in the evaluation of an embolic event; or 4) in procedural planning. This review focuses on TAC in these contexts. Within atherosclerosis, TAC is common, variable in extent, and begins in the intima with a patchy distribution. In metabolic disorders, aortitis, and radiation-associated cardiovascular disease, calcification preferentially involves the media and is often more concentric. As an incidental finding, atherosclerotic TAC provides limited incremental discriminative value, and current data do not support screening. After an embolic event, the demonstration of thoracic atheroma provides diagnostic clarity, but has limited treatment implications. Before any procedure, the plan often changes if the most severe form of TAC, a porcelain aorta, is discovered.

Stress Echocardiography: Need to Optimize its Appropriate Use in Suspected Angina and a Review of Available Additional Tools for its Clinical Application in 2018: First do no Harm! Second do it at the Highest Possible Accuracy

There is a need to reassess the most appropriate indications for stress echocardiography in the current era, in patients with suspect or known coronary artery disease (CAD), and also the most helpful additional parameters that can be easily calculated in clinical practice to increase the known suboptimal sensitivity for obstructive CAD of this test. The current review tries to clarify what is and what should be the proper role for functional testing in general, but specifically regarding modern stress echocardiography in the current practice, for suspected CAD and/or atypical chest pain. Few candidate additional parameters beyond wall motion assessment are here suggested to improve diagnostic accuracy of stress echocardiography, and pertinent literature is briefly reviewed, together with a more personal view of the author regarding the characteristics of each parameter, as far as ease of acquisition, cost, and true diagnostic or prognostic clinical usefulness are concerned. The reviewed additional parameters, which can be acquired during stress echocardiography, are Doppler coronary flow reserve in the left anterior descending artery, cardiac calcium score, global longitudinal strain, ventricular elastance, and contrast myocardial perfusion. Each of them finds a potential place in the current practice or may find a place in the future practice of stress echocardiography.

Echocardiographic calcification score in patients with low/intermediate cardiovascular risk

PURPOSE

Calcification of aortic valve and mitral annulus is associated with cardiovascular risk factors, morbidity and mortality. Assessment of cardiac calcification with echocardiography is feasible, however, only few structured scoring systems have been established so far with limited prognostic data. This study aimed to evaluate an echocardiographic calcification score (echo-CCS) in patients with low/intermediate cardiovascular risk.

METHODS

Digitally stored echocardiography studies of 151 patients (median age 64, 49.7% male) from February 2008 to December 2009 were retrospectively reviewed for calcifications of the aortic valve, aortic root, mitral annulus, papillary muscles and ventricular septum. A calcification score ranging from 0 to 5 was assigned to every patient and its relation to computed tomography calcium score, coronary stenosis and ESC SCORE was assessed. Follow-up data were collected from 149 patients (98.7%) with a median of 6.2 years. Logistic regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis were performed to assess the association of the echo-CCS with significant coronary artery disease (≥ 50% stenosis) and risk for cardiac events and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

An association of the echo-CCS with the ESC SCORE (ρ = 0.5; p < 0.001) and a good correlation of the echo-CCS with the Agatston score (ρ = 0.73; p < 0.001) can be observed. Univariate regressions revealed that echo-CCS is a significant predictor for cardiac events [OR = 5.1 (CI: 1.7-15.0); p = 0.003], coronary intervention [OR = 2.8 (CI: 1.3-5.7); p = 0.006], hospitalisation for cardiac symptoms [OR = 2.0 (CI: 1.2-3.4); p = 0.007], all-cause mortality [OR = 2.6 (CI: 1.3-5.5); p = 0.01] and significant CAD [OR = 3.2 (CI: 1.9-5.4); p < 0.001].

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated the prevalence of an easily obtainable, radiation-free calcification score in patients with low/intermediate cardiovascular risk. The strong association with CT-calcium scoring may evoke its potential as an alternative method in CV risk assessment.

