Association between timing of intubation and clinical outcomes of critically ill patients: A meta-analysis

Association between measures of resuscitation in the critical care resuscitation unit and in-hospital mortality among patients with sepsis

Objectives

We hypothesized that lactate clearance and reduction of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score during patients' critical care resuscitation unit (CCRU) stay would be associated with lower in-hospital mortality.

Methods

This was a retrospective study of adult patients who had sepsis diagnoses and were admitted to the CCRU in 2018. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association of clinical factors, lactate clearance, and SOFA reduction with hospital mortality.

Results

A total of 401 patients with lactate clearance data and 455 patients with SOFA score data were included in the study. The mean (SD) lactate and SOFA score on admission were 2.2 (1.8) mmol/L and 4.4 (4.3), respectively. Average lactate clearance was 0.1 (2.6) mmol/L, and average SOFA score reduction was 0.65 (5.9). Patients with a one point reduction in SOFA score during their CCRU stay had a 31% reduction of mortality (odds ratio [OR] 0.69, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.62-0.77, p < 0.001). SOFA score reduction was associated with lower hospital mortality for both surgical patients (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.58-0.81, p < 0.001) and non-surgical patients (OR 0.71 95% CI 0.06-0.83, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

SOFA score reduction, but not lactate clearance during the CCRU stay, was associated with lower odds of in-hospital mortality. These findings suggest that resuscitative efforts leading to an early improvement in SOFA score may benefit patients with sepsis.

Effect of timing of intubation on clinical outcomes of patients with septic shock: a retrospective cohort study

Evidence-based data regarding the timing of the application of invasive mechanical ventilation among adults with septic shock is insufficient. The guidelines fail to provide clear advice about the optimal time to initiate this support. Consequently, we aimed to investigate whether early intubation could improve survival rates in septic shock patients. We conducted a retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-IV database to evaluate the effectiveness of early intubation on mortality in a cohort of septic shock patients. Adults diagnosed with septic shock, according to the Sepsis-3 definition, were included. They were categorized into an early intubation group (first 8 h after vasopressor initiation) and a non-early intubation group (unexposed). A propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was used to balance the baseline characteristics between the two groups. The primary outcomes were 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality rates. In addition, we employed the restricted cubic spline to analyze the potential non-linear relationship between the timing of intubation and 30-day or 90-day all-cause mortality. A total of 6864 adult patients, of whom 2048 were intubated in the first 8 h, were evaluated in the final cohort. Following a 1:1 PSM procedure, 2786 patients were successfully paired. At 30 days, 288 of 1393 patients (20.7%) in the early intubation group and 381 of 1393 patients (27.4%) in the non-early intubation group had died (hazard ratio [HR] 0.717; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.616-0.836; p < 0.001). Similarly, the results also showed that early intubation was associated with a lower 90 day all-cause mortality rate (HR 0.761; 95% CI 0.663-0.874; p < 0.001). Furthermore, ICU and hospital lengths of stay were significantly different between the groups (3.6 [1.9, 7.1] vs. 2.3 [1.3, 4.3]; p < 0.001 and 8.9 [5.4, 15.1] vs. 7.2 [4.5, 12.0]; p < 0.001). In the subgroup analysis, we further confirmed the robustness of our findings. Additionally, we found that the timing of intubation is inversely U-shaped correlated to the 30 day all-cause mortality rate. Among adult patients with septic shock, the early initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation could improve clinical outcomes. The timing of intubation demonstrated an inverse U-shaped association with the 30 day all-cause mortality rate, with the peak risk of death occurring at 50.5 h after septic shock.

Impact of the timing of invasive mechanical ventilation in patients with sepsis: a multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

The potential adverse effects associated with invasive mechanical ventilation (MV) can lead to delayed decisions on starting MV. We aimed to explore the association between the timing of MV and the clinical outcomes in patients with sepsis ventilated in intensive care unit (ICU).

METHODS

We analyzed data of adult patients with sepsis between September 2019 and December 2021. Data was collected through the Korean Sepsis Alliance from 20 hospitals in Korea. Patients who were admitted to ICU and received MV were included in the study. Patients were divided into 'early MV' and 'delayed MV' groups based on whether they were on MV on the first day of ICU admission or later. Propensity score matching was applied, and patients in the two groups were compared on a 1:1 ratio to overcome bias between the groups. Outcomes including ICU mortality, hospital mortality, length of hospital and ICU stay, and organ failure at ICU discharge were compared.

