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Li X, Li C, Zhang P. Predictive models of radiographic progression and pain progression in patients with knee osteoarthritis: data from the FNIH OA biomarkers consortium project. Arthritis Res Ther 2024; 26:112. [PMID: 38816759 PMCID: PMC11138003 DOI: 10.1186/s13075-024-03346-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2024] [Accepted: 05/24/2024] [Indexed: 06/01/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The progression of knee osteoarthritis (OA) can be defined as either radiographic progression or pain progression. This study aimed to construct models to predict radiographic progression and pain progression in patients with knee OA. METHODS We retrieved data from the FNIH OA Biomarkers Consortium project, a nested case-control study. A total of 600 subjects with mild to moderate OA (Kellgren-Lawrence grade of 1, 2, or 3) in one target knee were enrolled. The patients were classified as radiographic progressors (n = 297), non-radiographic progressors (n = 303), pain progressors (n = 297), or non-pain progressors (n = 303) according to the change in the minimum joint space width of the medial compartment and the WOMAC pain score during the follow-up period of 24-48 months. Initially, 376 variables concerning demographics, clinical questionnaires, imaging measurements, and biochemical markers were included. We developed predictive models based on multivariate logistic regression analysis and visualized the models with nomograms. We also tested whether adding changes in predictors from baseline to 24 months would improve the predictive efficacy of the models. RESULTS The predictive models of radiographic progression and pain progression consisted of 8 and 10 variables, respectively, with area under curve (AUC) values of 0.77 and 0.76, respectively. Incorporating the change in the WOMAC pain score from baseline to 24 months into the pain progression predictive model significantly improved the predictive effectiveness (AUC = 0.86). CONCLUSIONS We identified risk factors for imaging progression and pain progression in patients with knee OA over a 2- to 4-year period, and provided effective predictive models, which could help identify patients at high risk of progression.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaoyu Li
- Department of Orthopedics, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), Shandong University, Shandong, 266000, China
- Key Laboratory of Qingdao in Medicine and Engineering, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), Shandong University, Shandong, 266000, China
| | - Chunpu Li
- Department of Orthopedics, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), Shandong University, Shandong, 266000, China.
- Key Laboratory of Qingdao in Medicine and Engineering, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), Shandong University, Shandong, 266000, China.
| | - Peng Zhang
- Department of Orthopedics, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), Shandong University, Shandong, 266000, China.
- Key Laboratory of Qingdao in Medicine and Engineering, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), Shandong University, Shandong, 266000, China.
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Xu D, Schiphof D, Hirvasniemi J, Klein S, Oei EHG, Bierma-Zeinstra S, Runhaar J. Factors associated with meniscus volume in knees free of degenerative features. Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2023; 31:1644-1649. [PMID: 37598744 DOI: 10.1016/j.joca.2023.08.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2022] [Revised: 07/13/2023] [Accepted: 08/10/2023] [Indexed: 08/22/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To explore factors that were associated with meniscus volume in knees free of radiographic osteoarthritis (OA) features and symptoms of OA. METHODS In the third Rotterdam Study cohort, clinical, radiographic, and magnetic resonance data were obtained at baseline (BL) and after 5 years of follow-up. Meniscus volumes and their change over time were calculated after semi-automatic segmentation on Magnetic Resonance Imaging. Knees with radiographic OA features (Kellgren and Lawrence>0) or clinical diagnosis of OA (American College of Rheumatology) at BL were excluded. Ten OA risk factors were adjusted in the multivariable analysis (generalized estimating equations), treating two knees within subjects as repeated measurements. RESULTS From 1065 knees (570 subjects), the average (standard deviation) age and Body mass index (BMI) of included subjects were 54.3 (3.7) years and 26.5 (4.4) kg/m2. At BL, nine factors (varus alignment, higher BMI, meniscus pathologies, meniscus extrusion, cartilage lesions, injury, greater physical activity level, quadriceps muscle strength, and higher age) were significantly associated with greater meniscus volume. Five factors (injury, meniscus pathologies, meniscus extrusion, higher age, and change of BMI) were significantly associated with meniscus volume loss. CONCLUSIONS Modifiable factors (varus alignment, BMI, physical activity level, and quadriceps muscle strength) and non-modifiable factors (higher age, injury, meniscus pathologies, meniscus extrusion, and cartilage lesions) were all associated with meniscus volume or meniscus volume loss over time.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dawei Xu
- Dept. of General Practice, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Dieuwke Schiphof
- Dept. of General Practice, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Jukka Hirvasniemi
- Dept. of Radiology & Nuclear Medicine, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Stefan Klein
- Dept. of Radiology & Nuclear Medicine, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Edwin H G Oei
- Dept. of Radiology & Nuclear Medicine, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Sebastia Bierma-Zeinstra
- Dept. of General Practice, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands; Dept. of Orthopedics & Sports Medicine, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Jos Runhaar
- Dept. of General Practice, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
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Oei EHG, Runhaar J. Imaging of early-stage osteoarthritis: the needs and challenges for diagnosis and classification. Skeletal Radiol 2023; 52:2031-2036. [PMID: 37154872 PMCID: PMC10509094 DOI: 10.1007/s00256-023-04355-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2022] [Revised: 04/26/2023] [Accepted: 04/27/2023] [Indexed: 05/10/2023]
Abstract
