Focus: quantitative HBsAg measurement as a new surrogate marker for assessment of hepatic fibrosis in HBeAg+ chronic hepatitis B

A non-invasive model for predicting liver fibrosis in HBeAg-positive patients with normal or slightly elevated alanine aminotransferase

ABSTRACT

Early and accurate diagnosis of liver fibrosis is necessary for HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with normal or slightly increased alanine aminotransferase (ALT), Liver biopsy and many non-invasive predicting markers have several application restrictions in grass-roots hospitals. We aimed to construct a non-invasive model based on routinely serum markers to predict liver fibrosis for this population.A total of 363 CHB patients with HBeAg-positive, ALT ≤2-fold the upper limit of normal and liver biopsy data were randomly divided into training (n = 266) and validation groups (n = 97). Two non-invasive models were established based on multivariable logistic regression analysis in the training group. Model 2 with a lower Akaike information criterion (AIC) was selected as a better predictive model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) was used to evaluate the model and was then independently validated in the validation group.The formula of Model 2 was logit (Model value) = 5.67+0.08 × Age -2.44 × log10 [the quantification of serum HBsAg (qHBsAg)] -0.60 × log10 [the quantification of serum HBeAg (qHBeAg)]+0.02 × ALT+0.03 ×  aspartate aminotransferase (AST). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.89 for the training group and 0.86 for the validation group. Using 2 cut-off points of -2.61 and 0.25, 59% of patients could be identified with liver fibrosis and antiviral treatment decisions were made without liver biopsies, and 149 patients were recommended to undergo liver biopsy for accurate diagnosis.In this study, the non-invasive model could predict liver fibrosis and may reduce the need for liver biopsy in HBeAg-positive CHB patients with normal or slightly increased ALT.

Development and validation of a model for staging hepatic fibrosis for chronic hepatitis B patients with E antigen-positive

Background

Interest is growing in the use of non-invasive techniques for complementing liver biopsy for liver fibrosis assessment. We aimed to prospectively evaluate liver histology in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with e-antigen positivity, and develop and validate a novel scoring system—e-antigen-positive CHB liver fibrosis (EPLF) score—for noninvasively predicting the fibrosis stages.

Methods

We identified the baseline variables associated with fibrosis stage (MATAVIR score, F0–F4) in 212 CHB patients with e-antigen positivity. These significant variables were used to develop the EPLF scoring system. The EPLF score equation was developed based on the prediction of fibrosis stages via multivariate ordered logistic regression analysis. The diagnostic powers of the EPLF score and several non-invasive markers were assessed through an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analyses. This EPLF score model was validated in another set of 208 similar patients.

Results

The natural logarithms of serum albumin, HBeAg, and HBsAg levels were selected as significant independent variables for the EPLF score equation. The EPLF score had good diagnostic power (AUROC, 0.72–0.90, p<0.001) and good diagnostic accuracy (72–85%), with a high positive predictive value (80.8–92.8%) for each fibrosis stage in the test group. Similar results were observed in the validation group (AUROC, 0.73–0.89, p<0.001). The EPLF score exhibited a strong correlation with fibrosis stage (r=0.67, p<0.001), and was the preferable non-invasive marker for staging liver fibrosis.

Conclusion

In e-antigen-positive patients with CHB, the EPLF score could serve as a potential non-invasive marker of liver fibrosis stage.

Factors associated with the decrease in hepatitis B surface antigen titers following interferon therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B: Is interferon and adefovir combination therapy effective?

The purpose of antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is generally to achieve a decrease and ultimately disappearance of HBs antigen (HBsAg). Interferon (IFN) therapy of CHB appears to be less effective in Asian countries than in European countries, and the advantage of IFN and nucleotide(s) analog (NA) combination therapy has yet to be fully investigated. The present study focused on the factors associated with a decrease in HBs antigen following IFN monotherapy or IFN + NA combination therapy. A total of 35 patients with CHB who received IFN-based therapy (mean ± standard deviation age 36.7±8.5 years; 27 males and 8 females) were enrolled in this study. Of the 35 patients, 21 patients received pegylated IFN monotherapy and 14 patients received IFN and adefovir (ADV) combination therapy. We examined the factors associated with reductions in the HBsAg titer of >1.0 log IU/ml from the initial HBsAg titer to the end of treatment and to 24 weeks after treatment. Although 13 patients (37%) had a reduction in HBsAg of >1.0 IU/ml at the end of treatment, it was only maintained to 24 weeks after treatment in 7 patients (20%). The HBV core-related antigen (HBcrAg) titer before treatment was significantly higher in patients with a decrease in HBsAg at the end of treatment than in patients without a decrease in HBsAg (6.56±0.78 vs. 5.30±1.66 log IU/ml, P<0.05). Moreover, an increase in alanine aminotransferase (ALT) of >2 times from baseline occurred significantly more frequently in patients with a decrease in HBsAg (62 vs. 14%, P<0.05). The proportion of patients with a decrease in HBsAg was significantly greater in patients who received IFN monotherapy than in patients who received IFN and ADV combination therapy (43 vs. 29%, P<0.05). The present results revealed that the HBcr antigen titer before therapy and an on-treatment elevation of ALT (indicative of host instruction flare) are important factors associated with a decrease in HBsAg titers after IFN-based therapy. The efficacy of IFN and ADV combination therapy was not apparent in terms of a reduction in the HBsAg titer.

