Is the rate of virological failure to cART continuing to decline in recent calendar years?

Unexpected CD4 decay, hidden adherence gaps, resilience, and the need for long-acting therapy in a single HIV outpatients' cohort

This single-centre, single-cohort study examines hidden non-adherence to antiretroviral therapy in a setting of persistent optimal viral suppression but concordant absolute and percent CD4 decay by >10% from the previous test. After the finding of important drug holidays in two virologically suppressed patients, between January 2021 and January 2022 all PLWH who fulfilled CD4 decay criteria were asked for how long therapy was interrupted, how many days before re-testing CD4 and HIV RNA was it resumed and the reason for interruption. Of 668 HIV-infected subjects, 61 fulfilled the pre-specified criteria for significant CD4 decay and 15 (2.25% of the total, 25% of the CD4 decay group) admitted long-lasting treatment interruptions, compensated by treatment resumption before the subsequent testing. Eleven treatment interruptions exceeded 28 days, and none was shorter than 15 days. CD4 recovery was worse at 6 months in non-adherent subjects (-0.5 vs + 16/mmc, p < 0.0001) and in non adherence vs immune decay time-related with COVID-19 (0 vs + 22/mmc, p < 0.0001). Reasons for interrupting treatment were travel, psychological, poverty-related, addiction and sentimental sphere problems. Long-acting regimens, with stringent control of precision in timely administration, may protect PLWH from damaging their health status and possibly transmit HIV.

Difficult-to-treat HIV in Sweden: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Our aim was to examine the prevalence and characteristics of difficult-to-treat HIV in the current Swedish HIV cohort and to compare treatment outcomes between people with difficult and non-difficult-to-treat HIV.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional analysis of the Swedish HIV cohort, we identified all people with HIV currently in active care in 2023 from the national register InfCareHIV. We defined five categories of difficult-to-treat HIV: 1) advanced resistance, 2) four-drug regimen, 3) salvage therapy, 4) virologic failure within the past 12 months, and 5) ≥ 2 regimen switches following virologic failure since 2008. People classified as having difficult-to-treat HIV were compared with non-difficult for background characteristics as well as treatment outcomes (viral suppression and self-reported physical and psychological health).

RESULTS

Nine percent of the Swedish HIV cohort in 2023 (n = 8531) met at least one criterion for difficult-to-treat HIV. Most of them had ≥ 2 regimen switches (6%), and the other categories of difficult-to-treat HIV were rare (1-2% of the entire cohort). Compared with non-difficult, people with difficult-to-treat HIV were older, had an earlier first year of positive HIV test and lower CD4 counts, and were more often female. The viral suppression rate among people with difficult-to-treat HIV was 84% compared with 95% for non-difficult (p = 0.001). People with difficult-to-treat HIV reported worse physical (but not psychological) health, and this remained statistically significant after adjustment for age, sex, and transmission group.

CONCLUSIONS

Although 9% of the HIV cohort in Sweden in 2023 were classified as having difficult-to-treat HIV, a large proportion of these were virally suppressed, and challenges such as advanced resistance and need for salvage therapy are rare in the current Swedish cohort.

Characterization and outcomes of difficult-to-treat patients starting modern first-line ART regimens: Data from the ICONA cohort

OBJECTIVES

Treatment failures to modern antiretroviral therapy (ART) raise concerns, as they could reduce future options. Evaluations of occurrence of multiple failures to modern ART are missing and their significance in the long run is unclear.

METHODS

People with HIV (PWH) in the ICONA cohort who started a modern first-line ART were defined as 'difficult to treat' (DTT) if they experienced ≥1 among: i) ≥2 VF (2 viral loads, VL>200 copies/mL or 1 VL>1000 copies/mL) with or without ART change; ii) ≥2 treatment discontinuations (TD) due to toxicity/intolerance/failure; iii) ≥1 VF followed by ART change plus ≥1 TD due to toxicity/intolerance/failure. A subgroup of the DTT participants were matched to PWH that, after the same time, were non-DTT. Treatment response, analysing VF, TD, treatment failure, AIDS/death, and SNAE (Serious non-AIDS event)/death, were compared. Survival analysis by KM curves and Cox regression models were employed.

