Clinical and transesophageal echocardiographic variables for prediction of thromboembolic events in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation at low-intermediate risk

CHA2DS2-VASc score, P-wave indexes, and echocardiographic parameters in sinus rhythm patients without valvular heart disease

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the correlation between P-wave indexes, echocardiographic parameters, and CHA2DS2-VASc score in patients without atrial fibrillation and valvular disease.

METHODS

This retrospective cross-sectional study included patients of a tertiary hospital with no history of atrial fibrillation, atrial flutter, or valve disease and collected data from June 2021 to May 2022. The exclusion criteria were as follows: unavailable medical records, pacemaker carriers, absence of echocardiogram report, or uninterpretable ECG. Clinical, electrocardiographic [i.e., P-wave duration, amplitude, dispersion, variability, maximum, minimum, and P-wave voltage in lead I, Morris index, PR interval, P/PR ratio, and P-wave peak time], and echocardiographic data [i.e., left atrium and left ventricle size, left ventricle ejection fraction, left ventricle mass, and left ventricle indexed mass] from 272 patients were analyzed.

RESULTS

PR interval (RHO=0.13, p=0.032), left atrium (RHO=0.301, p<0.001) and left ventricle diameter (RHO=0.197, p=0.001), left ventricle mass (RHO=0.261, p<0.001), and left ventricle indexed mass (RHO=0.340, p<0.001) were positively associated with CHA2DS2-VASc score, whereas P-wave amplitude (RHO=-0.141, p=0.02), P-wave voltage in lead I (RHO=-0.191, p=0.002), and left ventricle ejection fraction (RHO=-0.344, p<0.001) were negatively associated with the same score. The presence of the Morris index was associated with high CHA2DS2-VASc (p=0.022).

CONCLUSION

Prolonged PR interval, Morris index, increased left atrium diameter, left ventricle diameter, left ventricle mass, and left ventricle indexed mass values as well as lower P-wave amplitude, P-wave voltage in lead I, and left ventricle ejection fraction values were correlated with higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores.

Mean Platelet Volume to Platelet Count Ratio Predicts Left Atrial Stasis in Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation

Background

The mean platelet volume to platelet count ratio (MPV/PC) has been investigated in the diagnosis, prognosis and risk stratification in several diseases. However, the predictive role of MPV/PC in left atrial stasis (LAS) of non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients remains unknown.

Methods

A total of 217 consecutive NVAF patients undergoing transesophageal echocardiogram (TEE) evaluation were retrospectively enrolled. The demographic, clinical, admission laboratory and TEE data were extracted and analyzed. Patients were categorized into those with or without LAS. The associations between the MPV/PC ratio and LAS were assessed by multivariate logistic regression analysis.

Results

There were 24.9% (n = 54) patients with LAS according to TEE. Compared with patients without LAS, the MPV/PC ratio was significantly higher in those with LAS (5.6±1.6 vs 4.8±1.0, P < 0.001). After multivariable adjustment, higher MPV/PC ratio levels (OR 1.747, 95% CI 1.193-2.559, P = 0.004) were positively associated with LAS, with the optimal cut-point for LAS prediction of 5.36 (area under the curve, AUC = 0.683, sensitivity 48%, specificity 73%, 95% CI 0.589-0.777, P < 0.001). The stratification analysis showed that a significant positive correlation between MPV/PC ratio ≥5.36 and LAS in patients of male, younger (<65 years), paroxysmal AF, without history of stroke/TIA, CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥2, left atrial diameter (LAD) ≥40mm and left atrial volume index (LAVI) >34mL/m² (all P < 0.05).

Conclusion

Increasing MPV/PC ratio was associated with an increased risk of LAS, which was mainly reflected in the subgroups of male, younger (<65 years), paroxysmal AF, without history of stroke/TIA, CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥2, LAD ≥40mm and LAVI >34mL/m² patients.

Stroke risk associated with carotid and aortic atherosclerosis in patients with atrial fibrillation: A systematic review

OBJECTIVE

This review aimed to summarize the evidence on the risk of thromboembolism associated with carotid and aortic atherosclerosis in patients with AF, and the potential impact of their inclusion in current stroke risk stratification scores.

METHODS

MEDLINE, Web of Science and EMBASE were systematically searched to identify all published studies providing relevant data through 28 February 2021.