Serum Levels of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Predict Severity of Fibrosis in Patients With E Antigen-Positive Chronic Hepatitis B

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Noninvasive techniques are needed to assess hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B. We developed a scoring system to determine the degree of fibrosis in patients with genotype B or genotype C hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and positive for the hepatitis B e antigen.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study to identify baseline variables associated with the severity of fibrosis (METAVIR scores, F0-F4) in a large phase 3 clinical trial of predominantly Asian patients (n = 710), using multivariate logistic regression analyses. Significant variables were used to construct predictive models using optimal cut-off values. The final model was validated in similar patients from a large phase 4 clinical trial (n = 465).

RESULTS

We developed 2 prediction scoring systems (PSs). PS1 analyzed data on HBV genotype (B vs. C), patient age (<30 vs. ≥30 y), level of hepatitis B surface antigen (≤17,500 vs. >17,500 IU/mL), and level of alanine aminotransferase (≤3-fold vs. >3-fold the upper limit of normal). PS2 analyzed data on only age and level of hepatitis B surface antigen. PS1 identified patients with F0 to F1 vs. F2 to F4 fibrosis with more than 87% specificity and a positive predictive value greater than 75; it identified patients with F0 to F2 vs. F2 to F4 fibrosis with approximately 95% specificity and a positive predictive value (PPV) of approximately 97%. PS2 identified patients with F0 to F1 fibrosis with less accuracy than PS1, but identified patients with F0 to F2 fibrosis with an almost identical level of sensitivity and PPV.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a simple scoring system to determine the severity of fibrosis in patients with genotypes B or C HBV infection who are hepatitis B e antigen positive. Our system differentiated patients with no or mild fibrosis (F0-F1) from those with marked or severe (F2-F4) fibrosis with a high PPV. The high level of specificity for the identification of nonsevere fibrosis (F0-F2) limits the risk of overlooking patients with severe fibrosis (F3-F4).

Development and validation of a prediction score for complications after hepatectomy in hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Objective and Background

The aim of the present study was to develop and validate a prediction score for postoperative complications by severity and guide perioperative management and patient selection in hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing liver resection.

Methods

A total of 1543 consecutive liver resections cases were included in the study. Randomly selected sample set of 70% of the study cohort was used to develop a score to predict complications III–V and the remaining 30% was used to validate the score. Based on the preoperative and predictable intraoperative parameters, logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors and create an integer score for the predicting of complication.

Results

American Society of Anesthesiologists category, portal hypertension, major liver resection (more than 3 segments) and extrahepatic procedures were identified as independent predictors for complications III–V by logistic regression analysis. A score system integrating these 4 factors was stratified into three groups and significantly predicted the risk of complications III–V, with a rate of 1.6%, 11.9% and 65.6% for low, moderate and high risk, respectively. Using the score, the complications risk could be predicted accurately in the validation set, without significant differences between predicted (10.4%) and observed (8.4%) risks for complications III–V (P = 0.466).

Conclusions

Based on four preoperative risk factors, we have developed and validated an integer-based risk score to predict postoperative severe complications after liver resection for hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients in high-volume surgical center. This score may contribute to preoperative risk stratification and clinical decision-making.

Hepatitis C virus core antigen testing: Role in diagnosis, disease monitoring and treatment

While hepatitis B virus (HBV) screening relies on hepatitis B surface antigen to confirm HBV infection since the early days of hepatitis B disease management, hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection screening is based on anti-HCV testing which does not discriminate active from past infection. Thus to confirm infection HCV RNA testing has been required; recently a HCV core antigen assay became widely commercially available which could serve to confirm infection. That assay is less sensitive than current HCV RNA assays, but as more than 50% of anti-HCV positive persons will be HCV core antigen positive, HCV core antigen testing can be a cost effective and reflex test to confirm HCV infection in anti-HCV positive individuals and will be easier as it can be applied on the same platform. For treatment monitoring, more data need to be generated, but the early data available at present suggest that HCV core antigen may be an alternative to HCV RNA monitoring. With direct antivirals, HCV core antigen could even be superior to HCV RNA testing, as direct antivirals might already prevent virus formation when HCV core antigen is still produced and thereby correlates better with eventual viral clearance.

Hepatitis B surface antigen quantification in chronic hepatitis B and its clinical utility

Serum HBsAg levels have been quantified extensively in recent years with simple completely automated assays in the various phases of the natural course of chronic HBV infection, have been compared with cccDNA in the liver, with various markers of HBV replication and have been correlated with several viral, host and environmental variables. Low HBsAg levels in inactive carriers predict a spontaneous HbsAg loss. Quantification of HBsAg in serum at baseline and its decline under interferon-alfa based regimens, both in HBeAg-positive and HBeAg-negative CHB, provides important information on the prediction of sustained post-treatment outcomes and on subsequent HBsAg clearance. The value of HBsAg quantification in the monitoring of long term nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment of CHB and in the prediction of sustained response remains unclear. In this review, the most recent data regarding the overall clinical utility of HBsAg measurement in HBeAg-positive and -negative CHB and in their treatment, is critically presented.