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Burner RC, Golas BD, Aagaard KJ, Lonsdorf EV, Thogmartin WE. Marginal value analysis reveals shifting importance of migration habitat for waterfowl under a changing climate. Ecol Evol 2023; 13:e10632. [PMID: 37953991 PMCID: PMC10636373 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.10632] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2023] [Revised: 09/22/2023] [Accepted: 10/06/2023] [Indexed: 11/14/2023] Open
Abstract
Migratory waterfowl are an important resource for consumptive and non-consumptive users alike and provide tremendous economic value in North America. These birds rely on a complex matrix of public and private land for forage and roosting during migration and wintering periods, and substantial conservation effort focuses on increasing the amount and quality of target habitat. Yet, the value of habitat is a function not only of a site's resources but also of its geographic position and weather. To quantify this value, we used a continental-scale energetics-based model of daily dabbling duck movement to assess the marginal value of lands across the contiguous United States during the non-breeding period (September to May). We examined effects of eliminating each habitat node (32 × 32 km) in both a particularly cold and a particularly warm winter, asking which nodes had the largest effect on survival. The marginal value of habitat nodes for migrating dabbling ducks was a function of forage and roosting habitat but, more importantly, of geography (especially latitude and region). Irrespective of weather, nodes in the Southeast, central East Coast, and California made the largest positive contributions to survival. Conversely, nodes in the Midwest, Northeast, Florida, and the Pacific Northwest had consistent negative effects. Effects (positive and negative) of more northerly nodes occurred in late fall or early spring when climate was often severe and was most variable. Importance and effects of many nodes varied considerably between a cold and a warm winter. Much of the Midwest and central Great Plains benefited duck survival in a warm winter, and projected future warming may improve the value of lands in these regions, including many National Wildlife Refuges, for migrating dabbling ducks. Our results highlight the geographic variability in habitat value, as well as shifts that may occur in these values due to climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ryan C. Burner
- U.S. Geological SurveyUpper Midwest Environmental Sciences CenterLa CrosseWisconsinUSA
| | - Benjamin D. Golas
- U.S. Geological SurveyUpper Midwest Environmental Sciences CenterLa CrosseWisconsinUSA
- Department of BiologyColorado State UniversityFort CollinsColoradoUSA
| | | | - Eric V. Lonsdorf
- Department of Environmental SciencesEmory UniversityAtlantaGeorgiaUSA
| | - Wayne E. Thogmartin
- U.S. Geological SurveyUpper Midwest Environmental Sciences CenterLa CrosseWisconsinUSA
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2
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Thogmartin WE, Haefele MA, Diffendorfer JE, Semmens DJ, Derbridge JJ, Lien A, Huang T, López‐Hoffman L. Multi‐species, multi‐country analysis reveals North Americans are willing to pay for transborder migratory species conservation. PEOPLE AND NATURE 2022. [DOI: 10.1002/pan3.10307] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Wayne E. Thogmartin
- U.S. Geological Survey Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center La Crosse Wisconsin USA
| | - Michelle A. Haefele
- Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics Colorado State University Ft. Collins Colorado USA
| | - Jay E. Diffendorfer
- U.S. Geological Survey U.S. Geological Survey, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center Denver Colorado USA
| | - Darius J. Semmens
- U.S. Geological Survey U.S. Geological Survey, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center Denver Colorado USA
| | - Jonathan J. Derbridge
- School of Natural Resources and the Environment The University of Arizona Tucson Arizona USA
| | - Aaron Lien
- School of Natural Resources and the Environment The University of Arizona Tucson Arizona USA
| | - Ta‐Ken Huang
- School of Natural Resources and the Environment The University of Arizona Tucson Arizona USA
| | - Laura López‐Hoffman
- School of Natural Resources and the Environment The University of Arizona Tucson Arizona USA
- Udall Center for Studies in Public Policy The University of Arizona Tucson Arizona USA
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Aagaard KJ, Lonsdorf EV, Thogmartin WE. Effects of weather variation on waterfowl migration: Lessons from a continental-scale generalizable avian movement and energetics model. Ecol Evol 2022; 12:e8617. [PMID: 35222974 PMCID: PMC8853969 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.8617] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2021] [Revised: 10/18/2021] [Accepted: 10/25/2021] [Indexed: 01/01/2023] Open
Abstract
