Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis C carriers with normal alanine aminotransferase levels

Difference in incidence of developing hepatocellular carcinoma between hepatitis B virus-and hepatitis C virus-infected patients

BACKGROUND

It is generally accepted that the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated patients is higher than that in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated patients. The reason why this difference in the incidence of HCC occurs in patients with HBV and HCV infections remains unclear. We report the possibility that the contributing power of inflammation, which is the main risk factor for developing HCC, may be different with HBV and HCV infections.

AIM

To investigate this, we surveyed the hazard ratio of inflammation for HCC development which was identified by serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels between patients with HBV and HCV infections.

METHODS

The PubMed database was searched (2001-2021) for studies published in English regarding the incidence of HCC identifying 8924 HBV-and 7376 HCV- infected patients. From these studies, interferon-treated patients with both HBV and HCV infections were excluded. Furthermore, in HBV patients, those administered nucleos(t)ide analogues were excluded, and in HCV patients, those administered direct acting antivirals were also excluded. Studies citing hazard ratios of HCC regarding inflammation (serum elevated alanine aminotransferase levels) were selected. Finally, there were 14 studies of HBV- infected patients and 8 studies of HCV-infected patients. We calculated the hazard ratio in patients in an inflammatory state (serum ALT levels were above the normal range).

RESULTS

In the 14 studies of HBV patients, the average hazard ratio (HR) of elevated ALT for developing HCC was 2.74 [1.98-3.77] and that in the 8 studies of HCV-infected patients was 5.51 [3.08-9.83]. The HR of inflammation for HCC development in HCV-associated liver diseases is about twice that in HBV-associated liver diseases. HR in HCV-infected patients was significantly (P = 0.0391) higher than that in HBV-infected patients. In hepatitis B patients, the abnormal range adopted was 28-45 IU/L, and in hepatitis C patients, it was 20-50 IU/L. It was demonstrated that the abnormal ALT levels adopted in hepatitis B and C patients were very similar in this series.

CONCLUSION

The difference in the incidence of HCC development between HBV and HCV patients may depend on the difference in the hazard risk of ALT between HBV and HCV infections.

Low Incidence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Antiviral Therapy in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C and Hemophilia

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) rarely develops in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) who achieve sustained virological response (SVR). We assessed the incidence of HCC in CHC patients with hemophilia after treatment with pegylated interferon plus ribavirin (PegIFN/RBV) and direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). Methods: Patients (n = 202) were enrolled between March 2007 and July 2019. A total of 139 patients were treated with PegIFN/RBV (genotype 1, n = 98; genotype 2, n = 41). Sixty-three patients were treated with DAAs (genotype 1, n = 44; genotype 2, n = 19). The cumulative incidence rates of HCC were estimated using the Kaplan−Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Results: For genotype 1, SVR was achieved in 78.6% (77/98) and 90.9% (40/44) of patients in the PegIFN/RBV and DAAs groups, respectively. For genotype 2, SVR was achieved in 95.1% (39/41) and 94.7% (18/19) of patients in the PegIFN/RBV and DAAs groups, respectively. Six HCC cases were identified. The cumulative incidence of HCC was 4.1% at 14 years in PegIFN/RBV and 1.7% at 5 years in DAAs. The 14-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 1.9% in the SVR group and 21.7% in the no-SVR group in the PegIFN/RBV group (p < 0.001). Conclusions: Treatment with PegIFN/RBV led to stable SVR and a low incidence of HCC. Although the follow-up period was short, DAAs led to more stable SVR than PegIFN/RBV and a low incidence of HCC in CHC patients with hemophilia.

Long-term outcomes of viral eradication in patients with hepatitis C virus infection and mild hepatic fibrosis

The impact of antiviral therapy on clinical outcomes in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and mild liver fibrosis (FIB-4 score <1.45) is not well understood. We aimed to clarify the impact of viral eradication on hepatocarcinogenesis and mortality in patients with mild fibrosis.The subjects were 657 patients who achieved sustained virologic response (SVR) (Clearance group) and 586 patients who did not receive antiviral therapy or did not achieve SVR (No clearance group). We applied inverse probability weighting because the groups had different baseline characteristics. Multivariate proportional hazards models were used to analyse factors associated with hepatocarcinogenesis and mortality using a time-dependent covariate. In addition, we compared the mortality rate of the Clearance group stratified by age to the mortality rate of the general population.Clearance of HCV RNA was significantly associated with hepatocarcinogenesis and all-cause, liver-related and non-liver-related mortality (adjusted hazard ratios [95% confidence interval], 0.2653 [0.1147-0.6136, p = 0.0019], 0.3416 [0.2157-0.5409, p < 0.0001], 0.2474 [0.0802-0.8917, p = 0.0381] and 0.4118 [0.2449-0.6925, p = 0.0008], respectively). The Clearance group had significantly higher mortality than the general population matched by age, sex and follow-up duration (p < 0.0001). However, there were no significant differences between patients who achieved SVR before age 50 and the general population matched by age, sex and follow-up duration (p = 0.1570). HCV eradication in patients with mild fibrosis reduces liver-related and non-liver-related mortality. If HCV is eradicated before age 50, prognosis is likely be similar to that of the age-matched and sex-matched general population. (249 words).

Recurrence Beyond the Milan Criteria of HBV-Related Single Hepatocellular Carcinoma of 2-3 cm: Comparison of Resection and Ablation

BACKGROUND

Comparison of patterns of early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence beyond the Milan criteria (HRBM) and identification of the independent risk factors of time to recurrence beyond the Milan criteria (TRBM) after resection or ablation can develop an optimal first-line treatment and provide more opportunities and waiting time for salvage transplantation.

METHODS

The patterns of HRBM after first-line resection or ablation in 384 patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC of 2-3 cm were retrospectively analyzed by one-to-one propensity score matching (PSM) between December 2008 and December 2017. The median TRBM between the resection group and the ablation group was estimated by Kaplan-Meier curves. The Cox regression analysis and binary logistic regression were used for the identification of the independent risk factors of TRBM and the occurrence of HRBM, respectively. The abilities of HRBM and the recurrence to predict overall survival (OS) were compared by the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves and estimated area under the curve.