RESULTS

We identified 10 eligible studies. There was high heterogeneity across studies, precluding a meta-analysis. Carotid stenosis was not associated with incident ischemic stroke in three prospective studies, including the SPAF II trial and the ROCKET-AF trial. An association between carotid stenosis and thromboembolism was found in two studies, with a potential reporting bias due to their retrospective design. The evidence suggesting that carotid plaque predicts stroke or transient ischemic attack in AF patients were more consistent in the four studies evaluating this association. The inclusion of carotid plaque and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) into stroke risk stratification tools for AF patients improved their performance. Data on the association of aortic plaque with thromboembolism is scarce in patients with AF. The two studies reporting on this association suggest that aortic plaque alone does not predict incident ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSION

Available data suggest an association of carotid atherosclerosis with the risk of stroke and transient ischemic attack in patients with AF. Future studies should evaluate whether incorporating cIMT and characteristics of carotid and aortic plaques into scoring systems would improve stroke prediction and prevention in patients with AF.

A novel scoring system for stroke risk stratification in Japanese patients with low CHADS2 scores: Study using a transesophageal-echocardiogram endpoint

BACKGROUND

Catheter ablation is an effective treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF), but it carries risk of perioperative thromboembolism even in cases with low CHADS2 scores. Here, we examined whether a combination of clinical variables can predict stroke risk factors that are assessed by transesophageal echocardiography (TEE).

METHODS

The study population consisted of 209 consecutive AF patients with a CHADS2 score of 0 or 1 (58.7 ± 10.6 years old; persistent AF, 33.0%). All patients underwent TEE, and TEE-determined stroke risk (TEE risk) was defined as cardiac thrombus/sludge, dense spontaneous echo contrast (SEC), and/or peak left atrial appendage (LAA) flow velocity <0.25 m/s.

RESULTS

Transesophageal echocardiography risk was observed in 10.5% of the patients. In multivariate logistic analysis, persistent AF [odds ratio (OR): 11.5, CI: 3.14-42.1, P = .0002], left atrial diameter (LAD) (OR: 1.10, CI: 1.01-1.20, P = .0293), contrast medium defect (CMD) in the LAA detected by computed tomography (OR: 20.2, CI: 6.3-65.0, P < .0001), and serum brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) level (OR: 1.00, CI: 1.00-1.01, P = .0056) were independent predictors of TEE risk. A new scoring system comprising LAD > 41 mm (1 point), BNP > 47 pg/mL (1 point), CMD (2 points), and persistent AF (2 points) was constructed and defined as TEE-risk score. The area under the curve (AUC) for prediction of TEE risk was 0.631 in modified CHADS2 score and it was 0.852 in TEE-risk score.

CONCLUSION

Transesophageal echocardiography risk is predictable by TEE-risk score, and its combination with CHADS2 score may improve the stroke risk stratification in AF patients with a low CHADS2 score.

Left atrial appendage morphology and relative contrast agent concentration in patients undergoing coronary artery CTA

AIM

To evaluate whether certain morphological features of the left atrial appendage (LAA) would influence the LAA/ascending aorta (AA) radiodensity ratio, as a reflection of the blood flow conditions in the LAA.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Eight-hundred and eight consecutive patients undergoing computed tomography angiography (CCTA) were evaluated. Of these, 749 had no history of atrial fibrillation and none had suffered acute stroke. The LAA/AA radiodensity ratio, and the length, lobe number, and morphological classification of LAAs were assessed.

RESULTS

The distribution of morphological classes for LAAs were: windsock 62.3%, cactus 18.6%, chicken wing 10.0%, and cauliflower 9.2%. The mean LAA/AA radiodensity ratio was 0.87±0.14 (range 0.22-1.44). Female gender (p=0.001), elevated body mass index (BMI; r=-0.129; p=0.003), and diabetes (p=0.03) were associated with lower LAA/AA radiodensity ratios, while heart failure (p=0.017), significant coronary artery stenosis (p=0.010), and LAAs with multiple lobes (p=0.018), exhibited higher LAA/AA radiodensity ratios. Multiple regression analysis revealed that a short one-lobed cauliflower morphology was an independent predictor (p=0.007) of a decreased LAA/AA radiodensity ratio.

CONCLUSION

A decline in the LAA/AA radiodensity ratio may reflect decreased blood flow in the LAA, paralleling spontaneous echo contrast in transoesophageal echocardiography. Thus, CCTA might be of value in recognising LAA structures that predispose to decreased blood flow.

