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Pan YT, Lin YP, Yen HK, Yen HH, Huang CC, Hsieh HC, Janssen S, Hu MH, Lin WH, Groot OQ. Are Current Survival Prediction Tools Useful When Treating Subsequent Skeletal-related Events From Bone Metastases? Clin Orthop Relat Res 2024:00003086-990000000-01539. [PMID: 38517402 DOI: 10.1097/corr.0000000000003030] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2023] [Accepted: 02/09/2024] [Indexed: 03/23/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Bone metastasis in advanced cancer is challenging because of pain, functional issues, and reduced life expectancy. Treatment planning is complex, with consideration of factors such as location, symptoms, and prognosis. Prognostic models help guide treatment choices, with Skeletal Oncology Research Group machine-learning algorithms (SORG-MLAs) showing promise in predicting survival for initial spinal metastases and extremity metastases treated with surgery or radiotherapy. Improved therapies extend patient lifespans, increasing the risk of subsequent skeletal-related events (SREs). Patients experiencing subsequent SREs often suffer from disease progression, indicating a deteriorating condition. For these patients, a thorough evaluation, including accurate survival prediction, is essential to determine the most appropriate treatment and avoid aggressive surgical treatment for patients with a poor survival likelihood. Patients experiencing subsequent SREs often suffer from disease progression, indicating a deteriorating condition. However, some variables in the SORG prediction model, such as tumor histology, visceral metastasis, and previous systemic therapies, might remain consistent between initial and subsequent SREs. Given the prognostic difference between patients with and without a subsequent SRE, the efficacy of established prognostic models-originally designed for individuals with an initial SRE-in addressing a subsequent SRE remains uncertain. Therefore, it is crucial to verify the model's utility for subsequent SREs. QUESTION/PURPOSE We aimed to evaluate the reliability of the SORG-MLAs for survival prediction in patients undergoing surgery or radiotherapy for a subsequent SRE for whom both the initial and subsequent SREs occurred in the spine or extremities. METHODS We retrospectively included 738 patients who were 20 years or older who received surgery or radiotherapy for initial and subsequent SREs at a tertiary referral center and local hospital in Taiwan between 2010 and 2019. We excluded 74 patients whose initial SRE was in the spine and in whom the subsequent SRE occurred in the extremities and 37 patients whose initial SRE was in the extremities and the subsequent SRE was in the spine. The rationale was that different SORG-MLAs were exclusively designed for patients who had an initial spine metastasis and those who had an initial extremity metastasis, irrespective of whether they experienced metastatic events in other areas (for example, a patient experiencing an extremity SRE before his or her spinal SRE would also be regarded as a candidate for an initial spinal SRE). Because these patients were already validated in previous studies, we excluded them in case we overestimated our result. Five patients with malignant primary bone tumors and 38 patients in whom the metastasis's origin could not be identified were excluded, leaving 584 patients for analysis. The 584 included patients were categorized into two subgroups based on the location of initial and subsequent SREs: the spine group (68% [399]) and extremity group (32% [185]). No patients were lost to follow-up. Patient data at the time they presented with a subsequent SRE were collected, and survival predictions at this timepoint were calculated using the SORG-MLAs. Multiple imputation with the Missforest technique was conducted five times to impute the missing proportions of each predictor. The effectiveness of SORG-MLAs was gauged through several statistical measures, including discrimination (measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]), calibration, overall performance (Brier score), and decision curve analysis. Discrimination refers to the model's ability to differentiate between those with the event and those without the event. An AUC ranges from 0.5 to 1.0, with 0.5 indicating the worst discrimination and 1.0 indicating perfect discrimination. An AUC of 0.7 is considered clinically acceptable discrimination. Calibration is the comparison between the frequency of observed events and the predicted probabilities. In an ideal calibration, the observed and predicted survival rates should be congruent. The logarithm of observed-to-expected survival ratio [log(O:E)] offers insight into the model's overall calibration by considering the total number of observed (O) and expected (E) events. The Brier score measures the mean squared difference between the predicted probability of possible outcomes for each individual and the observed outcomes, ranging from 0 to 1, with 0 indicating perfect overall performance and 1 indicating the worst performance. Moreover, the prevalence of the outcome should be considered, so a null-model Brier score was also calculated by assigning a probability equal to the prevalence of the outcome (in this case, the actual survival rate) to each patient. The benefit of the prediction model is determined by comparing its Brier score with that of the null model. If a prediction model's Brier score is lower than the null model's Brier score, the prediction model is deemed as having good performance. A decision curve analysis was