RESULTS

Of 384 patients enrolled in our study, 260 (67.7%) received resection (resection group) and 124 (32.3%) underwent ablation (ablation group). The median TRBM in the resection group was significantly longer than that in the ablation group before PSM (median, not available vs. 101.4 months, P < 0.001) and after PSM (median, not available vs. 85.7 months, P < 0.001). Cox regression showed ablation, older age, CRP ≥1.81 mg/L, and PLT ≤80 × 10⁹/L were the independent risk factors of TRBM. Binary logistic regression also showed that ablation, CRP ≥1.81 mg/L, and PLT ≤80 × 10⁹/L were the independent risk factors of the occurrence of HRBM. The incidences of various phenotypes of HRBM were not significantly different between the two groups, but the incidence of HRBM at the first recurrence in the ablation group was significantly higher than that in the resection group (P < 0.05). Besides, compared with recurrence, HRBM was a better predictor of OS (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with ablation, resection should be considered as a more appropriate first-line option for patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC of 2-3 cm and a more promising bridge for liver transplantation in those patients.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Within the Milan Criteria: A Novel Inflammation-Based Nomogram System to Assess the Outcomes of Ablation

Objectives

Few studies based on pretreatment inflammation-based scores focused on assessing the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients within the Milan Criteria after ablation. This study aimed to construct a nomogram based on a novel inflammation-based score for those patients.

Methods

A total of 635 HCC patients within the Milan Criteria after ablation meeting the inclusion and exclusion criteria were included in the study. The novel inflammation-based score-Albumin-Platelet Score (APS)-was constructed by Cox proportional-hazards modeling. The nomogram based on APS was constructed by multivariate analysis and the "rms" R package. The performance of the APS and the nomogram were assessed by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic and the concordance index (C-index).

Results

The APS was an integrated indicator based on peripheral albumin level and platelet counts, which was significantly superior to other inflammation-based scores (neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, platelet to lymphocyte ratio, Prognostic Nutritional Index, modified Glasgow Prognostic Score, Glasgow Prognostic Score, Prognostic Index, and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio) in predicting the long-term prognosis of those patients undergoing ablation (P < 0.05). An easy-to-use nomogram based on three pretreatment clinical variables (i.e., the APS, tumor size, and age) was constructed and further improved significantly the performance in predicting the prognosis in patients within the Milan Criteria after ablation (P < 0.05). The C-index of nomogram for overall survival was 0.72 (95% CI 0.66, 0.77). The calibration plots with 1000 cycles of bootstrapping were well matched with the idealized 45° line.

Conclusion

The APS was a better inflammation-based prognostic system than others. Also, the nomogram based on the APS improved the performance of predicting the prognosis of HCC patients within the Milan Criteria after ablation.

Integrated stress response in hepatitis C promotes Nrf2-related chaperone-mediated autophagy: A novel mechanism for host-microbe survival and HCC development in liver cirrhosis

The molecular mechanism(s) how liver damage during the chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection evolve into cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unclear. HCV infects hepatocyte, the major cell types in the liver. During infection, large amounts of viral proteins and RNA replication intermediates accumulate in the endoplasmic reticulum (ER) of the infected hepatocyte, which creates a substantial amount of stress response. Infected hepatocyte activates a different type of stress adaptive mechanisms such as unfolded protein response (UPR), antioxidant response (AR), and the integrated stress response (ISR) to promote virus-host cell survival. The hepatic stress is also amplified by another layer of innate and inflammatory response associated with cellular sensing of virus infection through the production of interferon (IFN) and inflammatory cytokines. The interplay between various types of cellular stress signal leads to different forms of cell death such as apoptosis, necrosis, and autophagy depending on the intensity of the stress and nature of the adaptive cellular response. How do the adaptive cellular responses decode such death programs that promote host-microbe survival leading to the establishment of chronic liver disease? In this review, we discuss how the adaptive cellular response through the Nrf2 pathway that promotes virus and cell survival. Furthermore, we provide a glimpse of novel stress-induced Nrf2 mediated compensatory autophagy mechanisms in virus-cell survival that degrade tumor suppressor gene and activation of oncogenic signaling during HCV infection. Based on these facts, we hypothesize that the balance between hepatic stress, inflammation and different types of cell death determines liver disease progression outcomes. We propose that a more nuanced understanding of virus-host interactions under excessive cellular stress may provide an answer to the fundamental questions why some individuals with chronic HCV infection remain at risk of developing cirrhosis, cancer and some do not.

Clinical impact of normal alanine aminotransferase on direct-acting antiviral outcome in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection

Background and Aims

This study aimed to clarify the clinical picture of hepatitis C virus (HCV) carriers with normal alanine aminotransferase (CNALT) and those with ALT elevation (non‐CNALT) under direct‐acting antivirals (DAAs).

Methods

We enrolled 1002 patients with HCV (427 men, median age: 69 years) who had received DAAs for comparisons between CNALT (ALT ≤33 U/L in males and ≤25 U/L in females; n = 374) and non‐CNALT (n = 628) groups.

Results

CNALT patients displayed a higher platelet count (PLT) (170 000 vs 146 000/μL, P < 0.0001) and albumin (4.1 vs 4.1 g/dL, P = 0.0006) but lower AST (25 vs 51 U/L, P < 0.0001), alpha fetoprotein (3.2 vs 5.4 ng/mL, P < 0.0001), and liver fibrosis marker scores (all P < 0.0001). The sustained virologic response rate was comparable between the CNALT and non‐CNALT groups (97.8 vs 95.3%, P = 0.106). The cumulative incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after DAA treatment was comparable between the CNALT and non‐CNALT groups (P = 0.117, log‐rank test). In CNALT patients with HCC history, PLT ≥150 000/μL was an independent risk factor of HCC recurrence (P = 0.019). In non‐CNALT patients without HCC history, male gender (P = 0.021) and albumin <4.0 g/dL (P = 0.007) were independent risk factors, while PLT < 150 000/μL (P = 0.081) was a marginal risk factor of HCC occurrence.

