A QSPR model for estimation of lower flammability limit temperature of pure compounds based on molecular structure

General structure-activity/selectivity relationship patterns for the inhibitors of the chemokine receptors (CCR1/CCR2/CCR4/CCR5) with application for virtual screening of PubChem database

CC chemokine receptors (CCRs) form a crucial subfamily of G protein-linked receptors that play a distinct role in the onset and progression of various life-threatening diseases. The main aim of this research is to derive general structure-activity relationship (SAR) patterns to describe the selectivity and activity of CCR inhibitors. To this end, a total of 7332 molecules related to the inhibition of CCR1, CCR2, CCR4, and CCR5 were collected from the Binding Database and analyzed using machine learning techniques. A diverse set of 450 molecular descriptors was calculated for each molecule, and the molecules were classified based on their therapeutic targets and activities. The variable importance in the projection (VIP) approach was used to select discriminatory molecular features, and classification models were developed using supervised Kohonen networks (SKN) and counter-propagation artificial neural networks (CPANN). The reliability and predictability of the models were estimated using 10-fold cross-validation, an external validation set, and an applicability domain approach. We were able to identify different sets of molecular descriptors for discriminating between active and inactive molecules and model the selectivity of inhibitors towards different CCRs. The sensitivities of the predictions for the external test set for the SKN models ranged from 0.827-0.873. Finally, the developed classification models were used to screen approximately 2 million random molecules from the PubChem database, with average values for areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves ranging from 0.78-0.96 for SKN models and 0.75-0.89 for CPANN models.Communicated by Ramaswamy H. Sarma.

The Relevance of Goodness-of-fit, Robustness and Prediction Validation Categories of OECD-QSAR Principles with Respect to Sample Size and Model Type

We investigated the relevance of the validation principles on the Quantitative Structure Activity Relationship models issued by Organization for Economic and Co-operation and Development. We checked the goodness-of-fit, robustness and predictivity categories in linear and nonlinear models using benchmark datasets. Most of our conclusions are drawn using the sample size dependence of the different validation parameters. We found that the goodness-of-fit parameters misleadingly overestimate the models on small samples. In the case of neural network and support vector models, the feasibility of the goodness-of-fit parameters often might be questioned. We propose to use the simplest y-scrambling method to estimate chance correlation. We found that the leave-one-out and leave-many-out cross-validation parameters can be rescaled to each other in all models and the computationally feasible method should be chosen depending on the model type. We assessed the interdependence of the validation parameters by calculating their rank correlations. Goodness of fit and robustness correlate quite well over a sample size for linear models and one of the approaches might be redundant. In the rank correlation between internal and external validation parameters, we found that the assignment of good and bad modellable data to the training or the test causes negative correlations.

Sample-size dependence of validation parameters in linear regression models and in QSAR

The dependence of statistical validation parameters was investigated on the size of the sample taken in fit of multivariate linear curves. We observed that R² and related internal parameters were misleading as they overestimated the goodness-of-fit of models at small sample size. Cross-validation metrics showed correct trends. It was possible to scale the leave-one-out and the leave-many-out results close to identical by correcting the degrees of freedom of the models. y and x-randomized validation parameters were calculated and the methods provided close to identical results. We suggest to use the simplest methods in both cases. The external parameters followed correct trends with respect to the sample size, but their sensitivity differed. We plotted the Roy-Ojha metrics in 2D and we coloured them with respect to other external parameters to provide an easy classification of models. The rank correlations were calculated between the performance parameters. Up to a sample size, goodness-of-fit and robustness were distinguishable, but above a certain sample size, the parameters were redundant. The external-internal pairs were weakly correlated. Our data show that all the three aspects of validation are necessary at small sample sizes, but the internal check of robustness is not informative above a given sample size.

Highly accurate prediction of flammability limits of chemical compounds using novel integrated hybrid models

Two novel and highly accurate hybrid models were developed for the prediction of the flammability limits (lower flammability limit (LFL) and upper flammability limit (UFL)) of pure compounds using a quantitative structure-property relationship approach. The two models were developed using a dataset obtained from the DIPPR Project 801 database, which comprises 1057 and 515 literature data for the LFL and UFL, respectively. Multiple linear regression (MLR), logarithmic, and polynomial models were used to develop the models according to an algorithm and code written using the MATLAB software. The results indicated that the proposed models were capable of predicting LFL and UFL values with accuracies that were among the best (i.e. most optimised) reported in the literature (LFL: R2 = 99.72%, with an average absolute relative deviation (AARD) of 0.8%; UFL: R2 = 99.64%, with an AARD of 1.41%). These hybrid models are unique in that they were developed using a modified mathematical technique combined three conventional methods. These models afford good practicability and can be used as cost-effective alternatives to experimental measurements of LFL and UFL values for a wide range of pure compounds.

A QSPR model for prediction of diffusion coefficient of non-electrolyte organic compounds in air at ambient condition

Evaluation of diffusion coefficients of pure compounds in air is of great interest for many diverse industrial and air quality control applications. In this communication, a QSPR method is applied to predict the molecular diffusivity of chemical compounds in air at 298.15K and atmospheric pressure. Four thousand five hundred and seventy nine organic compounds from broad spectrum of chemical families have been investigated to propose a comprehensive and predictive model. The final model is derived by Genetic Function Approximation (GFA) and contains five descriptors. Using this dedicated model, we obtain satisfactory results quantified by the following statistical results: Squared Correlation Coefficient=0.9723, Standard Deviation Error=0.003 and Average Absolute Relative Deviation=0.3% for the predicted properties from existing experimental values.