performed for models to evaluate the "net benefit," which weighs the true positive rate over the false positive rate against the "threshold probabilities," the ratio of risk over benefit after an intervention was derived based on a comprehensive clinical evaluation and a well-discussed shared-decision process. A good predictive model should yield a higher net benefit than default strategies (treating all patients and treating no patients) across a range of threshold probabilities. RESULTS For the spine group, the algorithms displayed acceptable AUC results (median AUCs of 0.69 to 0.72) for 42-day, 90-day, and 1-year survival predictions after treatment for a subsequent SRE. In contrast, the extremity group showed median AUCs ranging from 0.65 to 0.73 for the corresponding survival periods. All Brier scores were lower than those of their null model, indicating the SORG-MLAs' good overall performances for both cohorts. The SORG-MLAs yielded a net benefit for both cohorts; however, they overestimated 1-year survival probabilities in patients with a subsequent SRE in the spine, with a median log(O:E) of -0.60 (95% confidence interval -0.77 to -0.42). CONCLUSION The SORG-MLAs maintain satisfactory discriminatory capacity and offer considerable net benefits through decision curve analysis, indicating their continued viability as prediction tools in this clinical context. However, the algorithms overestimate 1-year survival rates for patients with a subsequent SRE of the spine, warranting consideration of specific patient groups. Clinicians and surgeons should exercise caution when using the SORG-MLAs for survival prediction in these patients and remain aware of potential mispredictions when tailoring treatment plans, with a preference for less invasive treatments. Ultimately, this study emphasizes the importance of enhancing prognostic algorithms and developing innovative tools for patients with subsequent SREs as the life expectancy in patients with bone metastases continues to improve and healthcare providers will encounter these patients more often in daily practice. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Level III, prognostic study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yu-Ting Pan
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medical Education, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yen-Po Lin
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Hsin-Chu Branch, Hsin-Chu, Taiwan
| | - Hung-Kuan Yen
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Hsin-Chu Branch, Hsin-Chu, Taiwan
- Department of Medical Education, National Taiwan University Hospital, Hsin-Chu Branch, Hsin-Chu, Taiwan
| | - Hung-Ho Yen
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medical Education, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Chi-Ching Huang
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medical Education, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Hsiang-Chieh Hsieh
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Hsin-Chu Branch, Hsin-Chu, Taiwan
| | - Stein Janssen
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery and Sports Medicine, Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Ming-Hsiao Hu
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Wei-Hsin Lin
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Olivier Q Groot
- Department of Orthopaedics, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
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Karabacak M, Margetis K. A Machine Learning-Based Online Prediction Tool for Predicting Short-Term Postoperative Outcomes Following Spinal Tumor Resections. Cancers (Basel) 2023; 15:cancers15030812. [PMID: 36765771 PMCID: PMC9913622 DOI: 10.3390/cancers15030812] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2023] [Revised: 01/24/2023] [Accepted: 01/26/2023] [Indexed: 01/31/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Preoperative prediction of short-term postoperative outcomes in spinal tumor patients can lead to more precise patient care plans that reduce the likelihood of negative outcomes. With this study, we aimed to develop machine learning algorithms for predicting short-term postoperative outcomes and implement these models in an open-source web application. Methods: Patients who underwent surgical resection of spinal tumors were identified using the American College of Surgeons, National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. Three outcomes were predicted: prolonged length of stay (LOS), nonhome discharges, and major complications. Four machine learning algorithms were developed and integrated into an open access web application to predict these outcomes. Results: A total of 3073 patients that underwent spinal tumor resection were included in the analysis. The most accurately predicted outcomes in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was the prolonged LOS with a mean AUROC of 0.745 The most accurately predicting algorithm in terms of AUROC was random forest, with a mean AUROC of 0.743. An open access web application was developed for getting predictions for individual patients based on their characteristics and this web application can be accessed here: huggingface.co/spaces/MSHS-Neurosurgery-Research/NSQIP-ST. Conclusion: Machine learning approaches carry significant potential for the purpose of predicting postoperative outcomes following spinal tumor resections. Development of predictive models as clinically useful decision-making tools may considerably enhance risk assessment and prognosis as the amount of data in spinal tumor surgery continues to rise.