Conclusion

CNALT patients displayed a milder degree of liver fibrosis. Combinations of CNALT and PLT status might be useful as markers for HCC occurrence or recurrence surveillance.

Hepatitis C Virus Infection of Cultured Human Hepatoma Cells Causes Apoptosis and Pyroptosis in Both Infected and Bystander Cells

Individuals infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) are at high risk of developing progressive liver disease, including cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). How HCV infection causes liver destruction has been of significant interest for many years, and apoptosis has been proposed as one operative mechanism. In this study, we employed a tissue culture-adapted strain of HCV (JFH1_T) to test effects of HCV infection on induction of programmed cell death (PCD) in Huh-7.5 cells. We found that HCV infection reduced the proliferation rate and induced caspase-3-mediated apoptosis in the infected cell population. However, in addition to apoptosis, we also observed infected cells undergoing caspase-1-mediated pyroptosis, which was induced by NLRP3 inflammasome activation. By co-culturing HCV-infected Huh-7.5 cells with an HCV-non-permissive cell line, we also demonstrated induction of both apoptosis and pyroptosis in uninfected cells. Bystander apoptosis, but not bystander pyroptosis, required cell-cell contact between infected and bystander cells. In summary, these findings provide new information on mechanisms of cell death in response to HCV infection. The observation that both apoptosis and pyroptosis can be induced in bystander cells extends our understanding of HCV-induced pathogenesis in the liver.

Thrombocytopenia and the outcomes of hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Recently, increasing studies have revealed the association of inflammatory parameters, such as preoperative platelet count, and the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the link between the platelet count and the prognosis of patients with HCC after hepatic resection is still controversial.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, and CBM for relevant trials and analyzed outcomes with random-effects model. The hazard ratio (HR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated.

RESULTS

In total, 31 studies, including a total of 10,730 patients, met our criteria. The results showed that thrombocytopenia in HCC patients was associated with poor overall survival (HR = 1.47, 95% CI: 1.21-1.78), disease-free survival (HR = 1.36, 95% CI: 1.08-1.72), and a high risk of cancer recurrence (HR = 1.41, 95% CI: 1.22-1.62), but a low risk of extrahepatic metastasis (HR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.47-0.63).

CONCLUSIONS

The meta-analysis revealed that preoperative platelet count could act as a significant biomarker in the prognosis of HCC, especially a platelet count of <100 × 10³/mm³. Additional high-quality trials are needed, considering the low-quality studies analyzed.

Inhibition of emotional needs and emotional wellbeing predict disease progression of chronic hepatitis C patients: an 8-year prospective study

Background

The role of psycosocial factors in the disease progression of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients remains unclear. The aim of the present study was to prospectively evaluate the prognostic value of behavioral patterns and the quality of life (QOL) of patients with CHC.

Methods

Two hundred and forty Japanese CHC patients (mean age 62.4 years) were assessed for behavioral patterns (Stress Inventory), QOL (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy-Spiritual), and known prognostic factors at baseline then followed for a maximum of 8 years for disease progression, defined as either the first diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or hepatitis-related death.

Results

Forty-nine events occurred during the study period (46 newly diagnosed HCC cases, three hepatitis-related deaths). In a Cox proportional hazard model including known prognostic factors and treatment-related factors as time-dependent variables, behavioral patterns associated with inhibition of emotional needs (hazard ratio (HR): 1.35; 95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.02–1.77; p = 0.036) and QOL, representing emotional wellbeing (HR 0.60; 95 % CI 0.37–0.98; p = 0.041), were each associated with the risk of disease progression.

Conclusion

Psychosocial factors such as behavioral patterns relevant to the inhibition of emotional needs and emotional wellbeing independently affect the clinical course of patients with CHC.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13030-016-0075-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Comparison of Therapeutic Response and Clinical Outcome between HCV Patients with Normal and Abnormal Alanine Transaminase Levels

Background and Aims

Patients with chronic hepatitic C (HCV) infection and normal serum alanine transaminase (ALT) levels were considered to have mild disease. In Taiwan, these patients were not suggested for interferon (IFN) based therapies. The aim of study is to compare therapeutic outcomes between HCV patients with normal and elevated ALT levels.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study on 3241 HCV patients treated by IFN based therapies. Patients with normal ALT levels were classified as group A (n = 186) while those with elevated ALT levels were group B (n = 3055).

Results

At baseline, incidence of diabetes mellitus, low platelet counts and cirrhosis were significantly higher in group B patients. The sustained virologic response (SVR) rate was comparable between the 2 groups (65.3% vs. 65.3%, P = .993). But significantly higher incidence of HCC development after HCV treatment was observed in group B (7.4% vs. 3.2%, P = .032). No significant differences with respect to the outcome of liver decompensation, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, and mortality were noted between 2 groups. Multivariate analysis showed younger age, female gender, non-HCV genotype 1, lower viral load, higher platelet counts and non-cirrhosis were favorable factors for achieving SVR, rather than ALT levels. Further analysis revealed older age, cirrhosis, lower platelet levels and non- peg-interferon treatment are risk factors of HCC development.

Conclusions

HCV patients with normal ALT levels had similar response to antiviral therapy and low rate of HCC development after therapy. Antiviral therapies begun at early course of HCV infection may be beneficial to prevent disease progression.

