Optimal designs of LID based on LID experiments and SWMM for a small-scale community in Tianjin, north China

Clarifying urban flood response characteristics and improving interpretable flood prediction with sparse data considering the coupling effect of rainfall and drainage pipeline siltation

With climate warming and accelerated urbanisation, severe urban flooding has become a common problem worldwide. Frequent extreme rainfall events and the siltation of drainage pipes further increase the burden on urban drainage networks. However, existing studies have not fully considered the effects of rainfall and pipeline siltation on the response characteristics of flooding when constructing numerical models of urban flooding simulations. To solve this problem, a surface-subsurface coupling model was constructed by combining the Saint-Venant equation, Manning equation, a one-dimensional pipeline model (SWMM), and a two-dimensional surface overflow model (LISFLOOD-FP). Then, the SWMM model considering pipeline siltation and the two-dimensional surface overflow model (LISFLOOD-FP) were coupled with the flow exchange governing equation, and the urban flooding response characteristics considering the coupling effect of "rainfall and drainage pipeline siltation" were analysed. To enhance the solvability of waterlogging prediction, an intelligent prediction model of urban flooding based on Bayes-CNN-BLSTM was established by combining a convolutional neural network (CNN), bidirectional long short-term memory neural network (BLSTM), Bayesian optimisation (Bayes), and an interpretable loss function error correction method. The actual rainfall events and flooding processes recorded by the monitoring equipment at Huizhou University were used to calibrate and verify the model. The results show that in the Rainfall 1 and Rainfall 2 scenarios, the overload rates of the pipelines in the current siltation scenario were 60.06 % and 68.37 %, respectively, and the proportions of overflow nodes were 24.87 % and 25.89 %, respectively. When the drainage network was initially put into operation, the overload rates of the pipeline were 36.67 % and 41.16 %, and the overflow nodes accounted for 3.05 % and 4.06 %, respectively. The inundated area and volume of urban flooding increased when the combined siltation coefficient (CSC) was 0.2; therefore, two desilting schemes were determined. Under Rainfall 1, Rainfall 2, and the four rainfall recurrence periods, the Bayes-CNN-BLSTM model had clear advantages in terms of accuracy, reliability, and robustness.

Enhanced resilience in urban stormwater management through model predictive control and optimal layout schemes under extreme rainfall events

Optimizing the layout of urban stormwater management systems is an effective method for mitigating the risk of urban flooding under extreme storms. However, traditional approaches that consider only economic costs or annual runoff control rates cannot dynamically respond to the uncertainties of extreme weather, making it difficult to completely avoid large accumulations of water and flooding in a short period. This study proposes an integrated method combining system layout optimization and Model Predictive Control(MPC)to enhance the system's resilience and effectiveness in flood control. An optimization framework was initially built to identify optimal system layouts, balancing annual average life cycle cost (AALCC) and resilience index. The MPC was then applied to the optimal layout selected using the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method, aiming to alleviate inundation cost-effectively. The adaptability of MPC to varying sets of control horizons and its efficacy in managing the hydrograph and flood dynamics of urban drainage system were examined. Conducted in Yubei, Chongqing, this study revealed patterns in optimal layout fronts among various extreme design rainfalls, showing that peak position rate and return period significantly influence system resilience. The contribution of MPC to the optimal system layout was particularly notable, resulting in improved instantaneous and overall flood mitigation. The application of MPC increased the resilience index by an average of 0.0485 and offered cost savings of 0.0514 million yuan in AALCC. Besides, our findings highlighted the importance of selecting an optimal set of control horizons for MPC, which could reduce maximum flood depth from 0.43m to 0.19m and decrease conduit peak flow by up to 14% at a flood-prone downstream location.