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Elsamadicy AA, Koo AB, Reeves BC, Pennington Z, Yu J, Goodwin CR, Kolb L, Laurans M, Lo SFL, Shin JH, Sciubba DM. Hospital Frailty Risk Score and healthcare resource utilization after surgery for metastatic spinal column tumors. J Neurosurg Spine 2022; 37:241-251. [PMID: 35148505 DOI: 10.3171/2022.1.spine21987] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2021] [Accepted: 01/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) was developed utilizing ICD-10 diagnostic codes to identify frailty and predict adverse outcomes in large national databases. While other studies have examined frailty in spine oncology, the HFRS has not been assessed in this patient population. The aim of this study was to examine the association of HFRS-defined frailty with complication rates, length of stay (LOS), total cost of hospital admission, and discharge disposition in patients undergoing spine surgery for metastatic spinal column tumors. METHODS A retrospective cohort study was performed using the years 2016 to 2019 of the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database. All adult patients (≥ 18 years old) undergoing surgical intervention for metastatic spinal column tumors were identified using the ICD-10-CM diagnostic codes and Procedural Coding System. Patients were categorized into the following three cohorts based on their HFRS: low frailty (HFRS < 5), intermediate frailty (HFRS 5-15), and high frailty (HFRS > 15). Patient demographics, comorbidities, treatment modality, perioperative complications, LOS, discharge disposition, and total cost of hospital admission were assessed. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of prolonged LOS, nonroutine discharge, and increased cost. RESULTS Of the 11,480 patients identified, 7085 (61.7%) were found to have low frailty, 4160 (36.2%) had intermediate frailty, and 235 (2.0%) had high frailty according to HFRS criteria. On average, age increased along with progressively worsening frailty scores (p ≤ 0.001). The proportion of patients in each cohort who experienced ≥ 1 postoperative complication significantly increased along with increasing frailty (low frailty: 29.2%; intermediate frailty: 53.8%; high frailty: 76.6%; p < 0.001). In addition, the mean LOS (low frailty: 7.9 ± 5.0 days; intermediate frailty: 14.4 ± 13.4 days; high frailty: 24.1 ± 18.6 days; p < 0.001), rate of nonroutine discharge (low frailty: 40.4%; intermediate frailty: 60.6%; high frailty: 70.2%; p < 0.001), and mean total cost of hospital admission (low frailty: $48,603 ± $29,979; intermediate frailty: $65,271 ± $43,110; high frailty: $96,116 ± $60,815; p < 0.001) each increased along with progressing frailty. On multivariate regression analysis, intermediate and high frailty were each found to be significant predictors of both prolonged LOS (intermediate: OR 3.75 [95% CI 2.96-4.75], p < 0.001; high: OR 7.33 [95% CI 3.47-15.51]; p < 0.001) and nonroutine discharge (intermediate: OR 2.05 [95% CI 1.68-2.51], p < 0.001; high: OR 5.06 [95% CI 1.93-13.30], p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS This study is the first to use the HFRS to assess the impact of frailty on perioperative outcomes in patients with metastatic bony spinal tumors. Among patients with metastatic bony spinal tumors, frailty assessed using the HFRS was associated with longer hospitalizations, more nonroutine discharges, and higher total hospital costs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aladine A Elsamadicy
- 1Department of Neurosurgery, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Andrew B Koo
- 1Department of Neurosurgery, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Benjamin C Reeves
- 1Department of Neurosurgery, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Zach Pennington
- 2Department of Neurosurgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota
| | - James Yu
- 1Department of Neurosurgery, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - C Rory Goodwin