We developed a continental energetics-based model of daily mallard (Anas platyrhynchos) movement during the non-breeding period (September to May) to predict year-specific migration and overwinter occurrence. The model approximates movements and stopovers as functions of metabolism and weather, in terms of temperature and frozen precipitation (i.e., snow). The model is a Markov process operating at the population level and is parameterized through a review of literature. We applied the model to 62 years of daily weather data for the non-breeding period. The average proportion of available habitat decreased as weather severity increased, with mortality decreasing as the proportion of available habitat increased. The most commonly used locations during the course of the non-breeding period were generally consistent across years, with the most inter-annual variation present in the overwintering area. Our model revealed that the distribution of mallards on the landscape changed more dramatically when the variation in daily available habitat was greater. The main routes for avian migration in North America were predicted by our simulations: the Atlantic, Mississippi, Central, and Pacific flyways. Our model predicted an average of 77.4% survivorship for the non-breeding period across all years (range = 76.4%-78.4%), with lowest survivorship during autumn (90.5 ± 1.4%), intermediate survivorship in winter (91.8 ± 0.7%), and greatest survivorship in spring (93.6 ± 1.1%). We provide the parameters necessary for exploration within and among other taxa to leverage the generalizability of this migration model to a broader expanse of bird species, and across a range of climate change and land use/land cover change scenarios.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Eric V. Lonsdorf
- Institute on the EnvironmentUniversity of MinnesotaSt. PaulMinnesotaUSA
| | - Wayne E. Thogmartin
- U.S. Geological SurveyUpper Midwest Environmental Sciences CenterLa CrosseWisconsinUSA
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Adde A, Casabona i Amat C, Mazerolle MJ, Darveau M, Cumming SG, O'Hara RB. Integrated modeling of waterfowl distribution in western Canada using aerial survey and citizen science (eBird) data. Ecosphere 2021. [DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.3790] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Antoine Adde
- Département des sciences du bois et de la forêt Université Laval Québec Québec Canada
- Boreal Avian Modelling Project University of Alberta Edmonton Alberta Canada
| | - Clara Casabona i Amat
- Département des sciences du bois et de la forêt Université Laval Québec Québec Canada
| | - Marc J. Mazerolle
- Département des sciences du bois et de la forêt Université Laval Québec Québec Canada
| | - Marcel Darveau
- Département des sciences du bois et de la forêt Université Laval Québec Québec Canada
| | - Steven G. Cumming
- Département des sciences du bois et de la forêt Université Laval Québec Québec Canada
- Boreal Avian Modelling Project University of Alberta Edmonton Alberta Canada
| | - Robert B. O'Hara
- Department of Mathematical Sciences Norwegian University of Science and Technology Trondheim Norway
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Johnston A, Hochachka WM, Strimas‐Mackey ME, Ruiz Gutierrez V, Robinson OJ, Miller ET, Auer T, Kelling ST, Fink D. Analytical guidelines to increase the value of community science data: An example using eBird data to estimate species distributions. DIVERS DISTRIB 2021. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13271] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/22/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Tom Auer
- Cornell Lab of Ornithology Cornell University Ithaca NY USA
| | | | - Daniel Fink
- Cornell Lab of Ornithology Cornell University Ithaca NY USA
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Schröter M, Kraemer R, Remme RP, van Oudenhoven APE. Distant regions underpin interregional flows of cultural ecosystem services provided by birds and mammals. AMBIO 2020; 49:1100-1113. [PMID: 31552645 PMCID: PMC7067963 DOI: 10.1007/s13280-019-01261-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2019] [Revised: 06/27/2019] [Accepted: 09/07/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
Ecosystem service assessments rarely consider flows between distant regions. Hence, telecoupling effects such as conservation burdens in distant ecosystems are ignored. We identified service-providing species for two cultural ecosystem services (existence and bequest, and birdwatching) and two receiving, i.e. benefitting, regions (Germany, the Netherlands). We delineated and analysed sending, i.e. service-providing, regions on a global scale. The proportion of service-providing species with distant habitats was higher for birdwatching (Germany: 58.6%, Netherlands: 59.4%), than for existence and bequest (Germany: 49.3%, Netherlands: 57.1%). Hotspots of sending regions were predominantly situated in tropical and subtropical grasslands, savannas and shrublands and were significantly more threatened and poorer than the global mean. Hotspot protection levels for flows to Germany were higher than the global mean, and lower for the Dutch hotspots. Our findings increase understanding on how distant regions underpin ecosystem services and necessitate interregional assessment as well as conservation efforts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matthias Schröter
- Department of Ecosystem Services, UFZ – Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Permoserstr. 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany
- German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
| | - Roland Kraemer
- Department of Ecosystem Services, UFZ – Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Permoserstr. 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany
- German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, 04103 Leipzig, Germany
- Institute of Geography, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Unter den Linden 6, 10099 Berlin, Germany
| | - Roy P. Remme
