Predicting the severity of liver cirrhosis through clinical parameters

Scientific Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

With advances in imaging technology and surgical instruments, hepatectomy can be perfectly performed with technical precision for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the 5-year tumor recurrence rates remain greater than 70%. Thus, the strategy for hepatectomy needs to be reappraised based on insights of scientific advances. Scientific evidence has suggested that the main causes of recurrence after hepatectomy for HCC are mainly related to underlying cirrhosis and the vascular spread of tumor cells that basically cannot be eradicated by hepatectomy. Liver transplantation and systemic therapy could be the solution to prevent postoperative recurrence in this regard. Therefore, determining the severity of liver cirrhosis for choosing the appropriate surgical modality, such as liver transplantation or hepatectomy, for HCC and integrating newly emerging immune-related adjuvant and/or neoadjuvant therapy into the strategy of hepatectomy for HCC have become new aspects of exploration to optimize the strategy of hepatectomy. In this new area, hepatectomy for HCC has evolved from a pure technical concept emphasizing anatomic resection into a scientific concept embracing technical considerations and scientific advances in underlying liver cirrhosis, vascular invasion, and systemic therapy. By introducing the concept of scientific hepatectomy, the indications, timing, and surgical techniques of hepatectomy will be further scientifically optimized for individual patients, and recurrence rates will be decreased and long-term survival will be further prolonged.

Prognostic Nomograms Based on the Cirrhotic Severity Scoring for Preoperative Prediction of Long-Term Outcomes in Patients with HBV-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Child-Pugh Grade A Liver Function

Background

Cirrhotic severity scoring (CSS) is a noninvasive method that can predict histological severity of cirrhosis. This study is aimed at assessing the predictive value of CSS on long-term outcomes after curative hepatectomy for patients with hepatitis B virus- (HBV-) related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and Child-Pugh grade A liver function and further developing novel nomograms to preoperatively predict posthepatectomy recurrence and survival.

Methods

Consecutive patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for HCC between 2008 and 2014 were retrospectively studied. According to the CSS, patients were subclassified into 3 groups: no/mild, moderate, and severe cirrhosis. The impact of CSS on recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed. Furthermore, RFS and OS nomograms were developed.

Results

The 5-year RFS and OS rates were 36.1% and 62.8% in the no/mild cirrhosis group, compared with 28.4% and 56.2% in the moderate cirrhosis group, and 16.2% and 33.0% in the severe cirrhosis group. Long-term survival outcomes were significantly worse with the increment of cirrhotic severity. CSS, alpha-fetoprotein level, tumor size, tumor number, and macrovascular invasion were identified as independent predictors of both RFS and OS. Besides, albumin-bilirubin grade was an independent risk factor of OS not RFS. RFS- and OS-predictive nomograms based on these preoperative variables were built. For these 2 nomograms, the C-indexes were 0.696 and 0.732, respectively. Calibration curves exhibited good agreement between actual observation and nomogram prediction.

Conclusions

CSS was a predictor for long-term outcomes in HCC patients after curative hepatectomy. The novel nomograms exhibited accurate preoperative prediction of posthepatectomy recurrence and OS.

Effect of Severity of Liver Cirrhosis on Surgical Outcomes of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Resection and Microwave Coagulation

BACKGROUND

Liver resection (LR) and percutaneous microwave coagulation therapy (PMCT) are both considered as radical treatments for small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, it is still unclear whether to select LR or PMCT in HCC patients with different degrees of liver cirrhosis. The purpose of this study was to compare the efficacy of LR and PMCT in the treatment of solitary and small HCC accompanied with different degrees of liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

In this study, 230 patients with solitary HCC lesions ≤ 3 cm and Child-Pugh A liver function were retrospectively reviewed. Among these patients, 122 patients underwent LR, and 108 received PMCT. The short- and long-term outcomes were compared between these two procedures. Severity of liver cirrhosis was evaluated by using clinical scoring system (CSS) as previously published. Subgroup analysis based on CSS was performed to evaluate the effect of severity of liver cirrhosis on surgical outcomes after LR and PMCT.