- 3Department of Neurosurgery, Spine Division, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina
| | - Luis Kolb
- 1Department of Neurosurgery, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Maxwell Laurans
- 1Department of Neurosurgery, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Sheng-Fu Larry Lo
- 4Department of Neurosurgery, Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra, Long Island Jewish Medical Center and North Shore University Hospital, Northwell Health, Manhasset, New York
| | - John H Shin
- 5Department of Neurosurgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts; and
| | - Daniel M Sciubba
- 4Department of Neurosurgery, Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra, Long Island Jewish Medical Center and North Shore University Hospital, Northwell Health, Manhasset, New York
- 6Department of Neurosurgery, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
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Madhu S, Thomas AC, Tang SS, Shen L, Ramakrishnan SA, Kumar N. Analysis of Short-Term versus Long-Term Readmission-Free Survival After Metastatic Spine Tumor Surgery. World Neurosurg 2021; 158:e946-e955. [PMID: 34863936 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2021.11.119] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/24/2021] [Revised: 11/25/2021] [Accepted: 11/26/2021] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Readmission-free survival (ReAFS) is a novel clinical and quality metric after metastatic spine tumor surgery (MSTS). We believe that factors influencing ReAFS after index MSTS vary based on time. We considered 2 time frames and defined short-term ReAFS as survival without an unplanned hospital readmission up to 90 days and long-term ReAFS as survival without unplanned hospital readmission up to 1 year after MSTS. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 266 patients who underwent MSTS between 2005 and 2016. All relevant oncologic, surgical and follow-up data were collected. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze prognostic factors associated with higher probability of short-term ReAFS and long-term ReAFS. RESULTS Multivariate analysis showed that Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group score ≤2 (P = 0.011), preoperative hemoglobin (Hb) level >12 g/dL (P = 0.008), ≤3 comorbidities (P = 0.052), shorter index length of stay ≤10 days (P = 0.007), and absence of neurologic/hematologic complications during index stay (P = 0.015) significantly increased the probability of short-term ReAFS, whereas preoperative Hb level >12 g/dL (P = 0.003) or tumor primaries with advanced treatment modalities such as breast (P = 0.012), hematologic (P = 0.006), prostate (P = 0.004), and renal/thyroid (P = 0.038) as opposed to aggressive lung tumor primaries were associated with significantly higher probability of long-term ReAFS. CONCLUSIONS Patient and treatment factors predominantly influence ReAFS up to 90 days, whereas primary tumor-related factors alongside general health influence ReAFS beyond 90 days after index MSTS. Awareness of these factors may help oncologists and surgeons optimize treatment planning. The clinical significance of this study will continue to evolve, because we have been witnessing over the past decade that patients are becoming more involved in both their general health and understanding the natural history of the diseases that affect them.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sirisha Madhu
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National University Health System, Singapore
| | | | - Sarah Shuyun Tang
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National University Health System, Singapore
| | - Liang Shen
- Biostatistics Unit, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Clinical Research Centre, Singapore
| | | | - Naresh Kumar
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National University Health System, Singapore.
