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Li M, Huo L, Xie X, Dong Y. Effect of individual activity level heterogeneity on disease spreading in higher-order networks. CHAOS (WOODBURY, N.Y.) 2024; 34:083116. [PMID: 39141792 DOI: 10.1063/5.0207855] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2024] [Accepted: 08/01/2024] [Indexed: 08/16/2024]
Abstract
The active state of individuals has a significant impact on disease spread dynamics. In addition, pairwise interactions and higher-order interactions coexist in complex systems, and the pairwise networks proved insufficient for capturing the essence of complex systems. Here, we propose a higher-order network model to study the effect of individual activity level heterogeneity on disease-spreading dynamics. Activity level heterogeneity radically alters the dynamics of disease spread in higher-order networks. First, the evolution equations for infected individuals are derived using the mean field method. Second, numerical simulations of artificial networks reveal that higher-order interactions give rise to a discontinuous phase transition zone where the coexistence of health and disease occurs. Furthermore, the system becomes more unstable as individual activity levels rise, leading to a higher likelihood of disease outbreaks. Finally, we simulate the proposed model on two real higher-order networks, and the results are consistent with the artificial networks and validate the inferences from theoretical analysis. Our results explain the underlying reasons why groups with higher activity levels are more likely to initiate social changes. Simultaneously, the reduction in group activity, characterized by measures such as "isolation," emerges as a potent strategy for disease control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ming Li
- Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China
| | - Liang'an Huo
- Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China
- School of Intelligent Emergency Management, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China
| | - Xiaoxiao Xie
- Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China
| | - Yafang Dong
- Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China
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Gu W, Qiu Y, Li W, Zhang Z, Liu X, Song Y, Wang W. Epidemic spreading on spatial higher-order network. CHAOS (WOODBURY, N.Y.) 2024; 34:073105. [PMID: 38949531 DOI: 10.1063/5.0219759] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2024] [Accepted: 06/11/2024] [Indexed: 07/02/2024]
Abstract
Higher-order interactions exist widely in mobile populations and are extremely important in spreading epidemics, such as influenza. However, research on high-order interaction modeling of mobile crowds and the propagation dynamics above is still insufficient. Therefore, this study attempts to model and simulate higher-order interactions among mobile populations and explore their impact on epidemic transmission. This study simulated the spread of the epidemic in a spatial high-order network based on agent-based model modeling. It explored its propagation dynamics and the impact of spatial characteristics on it. Meanwhile, we construct state-specific rate equations based on the uniform mixing assumption for further analysis. We found that hysteresis loops are an inherent feature of high-order networks in this space under specific scenarios. The evolution curve roughly presents three different states with the initial value change, showing different levels of the endemic balance of low, medium, and high, respectively. Similarly, network snapshots and parameter diagrams also indicate these three types of equilibrium states. Populations in space naturally form components of different sizes and isolations, and higher initial seeds generate higher-order interactions in this spatial network, leading to higher infection densities. This phenomenon emphasizes the impact of high-order interactions and high-order infection rates in propagation. In addition, crowd density and movement speed act as protective and inhibitory factors for epidemic transmission, respectively, and depending on the degree of movement weaken or enhance the effect of hysteresis loops.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenbin Gu
- School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China
| | - Yue Qiu
- Shenzhen Chengyun Business Management Company, Shenzhen 518000, China
| | - Wenjie Li
- School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China
| | - Zengping Zhang
- School of Computer Information Management, Inner Mongolia University of Finance and Economics, Hohhot 010070, China
| | - Xiaoyang Liu
- School of Computer Science and Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China
| | - Ying Song
- School of Information Engineering, Hubei University of Economics, Wuhan 430205, China
| | - Wei Wang
- School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China
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Nie Y, Zhong X, Lin T, Wang W. Pathogen diversity in meta-population networks. CHAOS, SOLITONS, AND FRACTALS 2023; 166:112909. [PMID: 36467017 PMCID: PMC9699689 DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112909] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/04/2022] [Revised: 09/15/2022] [Accepted: 11/13/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
The pathogen diversity means that multiple strains coexist, and widely exist in the biology systems. The new mutation of SARS-CoV-2 leading to worldwide pathogen diversity is a typical example. What are the main factors of inducing the pathogen diversity? Previous studies indicated the pathogen mutation is the most important reason for inducing the pathogen diversity. The traffic network and gene network are crucial in shaping the dynamics of pathogen contagion, while their roles for the pathogen diversity still lacking a theoretical study. To this end, we propose a reaction-diffusion process of pathogens with mutations on meta-population networks, which includes population movement and strain mutation. We extend the Microscopic Markov Chain Approach (MMCA) to describe the model. Traffic networks make pathogen diversity more likely to occur in cities with lower infection densities. The likelihood of pathogen diversity is low in cities with short effective distances in the traffic network. Star-type gene network is more likely to lead to pathogen diversity than lattice-type and chain-type gene networks. When pathogen localization is present, infection is localized to strains that are at the endpoints of the gene network. Both the increased probability of movement and mutation promote pathogen diversity. The results also show that the population tends to move to cities with short effective distances, resulting in the infection density is high.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanyi Nie