In an effort to boost the development of new management strategies for OA, there is currently a shift in focus towards the diagnosis and treatment of early-stage OA. It is important to distinguish diagnosis from classification of early-stage OA. Diagnosis takes place in clinical practice, whereas classification is a process to stratify participants with OA in clinical research. For both purposes, there is an important opportunity for imaging, especially with MRI. The needs and challenges differ for early-stage OA diagnosis versus classification. Although it fulfils the need of high sensitivity and specificity for making a correct diagnosis, implementation of MRI in clinical practice is challenged by long acquisition times and high costs. For classification in clinical research, more advanced MRI protocols can be applied, such as quantitative, contrast-enhanced, or hybrid techniques, as well as advanced image analysis methods including 3D morphometric assessments of joint tissues and artificial intelligence approaches. It is necessary to follow a step-wise and structured approach that comprises, technical validation, biological validation, clinical validation, qualification, and cost-effectiveness, before new imaging biomarkers can be implemented in clinical practice or clinical research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Edwin H. G. Oei
- Department of Radiology & Nuclear Medicine, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, PO-Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Jos Runhaar
- Department of General Practice, Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, PO-Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, the Netherlands
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Mass H, Katz JN. The influence of meniscal pathology in the incidence of knee osteoarthritis: a review. Skeletal Radiol 2023; 52:2045-2055. [PMID: 36402862 DOI: 10.1007/s00256-022-04233-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2022] [Revised: 11/03/2022] [Accepted: 11/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
IMPORTANCE Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is a common cause of pain and disability in older persons, affecting approximately 14 million individuals in the USA. Meniscal damage is also common in this age group with a prevalence of 35% in a middle-aged and older community sample and 82% in persons with evidence of radiographic knee osteoarthritis. This paper systematically reviews evidence on the association of meniscal pathology and incident radiographic knee OA. OBSERVATIONS We included 15 articles, published between 2013 and 2021, assessing the relationship between meniscal pathology and OA incidence (Fig. 1). The menisci are crucial load-bearing structures, and the resulting increase in biomechanical stress due to meniscal damage increases the risk for OA development. While some discrepancies are present in the literature, a clinically meaningful association has been generally established between the presence of a meniscal tear or meniscal extrusion and subsequent development of incident OA. Of note, larger radial tears as well as complex and more severe tears exhibit the strongest association with the development of incident OA. The relationship between other features of meniscal morphology-such as meniscal volume and meniscal coverage-and incident OA is less clearly documented. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE The early detection of meniscal pathology can be used to trigger preventative and therapeutic strategies designed to avert or delay knee OA in this at-risk population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hanna Mass
- Orthopedic and Arthritis Center for Outcomes Research, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Jeffrey N Katz
- Orthopedic and Arthritis Center for Outcomes Research, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
- Division of Rheumatology, Immunology and Immunity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
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Sharma K, Eckstein F, Maschek S, Roth M, Hunter DJ, Wirth W. Association of quantitative measures of medial meniscal extrusion with structural and symptomatic knee osteoarthritis progression - Data from the OAI FNIH biomarker study. Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2023; 31:1396-1404. [PMID: 37500050 DOI: 10.1016/j.joca.2023.07.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2023] [Revised: 07/18/2023] [Accepted: 07/19/2023] [Indexed: 07/29/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To study the association of quantitative medial meniscal position measures with radiographic and symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (OA) progression over 2-4 years. METHODS The FNIH OAI Biomarkers study comprised 600 participants in four subgroups: 194 case knees with combined structural (medial minimum joint space width (minJSW) loss ≥0.7 mm) and symptomatic (persistent Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain subscale increase ≥9 [0-100 scale]) progression; 200 knees with neither structural nor symptomatic progression; 103 knees with isolated structural and 103 with isolated symptomatic progression. Coronal double echo at steady state (DESS) MRIs were used for segmenting five central slices of the medial meniscus. Associations with progression were examined using logistic regression (adjusted for demographic and clinical data). RESULTS Greater baseline medial meniscal extrusion was associated with combined structural/symptomatic progression (OR 1.59; 95%CI: [1.25,2.04]). No relationship was observed for tibial plateau coverage or meniscal overlap distance. The two-year increase in meniscal extrusion (OR 1.48 [1.21, 1.83]), and reduction in tibial plateau coverage (OR 0.70 [0.58,0.86]) and overlap distance (OR 0.73 [0.60,0.89]) were associated with combined progression. Greater baseline extrusion was associated with isolated structural and less extrusion with isolated symptomatic progression. The longitudinal increase in meniscal extrusion, and reduction in tibial plateau coverage and overlap distance were associated with structural, but not with symptomatic progression. CONCLUSION Baseline measures of medial meniscal extrusion were consistently positively associated with combined radiographic/symptomatic progression and with isolated structural, but not with isolated symptomatic progression. These measures may therefore allow one to assess the risk of structural knee OA progression and to monitor interventions restoring meniscal position and function.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kalpana Sharma
- Department of Imaging and Functional Musculoskeletal Research, Institute of Anatomy and Cell Biology, Paracelsus Medical University Salzburg and Nuremberg, Salzburg, Austria; Department of Anatomy, Kathmandu University School of Medical Sciences (KUMS), Dhulikhel, Nepal.
