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Shah P, Voice M, Calvo-Bado L, Rivero-Calle I, Morris S, Nijman R, Broderick C, De T, Eleftheriou I, Galassini R, Khanijau A, Kolberg L, Kolnik M, Rudzate A, Sagmeister MG, Schweintzger NA, Secka F, Thakker C, van der Velden F, Vermont C, Vincek K, Agyeman PK, Cunnington AJ, De Groot R, Emonts M, Fidler K, Kuijpers TW, Mommert-Tripon M, Brengel-Pesce K, Mallet F, Moll H, Paulus S, Pokorn M, Pollard A, Schlapbach LJ, Shen CF, Tsolia M, Usuf E, van der Flier M, von Both U, Yeung S, Zavadska D, Zenz W, Wright V, Carrol ED, Kaforou M, Martinon-Torres F, Fink C, Levin M, Herberg J. Relationship between molecular pathogen detection and clinical disease in febrile children across Europe: a multicentre, prospective observational study. THE LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH. EUROPE 2023; 32:100682. [PMID: 37554664 PMCID: PMC10405323 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2023.100682] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2022] [Revised: 06/28/2023] [Accepted: 06/28/2023] [Indexed: 08/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The PERFORM study aimed to understand causes of febrile childhood illness by comparing molecular pathogen detection with current clinical practice. METHODS Febrile children and controls were recruited on presentation to hospital in 9 European countries 2016-2020. Each child was assigned a standardized diagnostic category based on retrospective review of local clinical and microbiological data. Subsequently, centralised molecular tests (CMTs) for 19 respiratory and 27 blood pathogens were performed. FINDINGS Of 4611 febrile children, 643 (14%) were classified as definite bacterial infection (DB), 491 (11%) as definite viral infection (DV), and 3477 (75%) had uncertain aetiology. 1061 controls without infection were recruited. CMTs detected blood bacteria more frequently in DB than DV cases for N. meningitidis (OR: 3.37, 95% CI: 1.92-5.99), S. pneumoniae (OR: 3.89, 95% CI: 2.07-7.59), Group A streptococcus (OR 2.73, 95% CI 1.13-6.09) and E. coli (OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.02-6.71). Respiratory viruses were more common in febrile children than controls, but only influenza A (OR 0.24, 95% CI 0.11-0.46), influenza B (OR 0.12, 95% CI 0.02-0.37) and RSV (OR 0.16, 95% CI: 0.06-0.36) were less common in DB than DV cases. Of 16 blood viruses, enterovirus (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.23-0.72) and EBV (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.56-0.90) were detected less often in DB than DV cases. Combined local diagnostics and CMTs respectively detected blood viruses and respiratory viruses in 360 (56%) and 161 (25%) of DB cases, and virus detection ruled-out bacterial infection poorly, with predictive values of 0.64 and 0.68 respectively. INTERPRETATION Most febrile children cannot be conclusively defined as having bacterial or viral infection when molecular tests supplement conventional approaches. Viruses are detected in most patients with bacterial infections, and the clinical value of individual pathogen detection in determining treatment is low. New approaches are needed to help determine which febrile children require antibiotics. FUNDING EU Horizon 2020 grant 668303.