RESULTS

Among 8061 PWH, 320 (4%) became DTT. Estimates of becoming DTT was 6.5% (95% CI: 5.8-7.4%) by 6 years. DTT PWH were significantly older, with a higher prevalence of AIDS and lower CD4+ at nadir than the non-DTT. In the prospective analysis, DTT demonstrated a higher unadjusted risk for all the outcomes. Once controlled for confounders, significant associations were confirmed for VF (aHR 2.23, 1.33-3.73), treatment failure (aHR 1.70, 1.03-2.78), and SNAE/death (aHR 2.79, 1.18-6.61).

CONCLUSION

A total of 6.5% of PWH satisfied our definition of DTT by 6 years from ART starting. This appears to be a more fragile group who may have higher risk of failure.

Cohort Profile: A European Multidisciplinary Network for the Fight against HIV Drug Resistance (EuResist Network)

The EuResist cohort was established in 2006 with the purpose of developing a clinical decision-support tool predicting the most effective antiretroviral therapy (ART) for persons living with HIV (PLWH), based on their clinical and virological data. Further to continuous extensive data collection from several European countries, the EuResist cohort later widened its activity to the more general area of antiretroviral treatment resistance with a focus on virus evolution. The EuResist cohort has retrospectively enrolled PLWH, both treatment-naïve and treatment-experienced, under clinical follow-up from 1998, in nine national cohorts across Europe and beyond, and this article is an overview of its achievement. A clinically oriented treatment-response prediction system was released and made available online in 2008. Clinical and virological data have been collected from more than one hundred thousand PLWH, allowing for a number of studies on the response to treatment, selection and spread of resistance-associated mutations and the circulation of viral subtypes. Drawing from its interdisciplinary vocation, EuResist will continue to investigate clinical response to antiretroviral treatment against HIV and monitor the development and circulation of HIV drug resistance in clinical settings, along with the development of novel drugs and the introduction of new treatment strategies. The support of artificial intelligence in these activities is essential.

Real world efficacy of dolutegravir plus lamivudine in people living with HIV with undetectable viral load after previous failures

BACKGROUND

Dolutegravir (DTG) +lamivudine (3TC) combination has been found to be as effective as triple therapies, and has been extensively prescribed in clinical practice as a maintenance therapy. We aimed to investigate the effect of previous virological failures (VFs) on virological efficacy.

METHODS

The analysis included data of people living with HIV (PLWH) with HIV-RNA ≤50 copies/mL enrolled in an Italian retrospective multicohort study who were switching to DTG+3TC. Primary endpoint was viral rebound (VR; confirmed HIV-RNA ≥50 copies/mL or single HIV-RNA ≥50 copies/mL followed by change of antiretroviral therapies [ART]). Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate probabilities of VR based upon histories of previous VFs (single HIV-RNA ≥1000 copies/mL or confirmed HIV-RNA ≥50 copies/mL). A weighted Cox regression model was fitted to estimate the causal hazard ratio (HR) of history of failure on the risk of VR.

RESULTS

A total of 966 PLWH were included; 20.1% had a history of previous VF. VR was detected in 23 PLWH. The one-year probability was 1.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.2%-2.2%) in PLWH without previous VF and 3.3% (95% CI, 0.4%-6.2%) in those with ≥1 VF (log-rank P = 0.042). By multivariate analysis adjusted for CD4+ cell count at nadir, duration of virological suppression, and mode of HIV transmission, PLWH with ≥1 previous VF had a higher risk of virological rebound than those without previous VF (adjusted hazard ratio 3.06 [95% CI, 1.00-9.44], P = 0.051).

CONCLUSION

Despite the low absolute one-year risk in both groups, real-world data confirmed that PLWH with a previous failure have an increased risk of viral rebound.

Reduced probability of improving viro-immunological state in subjects with vertical transmission of HIV reaching adult age: A multicenter retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Young adults with vertical transmission (VT) of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) represent a fragile population. This study evaluates factors associated with viro-immunological outcome of these patients.

METHODS

We performed a multicenter study including HIV-infected subjects with VT ≥ 18 years old from six Italian clinics. Subjects were observed from birth to death, lost to follow-up, or last visit until December 31, 2019. Condition of "optimal viro-immunological status" (OS) was defined as the simultaneous presence of HIV ribonucleic acid (RNA) < 50 copies/mL, CD4+ > 500 cells/mm3 , and CD4+/CD8+ ratio ≥ 1.

