Determining the short-term neurological prognosis for acute cervical spinal cord injury using machine learning

Prediction of gait recovery using machine learning algorithms in patients with spinal cord injury

With advances in artificial intelligence, machine learning (ML) has been widely applied to predict functional outcomes in clinical medicine. However, there has been no attempt to predict walking ability after spinal cord injury (SCI) based on ML. In this situation, the main purpose of this study was to predict gait recovery after SCI at discharge from an acute rehabilitation facility using various ML algorithms. In addition, we explored important variables that were related to the prognosis. Finally, we attempted to suggest an ML-based decision support system (DSS) for predicting gait recovery after SCI. Data were collected retrospectively from patients with SCI admitted to an acute rehabilitation facility between June 2008 to December 2021. Linear regression analysis and ML algorithms (random forest [RF], decision tree [DT], and support vector machine) were used to predict the functional ambulation category at the time of discharge (FAC_DC) in patients with traumatic or non-traumatic SCI (n = 353). The independent variables were age, sex, duration of acute care and rehabilitation, comorbidities, neurological information entered into the International Standards for Neurological Classification of SCI worksheet, and somatosensory-evoked potentials at the time of admission to the acute rehabilitation facility. In addition, the importance of variables and DT-based DSS for FAC_DC was analyzed. As a result, RF and DT accurately predicted the FAC_DC measured by the root mean squared error. The root mean squared error of RF and the DT were 1.09 and 1.24 for all participants, 1.20 and 1.06 for those with trauma, and 1.12 and 1.03 for those with non-trauma, respectively. In the analysis of important variables, the initial FAC was found to be the most influential factor in all groups. In addition, we could provide a simple DSS based on strong predictors such as the initial FAC, American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale grades, and neurological level of injury. In conclusion, we provide that ML can accurately predict gait recovery after SCI for the first time. By focusing on important variables and DSS, we can guide early prognosis and establish personalized rehabilitation strategies in acute rehabilitation hospitals.

Predicting the Outcome and Survival of Patients with Spinal Cord Injury Using Machine Learning Algorithms: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Spinal cord injury (SCI) is a significant public health issue, leading to physical, psychological, and social complications. Machine learning (ML) algorithms have shown potential in diagnosing and predicting the functional and neurologic outcomes of subjects with SCI. ML algorithms can predict scores for SCI classification systems and accurately predict outcomes by analyzing large amounts of data. This systematic review aimed to examine the performance of ML algorithms for diagnosing and predicting the outcomes of subjects with SCI.

METHODS

The literature was comprehensively searched for the pertinent studies from inception to May 25, 2023. Therefore, electronic databases of PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science were systematically searched with individual search syntax.

RESULTS

A total of 9424 individuals diagnosed with SCI across multiple studies were analyzed. Among the 21 studies included, 5 specifically aimed to evaluate diagnostic accuracy, while the remaining 16 focused on exploring prognostic factors or management strategies.

CONCLUSIONS

ML and deep learning (DL) have shown great potential in various aspects of SCI. ML and DL algorithms have been employed multiple times in predicting and diagnosing patients with SCI. While there are studies on diagnosing acute SCI using DL algorithms, further research is required in this area.

Machine Learning Web Application for Predicting Functional Outcomes in Patients With Traumatic Spinal Cord Injury Following Inpatient Rehabilitation

Accurately predicting functional outcomes in patients with spinal cord injury (SCI) helps clinicians set realistic functional recovery goals and improve the home environment after discharge. The present study aimed to develop and validate machine learning (ML) models to predict functional outcomes in patients with SCI and deploy the models within a web application. The study included data from the Japan Association of Rehabilitation Database from January 1, 1991, to December 31, 2015. Patients with SCI who were admitted to an SCI center or transferred to a participating post-acute rehabilitation hospital after receiving acute treatment were enrolled in this database. The primary outcome was functional ambulation at discharge from the rehabilitation hospital. The secondary outcome was the total motor Functional Independence Measure (FIM) score at discharge. We used binary classification models to predict whether functional ambulation was achieved, as well as regression models to predict total motor FIM scores at discharge. In the training dataset (70% random sample) using demographic characteristics and neurological and functional status as predictors, we built prediction performance matrices of multiple ML models and selected the best one for each outcome. We validated each model's predictive performance in the test dataset (the remaining 30%). Among the 4181 patients, 3827 were included in the prediction model for the total motor FIM score. The mean (standard deviation [SD]) age was 50.4 (18.7) years, and 3211 (83.9%) patients were male. There were 3122 patients included in the prediction model for functional ambulation. The CatBoost Classifier and regressor models showed the best performances in the training dataset. On the test dataset, the CatBoost Classifier had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.8572 and an accuracy of 0.7769 for predicting functional ambulation. Likewise, the CatBoost Regressor performed well, with an R2 of 0.7859, a mean absolute error of 9.2957, and a root mean square error of 13.4846 for predicting the total motor FIM score. The final models were deployed in a web application to provide functional predictions. The application can be found at http://3.138.174.54:8501. In conclusion, our prediction models developed using ML successfully predicted functional outcomes in patients with SCI and were deployed in an open-access web application.