Relation of an Echocardiographic-Based Cardiac Calcium Score to Mitral Stenosis Severity and Coronary Artery Disease in Patients with Severe Aortic Stenosis

Patients with calcific aortic stenosis (AS) often have diffuse cardiac calcification involving the mitral valve apparatus and coronary arteries. We examined the association between global cardiac calcification quantified by a previously validated echocardiographic calcium score (eCS) with the severity of mitral stenosis (MS) and coronary artery disease (CAD) in patients with a clinical diagnosis of severe calcific AS. In this sample of 147 patients (mean age 81 ± 9 years, 50% male), 81 patients (55%) were determined by echocardiography to have some degree of MS. Higher mean eCS was observed in patients with more severe MS (r = 0.54, p < 0.0001). Higher eCS was also inversely associated with mitral valve area (r = -0.31, p = 0.001) and positively associated with mitral valve mean pressure gradient (r = 0.46, p < 0.0001) and mitral valve peak flow velocity (r = 0.55, p < 0.0001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for using eCS to predict the presence of MS was 0.76. An eCS ≥ 8 predicted MS with a sensitivity of 68%, specificity of 76%, positive predictive value of 77%, and negative predictive value of 66%. High eCS, relative to low eCS, was associated with 2.70 times the adjusted odds of CAD (odds ratio = 2.70, 95% confidence interval 1.02 to 7.17). In conclusion, global cardiac calcification is associated with MS and CAD in patients with severe calcific AS, and eCS shows ability to predict the presence of MS. This study suggests that a simple eCS may be used as part of a risk-stratification tool in patients with severe calcific aortic valve stenosis.

ECG-derived spatial QRS-T angle is associated with ICD implantation, mortality and heart failure admissions in patients with LV systolic dysfunction

Background

Increased spatial QRS-T angle has been shown to predict appropriate implantable cardioverter defibrilIator (ICD) therapy in patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD). We performed a retrospective cohort study in patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 31–40% to assess the relationship between the spatial QRS-T angle and other advanced ECG (A-ECG) as well as echocardiographic metadata, with all-cause mortality or ICD implantation for secondary prevention.

Methods

534 patients ≤75 years of age with LVEF 31–40% were identified through an echocardiography reporting database. Digital 12-lead ECGs were retrospectively matched to 295 of these patients, for whom echocardiographic and A-ECG metadata were then generated. Data mining was applied to discover novel ECG and echocardiographic markers of risk. Machine learning was used to develop a model to predict possible outcomes.

Results

49 patients (17%) had events, defined as either mortality (n = 16) or ICD implantation for secondary prevention (n = 33). 72 parameters (58 A-ECG, 14 echocardiographic) were univariately different (p<0.05) in those with vs. without events. After adjustment for multiplicity, 24 A-ECG parameters and 3 echocardiographic parameters remained different (p<2x10^-3). These included the posterior-to-leftward QRS loop ratio from the derived vectorcardiographic horizontal plane (previously associated with pulmonary artery pressure, p = 2x10^-6); spatial mean QRS-T angle (134 vs. 112°, p = 1.6x10^-4); various repolarisation vectors; and a previously described 5-parameter A-ECG score for LVSD (p = 4x10^-6) that also correlated with echocardiographic global longitudinal strain (R² = - 0.51, P < 0.0001). A spatial QRS-T angle >110° had an adjusted HR of 3.4 (95% CI 1.6 to 7.4) for secondary ICD implantation or all-cause death and adjusted HR of 4.1 (95% CI 1.2 to 13.9) for future heart failure admission. There was a loss of complexity between A-ECG and echocardiographic variables with an increasing degree of disease.

Conclusion

Spatial QRS-T angle >110° was strongly associated with arrhythmic events and all-cause death. Deep analysis of global ECG and echocardiographic metadata revealed underlying relationships, which otherwise would not have been appreciated. Delivered at scale such techniques may prove useful in clinical decision making in the future.

Clinical profile and outcome of patients with rheumatoid arthritis and abnormally high aortic stiffness

OBJECTIVES

Ascending aorta has an increased stiffness (AoSI) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients due to their chronic inflammatory status. We assessed prevalence and factors associated with increased AoSI and its prognostic role in a large cohort of RA patients.

METHODS

We prospectively analysed 226 RA patients without overt cardiac disease compared with 226 non-RA patients matched for cardiovascular risk factors (non-RA controls). Abnormally high AoSI was diagnosed if AoSI > 6.07% (95th percentile of the AoSI detected in our reference healthy population). AoSI was assessed at the level of the aortic root by two-dimensional guided M-mode evaluation as part of a thorough echocardiography performed in all patients.