Utility of the FIB-4 Index for hepatocarcinogenesis in hepatitis C virus carriers with normal alanine aminotransferase levels

The FIB-4 index is a simple formula using age, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and platelet count to evaluate liver fibrosis. We investigated the ability of the FIB-4 index for hepatocarcinogenesis in hepatitis C virus (HCV) carriers with normal ALT levels. A total of 516 patients with ALT levels persistently at or below 40 IU/L during an observation period of over 3 years were included. Factors associated with the development of HCC were determined. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) developed in 60 of 516 patients (11.6%). The incidence rate of HCC at 5 and 10 years was 2.6% and 17.6%, respectively. When patients were categorized according to the FIB-4 index as ≤ 2.0 (n = 226), >2.0 and ≤ 4.0 (n = 169), and > 4.0 (n = 121), the cumulative incidence of HCC at 5 years was 0.5%, 1.3% and 8.0%, respectively, and 2.8%, 25.6% and 37.1% at 10 years, respectively. Patients with FIB-4 index >4.0 were at the highest risk (P < 0.001). Factors that were significantly associated with HCC in the multivariate analysis were FIB-4 index >2.0 (hazard ratio (HR), 7.690), FIB-4 index >4.0 (HR, 8.991), α-fetoprotein (AFP) >5 ng/mL (HR, 2.742), AFP >10 ng/mL (HR, 4.915) and total bilirubin >1.2 mg/dL (HR, 2.142). A scoring system for hepatocarcinogenesis that combines the FIB-4 index and AFP predicted patient outcomes with excellent discriminative ability. The FIB-4 index is strongly associated with the risk of HCC in HCV carriers with normal ALT levels.

Non-invasive prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development using serum fibrosis marker in chronic hepatitis C patients

BACKGROUND

The FIB-4 index is a simple formula to predict liver fibrosis. This study aimed to evaluate the utility of the FIB-4 index and associated time-course changes as a predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development.

METHODS

A total of 171 chronic hepatitis C patients who underwent paired liver biopsies and 875 patients who underwent a single liver biopsy (validation group) were investigated during mean follow-up periods of 6.4 and 5.9 years, respectively. All patients had received interferon therapy and had not achieved a sustained virological response. Factors associated with HCC development were analyzed in these patients.

RESULTS

HCC developed in 30 patients in the paired biopsy group and 89 patients in the validation group. Univariate analysis demonstrated that the FIB-4 index >3.25 and change in the FIB-4 index per year (ΔFIB-4/year) ≥ 0.3 were predictive factors for HCC development in both groups. Multivariate analysis in the combined population revealed that these two factors were independent. The hazard ratio (HR) for the FIB-4 index >3.25 was 2.7 (p < 0.001) and ΔFIB-4/year ≥ 0.3 was 1.8 (p = 0.003). Patients with a FIB-4 index >3.25 and a ΔFIB-4/year ≥ 0.3 were defined as high risk, and those with a FIB-4 index ≤ 3.25 and a ΔFIB-4/year <0.3 were defined as low risk. The HR of HCC development in patients at high risk was 7.3 (95% confidence interval 4.3-12.5, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

It was possible to define a group at high risk of developing HCC by intermittently measuring the FIB-4 index and considering time-course changes in this index.

Characteristics and prediction of hepatitis B e-antigen negative hepatitis following seroconversion in patients with chronic hepatitis B

AIM

We analyzed the characteristics of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) abnormality after achieving hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion (SC) and other factors associated with the occurrence of HBeAg negative hepatitis.

METHODS

We followed 36 patients with chronic hepatitis B from 3 years prior to at least 3 years after SC (mean, 11.6 years) and examined ALT, hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA, HB surface antigen, HB core-related antigen (HBcrAg) levels and mutations related to HBeAg SC.

RESULTS

ALT normalization (<31 IU/L for at least 1 year) was primarily observed until 2 years following SC, after which it became more infrequent. We next divided patients into abnormal (≥31 IU/L, n = 20) and normal (<31 IU/L, n = 16) groups based on integrated ALT level after the time point of 2 years from SC, and considered the former group as having HBeAg negative hepatitis in the present study. Although changes in median levels of ALT and HBcrAg differed significantly between the groups, multivariate analysis showed ALT normalization within 2 years after SC to be the only significant determining factor for this disease (P = 0.001). We then assessed the 19 patients whose ALT was normal at 2 years following SC, four of whom developed HBeAg negative hepatitis. Increased levels of HBV DNA (P = 0.037) and HBcrAg (P = 0.033) were significant factors of potential relevance.

CONCLUSION

ALT abnormality after 2 years of SC may be evaluated as HBeAg-negative hepatitis. ALT, HBV DNA and HBcrAg levels may be useful in predicting the outcome of patients who achieve HBeAg SC.

High-sensitivity Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive alpha-fetoprotein assay predicts early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains poor because HCC is frequently diagnosed late. Therefore, regular surveillance has been recommended to detect HCC at the early stage when curative treatments can be applied. HCC biomarkers, including Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP-L3), are widely used for surveillance in Japan. A newly developed immunoassay system measures AFP-L3 % with high sensitivity. This retrospective study aimed to evaluate clinical utility of high-sensitivity AFP-L3 (hs-AFP-L3) as a predictor of early stage HCC in surveillance at a single site.

METHODS

Of consecutive 2830 patients in the surveillance between 2000 and 2009, 104 HCC-developed and 104 non-HCC patients were selected by eligibility criteria and propensity score matching. Samples were obtained from the HCC patients who had blood drawn annually for 3 years prior to HCC diagnosis.

RESULTS

In the present study, hs-AFP-L3 was elevated 1 year prior to diagnosis in 34.3 % of patients. The survival rate of patients with the hs-AFP-L3 ≥ 7 % at 1 year prior to diagnosis was significantly lower than that of patients with hs-AFP-L3 < 7 %.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevation of hs-AFP-L3 was early predictive of development of HCC even at low AFP levels and in absence of ultrasound findings of suspicious HCC. The hs-AFP-L3 should be added to surveillance programs with US because elevated hs-AFP-L3 may be a trigger to perform enhanced imaging modalities for confirmation of HCC.