- Natural Capital Project, Stanford University, 371 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
- National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), PO Box 1, 3720 BA Bilthoven, The Netherlands
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7
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Mattsson BJ, Devries JH, Dubovsky JA, Semmens D, Thogmartin WE, Derbridge JJ, Lopez-Hoffman L. Linking landscape-scale conservation to regional and continental outcomes for a migratory species. Sci Rep 2020; 10:4968. [PMID: 32188890 PMCID: PMC7080806 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-61058-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/08/2019] [Accepted: 02/16/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Land-use intensification on arable land is expanding and posing a threat to biodiversity and ecosystem services worldwide. We develop methods to link funding for avian breeding habitat conservation and management at landscape scales to equilibrium abundance of a migratory species at the continental scale. We apply this novel approach to a harvested bird valued by birders and hunters in North America, the northern pintail duck (Anas acuta), a species well below its population goal. Based on empirical observations from 2007–2016, habitat conservation investments for waterfowl cost $313 M and affected <2% of the pintail’s primary breeding area in the Prairie Pothole Region of Canada. Realistic scenarios for harvest and habitat conservation costing an estimated $588 M (2016 USD) led to predicted pintail population sizes <3 M when assuming average parameter values. Accounting for parameter uncertainty, converting 70–100% of these croplands to idle grassland (cost: $35.7B–50B) is required to achieve the continental population goal of 4 M individuals under the current harvest policy. Using our work as a starting point, we propose continued development of modeling approaches that link conservation funding, habitat delivery, and population response to better integrate conservation efforts and harvest management of economically important migratory species.
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Affiliation(s)
- B J Mattsson
- Institute of Wildlife Biology and Game Management, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, 1180, Austria.
| | - J H Devries
- Ducks Unlimited Canada, Stonewall, MB, R0C2Z0, Canada
| | - J A Dubovsky
- Division of Migratory Bird Management, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Lakewood, CO, 80215, USA
| | - D Semmens
- Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Denver, CO, 80225, USA
| | - W E Thogmartin
- Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center, U.S. Geological Survey, La Crosse, WI, 54603, USA
| | - J J Derbridge
- School of Natural Resources and Environment, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, 85719, USA
| | - L Lopez-Hoffman
- School of Natural Resources and Environment, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, 85719, USA.,Udall Center for Studies in Public Policy, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, 85719, USA
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Nadal J, Ponz C, Margalida A, Pennisi L. Ecological markers to monitor migratory bird populations: Integrating citizen science and transboundary management for conservation purposes. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2020; 255:109875. [PMID: 32063321 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109875] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/18/2019] [Revised: 11/11/2019] [Accepted: 11/14/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
Countries share responsibility for the management and conservation of migratory bird species. However, a limited understanding of population dynamics hampers the implementation of harvest and transboundary management. Age-ratios and population density can be useful indicators to assess population dynamics to improve management and conservation actions. Here, the dynamics of an Atlantic population of Common quail Coturnix coturnix, using 32,508 quail samples and 4814 hunter questionnaires over a 20-year period (1996-2016) served as a comparative study for examining age-ratio patterns related to different geographic zones, population density and weather parameters. Results show that age-ratios varied over zones and years, specifically age-ratio 1 (AR1), used as an index of late breeding attempts, varied from 0.1 to 0.21. Age-ratio 2 (AR2), a surrogate of central recruitment, varied from 0.16 to 0.66. Finally, age-ratio 3 (AR3), used as an indicator of the population's annual breeding success, varied from 3.69 to 6.68. Age-ratio is linked to internal and external factors (i.e. effect of rainfall, variations over time and density-dependent relationships) depicting how quail age groups make segregated migration in time and space. Quail age groups perform a complex pattern of migration because of entwined changes in abundance, migration routes and timing, influencing population connectivity and dynamics. Our findings highlight the relevance of citizen science and transboundary agreements to improve management and conservation measures of migrant species. Administrations and policy-makers in developed and developing countries must coordinate efforts to engage hunters in a participatory management systems to achieve sustainability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jesús Nadal
- Department of Animal Science, Division of Wildlife, Faculty of Life Sciences and Engineering, University of Lleida, Lleida, Spain.