RESULTS

There was no mortality within 90 days in both groups. Major complications were significantly more frequent in the LR group than in the PMCT group (18.8% vs. 4.6%, p<0.001). However, LR provided better surgical outcomes than PMCT. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates for the LR and PMCT groups were 65.2% and 42%, respectively (p=0.006), and the corresponding disease-free survival (DFS) rates were 51.7% and 31.5%, respectively (p=0.004). Nevertheless, subgroup analysis showed that PMCT provided long-term outcomes that were similar to LR and lower surgical complications in HCC patients with CSS score≥4.

CONCLUSIONS

LR may provide better OS and DFS rates than PMCT for patients with solitary HCC lesions ≤ 3 cm and Child-Pugh A liver function irrespective of liver cirrhosis. PMCT should be viewed as the optimal treatment for solitary and small HCC with severe cirrhosis.

Sub-Classification of Cirrhosis Affects Surgical Outcomes for Early Hepatocellular Carcinoma Independent of Portal Hypertension

Severity of liver cirrhosis is distinct from clinical portal hypertension because there exist different degrees of liver cirrhosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients without significant clinical portal hypertension. Whether severity of cirrhosis affects surgical outcomes for HCC patients in absence of portal hypertension or not remains unclear. This study aims to analyze the effect of cirrhotic severity on surgical outcomes for HCC patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in absence of portal hypertension. This retrospective study enrolled 166 patients who underwent curative resection for a single HCC ≤5 cm in absence of portal hypertension between February 2011 and December 2013. Liver cirrhosis was sub-classified into no/mild (no/F4A) and moderate/severe (F4B/F4C) according to the Laennec scoring system. The surgical outcomes and complications were analyzed. The surgical mortality was zero in this study. Major complications were apparently higher in the F4B/F4C group than in the no/F4A group (17.0% vs 7.4%, p <0.001). The 1-year, 3-year and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 98.5, 88.1 and 80%, respectively, in the no/F4A group, which were significantly higher than those in the F4B/F4C group (98.0, 69.2 and 54.7%, p = 0.001). Microscopic vascular invasion, absence of tumor capsule and severity of liver cirrhosis were independent risk factors of surgical outcomes for HCC patients without portal hypertension. In conclusion, severity of liver cirrhosis affected surgical outcomes for early-stage HCC patients independent of portal hypertension.

Use of Direct Liver Stiffness Measurement in Evaluating the Severity of Liver Cirrhosis in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Severity of liver cirrhosis plays an important role in determining the safe extents of hepatectomy in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to investigate whether direct liver stiffness measurement can help surgeons to evaluate the severity of liver cirrhosis in HCC patients.

METHODS

Overall, 119 HCC patients who underwent open hepatectomy were retrospectively studied. The severity of liver cirrhosis was histologically staged using the Laennec staging system. Direct liver stiffness measurement was performed during operation using a sclerometer device named LX-C Shaw hardmeter, and its efficacy in assessing the severity of liver cirrhosis was compared with that of transient elastography (TE) and cirrhotic severity scoring (CSS) previously proposed by our team.

RESULTS

Liver stiffness measured by LX-C Shaw hardmeter was significantly correlated with the severity of liver cirrhosis. Spearman correlation coefficients for the correlation between the severity of liver cirrhosis and direct liver stiffness measurement, TE, and CSS were 0.751, 0.454, and 0.705, respectively (all P < 0.001). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) of direct liver stiffness measurement were 0.891 for moderate cirrhosis and 0.944 for severe cirrhosis and superior to those of TE (0.735 and 0.776, respectively) and CSS (0.888 and 0.905, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Direct liver stiffness measurement is a useful method in evaluating the severity of liver cirrhosis in HCC patients.

Liver Collagen Contents Are Closely Associated with the Severity of Cirrhosis and Posthepatectomy Liver Failure in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Child-Pugh Grade A Liver Function

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is usually accompanied by different severities of cirrhosis, which is a risk factor for posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). Collagen proportional area (CPA) measurements can quantitatively determine the collagen contents of liver tissue. This study explored the impact of CPA on PHLF, and further investigated the correlation between CPA and a non-invasive method, namely cirrhotic severity scoring (CSS), previously proposed by our team.