RESULTS

AoSI was significantly higher in the RA patients than non-RA controls (6.3 ± 4.5% vs. 4.6 ± 3.5%, p < 0.001); it was related to older age, higher systolic blood pressure and RA disease. Predictors of AoSI in RA patients were older age, higher systolic blood pressure and the non-prescription of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug and/or immunomodulatory/anti-cytotoxic agents. Abnormally high AoSI was diagnosed in 41% RA patients and 21% non-RA controls (p < 0.001). The RA phenotype with abnormally high AoSI was a > 60 years old subject with systolic blood pressure > 129 mmHg, mitral annular calcification who was not receiving non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug. By multivariate Cox regression analysis abnormally high AoSI independently predicted death or all-cause hospitalization (hazard ratio 2.85 (95% confidence interval 1.03-7.85)) at 12-month follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased AoSI is common, can be predicted by an ordinary clinical assessment and is a strong predictor of adverse clinical outcome at mid-term follow-up in patients with RA.

Differential incremental value of ultrasound carotid intima-media thickness, carotid plaque, and cardiac calcium to predict angiographic coronary artery disease across Framingham risk score strata in the APRES multicentre study

AIMS

According to recent data, more accurate selection of patients undergoing coronary angiography for suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) is needed. From the Active PREvention Study multicentre prospective study, we further analyse whether carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT), carotid plaques (cPL), and echocardiographic cardiac calcium score (eCS) have incremental discriminatory and reclassification predictive value for CAD over clinical risk score in subjects undergoing coronary angiography, specifically depending on their low, intermediate, or high class of clinical risk.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In eight centres, 445 subjects without history of prior CAD but with chest pain of recent onset and/or a positive/inconclusive stress test for ischaemia prospectively underwent clinically indicated elective coronary angiography after cardiac and carotid ultrasound assessments with measurements of cIMT, cPL, and eCS. The study population was divided into subjects at low (10%), intermediate (10-20%), and high (>20%) Framingham risk score (FRS). Ultrasound parameters were tested for their incremental value to predict CAD over FRS, in each pre-test risk category. No significant difference could be appreciated between the discrimination value of FRS and Diagnostic Imaging for Coronary Artery Disease score for the presence of CAD. eCS or cPL demonstrated significant incremental prediction over FRS, consistently in the three FRS categories (P < 0.01); this applied to both discrimination and reclassification, with the exception of high-risk subjects, in whom cPL was apparently not incremental over FRS, and eCS was only of borderline significance for better discrimination.

CONCLUSIONS

Ultrasound eCS and cPL assessments were significant predictors of angiographic CAD in patients without prior CAD but with signs or symptoms suspect for CAD, independently and incrementally to FRS, across all pre-test risk probability strata, although in high-risk subjects, only eCS maintained an incremental value. The use of cIMT was not significantly incrementally useful in any FRS risk category.

Risk Factors for Progression of Degenerative Aortic Valve Disease in the Japanese- The Japanese Aortic Stenosis Study (JASS) Prospective Analysis

BACKGROUND

Because of ethnic difference in the risk of degenerative aortic valve disease (DAVD), risk factors should be clarified in each race to establish prophylactic strategies for severe aortic valve stenosis (AS).

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study prospectively followed 359 Japanese subjects with DAVD and age ≥50 years for 3 years. As both patients with peak aortic transvalvular flow velocity ≥2 m/s and <2 m/s were enrolled, subgroup analysis was also conducted. Most patients were under treatment for their comorbidities. The use of warfarin, but none of the traditional risk factors for atherosclerosis, was related to greater reduction in aortic valve area indexed to body surface area (iAVA). In patients with peak aortic transvalvular flow velocity <2 m/s, the use of an angiotensin-receptor blocker (ARB) was associated with less decrease in iAVA. In patients with peak velocity ≥2 m/s, changes in iAVA were not related to any baseline characteristics, but peak velocity was less increased under treatment with an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI).

CONCLUSIONS

In Japanese, the use of warfarin may exacerbate DAVD, and augmented management of atherosclerotic risk factors beyond the recommendations in the current guidelines is unlikely to exert additional benefit. The prescription of ARB for DAVD patients before the development of AS or ACEI after the development of AS may be useful.