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Risk factors for prolonged length of stay in patients undergoing surgery for intramedullary spinal cord tumors. J Clin Neurosci 2021; 91:396-401. [PMID: 34373058 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocn.2021.06.046] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2021] [Revised: 06/14/2021] [Accepted: 06/27/2021] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
Primary spine tumors are rare neoplasms that affect about 0.62 per 100,000 individuals in the US. Intramedullary spinal cord tumors (IMSCTs) are the rarest of all primary tumors involving the spine and can cause pain, imbalance, urinary dysfunction and neurological deficits. These types of tumors oftentimes necessitate surgical treatment, yet there is a lack of data on hospital length of stay and complication rates following treatment. Given that treatment candidacy, quality of life, and outcomes are tied so closely to potential for prolonged length of stay and postoperative complications, it is important to better understand the factors that increase the risk of these outcomes in patients with IMSCTs. METHODS The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database was queried for all patients undergoing surgery for treatment of intramedullary spinal cord tumors between 2005 and 2017. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to assess patient risk factors influencing prolonged length of stay and post-op complications. RESULTS A total of 638 patients were included in the analysis. Pre-operative American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) physical status classification of 3 and above (OR 1.89; p = 0.0005), dependent functional status (OR 2.76; p = 0.0035) and transfer from facilities other than home (OR 8.12; p <0.0001) were independent predictors of prolonged length of stay (>5 days). The most commonly reported complications were pneumonia (5.7%), urinary tract infection (9.4%), septic shock (3.8%), superficial incisional infection (5.7%), organ or space infection (5.7%), pulmonary embolism (11.3%), DVT requiring therapy (15.1%) and wound dehiscence (5.7%). CONCLUSION Our study demonstrated the significant influence of clinical variables on prolonged hospitalization of IMSCT patients. This should be factored into clinical and surgical decision making and when counseling patients of their expected outcomes.
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Al-Taei O, Al-Mirza A, Al-Saadi T. Geriatric Neuro-Oncology in the Middle East: A Sultanate of Oman Experience. Neurol Int 2021; 13:232-239. [PMID: 34071170 PMCID: PMC8163002 DOI: 10.3390/neurolint13020024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/13/2021] [Revised: 05/11/2021] [Accepted: 05/14/2021] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Brain tumors are primary or metastatic malignancies of the central nervous system (CNS) with significant morbidity and mortality. The overall prevalence of cancer including brain cancer has increased by more than 10% according to the National Institute of cancer statistics. The average percent increase in primary brain tumor incidence for ages 75–79, 80–84, and 85 and older were 7%, 20.4%, and 23.4%, respectively. This manuscript describes a retrospective study of geriatric cases admitted to the Neurosurgical Department in Khoula Hospital (KH) and diagnosed with brain cancer from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2019. Of the study cohort, 58.5% were more than 75 years of age. The male-to-female ratio was (1:1.1). Meningiomas are found to be the commonest tumor (52.8%) followed by glioblastoma (GBM) (18.9%). Most of the patients had a Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score of 14–15 on admission (69.9%). Patients diagnosed with a non-meningioma tumor had lower GCS score on admission compared to meningioma patients with statistical significance (p = 0.04). Also, there was a significant difference between the length of stay (LOS) and the type of intervention (surgical vs. conservative), in which patients received a conservative type of management found to have a shorter length of stay (LOS) compared with the patients who underwent surgical intervention (p < 0.005). In Oman, the number of geriatric oncology cases remained stable over the 4 years. The incidence of geriatric neuro-oncology cases was higher in patients aged more than 75 years of age. Finally, the GCS score was affected by the type of tumor. The length of stay varies according to the treatment administered. Special care must be taken when dealing with geriatric neuro-oncological cases due to the high potential rate of mortality and morbidity among those group, and a more holistic approach is recommended as an essential need to evaluate the overall situation of those patients and manage them accordingly.
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Affiliation(s)
- Omar Al-Taei
- Sultan Qaboos University College of Medicine, Al-Khoudh, Muscat 123, Oman; (O.A.-T.); (A.A.-M.)
| | - Abdulrahman Al-Mirza
- Sultan Qaboos University College of Medicine, Al-Khoudh, Muscat 123, Oman; (O.A.-T.); (A.A.-M.)