High Cardiac Troponin I Is Associated With Transesophageal Echocardiographic Risk of Thromboembolism and Ischemic Stroke Events in Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation Patients

BACKGROUND

Abnormalities in the left atrium (LA) detected on transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) are reliable predictors of thromboembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Cardiac troponin I, a marker of subclinical myocardial damage, may also be a predictor of thromboembolic events in patients with AF. The relationship between cardiac troponin I and thromboembolic risk on TEE, however, remains unclear.Methods and Results:TEE and laboratory data, including high sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, were analyzed in 199 patients with non-valvular AF (NVAF). Patients were stratified into those with or without LA abnormality, defined as LA appendage flow velocity <20 cm/s or dense spontaneous echo contrast. On multiple logistic analysis of the clinical variables, hs-cTnI was associated with LA abnormality (95% CI: 1.0003-1.020, P=0.034). The area under the curve for LA abnormality increased on addition of hs-cTnI to CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. The incidence rate of ischemic stroke was higher in the high hs-cTnI group than in the low-hs-cTnI group (log-rank test, P<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated hs-cTnI was independently associated with LA abnormality in NVAF patients. hs-cTnI level may be a useful biomarker for risk stratification of thromboembolism in NVAF patients.

Transesophageal echocardiographic thromboembolic risk is associated with smoking status in patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Smoking is a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, but it is unclear whether smoking status, including environmental tobacco smoke, increases stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Abnormalities of the left atrium (LA) and aortic atherosclerosis, as detected by transesophageal echocardiography (TEE), are risk factors for stroke and thromboembolism in AF patients. We investigated the impact of smoking status on thromboembolic risk by TEE in patients with nonvalvular AF.

METHODS

In 122 patients with AF (mean age, 63 years; chronic AF 50%) who underwent TEE before catheter ablation of AF or for detection of the potential cardioembolic source, urinary concentrations of cotinine and clinical variables including smoking status and the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score were determined.

RESULTS

Severe aortic atherosclerosis and increased aortic wall thickness were more frequently detected by TEE in current smokers than in non-smokers (p<0.05), though these findings did not significantly differ between non-smokers and environmental smokers. Patients in AF rhythm during TEE, who were environmental smokers and at relatively low risk, as stratified by their CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (≤ 2), showed lower LA appendage flow velocity than those without environmental smoking (47±22 vs. 34±13 cm/sec, p<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

TEE findings indicated that smoking status could be associated with thromboembolic risk in patients with AF.

High uric acid level predicts left atrial thrombus or spontaneous echo contrast detected by transesophageal echocardiography: Meta-analysis and systematic review

Background

Recent observational studies have suggested that the patients with hyperuricemia have a higher risk of having left atrial thrombus (LATH) or left atrial spontaneous echo contrast (LASEC) by transesophageal echocardiography (TEE), while the ultimate predictive value of a high uric acid (UA) level on LATH/LASEC remained obscure.

Methods

We searched the PubMed and Cochrane clinical trials databases up to July 2015. Following screening the 369 initially identified studies, we analyzed six observational studies with 2381 patients.

Results

The meta-analysis of these studies showed that an elevated serum UA level was associated with a higher likelihood of LATH/LASEC (OR = 1.59, 95%CI 1.13–2.23, P = 0.008), while significant differences exist among individual trials (P < 0.00001 and I² = 85%). Sensitivity analysis failed to find any heterogeneity.

Conclusion

An elevated UA level was associated with a higher risk of detecting a left atrial abnormality represented by LATH/LASEC.

Effects of body mass index on risks for ischemic stroke, thromboembolism, and mortality in Chinese atrial fibrillation patients: a single-center experience

Background

Obesity is considered to be related to recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF), left atrial thrombus formation, and atrial remodeling. However, whether obesity is an independent risk factor for stroke and other thromboembolic events is still controversial.

Objective

This study aimed to investigate the effects of body mass index (BMI) on the risks of stroke, thromboembolism, and mortality in AF patients.

Methods

Patients who were diagnosed with nonvalvular AF were included in this observational, retrospective study. The study population was stratified by BMI at baseline. The Cox proportional hazard model was adopted to calculate adjusted hazard ratios of risk factors for adverse clinical events (stroke, thromboembolism, and mortality).

Results

A total of 1286 AF patients (males, 78.30%; mean age, 74.50 years; 94.48% paroxysmal AF) were followed up for a median of 2.1 years (IQR: 1.5–2.9 years). Overall, 159 patients died. A total of 84 strokes and 35 thromboembolic events occurred. Multivariate analysis showed that overweight (25.0≤BMI<30.0 kg/m²) and age ≥75 years were independent risk factors for ischemic stroke (both P<0.01). Obesity (BMI ≥30.0 kg/m²), age ≥75 years, persistent/permanent AF, and prior thromboembolism were independent risk factors for thromboembolism (all P<0.05). Underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m²), age ≥75 years, prior ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack, renal dysfunction, and heart failure were independent risk factors for all-cause deaths (all P<0.05).