RESULTS

Out of 2440 patients on MV during ICU stay, 2119 'early MV' and 321 'delayed MV' cases were analyzed. The propensity score matching identified 295 patients in each group with similar baseline characteristics. ICU mortality was lower in 'early MV' group than 'delayed MV' group (36.3% vs. 46.4%; odds ratio, 0.66; 95% confidence interval, 0.47-0.93; p = 0.015). 'Early MV' group had lower in-hospital mortality, shorter ICU stay, and required tracheostomy less frequently than 'delayed MV' group. Multivariable logistic regression model identified 'early MV' as associated with lower ICU mortality (odds ratio, 0.38; 95% confidence interval, 0.29-0.50; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In patients with sepsis ventilated in ICU, earlier start (first day of ICU admission) of MV may be associated with lower mortality.

Oxygen therapy in acute hypoxemic respiratory failure: guidelines from the SRLF-SFMU consensus conference

INTRODUCTION

Although largely used, the place of oxygen therapy and its devices in patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (ARF) deserves to be clarified. The French Intensive Care Society (Société de Réanimation de Langue Française, SRLF) and the French Emergency Medicine Society (Société Française de Médecine d'Urgence, SFMU) organized a consensus conference on oxygen therapy in ARF (excluding acute cardiogenic pulmonary oedema and hypercapnic exacerbation of chronic obstructive diseases) in December 2023.

METHODS

A committee without any conflict of interest (CoI) with the subject defined 7 generic questions and drew up a list of sub questions according to the population, intervention, comparison and outcomes (PICO) model. An independent work group reviewed the literature using predefined keywords. The quality of the data was assessed using the GRADE methodology. Fifteen experts in the field from both societies proposed their own answers in a public session and answered questions from the jury (a panel of 16 critical-care and emergency medicine physicians, nurses and physiotherapists without any CoI) and the public. The jury then met alone for 48 h to write its recommendations.

RESULTS

The jury provided 22 statements answering 11 questions: in patients with ARF (1) What are the criteria for initiating oxygen therapy? (2) What are the targets of oxygen saturation? (3) What is the role of blood gas analysis? (4) When should an arterial catheter be inserted? (5) Should standard oxygen therapy, high-flow nasal cannula oxygen therapy (HFNC) or continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) be preferred? (6) What are the indications for non-invasive ventilation (NIV)? (7) What are the indications for invasive mechanical ventilation? (8) Should awake prone position be used? (9) What is the role of physiotherapy? (10) Which criteria necessarily lead to ICU admission? (11) Which oxygenation device should be preferred for patients for whom a do-not-intubate decision has been made?

CONCLUSION

These recommendations should optimize the use of oxygen during ARF.

Predicting time-to-intubation after critical care admission using machine learning and cured fraction information

Intubation for mechanical ventilation (MV) is one of the most common high-risk procedures performed in Intensive Care Units (ICUs). Early prediction of intubation may have a positive impact by providing timely alerts to clinicians and consequently avoiding high-risk late intubations. In this work, we propose a new machine learning method to predict the time to intubation during the first five days of ICU admission, based on the concept of cure survival models. Our approach combines classification and survival analysis, to effectively accommodate the fraction of patients not at risk of intubation, and provide a better estimate of time to intubation, for patients at risk. We tested our approach and compared it to other predictive models on a dataset collected from a secondary care hospital (AZ Groeninge, Kortrijk, Belgium) from 2015 to 2021, consisting of 3425 ICU stays. Furthermore, we utilised SHAP for feature importance analysis, extracting key insights into the relative significance of variables such as vital signs, blood gases, and patient characteristics in predicting intubation in ICU settings. The results corroborate that our approach improves the prediction of time to intubation in critically ill patients, by using routinely collected data within the first hours of admission in the ICU. Early warning of the need for intubation may be used to help clinicians predict the risk of intubation and rank patients according to their expected time to intubation.