The Use of Artificial Intelligence to Predict the Prognosis of Patients Undergoing Central Nervous System Rehabilitation: A Narrative Review

Applications of machine learning in the healthcare field have become increasingly diverse. In this review, we investigated the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in predicting the prognosis of patients with central nervous system disorders such as stroke, traumatic brain injury, and spinal cord injury. AI algorithms have shown promise in prognostic assessment, but challenges remain in achieving a higher prediction accuracy for practical clinical use. We suggest that accumulating more diverse data, including medical imaging and collaborative efforts among hospitals, can enhance the predictive capabilities of AI. As healthcare professionals become more familiar with AI, its role in central nervous system rehabilitation is expected to advance significantly, revolutionizing patient care.

Artificial intelligence CAD tools in trauma imaging: a scoping review from the American Society of Emergency Radiology (ASER) AI/ML Expert Panel

BACKGROUND

AI/ML CAD tools can potentially improve outcomes in the high-stakes, high-volume model of trauma radiology. No prior scoping review has been undertaken to comprehensively assess tools in this subspecialty.

PURPOSE

To map the evolution and current state of trauma radiology CAD tools along key dimensions of technology readiness.

METHODS

Following a search of databases, abstract screening, and full-text document review, CAD tool maturity was charted using elements of data curation, performance validation, outcomes research, explainability, user acceptance, and funding patterns. Descriptive statistics were used to illustrate key trends.

RESULTS

A total of 4052 records were screened, and 233 full-text articles were selected for content analysis. Twenty-one papers described FDA-approved commercial tools, and 212 reported algorithm prototypes. Works ranged from foundational research to multi-reader multi-case trials with heterogeneous external data. Scalable convolutional neural network-based implementations increased steeply after 2016 and were used in all commercial products; however, options for explainability were narrow. Of FDA-approved tools, 9/10 performed detection tasks. Dataset sizes ranged from < 100 to > 500,000 patients, and commercialization coincided with public dataset availability. Cross-sectional torso datasets were uniformly small. Data curation methods with ground truth labeling by independent readers were uncommon. No papers assessed user acceptance, and no method included human-computer interaction. The USA and China had the highest research output and frequency of research funding.

CONCLUSIONS

Trauma imaging CAD tools are likely to improve patient care but are currently in an early stage of maturity, with few FDA-approved products for a limited number of uses. The scarcity of high-quality annotated data remains a major barrier.

Spinal Cord Injury AIS Predictions Using Machine Learning

The study used machine learning to predict The American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS) scores for newly injured spinal cord injury patients at hospital discharge time from hospital admission data. Additionally, machine learning was used to analyze the best model for feature importance to validate the criticality of the AIS score and highlight relevant demographic details. The data used for training machine learning models was from the National Spinal Cord Injury Statistical Center (NSCISC) database of U.S. spinal cord injury patient details. Eighteen real features were used from 417 provided features, which mapped to 53 machine learning features after processing. Eight models were tuned on the dataset to predict AIS scores, and Shapely analysis was performed to extract the most important of the 53 features. Patients within the NSCISC database who sustained injuries were between 1972 and 2016 after data cleaning (n = 20,790). Outcomes were test set multiclass accuracy and aggregated Shapely score magnitudes. Ridge Classifier was the best performer with 73.6% test set accuracy. AIS scores and neurologic category at the time of admission were the best predictors of recovery. Demographically, features were less important, but age, sex, marital status, and race stood out. AIS scores on admission are highly predictive of patient outcomes when combined with patient demographic data. Promising results in terms of predicting recovery were seen, and Shapely analysis allowed for the machine learning model to be probed as a whole, giving insight into overall feature trends.

Machine learning in clinical diagnosis, prognostication, and management of acute traumatic spinal cord injury (SCI): A systematic review

Background

Machine learning has been applied to improve diagnosis and prognostication of acute traumatic spinal cord injury. We investigate potential for clinical integration of machine learning in this patient population to navigate variability in injury and recovery.

Materials and methods

We performed a systematic review using PRISMA guidelines through PubMed database to identify studies that use machine learning algorithms for clinical application toward improvements in diagnosis, management, and predictive modeling.

Results

Of the 132 records identified, a total of 13 articles met inclusion criteria and were included in final analysis. Of the 13 articles, 5 focused on diagnostic accuracy and 8 were related to prognostication or management of traumatic spinal cord injury. Across studies, 1983 patients with spinal cord injury were evaluated with most classifying as ASIA C or D. Retrospective designs were used in 10 of 13 studies and 3 were prospective. Studies focused on MRI evaluation and segmentation for diagnostic accuracy and prognostication, investigation of mean arterial pressure in acute care and intraoperative settings, prediction of ambulatory and functional ability, chronic complication prevention, and psychological quality of life assessments. Decision tree, random forests (RF), support vector machines (SVM), hierarchical cluster tree analysis (HCTA), artificial neural networks (ANN), convolutional neural networks (CNN) machine learning subtypes were used.

Conclusions

Machine learning represents a platform technology with clinical application in traumatic spinal cord injury diagnosis, prognostication, management, rehabilitation, and risk prevention of chronic complications and mental illness. SVM models showed improved accuracy when compared to other ML subtypes surveyed. Inherent variability across patients with SCI offers unique opportunity for ML and personalized medicine to drive desired outcomes and assess risks in this patient population.