| | - Tariq Al-Saadi
- Department of Neurology & Neurosurgery—Montreal Neurological Institute, Faculty of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, QC H3A 0G4, Canada
- Department of Neurosurgery, Khoula Hospital, Muscat 116, Oman
- Correspondence:
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Cost and Health Care Resource Utilization Differences After Spine Surgery for Bony Spine versus Primary Intradural Spine Tumors. World Neurosurg 2021; 151:e286-e298. [PMID: 33866030 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2021.04.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2021] [Accepted: 04/06/2021] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to compare complication rates, length of stay (LOS), and hospital costs after spine surgery for bony spine tumors and intradural spinal neoplasms. METHODS A retrospective cohort study was performed using the National Inpatient Sample database from 2016 to 2017. All adult inpatients who underwent surgical intervention for a primary intradural spinal tumor or primary/metastatic bony spine tumor were identified using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis/procedural coding systems. Patient demographics, comorbidities, intraoperative variables, complications, LOS, discharge disposition, and total cost of hospitalization were assessed. Backward stepwise multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent predictors of perioperative complication, extended LOS (≥75th percentile), and increased cost (≥75th percentile). RESULTS A total of 9855 adult patients were included in the study; 3850 (39.1%) were identified as having a primary intradural spinal tumor and 6005 (60.9%) had a primary or metastatic bony spine tumor. Those treated for bony tumors had more comorbidities (≥3, 67.8% vs. 29.2%) and more commonly experienced ≥1 complications (29.9% vs. 7.9%). Multivariate analyses also showed those in the bony spine cohort had a higher odds of experiencing ≥1 complications (odds ratio [OR], 4.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.04-5.97; P < 0.001), extended LOS (OR, 2.44; 95% CI, 1.75-3.38; P < 0.001), and increased cost (OR, 5.32; 95% CI, 3.67-7.71; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Relative to patients being treated for primary intradural tumors, those undergoing spine surgery for bony spine tumors experience significantly higher risk for perioperative complications, extended LOS, and increased cost of hospital admission. Further identification of patient and treatment characteristics that may optimize management of spine oncology may reduce adverse outcomes, improve patient care, and reduce health care resources.
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The "Spinal Metastasis Invasiveness Index": A Novel Scoring System to Assess Surgical Invasiveness. Spine (Phila Pa 1976) 2021; 46:478-485. [PMID: 33273437 DOI: 10.1097/brs.0000000000003823] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
STUDY DESIGN Retrospective review. OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to develop a surgical invasiveness index for metastatic spine tumor surgery (MSTS) that can serve as a standardized tool in predicting intraoperative blood loss and surgical duration; for the purpose of ascertaining resource requirements and aiding in patient education. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA Magnitude of surgery is important in the metastatic spine disease (MSD) population since these patients have a continuing postoperative oncological process; a consideration that must be taken into account to maintain or improve quality of life. Surgical invasiveness indices have been established for general spine surgery, adult deformity, and cervical deformity, but not yet for spinal metastasis. METHODS Demographic, oncological, and procedural data were collected from consecutive patients that underwent MSTS. Binary logistic regression, using median values for surgical duration and intraoperative estimated blood loss (EBL), was used to determine statistical significance of variables to be included in the "spinal metastasis invasiveness index" (SMII). The corresponding weightage of each of these variables was agreed upon by experienced spine surgeons. Multivariable regression analysis was used to predict operative time and EBL while controlling for demographical, procedural, and oncological characteristics. RESULTS Two hundred and sixty-one MSD patients were included with a mean age of 59.7-years and near equal sex distribution. The SMII strongly predicted extended surgical duration (R2 = 0.28, P < 0.001) and high intraoperative blood loss (R2 = 0.18, P < 0.001). When compared to a previously established surgical invasiveness index, the SMII accounted for more variability in the outcomes. For every unit increase in score, there was a 42-mL increase in mean blood loss (P < 0.001) and 5-minute increase in mean operative time (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION Long surgical duration and high blood loss were strongly predicted by the newly developed SMII. The use of the SMII may aid in preoperative risk assessment with the goal of improving patient outcomes and quality of life.Level of Evidence: 4.