- School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400016, China
- College of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China
| | - Xiaoni Zhong
- School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400016, China
| | - Tao Lin
- College of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China
| | - Wei Wang
- School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400016, China
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Li W, Nie Y, Li W, Chen X, Su S, Wang W. Two competing simplicial irreversible epidemics on simplicial complex. CHAOS (WOODBURY, N.Y.) 2022; 32:093135. [PMID: 36182379 DOI: 10.1063/5.0100315] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2022] [Accepted: 08/26/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
Higher-order interactions have significant implications for the dynamics of competing epidemic spreads. In this paper, a competing spread model for two simplicial irreversible epidemics (i.e., susceptible-infected-removed epidemics) on higher-order networks is proposed. The simplicial complexes are based on synthetic (including homogeneous and heterogeneous) and real-world networks. The spread process of two epidemics is theoretically analyzed by extending the microscopic Markov chain approach. When the two epidemics have the same 2-simplex infection rate and the 1-simplex infection rate of epidemic A ( λ) is fixed at zero, an increase in the 1-simplex infection rate of epidemic B ( λ) causes a transition from continuous growth to sharp growth in the spread of epidemic B with λ. When λ > 0, the growth of epidemic B is always continuous. With the increase of λ, the outbreak threshold of epidemic B is delayed. When the difference in 1-simplex infection rates between the two epidemics reaches approximately three times, the stronger side obviously dominates. Otherwise, the coexistence of the two epidemics is always observed. When the 1-simplex infection rates are symmetrical, the increase in competition will accelerate the spread process and expand the spread area of both epidemics; when the 1-simplex infection rates are asymmetrical, the spread area of one epidemic increases with an increase in the 1-simplex infection rate from this epidemic while the other decreases. Finally, the influence of 2-simplex infection rates on the competing spread is discussed. An increase in 2-simplex infection rates leads to sharp growth in one of the epidemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenjie Li
- School of Public Health and Management, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China
| | - Yanyi Nie
- School of Public Health and Management, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China
| | - Wenyao Li
- College of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China
| | - Xiaolong Chen
- School of Computing and Artificial Intelligence, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu 611130, China
| | - Sheng Su
- School of Information and Software Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611713, China
| | - Wei Wang
- School of Public Health and Management, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China
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Peng H, Qian C, Zhao D, Zhong M, Han J, Wang W. Targeting attack hypergraph networks. CHAOS (WOODBURY, N.Y.) 2022; 32:073121. [PMID: 35907733 DOI: 10.1063/5.0090626] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2022] [Accepted: 06/27/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
In modern systems, from brain neural networks to social group networks, pairwise interactions are not sufficient to express higher-order relationships. The smallest unit of their internal function is not composed of a single functional node but results from multiple functional nodes acting together. Therefore, researchers adopt the hypergraph to describe complex systems. The targeted attack on random hypergraph networks is still a problem worthy of study. This work puts forward a theoretical framework to analyze the robustness of random hypergraph networks under the background of a targeted attack on nodes with high or low hyperdegrees. We discovered the process of cascading failures and the giant connected cluster (GCC) of the hypergraph network under targeted attack by associating the simple mapping of the factor graph with the hypergraph and using percolation theory and generating function. On random hypergraph networks, we do Monte-Carlo simulations and find that the theoretical findings match the simulation results. Similarly, targeted attacks are more effective than random failures in disintegrating random hypergraph networks. The threshold of the hypergraph network grows as the probability of high hyperdegree nodes being deleted increases, indicating that the network's resilience becomes more fragile. When considering real-world scenarios, our conclusions are validated by real-world hypergraph networks. These findings will help us understand the impact of the hypergraph's underlying structure on network resilience.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hao Peng
- College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua 321004, China
| | - Cheng Qian
- College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua 321004, China
| | - Dandan Zhao
- College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua 321004, China
| | - Ming Zhong
- College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua 321004, China
| | - Jianmin Han
- College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Zhejiang Normal University, Jinhua 321004, China
| | - Wei Wang
- School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China
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