RESULTS

A total of 126 subjects were enrolled. At 18 years of age, 52/126 (44.4%) had HIV-RNA > 50 copies/mL, 47/126 (38.2%) had CD4+ < 500/mm3 , and 78/126 (67.2%) had CD4+/CD8+ < 1; 28 subjects (23.7%) presented in the condition of OS. Having a CD4+/CD8+ ratio ≥ 1 at 18 years of age was related with an increased probability of shift from suboptimal viro-immunological status (SOS) to OS (HR: 7.7, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.23-14.04), and a reduced risk of shift from the OS to the SOS (HR: 0.49, 95% CI: 0.26-0.92). Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) diagnosis significantly reduced the probability of shift from a viro-immunological SOS to OS (HR: 0.09, 95% CI: 0.03-0.30). Subjects who had not achieved an OS at 18 years of age had an increased risk of discontinuation of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART, p = .019).

CONCLUSIONS

Only a small proportion of subjects with VT of HIV reached the adult age with "OS". Transition to the adult care with a compromised viro-immunological condition represents a negative driver for future optimal infection control, with a higher risk of discontinuation of cART and a reduced probability to improve the immunological status later in the years.

Early versus delayed antiretroviral therapy based on genotypic resistance test: Results from a large retrospective cohort study

Rapid start of antiretroviral therapy (ART) pending genotypic resistance test (GRT) has been recently proposed, but the effectiveness of this strategy is still debated. The rate of virological success (VS), defined as HIV‐RNA < 50 copies/ml, with and without GRT was compared in drug‐naïve individuals enrolled in the Italian ARCA cohort who started ART between 2015 and 2018. 521 individuals started ART: 397 without GRT (pre‐GRT group) and 124 following GRT (post‐GRT group). Overall, 398 (76%) were males and 30 (6%) were diagnosed with AIDS. In the pre‐GRT group, baseline CD4+ cell counts were lower (p < 0.001), and viral load was higher (p < 0.001) than in the post‐GRT group. The estimated probability of VS in pre‐GRT versus post‐GRT group was 72.54% (CI₉₅: 67.78–76.60) versus 66.94% (CI₉₅: 57.53–74.26) at Week 24 and 92.40% (CI₉₅: 89.26–94.62) versus 92.92% (CI₉₅: 86.35–96.33) at Week 48, respectively (p = 0.434). At Week 48, VS was less frequent among individuals with baseline CD4+ cell counts <200 versus >500 (90.33% vs. 97.33%), log viral load <5.00 versus >5.70 log₁₀ cps/ml (97.17% vs 78.16%; p < 0.001), and those treated with protease inhibitors or non‐nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors versus those treated with integrase strand transfer inhibitors (p < 0.001). The rate of VS does not seem to be affected by an early ART initiation pending GRT results, but it could be influenced by the composition of the ART regimen, as well as immuno‐virological parameters.

Effectiveness of integrase strand transfer inhibitors in HIV-infected treatment-experienced individuals across Europe

OBJECTIVES

To explore the effectiveness and durability of integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI)-based regimens in pre-treated subjects.

METHODS

Treatment-experienced individuals starting an INSTI-based regimen during 2012-2019 were selected from the INTEGRATE collaborative study. The time to virological failure [VF: one measurement of viral load (VL) ≥ 1000 copies/mL or two ≥ 50 copies/ml or one VL measurement ≥ 50 copies/mL followed by treatment change] and to INSTI discontinuation were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of 13 560 treatments analysed, 4284 were from INSTI-naïve, non-viraemic (IN-NV) individuals, 1465 were from INSTI-naïve, viraemic (IN-V) individuals, 6016 were from INSTI-experienced, non-viraemic (IE-NV) individuals and 1795 were from INSTI-experienced, viraemic (IE-V) individuals. Major INSTI drug resistance mutations (DRMs) were previously detected in 4/519 (0.8%) IN-NV, 3/394 (0.8%) IN-V, 7/1510 (0.5%) IE-NV and 25/935 (2.7%) IE-V individuals. The 1-year estimated probabilities of VF were 3.1% [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.5-3.8] in IN-NV, 18.4% (95% CI: 15.8-21.2) in IN-V, 4.2% (95% CI: 3.6-4.9) in IE-NV and 23.9% (95% CI: 20.9-26.9) in IE-V subjects. The 1-year estimated probabilities of INSTI discontinuation were 12.1% (95% CI: 11.1-13.0) in IN-NV, 19.6% (95% CI: 17.5-21.6) in IN-V, 10.8% (95% CI: 10.0-11.6) in IE-NV and 21.7% (95% CI: 19.7-23.5) in IE-V subjects.