Virus associated malignancies: the role of viral hepatitis in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading fatal cancer worldwide and its incidence continues to increase. Chronic viral hepatitis involving either hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is the leading etiology for HCC, making HCC prevention a major goal of antiviral therapy. While recent clinical observations and translational research have enhanced our understanding of the molecular mechanisms driving the initiation and progression of HCC, much remains unknown. Current data indicates that HCC tumors are highly complex and heterogeneous resulting from the aberrant function of multiple molecular pathways. This complex biology is responsible, at least in part, for the absence of highly efficient target-directed therapies for this deadly cancer. Additionally, the direct or indirect effect of HBV and HCV infection on the development of HCC is still a contentious issue. Thus, the question remains whether viral hepatitis-associated HCC stems from virus-specific factors, and/or from a general mechanism involving inflammation and tissue regeneration. In this review we summarize general mechanisms implicated in HCC, emphasizing data generated by new technologies available today. We also highlight specific pathways by which HBV and HCV could be involved in HCC pathogenesis. However, improvements to current in vitro and in vivo systems for both viruses will be needed to rigorously define the temporal sequence and specific pathway dysregulations that drive the strong clinical link between chronic hepatitis virus infection and HCC.

Lack of clinical and histological progression of chronic hepatitis C in individuals with true persistently normal ALT: the result of a 17-year follow-up

Thirty to 40% of patients with chronic hepatitis C have persistently normal alanine aminotransferase (PNALT). Even though traditionally considered as healthy people, most PNALT carriers actually have some degree of clinical progression and histological liver damage. We evaluated the clinical and histological outcome of a 17-year follow-up on a cohort of patients with chronic HCV infection and PNALT. Between 1994 and 2011, 70 PNALTs and 55 Hyper-alanine aminotransferase (ALT) subjects underwent a clinical, biochemical, virological and histological follow-up. At the end of the follow-up, all patients were alive. In the PNALT group, none of the patients developed hepatic decompensation, while 14.5% of Hyper-ALTs were diagnosed as affected by decompensated cirrhosis. No significant variation of the Metavir grading and staging scores was observed among PNALTs by comparing pre- and post-follow-up liver specimens. On the contrary, a significant increase in both Metavir grading and staging scores was noticed within the Hyper-ALT group. Finally, the analysis of IL28B single-nucleotide polymorphism rs12979860 revealed no difference between Hyper-ALTs and PNALTs in terms of frequency of C/C genotype. In conclusion, progression of chronic hepatitis C among PNALTs is slow or even absent, because at the end of the 17-year follow-up histological and clinical parameters had not worsened significantly.

Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in HCV-infected patients with normal alanine aminotransferase levels categorized by Japanese treatment guidelines

BACKGROUND

This study was conducted to evaluate Japanese treatment guidelines for patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and normal alanine aminotransferase (N-ALT) levels from the viewpoint of the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Four groups of patients with chronic HCV infection treated with pegylated interferon (Peg-IFN) plus ribavirin, and classified according to the N-ALT guidelines, were examined for HCC incidence: group A (n = 353), ALT ≤30 IU/L and platelet (PLT) ≥15 × 10(4)/mm(3); group B (n = 123), ALT ≤30 IU/L and PLT <15 × 10(4)/mm(3); group C (n = 233), 30 < ALT ≤ 40 IU/L and PLT ≥15 × 10(4)/mm(3); and group D (n = 100), 30 < ALT ≤ 40 IU/L and PLT <15 × 10(4)/mm(3). The mean observation period was 36.2 ± 16.5 months

RESULTS

In groups A and C, the HCC incidence was low even in patients with non-response (NR) (cumulative rates at 3 years, 0.0 and 2.9 %, respectively). In groups B and D, 14.5 and 5.3 % of NR patients had developed HCC at 3 years, but none of the patients with sustained virologic response (SVR) or relapse had developed HCC. In group B, no patients with mild fibrosis developed HCC irrespective of the antiviral effect of the treatment. Among patients with PLT <15 × 10(4)/mm(3) (group B plus group D), the HCC incidence was significantly lower in patients with SVR and relapse than in NR patients (p < 0.001, p = 0.021, respectively).

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that N-ALT patients with PLT <15 × 10(4)/mm(3) could be candidates for early antiviral therapy.

Genetic variants of heat shock protein A1L2437 and A1B1267 as possible risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma in India

To study the role of heat shock protein A1L (HSPA1L) and A1B (HSPA1B) polymorphisms and subsequent risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in India. Subjects enrolled included 185 cases of HCC, 182 cases of chronic hepatitis (CH) and 200 healthy controls. Genomic DNA was typed for HSPA1L2437 and HSPA1B1267 SNP using polymerase chain reaction with restriction fragment length polymorphism. Other risk factors were also analysed. Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, older age >35 years and high aflatoxin level in urine increased the risk of HCC. The frequencies of HSPA1L BB genotype and B allele in HCC were more than in CH [odds ratio (OR): 9.83; P = 0.000], but also in HBV-related HCC than Chronic Hepatitis B (CHB) [OR: 3.44; P = 0.004] and HCV-related HCC compared to CHC [OR: 6.32; P = 0.010]. The frequency of HSPA1B genotype in the homozygous state was more in CH [OR: 6.01; P = 0.001] and is a good marker to predict the risk of HCV-related CH (CHC) compared to controls. HCV-related HCC has a higher frequency of the B allele of HSPA1B than healthy controls [OR: 3.95; P = 0.000] and CHC [OR: 2.35; P = 0.000], respectively. The frequencies increased further significantly in CHC compared to healthy controls [OR: 9.26; P = 0.000]. The risk for the development of CH and HCC compared to healthy controls irrespective of the aetiology was significant in terms of the HSPA1B marker than HSPA1L in the Indian population.

Effect of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy on hepatocarcinogenesis in chronic hepatitis B patients: a propensity score analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Some patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection progress to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the long-term effect of nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy on progression to HCC is unclear.

METHODS

Therefore, we compared chronic hepatitis B patients who received NA therapy to those who did not, using a propensity analysis.