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Analysis of unplanned hospital readmissions up to 2-years after metastatic spine tumour surgery. EUROPEAN SPINE JOURNAL : OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE EUROPEAN SPINE SOCIETY, THE EUROPEAN SPINAL DEFORMITY SOCIETY, AND THE EUROPEAN SECTION OF THE CERVICAL SPINE RESEARCH SOCIETY 2021; 30:2887-2895. [PMID: 33459874 DOI: 10.1007/s00586-021-06723-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2020] [Revised: 12/03/2020] [Accepted: 01/06/2021] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE The aim of this study was to investigate rates, causes, and risk factors of unplanned hospital readmissions (UHR) within 30 days, 90 days, 1 year and 2 years after metastatic spine tumour surgery (MSTS) to augment multi-disciplinary treatment planning and improve patient education. METHODS We retrospectively reviewed 272-patients who underwent MSTS between 2005 and 2016. Hospital records were utilised to obtain demographics, oncological, procedural details, and postoperative outcomes. All UHR within 2 years were reviewed. Primary outcomes were rates, causes, and risk factors of UHR. Risk factors for UHR were evaluated utilising multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS Thirty-day, 90 day, 1 year, and 2 year UHR-rates after MSTS were 17.2%, 31.1%, 46.2%, and 52.7%, respectively. Lung cancer primaries had the highest UHR-events (24.7%) whilst renal/thyroid displayed the least (6.6%). Disease-related causes (16.2%) were the most common reason for readmissions across all timeframes, followed by respiratory (13.7%) and progression of metastatic spine disease (12.7%). Urological conditions accounted for majority of readmissions within 30-days; disease-related causes, symptomatic spinal metastases, and respiratory conditions represented the most common causes at 30-90 days, 90 days-1 year, and 1-2 years, respectively. An ECOG >1 (p = 0.057), CCI >7 (p = 0.01), and primary lung tumour (p = 0.02) significantly increased UHR-risk on multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION Seventy-four percent of patients had at least one UHR within 2 years of MSTS and majority were secondary to disease-related causes. Majority of first UHR occurred between 30 and 90 days post-surgery. Local disease progression and overall disease progression account for the highest UHR-events at 90 days-1 year and 1-2 year timeframes, respectively. We define UHR in specific timeframes, thus enabling better surveillance and reducing unnecessary morbidity.
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Kumar N, Thomas AC, Ramos MRD, Tan JYH, Shen L, Madhu S, Lopez KG, Villanueva A, Tan JH, Vellayappan BA. Readmission-Free Survival Analysis in Metastatic Spine Tumour Surgical Patients: A Novel Concept. Ann Surg Oncol 2021; 28:2474-2482. [PMID: 33393052 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-020-09404-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2020] [Accepted: 11/04/2020] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Outcomes commonly used to ascertain success of metastatic spine tumour surgery (MSTS) are 30-day complications/mortality and overall/disease-free survival. We believe a new, effective outcome indicator after MSTS would be the absence of unplanned hospital readmission (UHR) after index discharge. We introduce the concept of readmission-free survival (ReAFS), defined as 'the time duration between hospital discharge after index operation and first UHR or death'. The aim of this study is to identify factors influencing ReAFS in MSTS patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS We retrospectively analysed 266 consecutive patients who underwent MSTS between 2005 and 2016. Demographics, oncological characteristics, procedural, preoperative and postoperative details were collected. ReAFS of patients within 2 years or until death was reviewed. Perioperative factors predictive of reduced ReAFS were evaluated using multivariate regression analysis. RESULTS Of 266 patients, 230 met criteria for analysis. A total of 201 had UHR, whilst 1 in 8 (29/230) had no UHR. Multivariate analysis revealed that haemoglobin ≥ 12 g/dL, ECOG score of ≤ 2, primary prostate, breast and haematological cancers, comorbidities ≤ 3, absence of preoperative radiotherapy and shorter postoperative length of stay significantly prolonged the time to first UHR. CONCLUSIONS Readmission-free survival is a novel concept in MSTS, which relies on patients' general condition, appropriateness of interventional procedures and underlying disease burden. Additionally, it may indicate the successful combination of a multi-disciplinary treatment approach. This information will allow oncologists and surgeons to identify patients who may benefit from increased surveillance following discharge to increase ReAFS. We envisage that ReAFS is a concept that can be extended to other surgical oncological fields.