CONCLUSIONS

Both VF and INSTI discontinuation occur at substantial rates in viraemic subjects. Detection of DRMs in a proportion of INSTI-experienced individuals makes INSTI resistance testing mandatory after failure.

Risk of HIV viral rebound in HIV infected patients on direct acting antivirals (DAAs) treatment for HCV

BACKGROUND

The dynamic of HIV-viral load (VL) remains poorly investigated in HIV/HCV patients under direct acting antivirals (DAAs).

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated HIV-VL at baseline (BL) during and up to 24 weeks post-DAAs in a cohort of 305 HIV-1/HCV patients, on ART and with no HIV virological failure (VF) in the 6 months before treatment with DAAs; during the period of observation VF was defined as confirmed VL≥50 copies/mL; virological blips (VB, transient, not confirmed, VL ≥50 copies/mL). Stepwise Cox regression models were fitted to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) of VF.

RESULTS

Fifteen VF occurred in 13 patients over 187 person-years of follow-up (PYFU): incidence rate (IR) of 8.0 per 100-PYFU (95% CI = 4.0-12.1); 29 VBs were detected in 26 patients over 184 PYFU: IR = 15.8 per 100-PYFU (95% CI = 10.0-21.5). The most prominent factor associated with VF was the presence of BL HIV residual viremia (RV = HIV-RNA detectable but not precisely quantifiable) [aHR = 12.26 (95% CI = 3.74-40.17), P<0.0001]. Other factors were ≥1 VBs in the 6 months before DAAs [aHR = 6.95 (95% CI = 1.77-27.37) P = 0.006] number of ART regimens failed before DAAs initiation [aHR (per more regimen) = 1.22 (95% CI = 1.04-1.42), P = 0.012] and age [aHR (per year older) = 1.16 (95% CI = 1.04-1.29), P = 0.010].

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings underline the importance for close monitoring HIV-VL in selected patients. Whether this phenomenon is triggered by the rapid clearance of HCV remains to be established.

Time spent with HIV-RNA ≤ 200 copies/ml in a cohort of people with HIV during the U=U era

OBJECTIVE

Zero risk of linked HIV transmission in serodiscordant couples when the HIV-infected partner had viral load less than 200 copies/ml ('U status') was found in observational studies. We aimed at estimating the proportion of time in which 'U status' was maintained and identifying factors associated with the risk of losing it.

DESIGN

Observational cohort study.

METHODS

We included participants in the ICONA cohort who had reached an established 'U status' (viral load ≤200 copies/ml for >6 months) as of December 2010. The outcome was the number of person-days of follow-up (PDFU) above a viral load greater than 200 copies/ml, relative to the total number of PDFU observed. A logistic regression model was used to identify factors independently associated with the risk of losing 'U status'.

RESULTS

Eight thousand, two hundred and forty-one persons living with HIV were included in the analysis who contributed 2 670 888 PDFU. Of these, 1648 (20%) were women, 768 (9%) were people who inject drugs (PWID), and 2066 (25%) were foreign-born. The median of viral load measurements was 9 (IQR: 4-15). Overall, only 3.1% of PDFU were observed when viral load was above 200 copies/ml. The proportion of PDFU with viral load more than 200 copies/ml was higher than average in women (5.3%), unemployed (5.4%), PWID (4.7%), and in people with more than three previous virologic failures (6.3%). These variables were significant predictors of losing 'U status' in the multivariable logistic regression.

CONCLUSION

Our results reinforce the validity of the U=U message in real-world setting. However, we identified subsets of our study population at higher risk of losing the 'U status' for whom additional efforts are needed.