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Ferguson EL, Zimmerman SC, Jiang C, Choi M, Swinnerton K, Choudhary V, Meyers TJ, Hoffmann TJ, Gilsanz P, Oni-Orisan A, Whitmer RA, Risch N, Krauss RM, Schaefer CA, Glymour MM. Low- and High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol and Dementia Risk Over 17 Years of Follow-up Among Members of a Large Health Care Plan. Neurology 2023; 101:e2172-e2184. [PMID: 37793911 PMCID: PMC10663022 DOI: 10.1212/wnl.0000000000207876] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2023] [Accepted: 08/24/2023] [Indexed: 10/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES The associations of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with dementia risk in later life may be complex, and few studies have sufficient data to model nonlinearities or adequately adjust for statin use. We evaluated the observational associations of HDL-C and LDL-C with incident dementia in a large and well-characterized cohort with linked survey and electronic health record (EHR) data. METHODS Kaiser Permanente Northern California health plan members aged 55 years and older who completed a health behavior survey between 2002 and 2007, had no history of dementia before the survey, and had laboratory measurements of cholesterol within 2 years after survey completion were followed up through December 2020 for incident dementia (Alzheimer disease-related dementia [ADRD]; Alzheimer disease, vascular dementia, and/or nonspecific dementia) based on ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes in EHRs. We used Cox models for incident dementia with follow-up time beginning 2 years postsurvey (after cholesterol measurement) and censoring at end of membership, death, or end of study period. We evaluated nonlinearities using B-splines, adjusted for demographic, clinical, and survey confounders, and tested for effect modification by baseline age or prior statin use. RESULTS A total of 184,367 participants [mean age at survey = 69.5 years, mean HDL-C = 53.7 mg/dL (SD = 15.0), mean LDL-C = 108 mg/dL (SD = 30.6)] were included. Higher and lower HDL-C values were associated with elevated ADRD risk compared with the middle quantile: HDL-C in the lowest quintile was associated with an HR of 1.07 (95% CI 1.03-1.11), and HDL-C in the highest quintile was associated with an HR of 1.15 (95% CI 1.11-1.20). LDL-C was not associated with dementia risk overall, but statin use qualitatively modified the association. Higher LDL-C was associated with a slightly greater risk of ADRD for statin users (53% of the sample, HR per 10 mg/dL increase = 1.01, 95% CI 1.01-1.02) and a lower risk for nonusers (HR per 10 mg/dL increase = 0.98; 95% CI 0.97-0.99). There was evidence for effect modification by age with linear HDL-C (p = 0.003) but not LDL-C (p = 0.59). DISCUSSION Both low and high levels of HDL-C were associated with elevated dementia risk. The association between LDL-C and dementia risk was modest.
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Affiliation(s)
- Erin L Ferguson
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA.
| | - Scott C Zimmerman
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Chen Jiang
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Minhyuk Choi
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Kaitlin Swinnerton
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Vidhu Choudhary
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Travis J Meyers
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Thomas J Hoffmann
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Paola Gilsanz
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Akinyemi Oni-Orisan
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Rachel A Whitmer
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Neil Risch
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Ronald M Krauss
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - Catherine A Schaefer
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
| | - M Maria Glymour
- From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E.L.F., S.C.Z., M.C., K.S., T.J.H., N.R., M.M.G.), University of California, San Francisco; Kaiser Permanente Division of Research (C.J., V.C., T.J.M., P.G., C.A.S.), Oakland; Institute for Human Genetics (A.O.-O., N.R.); Department of Clinical Pharmacy (A.O.-O.), University of California, San Francisco; Department of Public Health Sciences (R.A.W.), University of California, Davis; and Departments of Pediatrics and Medicine (R.M.K.), University of California, San Francisco. K.S. is currently affiliated with the VA Boston Healthcare System, MA. T.J.H. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco. P.G. is currently affiliated with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA, and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco. N.R. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, the Institute for Human Genetics, University of California, San Francisco, and the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, Oakland, CA. M.M.G. is currently affiliated with the Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, MA
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