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Affiliation(s)
- Naresh Kumar
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore.
| | - Andrew Cherian Thomas
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
| | | | - Joel Yong Hao Tan
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Liang Shen
- Biostatistics Unit, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Sirisha Madhu
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Keith Gerard Lopez
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Andre Villanueva
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Jiong Hao Tan
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
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De la Garza Ramos R, Benton JA, Gelfand Y, Echt M, Flores Rodriguez JV, Yanamadala V, Yassari R. Racial disparities in clinical presentation, type of intervention, and in-hospital outcomes of patients with metastatic spine disease: An analysis of 145,809 admissions in the United States. Cancer Epidemiol 2020; 68:101792. [PMID: 32781406 DOI: 10.1016/j.canep.2020.101792] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2020] [Revised: 07/10/2020] [Accepted: 07/26/2020] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Race is an important determinant of cancer outcome. The purpose of this study was to identify disparities in clinical presentation, treatment use, and in-hospital outcomes of patients with spinal metastases. METHODS The United States National Inpatient Sample database (2004-2014) was queried to identify patients with metastatic disease and cord compression (MSCC) or spinal pathological fracture. Clinical presentation, type of intervention, and in-hospital outcomes were compared between races/ethnicities. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed and adjusted for differences in patient age, sex, insurance status, income quartile, hospital teaching status and size, Charlson comorbidity index, smoking status, tumor type, and neurological status. RESULTS A total of 145,809 patients were identified - 74.8 % Caucasian, 14.1 % African-American, 7.9 % Hispanic, and 3.2 % Asian. Over one-third of patients (38.1 %) presented with MSCC; 35.7 % of Caucasians, 50.3 % of AAs, 41.1 % of Hispanics, and 39.8 % of Asians (p < 0.001). Paralysis affected 8.4 % of all patients; 7.4 % of Caucasians, 12.7 % of AAs, 10.5 % of Hispanics, and 10.0 % of Asians (p < 0.001). For patients with MSCC, multivariate analysis showed that AAs were less likely to undergo surgical intervention (OR 0.71; 95 % CI, 0.62 - 0.82; p < 0.001), significantly more likely to experience a complication (OR 1.25; 95 % CI, 1.12-1.40; p < 0.001), significantly more likely to experience prolonged length of stay (OR 1.22; 95 % CI, 1.08-1.36; p = 0.001), and significantly more likely to experience a non-routine discharge (OR 1.19; 95 % CI, 1.05-1.35; p = 0.007) compared to Caucasians. CONCLUSION Minority groups with spinal metastatic disease may be at a disadvantage compared to Caucasians, with significant disparities found in presenting characteristics, type of intervention, and in-hospital outcomes. Continued efforts to overcome these differences are needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rafael De la Garza Ramos
- Spine Research Group, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, United States; Department of Neurological Surgery, Montefiore Medical Center/Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, United States.
| | - Joshua A Benton
- Spine Research Group, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, United States
| | - Yaroslav Gelfand
- Spine Research Group, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, United States; Department of Neurological Surgery, Montefiore Medical Center/Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, United States
| | - Murray Echt
- Spine Research Group, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, United States; Department of Neurological Surgery, Montefiore Medical Center/Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, United States
| | - Jessica V Flores Rodriguez
- Immigrant Health and Cancer Disparities, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York, United States
| | - Vijay Yanamadala
- Spine Research Group, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, United States; Department of Neurological Surgery, Montefiore Medical Center/Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, United States
| | - Reza Yassari
- Spine Research Group, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, United States; Department of Neurological Surgery, Montefiore Medical Center/Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, United States
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