Comparison of Evolution of Aortic Root Dilation and Ghent Criteria in Preadolescents and Adolescents with and without Marfan Syndrome

Predicting Marfan Syndrome in Children With Congenital Ectopia Lentis: Development and Validation of a Nomogram

Purpose

To derive an effective nomogram for predicting Marfan syndrome (MFS) in children with congenital ectopia lentis (CEL) using regularly collected data.

Methods

Diagnostic standards (Ghent nosology) and genetic test were applied in all patients with CEL to determine the presence or absence of MFS. Three potential MFS predictors were tested and chosen to build a prediction model using logistic regression. The predictive performance of the nomogram was validated internally through time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis.

Results

Eyes from 103 patients under 20 years old and with CEL were enrolled in this study. Z score of body mass index (odds ratio [OR] = 0.659; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.453-0.958), corneal curvature radius (OR = 3.397; 95% CI, 1.829-6.307), and aortic root diameter (OR = 2.342; 95% CI, 1.403-3.911) were identified as predictors of MFS. The combination of the above predictors shows good predictive ability, as indicated by area under the curve of 0.889 (95% CI, 0.826-0.953). The calibration curves showed good agreement between the prediction of the nomogram and the actual observations. In addition, decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram was clinically useful and had better discriminatory power in identifying patients with MFS. For better individual prediction, an online MFS calculator was created.

Conclusions

The nomogram provides accurate and individualized prediction of MFS in children with CEL who cannot be identified with the Ghent criteria, enabling clinicians to personalize treatment plans and improve MFS outcomes.

Translational Relevance

The prediction model may help clinicians identify MFS in its early stages, which could reduce the likelihood of developing severe symptoms and improve MFS outcomes.

How to Distinguish Marfan Syndrome from Marfanoid Habitus in a Physical Examination-Comparison of External Features in Patients with Marfan Syndrome and Marfanoid Habitus

Marfan Syndrome (MFS) is a systemic disorder caused by mutations in fibrillin-1. The most common cause of mortality in MFS is dissection and rupture of the aorta. Due to a highly variable and age-dependent clinical spectrum, the diagnosis of MFS still remains sophisticated. The aim of the study was to determine if there exist phenotypic features that can play the role of "red flags" in cases of MFS suspicion. The study population included 306 patients (199 children and 107 adults) who were referred to the Department of Pediatric Cardiology due to suspicion of MFS. All patients underwent complete clinical evaluation in order to confirm the diagnosis of MFS according to the modified Ghent criteria. MFS was diagnosed in 109 patients and marfanoid habitus in 168 patients. The study excluded 29 patients with other hereditary thoracic aneurysm syndromes. Comparative analysis between patients with Marfan syndrome and marfanoid habitus was performed. Symptoms with high prevalence and high positive likelihood ratio were identified (pectus carinatum, reduced elbow extension, hindfoot deformity, gothic palate, downslanting palpebral fissures, lens subluxation, myopia ≥ 3 dioptres remarkably high stature). The differentiation between patients with MFS and marfanoid body habitus is not possible by only assessing external body features; however, "red flags" could be helpful in the screening phase.