RESULTS

Of 785 consecutive HBV carriers between 1998 and 2008, 117 patients who received NA therapy and 117 patients who did not, were selected by eligibility criteria and propensity score matching. Factors associated with the development of HCC were analyzed. In the follow-up period, HCC developed in 57 of 234 patients (24.4%). Factors significantly associated with the incidence of HCC, as determined by Cox proportional hazards models, include higher age (hazard ratio, 4.36 [95% confidence interval, 1.33-14.29], p=0.015), NA treatment (0.28 [0.13-0.62], p=0.002), basal core promoter (BCP) mutations (12.74 [1.74-93.11], p=0.012), high HBV core-related antigen (HBcrAg) (2.77 [1.07-7.17], p=0.036), and high gamma glutamyl transpeptidase levels (2.76 [1.49-5.12], p=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

NA therapy reduced the risk of HCC compared with untreated controls. Higher serum levels of HBcrAg and BCP mutations are associated with progression to HCC, independent of NA therapy.

Characteristics of elderly hepatitis C virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The average age of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients has been rising in Japan. We evaluate characteristics of HCV-positive patients who develop HCC in older age to determine an optimal surveillance strategy.

METHODS

A total of 323 patients with three or more years of follow-up before HCC diagnosis and 323 propensity-matched controls without HCC were studied. HCC patients were classified into four groups according to age at the time of HCC diagnosis: group A (≤ 60 years, n = 36), group B (61-70 years, n = 115), group C (71-80 years, n = 143), and group D (> 80 years, n = 29). Clinical and laboratory data were compared.

RESULTS

Platelet counts were significantly higher in the older groups at HCC diagnosis (P < 0.0001). The rate of platelet counts decline was lower in older groups (P = 0.0107). The average integration value of serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) in groups A, B, C, and D were 80.9 IU/L, 62.3 IU/L, 59.0 IU/L, and 44.9 IU/L, respectively (P < 0.0001). In older patients (≥ 65 years old), cirrhosis and average integration value of ALT were significantly associated with hepatocarcinogenesis, but platelet count was not.

CONCLUSION

Elderly HCV-positive patients (≥ 65 years old) with low ALT values developed HCC regardless of their platelet counts. These findings should be taken into account when designing the most suitable HCC surveillance protocol for this population.

Updated thresholds for serum alanine aminotransferase level in a large-scale population study composed of 34 346 subjects

BACKGROUND

The sensitivity of current upper limit of normal (ULN) of serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels for detecting chronic liver disease has been challenged recently.

AIM

To identify modulating factors for serum ALT levels and to refine its ULN threshold.

METHODS

We enrolled 34 346 consecutive subjects who completed the health check-up at Taipei Veterans General Hospital from 2002 to 2009. ULN was set for healthy ALT level to the 95th percentile of the reference healthy population.

RESULTS

A group of 21 282 subjects were used as a training set to define an ULN with the highest sensitivity; afterwards, this ULN was validated in another set of 13 064 subjects. A reference healthy population was selected from the training set after excluding subjects with any abnormalities in independent risk factors associated with elevated serum ALT level (>40 IU/L) by multivariate analysis like body mass index, waist circumference, glucose, cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, triglyceride, hepatitis B virus surface antigen, anti-hepatitis C virus antibody and fatty liver. The new ULN of serum ALT level defined as the 95% percentile in the healthy population were 21 IU/L and 17 IU/L for men and women respectively. These cut-off values had the highest Youden's index and areas under the corresponding receiver operating curves among four widely applied thresholds in both the training and validation sets.

CONCLUSIONS

The suggested threshold of upper limit of normal provides better discrimination between healthy and unhealthy status. Viral hepatitis, metabolic syndrome and fatty liver are the major risk factors of elevated serum alanine aminotransferase levels.

Basic answers to complicated questions for the course of chronic hepatitis C treatment

Hepatitis C virus infection is a long-lasting disease, which causes chronic hepatitis, liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, thus leading to liver-related death. Currently, the optimal treatment for chronic hepatitis C infection is the combination of pegylated interferon and ribavirin. The aim of this review is to assess the long-term clinical outcomes of interferons alone or in combination with ribavirin in the management of chronic hepatitis C.

The interleukin 28B rs12979860 C/T polymorphism and serum cholesterol as predictors of fibrosis progression in patients with chronic hepatitis C and persistently normal transaminases

The interleukin 28B (IL-28B) rs12979860 C/T polymorphism is a predictor of spontaneous and treatment-induced hepatitis C virus (HCV) clearance. The C/C genotype is associated with higher serum cholesterol, predictor of a favorable outcome in chronic hepatitis C. Whether IL-28B polymorphism and serum cholesterol play a role in modulating the history of mild hepatitis C is unknown. To clarify this issue, 93 untreated patients infected with HCV with normal or near-normal transaminases and an initial Ishak staging score ≤1 were investigated retrospectively in the longitudinal study (median histological follow-up of 10 years). An additional confirmatory cohort of 143 patients with chronic HCV infection and abnormal levels of transaminases was evaluated in the cross-sectional study. In the longitudinal study, at the end of follow-up, Ishak staging scores progressed more frequently among carriers of a T/* allele who had a baseline serum cholesterol ≤175 mg/dl than in remaining patients: 6/36 (change ≤0), 15/45 (change 1-2), 6/12 (change ≥3), improvement chi-square P < 0.02, OR 3.1, 95% C.I. 1.3-7.7. In the cross-sectional study, the frequency of patients carrying the T/T genotype or serum cholesterol values ≤175 mg/dl increased starting from those with a staging score ≤2 (36/76, 47.4%), to those with a staging score of 3-4 (26/41, 63.4%) and to those with a staging score of 5-6 (20/26, 76.9%, P < 0.01 for linear trend). In conclusion, the interaction between IL-28B rs12979860 T/T genotype and low serum cholesterol concentration is an independent predictor of a worse disease course among patients infected with HCV with normal or near-normal transaminases.