Conclusions

Overweight or obesity may be a risk factor of ischemic stroke and thromboembolism in AF patients. Excessive low weight is significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality.

Impact of persistent smoking on long-term outcomes in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Although smoking is a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, little is known about the impact of smoking on long-term outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

In 426 consecutive patients with nonvalvular AF (mean age, 66 years; 307 men; mean follow-up, 5.8±3.2 years), clinical variables including smoking status, CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc score, incidences of cardiovascular events (stroke, myocardial infarction, or admission for heart failure), bleeding, and mortality were determined.

RESULTS

Incidences of intracranial bleeding (0.7% vs 0.1%/year, p<0.01), all-cause mortality (4.9% vs 2.6%/year, p<0.01), and death from stroke (0.8% vs 0.2%/year, p<0.05) were higher in patients with history of smoking than in those without it. Incidence of intracranial bleeding was significantly higher in persistent smokers than in non-persistent smokers (1.2% vs 0.2%/year, p<0.01). History of smoking predicted all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR), 2.7; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.7-4.5; p<0.01] and death from stroke (HR 4.7; 95% CI 1.0-22.3; p<0.05) independent of age, antithrombotic treatment, CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc score. Persistent smoking predicted intracranial bleeding (HR 4.4; 95% CI 1.1-17.6; p<0.05) independent of age and antithrombotic treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Smoking status, independent of age, antithrombotic treatment, and clinical risk factors, predicted long-term adverse outcomes including bleeding events in patients with nonvalvular AF. There might be an obvious impact of persistent smoking on intracranial bleeding.

Factors associated with atrial fibrillation in rheumatic mitral stenosis

Background

Atrial fibrillation is a complication of mitral valve stenosis that causes several adverse neurologic outcomes. Our objective was to establish a mathematical model to predict the risk of atrial fibrillation in patients with mitral stenosis.

Methods

Of 819 patients with mitral stenosis who were screened, 603 were enrolled in the study and grouped according to whether they were in sinus rhythm or atrial fibrillation. Demographic, echocardiographic, and hemodynamic data were recorded. Logistic regression models were constructed to identify the relative risks for each contributing factor and calculate the probability of developing atrial fibrillation. Receiver operating characteristic curves were plotted.

Results

Two hundred (33%) patients had atrial fibrillation; this group was older, in a higher functional class, more likely to have suffered previous thromboembolic events, and had significantly larger left atrial diameters, lower ejection fractions, and lower left atrial appendage emptying flow velocity. The factors independently associated with atrial fibrillation were left atrial strain (odds ratio = 7.53 [4.47–12.69], p < 0.001), right atrial pressure (odds ratio = 1.09 [1.02–1.17], p = 0.01), age (odds ratio = 1.14 [1.05–1.25], p = 0.002), and ejection fraction (odds ratio = 0.92 [0.87–0.97], p = 0.003). The area under the curve for the combined receiver operating characteristic for this model was 0.90 ± 0.12.

Conclusion

Age, right atrial pressure, ejection fraction, and left atrial strain can be used to construct a mathematical model to predict the development of atrial fibrillation in rheumatic mitral stenosis.

Neutrophil–Lymphocyte Ratio May Predict Left Atrial Thrombus in Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation

Objective:

Neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been associated with poor outcomes in patients with cardiovascular diseases. We aimed to compare NLRs among patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) with or without left atrial (LA) thrombus.

Methods:

A total of 309 (70.1 ± 9.8 years, 49% male) patients with nonvalvular AF have undergone transoesophageal echocardiography (TEE) to assess the presence of LA thrombus. Baseline NLR was measured by dividing neutrophil count to lymphocyte count.

Results:

Left atrial thrombus was detected in 32 (10.3%) of 309 patients. Mean NLR (2.2 ± 1.0 vs 2.7 ± 1.1, P = .026) was significantly higher among patients with LA thrombus compared to patients without LA thrombus. On multivariate analysis, NLR (odds ratio 1.59, 95% confidence interval 0.87-4.18; P < .02) was an independent risk factor for the presence of LA thrombus in patients with nonvalvular AF.

Conclusion:

Neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio, an emerging marker of inflammation, was independently associated with the presence of LA thrombus in patients with nonvalvular AF.