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Affiliation(s)
- Priyen Shah
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Infectious Diseases, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Marie Voice
- Micropathology Ltd, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK
| | | | - Irene Rivero-Calle
- Translational Pediatrics and Infectious Diseases, Pediatrics Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Santiago, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- GENVIP Research Group, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago, Universidad de Santiago de Compostela, Galicia, Spain
| | - Sophie Morris
- Micropathology Ltd, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK
| | - Ruud Nijman
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Infectious Diseases, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Claire Broderick
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Infectious Diseases, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Tisham De
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Infectious Diseases, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Irini Eleftheriou
- 2nd Department of Pediatrics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, “P. and A. Kyriakou” Children's Hospital, Thivon and Levadias, Goudi, Athens, Greece
| | - Rachel Galassini
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Infectious Diseases, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Aakash Khanijau
- Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, University of Liverpool Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Liverpool, UK
| | - Laura Kolberg
- Division Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Dr. von Hauner Children's Hospital, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Mojca Kolnik
- Division of Pediatrics and Department of Infectious Diseases, University Medical Centre Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | | | - Manfred G. Sagmeister
- Division of General Pediatrics, Department of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Nina A. Schweintzger
- Division of General Pediatrics, Department of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Fatou Secka
- Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia at LSHTM, Fajara, The Gambia
| | - Clare Thakker
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Infectious Diseases, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Fabian van der Velden
- Great North Children's Hospital, Paediatric Immunology, Infectious Diseases & Allergy, Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, UK
| | - Clementien Vermont
- Department of Paediatric Infectious Diseases & Immunology, Erasmus MC-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Katarina Vincek
- Division of Pediatrics and Department of Infectious Diseases, University Medical Centre Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Philipp K.A. Agyeman
- Department of Pediatrics, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Switzerland
| | - Aubrey J. Cunnington
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Infectious Diseases, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Ronald De Groot
- Radboud Center for Infectious Diseases, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands and Section Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Laboratory of Medical Immunology, Radboud Institute for Molecular Life Sciences, the Netherlands
| | - Marieke Emonts
- Great North Children's Hospital, Paediatric Immunology, Infectious Diseases & Allergy, Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, UK
- Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Katy Fidler
- Royal Alexandra Children's Hospital, Brighton, UK
| | - Taco W. Kuijpers
- Department of Pediatric Immunology, Rheumatology and Infectious Diseases, Amsterdam University Medical Center (AUMC), University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
- Sanquin Research Institute, & Landsteiner Laboratory at the AMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | | | - Karen Brengel-Pesce
- Open Innovation & Partnerships (OIP), bioMérieux S.A., Marcy l'Etoile, France
| | - Francois Mallet
- Open Innovation & Partnerships (OIP), bioMérieux S.A., Marcy l'Etoile, France
| | - Henriette Moll
- Department of General Paediatrics, Erasmus MC-Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Stéphane Paulus
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Marko Pokorn
- Division of Pediatrics and Department of Infectious Diseases, University Medical Centre Ljubljana, Slovenia
- Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Andrew Pollard
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Luregn J. Schlapbach
- Department of Intensive Care and Neonatology, Children's Research Center, University Children's Hospital Zurich, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Ching-Fen Shen
- Department of Paediatrics, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Maria Tsolia
- 2nd Department of Pediatrics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, “P. and A. Kyriakou” Children's Hospital, Thivon and Levadias, Goudi, Athens, Greece
| | - Effua Usuf
- Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia at LSHTM, Fajara, The Gambia
| | - Michiel van der Flier
- Radboud Center for Infectious Diseases, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands and Section Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Laboratory of Medical Immunology, Radboud Institute for Molecular Life Sciences, the Netherlands
- Pediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Ulrich von Both
- Division Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Dr. von Hauner Children's Hospital, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
- German Center for Infection Research (DZIF), Partner Site Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Shunmay Yeung
- Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Dace Zavadska
- Children's Clinical University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
- Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia
| | - Werner Zenz
- Division of General Pediatrics, Department of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Victoria Wright
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Infectious Diseases, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Enitan D. Carrol
- Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, University of Liverpool Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Liverpool, UK
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Alder Hey Children's Hospital, Eaton Road, Liverpool, UK
| | - Myrsini Kaforou
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Infectious Diseases, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Federico Martinon-Torres
- Translational Pediatrics and Infectious Diseases, Pediatrics Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Santiago, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- GENVIP Research Group, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago, Universidad de Santiago de Compostela, Galicia, Spain
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
| | - Colin Fink
- Micropathology Ltd, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK
| | - Michael Levin
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Infectious Diseases, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Jethro Herberg
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Infectious Diseases, and Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Imperial College, London, UK
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