| | - Felix Eckstein
- Department of Imaging and Functional Musculoskeletal Research, Institute of Anatomy and Cell Biology, Paracelsus Medical University Salzburg and Nuremberg, Salzburg, Austria; Chondrometrics GmbH, Freilassing, Germany; Ludwig Boltzmann Institute for Arthritis and Rehabilitation (LBIAR), Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria.
| | - Susanne Maschek
- Department of Imaging and Functional Musculoskeletal Research, Institute of Anatomy and Cell Biology, Paracelsus Medical University Salzburg and Nuremberg, Salzburg, Austria; Chondrometrics GmbH, Freilassing, Germany.
| | - Melanie Roth
- Department of Imaging and Functional Musculoskeletal Research, Institute of Anatomy and Cell Biology, Paracelsus Medical University Salzburg and Nuremberg, Salzburg, Austria; Department of Health Sciences, Salzburg University of Applied Sciences, Salzburg, Austria.
| | - David J Hunter
- Rheumatology Department, Royal North Shore Hospital and Sydney Musculoskeletal Health, Kolling Institute, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
| | - Wolfgang Wirth
- Department of Imaging and Functional Musculoskeletal Research, Institute of Anatomy and Cell Biology, Paracelsus Medical University Salzburg and Nuremberg, Salzburg, Austria; Chondrometrics GmbH, Freilassing, Germany; Ludwig Boltzmann Institute for Arthritis and Rehabilitation (LBIAR), Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria.
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Wang X, Du G, Liu Y. Lateral meniscal body extrusion is associated with MRI-defined knee structural damage progression over 4 years: Data from the osteoarthritis initiative. Eur J Radiol 2023; 162:110791. [PMID: 36963331 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrad.2023.110791] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2022] [Revised: 03/13/2023] [Accepted: 03/15/2023] [Indexed: 03/26/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE To investigate the association of lateral meniscal body extrusion (LMBE) with OA-related knee structural damage progression over 4 years and to obtain thresholds of LMBE in predicting knee structural damage progression. METHOD We studied 196 subjects (67 male) with a mean age of 59.5 ± 7.9 (SD) years (range45-78 years) that were randomly selected from the Osteoarthritis Initiative. Radiological assessment was performed using the Osteoarthritis Research Society International grading system. Baseline LMBE was quantified on coronal sections of intermediate-weighted MRI sequences obtained at 3.0 T scanner. Knee structural damages were measured using the whole-organ MRI score. Linear regression analysis and binary logistic regression analysis was used to assess the correlation between LMBE and knee structural damage. ROC analysis and Youden index were used for calculating thresholds. RESULTS Cross-sectionally, increased LMBE was significantly associated with more severe lateral meniscal damage, patellofemoral and lateral compartment cartilage damage, and posterior cruciate ligament damage. Longitudinally, LMBE was statistically associated with progression of lateral meniscal damage, lateral compartment cartilage damage and bone marrow edema patterns, posterior cruciate ligament lesions and popliteal cysts. The thresholds of LMBE in suggesting progression of lateral meniscal lesions and lateral compartment cartilage lesions were 1.4 mm and 1.3 mm, respectively. CONCLUSION Baseline LMBE was associated with structural damage progression over 4 years in knees with or at risks for OA. Thresholds of 1.4 mm and 1.3 mm could be used in predicting progression over 4 years of lateral meniscal damage and lateral compartment cartilage damage, respectively.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaohong Wang
- Department of Radiology, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China.
| | - Guiying Du
- Department of Radiology, Teda International Cardiovascular Hospital, Tianjin, China.
| | - Yao Liu
- Department of Radiology, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China.
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