Emulating Target Trials Comparing Early and Delayed Intubation Strategies

BACKGROUND

Whether intubation should be initiated early in the clinical course of critically ill patients remains a matter of debate. Results from prior observational studies are difficult to interpret because of avoidable flaws including immortal time bias, inappropriate eligibility criteria, and unrealistic treatment strategies.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Do treatment strategies that intubate patients early in the critical care admission improve 30-day survival compared with strategies that delay intubation?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

We estimated the effect of strategies that require early intubation of critically ill patients compared with those that delay intubation. With data extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database, we emulated three target trials, varying the flexibility of the treatment strategies and the baseline eligibility criteria.

RESULTS

Under unrealistically strict treatment strategies with broad eligibility criteria, the 30-day mortality risk was 7.1 percentage points higher for intubating early compared with delaying intubation (95% CI, 6.2-7.9). Risk differences were 0.4 (95% CI, -0.1 to 0.9) and -0.9 (95% CI, -2.5 to 0.7) percentage points in subsequent target trial emulations that included more realistic treatment strategies and eligibility criteria.

INTERPRETATION

When realistic treatment strategies and eligibility criteria are used, strategies that delay intubation result in similar 30-day mortality risks compared with those that intubate early. Delaying intubation ultimately avoids intubation in most patients.

Timing of invasive mechanical ventilation and death in critically ill adults with COVID-19: A multicenter cohort study

PURPOSE

To investigate if the timing of initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) for critically ill patients with COVID-19 is associated with mortality.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The data for this study were derived from a multicenter cohort study of critically ill adults with COVID-19 admitted to ICUs at 68 hospitals across the US from March 1 to July 1, 2020. We examined the association between early (ICU days 1-2) versus late (ICU days 3-7) initiation of IMV and time-to-death. Patients were followed until the first of hospital discharge, death, or 90 days. We adjusted for confounding using a multivariable Cox model.

RESULTS

Among the 1879 patients included in this analysis (1199 male [63.8%]; median age, 63 [IQR, 53-72] years), 1526 (81.2%) initiated IMV early and 353 (18.8%) initiated IMV late. A total of 644 of the 1526 patients (42.2%) in the early IMV group died, and 180 of the 353 (51.0%) in the late IMV group died (adjusted HR 0.77 [95% CI, 0.65-0.93]).

CONCLUSIONS

In critically ill adults with respiratory failure from COVID-19, early compared to late initiation of IMV is associated with reduced mortality.

Intensive Care Unit versus High-dependency Care Unit for COVID-19 Patients with Invasive Mechanical Ventilation

Rationale: High-dependency care units (HDUs), also termed "intermediate care units", "step-down units", or "respiratory HDUs", are areas in which degrees of patient care and costs are between those of the intensive care unit (ICU) and the general ward. In general, patients requiring mechanical ventilation are treated in the ICU rather than in the HDU, except for the use of HDU beds as surge capacity beds during a massive strain; however, the HDU, as well as ICU, are used as the standard care units for mechanically ventilated patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan. Objectives: To assess the outcomes of patients with COVID-19 with invasive mechanical ventilation treated in the HDU versus those treated in the ICU. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we used a multicenter inpatient database in Japan to identify mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19 in the ICU or HDU on the start day of invasive mechanical ventilation from February 10, 2020, to November 30, 2021. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality within 30 days from the start of the first invasive mechanical ventilation. Propensity score matching was performed to compare the outcomes of patients treated in the ICU with those treated in the HDU. Results: Of 1,985 eligible patients with COVID-19 with invasive mechanical ventilation, 1,303 (66%) were treated in the ICU, and 682 (34%) were treated in the HDU on the start day of invasive mechanical ventilation. After propensity score matching, patients treated in the ICU had significantly lower in-hospital mortality within 30 days than those treated in the HDU (18.3% vs. 24.2%; risk difference, -5.8%; 95% confidence interval, -10.9% to -0.8%). Conclusions: This multicenter observational study in Japan suggests that care for mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19 in the ICU may significantly reduce in-hospital mortality within 30 days compared with care in the HDU. Establishing a critical care system that would allow patients with COVID-19 requiring ventilators to be treated in the ICU is desirable. Because this study was an observational study, our finding represents an association, not causation. Further studies of different critical care systems are warranted to confirm our findings.