| | - Carolina Ponz
- Department of Animal Science, Division of Wildlife, Faculty of Life Sciences and Engineering, University of Lleida, Lleida, Spain
| | - Antoni Margalida
- Department of Animal Science, Division of Wildlife, Faculty of Life Sciences and Engineering, University of Lleida, Lleida, Spain; Institute for Game and Wildlife Research, IREC (CSIC-UCLM-JCCM), 13005, Ciudad Real, Spain; Division of Conservation Biology, Institute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Lisa Pennisi
- School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, USA
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Bagstad KJ, Semmens DJ, Diffendorfer JE, Mattsson BJ, Dubovsky J, Thogmartin WE, Wiederholt R, Loomis J, Bieri JA, Sample C, Goldstein J, López-Hoffman L. Ecosystem service flows from a migratory species: Spatial subsidies of the northern pintail. AMBIO 2019; 48:61-73. [PMID: 29637473 PMCID: PMC6297107 DOI: 10.1007/s13280-018-1049-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2017] [Revised: 03/13/2018] [Accepted: 03/15/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
Migratory species provide important benefits to society, but their cross-border conservation poses serious challenges. By quantifying the economic value of ecosystem services (ESs) provided across a species' range and ecological data on a species' habitat dependence, we estimate spatial subsidies-how different regions support ESs provided by a species across its range. We illustrate this method for migratory northern pintail ducks in North America. Pintails support over $101 million USD annually in recreational hunting and viewing and subsistence hunting in the U.S. and Canada. Pintail breeding regions provide nearly $30 million in subsidies to wintering regions, with the "Prairie Pothole" region supplying over $24 million in annual benefits to other regions. This information can be used to inform conservation funding allocation among migratory regions and nations on which the pintail depends. We thus illustrate a transferrable method to quantify migratory species-derived ESs and provide information to aid in their transboundary conservation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kenneth J. Bagstad
- Geosciences & Environmental Change Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, P.O. Box 25046, DFC, MS 980, Denver, CO 80225 USA
| | - Darius J. Semmens
- Geosciences & Environmental Change Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, P.O. Box 25046, DFC, MS 980, Denver, CO 80225 USA
| | - James E. Diffendorfer
- Geosciences & Environmental Change Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, P.O. Box 25046, DFC, MS 980, Denver, CO 80225 USA
| | - Brady J. Mattsson
- Institute of Wildlife Biology & Game Management, University of Natural Resources & Life Science, Vienna, Austria
- Institute of Silviculture (WALDBAU), Peter-Jordan-Strasse 82/II, 1190 Vienna, Austria
| | - James Dubovsky
- Division of Migratory Bird Management, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, 134 Union Blvd., #400, Lakewood, CO 80228 USA
| | - Wayne E. Thogmartin
- Upper Midwest Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, 2630 Fanta Reed Road, La Crosse, WI 54603 USA
| | - Ruscena Wiederholt
- Everglades Foundation, 18001 Old Cutler Road, Suite 625, Palmetto Bay, FL 33157 USA
| | - John Loomis
- Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Colorado State University, B310 Clark Bldg., Ft. Collins, CO 80523 USA
| | - Joanna A. Bieri
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Redlands College, University of Redlands, 1200 East Colton Ave., P.O. Box 3080, Redlands, CA 92373 USA
| | - Christine Sample
- Department of Mathematics, Emmanuel College, 400 The Fenway, Boston, MA 02115 USA
| | - Joshua Goldstein
- The Nature Conservancy, 117 E. Mountain Ave., Suite 201, Ft. Collins, CO 80524 USA
| | - Laura López-Hoffman
- School of Natural Resources and Environment and Udall Center for Studies in Public Policy, University of Arizona, 1311 East 4th Street, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA
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