Should we treat HCV carriers with normal ALT levels? The '5Ws' dilemma

Approximately 30% of patients with chronic HCV infection have persistently normal ALT levels. Although formerly referred to as 'healthy' or 'asymptomatic' HCV carriers, and thus historically excluded from antiviral treatment, it has now become clear that the majority of these patients have some degree of histological liver damage that may be significant in up to 20% of cases and might progress towards a more severe degree of liver fibrosis. A significant proportion of patients experience periods of increased serum ALT associated with enhanced disease progression. However, controversies still exist in clinical practice regarding the definition of 'persistent' ALT normality, the virological and histological features of these subjects, the need for liver biopsy, the role of noninvasive tools for the assessment of liver fibrosis, the natural history and the usefulness of antiviral treatment. The advent of new therapeutic options (pegylated interferon plus ribavirin) has shifted treatment targets towards the eradication of underlying infection, with therapy decision based on age, severity of disease and likelihood of response rather than on aminotransferase levels. This review is aimed at approaching the main unresolved issues on this topic, trying to give evidence-based answers to the more frequently asked questions from patients and their physicians.

Decrease in alpha-fetoprotein levels predicts reduced incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C virus infection receiving interferon therapy: a single center study

BACKGROUND

Increasing evidence suggests the efficacy of interferon therapy for hepatitis C in reducing the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to identify predictive markers for the risk of HCC incidence in chronic hepatitis C patients receiving interferon therapy.

METHODS

A total of 382 patients were treated with standard interferon or pegylated interferon in combination with ribavirin for chronic hepatitis C in a single center and evaluated for variables predictive of HCC incidence.

RESULTS

Incidence rates of HCC after interferon therapy were 6.6% at 5 years and 13.4% at 8 years. Non-sustained virological response (non-SVR) to antiviral therapy was an independent predictor for incidence of HCC in the total study population. Among 197 non-SVR patients, independent predictive factors were an average alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) integration value ≥10 ng/mL and male gender. Even in patients whose AFP levels before interferon therapy were ≥10 ng/mL, reduction of average AFP integration value to <10 ng/mL by treatment was strongly associated with a reduced incidence of HCC. This was significant compared to patients with average AFP integration values of ≥10 ng/mL (P = 0.009).

CONCLUSIONS

Achieving sustained virological response (SVR) by interferon therapy reduces the incidence of HCC in hepatitis C patients treated with interferon. Among non-SVR patients, a decrease in the AFP integration value by interferon therapy closely correlates with reduced risk of HCC incidence after treatment.

Improving the techniques for human hepatocyte transplantation: report from a consensus meeting in London

On September 6 and 7, 2009 a meeting was held in London to identify and discuss what are perceived to be current roadblocks to effective hepatocyte transplantation as it is currently practiced in the clinics and, where possible, to offer suggestions to overcome the blocks and improve the outcomes for this cellular therapy. Present were representatives of most of the active clinical hepatocyte transplant programs along with other scientists who have contributed substantial basic research to this field. Over the 2-day sessions based on the experience of the participants, numerous roadblocks or challenges were identified, including the source of cells for the transplants and problems with tracking cells following transplantation. Much of the discussion was focused on methods to improve engraftment and proliferation of donor cells posttransplantation. The group concluded that, for now, parenchymal hepatocytes isolated from donor livers remain the best cell source for transplantation. It was reported that investigations with other cell sources, including stem cells, were at the preclinical and early clinical stages. Numerous methods to modulate the immune reaction and vascular changes that accompany hepatocyte transplantation were proposed. It was agreed that, to obtain sufficient levels of repopulation of liver with donor cells in patients with metabolic liver disease, some form of liver preconditioning would likely be required to enhance the engraftment and/or proliferation of donor cells. It was reported that clinical protocols for preconditioning by hepatic irradiation, portal vein embolization, and surgical resection had been developed and that clinical studies using these protocols would be initiated in the near future. Participants concluded that sharing information between the groups, including standard information concerning the quality and function of the transplanted cells prior to transplantation, clinical information on outcomes, and standard preconditioning protocols, would help move the field forward and was encouraged.

Predictive value of tumor markers for hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with hepatitis C virus

BACKGROUND

Increases in tumor markers are sometimes seen in patients with chronic liver disease without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to determine the relationship between the levels of three tumor markers [alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3%), and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP)] and hepatic carcinogenesis to identify hepatitis C virus (HCV) carriers at high risk for cancer development.

METHODS

A total of 623 consecutive HCV carriers with follow-up periods of >3 years were included. The average integration values were calculated from biochemical tests, and tumor markers, including AFP, AFP-L3%, and DCP, and factors associated with the cumulative incidence of HCC were analyzed.

RESULTS

HCC developed in 120 (19.3%) of the 623 patients. Age >65 years [adjusted relative risk, 2.303 (95% confidence interval, 1.551-3.418), P < 0.001], low platelet count [3.086 (1.997-4.768), P < 0.001], high aspartate aminotransferase value [3.001 (1.373-6.562), P < 0.001], high AFP level [≥10, <20 ng/mL: 2.814 (1.686-4.697), P < 0.001; ≥20 ng/mL: 3.405 (2.087-5.557), P < 0.001] compared to <10 ng/mL, and high AFP-L3% level [≥5, <10%: 2.494 (1.291-4.816), P = 0.007; ≥10%: 3.555 (1.609-7.858), P < 0.001] compared to <5% were significantly associated with an increased incidence of HCC on multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased AFP or AFP-L3% levels were significantly associated with an increased incidence of HCC. Among HCV carriers, patients with ≥10 ng/mL AFP or patients with ≥5% AFP-L3% are at very high risk for the development of HCC even if AFP is less than 20 ng/mL or AFP-L3% is less than 10%, which are the most commonly reported cutoff values.

Apolipoprotein E genotypes modulate fibrosis progression in patients with chronic hepatitis C and persistently normal transaminases

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Carriage of the apolipoprotein E (Apo E) variants, E2, E3 and E4, affects cholesterol metabolism and may be involved in the persistence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Our aim was to verify whether carriage of specific Apo E variants modulates the course of hepatitis C.

METHODS

We studied a cohort of 116 HCV-positive patients (49 male subjects) with persistently normal transaminases and an Ishak staging score ≤ 2 at an initial biopsy. These untreated patients underwent regular clinical monitoring (median histological follow up: 10 years). Apo E variants were genotyped and results were related to the histological outcome.