Multi-objective optimization of the spatial layout of green infrastructures with cost-effectiveness analysis under climate change scenarios

Green infrastructure (GI) plays a significant role in alleviating urban flooding risk caused by urbanization and climate change. Due to space and financial limitations, the successful implementation of GI relies heavily on its layout design, and there is an increasing trend in using multi-objective optimization to support decision-making in GI planning. However, little is known about the hydrological effects of synchronously optimizing the size, location, and connection of GI under climate change. This study proposed a framework to optimize the size, location, and connection of typical GI facilities under climate change by combining the modified non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II) and storm water management model (SWMM). The results showed that optimizing the size, location, and connection of GI facilities significantly increases the maximum reduction rate of runoff and peak flow by 13.4 %-24.5 % and 3.3 %-18 %, respectively, compared to optimizing only the size and location of GI. In the optimized results, most of the runoff from building roofs flew toward green space. Permeable pavement accounted for the highest average proportion of GI implementation area in optimal layouts, accounting for 29.8 %-54.2 % of road area. The average cost-effectiveness (C/E) values decreased from 16 %/105 Yuan under the historical period scenario to 14.3 %/105 Yuan and 14 %/105 Yuan under the two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, respectively. These results can help in understanding the optimization layout and cost-effectiveness of GI under climate change, and the proposed framework can enhance the adaptability of cities to climate change by providing specific cost-effective GI layout design.

Study on the response analysis of LID hydrological process to rainfall pattern based on framework for dynamic simulation of urban floods

An in-depth analysis of the urban flood disaster level in response to different rainfall characteristics and Low Impact Development (LID) measures is of significant importance for addressing unfavorable management conditions and implementing effective flood control measures. This study proposes a dynamic urban flood simulation framework based on the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) and Geographic Information System (GIS) spatial analysis, incorporating an active inundation seed search algorithm. The framework is calibrated and validated using nine historical urban flood events. Subsequently, the impact of rainfall patterns on urban inundation under LID measures is analyzed based on the dynamic urban flood simulation framework. The results show that the urban flood simulation framework exhibits good applicability, with Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) values of 0.825 and 0.763 during the calibration and validation periods, respectively. The extent of inundation shows little variation for rainfall events with a return period greater than 20 years, and the location of flooding is minimally affected by rainfall patterns. LID measures have a decreasing effect on urban inundation control as the return period of rainfall increases, and there are variations in hydrological responses to different rainfall patterns under the same return period. For single-peak rainfall events with the same return period, the control rates of inundation volume, flow, and infiltration decrease as the rainfall peak coefficient increases, indicating a weakening effect of LID measures on flood control with increasing rainfall peak coefficient. Under the same return period conditions, LID measures exhibit the best runoff control effect for uniform rainfall, while their effectiveness is lower for double-peak rainfall events and single-peak rainfall events with an r = 0.75 coefficient. The findings of this study provide a theoretical basis for urban flood warning and management of Low Impact Development measures.

Urban rainstorm and waterlogging scenario simulation based on SWMM under changing environment

Urban rainstorm and waterlogging occurred more frequently in recent years, causing huge economic losses and serious social harms. Accurate rainstorm and waterlogging simulation is of significant value for disaster prevention and mitigation. This paper proposed a numerical model for urban rainstorm and waterlogging based on the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) and Geographic Information System (GIS), and the model was applied in Lianhu district of Xi'an city of China. Furthermore, the effects of rainfall characteristics, pipe network implementation level and urbanization level on waterlogging were explored from the perspectives of spatial distribution of waterlogging points, drainage capacity of pipe network and surface runoff generation and confluence. The results show that: (1) with the increase of rainfall recurrence period, the peak of total water accumulating volume, the average decline rate of water accumulating volume and the number of waterlogging nodes increase; (2) optimizing the pipe diameter can shorten the average overload time of the pipe network from the entire pipe network, but for a single pipe, optimizing the pipe diameter may lead to overloading of unoptimized downstream pipeline; (3) the lower the imperviousness, the less the number of waterlogging nodes and average time of water accumulating, and (4) the west, northwest and southwest areas are relatively affected by the imperviousness, only improving the underlying surface conditions has limited influence on waterlogging in the study area. This study can provide reference for urban waterlogging prevention and reduction and pipe network reconstruction.