RESULTS

The mean ± standard deviation staging scores were 0.9 ± 0.7 at entry versus 1.9 ± 1.2 at the end of follow up, P < 0.0001. Initial and final staging scores in the E3/E3 homozygotes (n = 74) were 1.0 ± 0.7 versus 2.1 ± 1.3, P < 0.0001, while in the remaining patients (n = 42) they were 0.9 ± 0.6 versus 1.5 ± 1.0, P < 0.002. A synergistic effect was observed between Apo E polymorphisms and baseline serum cholesterol values: patients not carrying any E3 allele, as well as carriers of a single E3 allele with serum cholesterol concentration > 190 mg/dL were more likely to have a favorable outcome (final vs initial staging score increased in 7/66, did not change in 10/46, and decreased in 3/4, P <0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Some of the variability in the natural history of patients with persistently normal transaminases with initially mild hepatitis C can be related to their Apo E genetic background.

Genetic polymorphisms of interleukin-6 modulate fibrosis progression in mild chronic hepatitis C

Genetic polymorphisms of interleukin-6 (IL-6) (-1363G>T, -597G>A, -572G>C, -174G>C, +2954G>C) may affect the outcomes of several diseases. This study was aimed to verify the role of these polymorphisms on the disease progression of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and persistently normal transaminases (PNALT). A total of 121 PNALT patients did not receive any antiviral treatment but underwent periodic clinical monitoring, including repeat biopsies, for a median of 120 months. IL6-1363G>T, -597G>A, -572G>C, -174G>C, +2954G>C polymorphisms were related to histologic fibrosis progression. Among patients whose grading and staging scores increased at the end of the follow-up ≥2 Ishak points (N = 60 and N = 26, respectively), IL-6 -174G>C genotype frequencies were GG 37/66, GC 21/45, CC 2/10 (p = 0.041) and GG 18/66, GC 8/45, CC 0/10 (p = 0.040), respectively. The following frequencies were observed for the 572G>C polymorphism: GG 50/105, GC 10/16, CC 0/0, and GG 19/105, GC 7/16, CC 0/0, respectively. Grading progression was independently associated with carriage of the G allele in -174G>C polymorphism (oddd ratio = 5.07%, 95% confidence interval = 0.959-26.8, p = 0.023). Staging progression was independently associated with carriage of the C allele in -572G>C polymorphism (odd ratio = 4.60%, 95% confidence interval 1.42-14.8, p = 0.012). IL-6 polymorphisms influence histologic progression of HCV in patients with PNALT.

High serum alanine aminotransferase levels for the first three successive years can predict very high incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with Child Stage A HCV-associated liver cirrhosis

Abstract Objective. To assess retrospectively whether continuously high serum alanine aminotransferase (ALAT) levels (<80 IU) in the first three successive years after the diagnosis of liver cirrhosis (LC) are predictive of a subsequent high incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with Child Stage A hepatitis C virus (HCV)-LC. Material and methods. The study comprised 132 HCV-LC (Child Stage A) patients who had not received interferon therapy but had been treated with anti-inflammatory agents. At the end of a 3-year follow-up after the diagnosis of LC, the patients were subdivided into three groups according to their serum ALAT levels and the subsequent incidence of HCC was assessed. Results. The cumulative incidence of HCC starting from 3 years after the diagnosis of LC in the continuously high ALAT group (annual average over 3 years always > or =80 IU; n=41; Group A) was markedly higher than that in the continuously low ALAT group (always <80 IU; n=48; Group B) (p<0.005) during an observation period of 7.9+/-3.7 years. The incidence of HCC in Group A was 11.8%/year. The odds ratios of developing HCC in Group A and Group C (mixed high and low ALAT levels; n=43) were 5.1-fold and 1.5-fold that of Group B, respectively. A multivariate analysis revealed that the ALAT group was independently associated with HCC development. Conclusions. Continuously high ALAT levels for three successive years following the diagnosis of LC can be predictive of a very high incidence of HCC in Child A HCV-LC patients. Prospective trials using therapeutic approaches aimed at decreasing ALAT levels are necessary in order to confirm a positive impact of ALAT reduction on the incidence of HCC in patients with HCV-LC.

Impact of pegylated interferon and ribavirin on morbidity and mortality in patients with chronic hepatitis C and normal aminotransferases in France

Clinicians continue to raise questions concerning the necessity of treating chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients with normal alanine aminotransferase (N-ALT), in light of their slower progression to cirrhosis than patients with elevated alanine aminotraferase (E-ALT). This study was undertaken to predict the impact of pegylated interferon (IFN) and ribavirin on HCV-related morbidity and mortality in patients with N-ALT. A previous Markov model was adapted to separately simulate patients with N-ALT (30%) and those with E-ALT (70%). The model estimates fibrosis progression rates according to age, sex, and whether ALT levels are normal or elevated, assuming that patients with E-ALT have a 2.6 times higher progression than those with N-ALT. It takes into account improvement in HCV screening and treatment and competitive mortality. We assumed that N-ALT patients were treated 80% less frequently between 2002 and 2004 and 70% less frequently from 2005 on, as obtained in real life from three multicentric cohorts (Hepatys, Adequation, Persee). Antiviral treatment of HCV-infected populations might reduce 2008-2025 HCV-related morbidity and mortality by 34,200 cases of cirrhosis (36%, 33,000-35,000), 22,400 complications (28%, 21,000-23,000) and 17,500 deaths (25%, 17,000-18,000), including 3000 cases of cirrhosis (22%, 2000-5000), 1200 complications (15%, 1000-1700), and 1000 deaths (14%, 900-1300) in the N-ALT population, despite a probability of receiving treatment that is three to five times less in this population. If N-ALT patients are treated at the same proportions as those with E-ALT, morbidity and mortality could be further reduced by 1400 cases of cirrhosis (13%, 1200-2200), 600 complications (9%, 600-1000), and 500 deaths (9%, 500-800).

CONCLUSION

Treatment of N-ALT patients would decrease HCV morbidity and mortality. These patients should be considered candidates for treatment just as others are.