METHODS

A total of 224 HCC patients with Child-Pugh grade A liver function undergoing hepatectomy between 2017 and 2019 were retrospectively studied. Quantitative digital image analysis of resected liver tissues was used for the CPA measurement. Risk factors for PHLF were subjected to univariate and multivariate analyses, and the correlation between CPA and CSS was analyzed.

RESULTS

Overall, 28 (12.5%) patients experienced PHLF. Patients with PHLF had higher CPA values than those without PHLF (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed CPA and extent of hepatectomy to be independent risk factors for PHLF. CPA values were divided into four stages based on their quartiles (C1: < 6.6%; C2: 6.6-10.7%; C3: 10.7-18.0%; C4: ≥ 18.0%). The incidence of PHLF increased with increasing CPA stages (p < 0.001). Furthermore, CSS was significantly correlated with CPA (r = 0.720; p < 0.001). The incidence of PHLF also increased with increasing severity of cirrhosis evaluated by CSS (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In HCC patients with Child-Pugh grade A liver function, cirrhosis could be staged by liver collagen contents, which significantly influenced PHLF. Furthermore, CSS was useful in the preoperative evaluation of cirrhotic severity.

A Novel Pathological Scoring System for Hepatic Cirrhosis with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose

This study aimed to propose an effective quantitative pathological scoring system and to establish nomogram to assess the stage of cirrhosis and predict postoperative survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with cirrhosis patients after hepatectomy.

Methods

The scoring system was based on a retrospective study on 163 patients who underwent partial hepatectomy for HCC with cirrhosis. The clinicopathological and follow-up data of 163 HCC with cirrhosis patients who underwent hepatectomy in our hospital from 2010 to 2014 were retrospectively reviewed. A scoring system was established based on the total value of independent predictive factors of cirrhosis. The results were validated using 97 patients operated on from 2011 to 2015 at the same institution. Nomogram was then formulated using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model to analyze.

Results

The scoring system was ultimately composed of 4 independent predictive factors and was divided into 3 levels. The new cirrhosis system score strongly correlated with Child–Pugh score (r=0.8058, P<0.0001) 3 months after surgery; higher cirrhosis system scores predicted poorer liver function and stronger liver damage 3 months after surgery. Then, a four-factor nomogram for survival prediction was established. The concordance indices were 0.79 for the survival-prediction nomogram. The calibration curves showed good agreement between predictions by the nomogram and actual survival outcomes.

Conclusion

This new scoring system of cirrhosis can help us predict the liver function and liver injury 3 months after surgery, and the nomogram enabled accurate predictions of risk of overall survival in patients of HCC with cirrhosis after hepatectomy.

Effectiveness comparison of indocyanine green retention test with the cirrhotic severity scoring in evaluating the pathological severity of liver cirrhosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and Child-Pugh grade A liver function

Background

Evaluating cirrhotic severity is essential for individualizing surgical modalities for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our previous study proposed a non-invasive method named cirrhotic severity scoring (CSS) to stage liver cirrhosis. Indocyanine green retention rate at 15 min (ICG-R15) has been widely used for the preoperative evaluation of hepatic functional reserve; however, whether ICG-R15 is well correlated with cirrhotic severity, and especially whether comparable with CSS in predicting cirrhotic severity in HCC patients with Child-Pugh grade A liver function remains unknown.

Methods

Overall, 510 HCC patients with Child-Pugh grade A liver function undergoing hepatectomy between January 2011 and December 2014 were retrospectively studied. Cirrhotic severity was pathologically assessed using the Laennec staging system. The correlations between ICG-R15, CSS, and cirrhotic severity were analyzed. Furthermore, the performance of ICG-R15 and CSS in predicting posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) and 90-day mortality was compared.

Results

Patients with no, mild, moderate, and severe cirrhosis accounted for 15.9%, 29.2%, 35.9%, and 19.0%, respectively, in the entire cohort. ICG-R15 was found to be less than 10% in 100%, 93.3%, 86.3%, and 70.1% of the patients with no, mild, moderate, and severe cirrhosis, respectively. There was only a weak correlation between ICG-R15 and the pathological severity of liver cirrhosis (r = 0.325; P < 0.001). However, CSS showed a strong correlation with the pathological severity of liver cirrhosis (r = 0.788; P < 0.001). For those with ICG-R15 in the normal range, the accuracy of CSS in diagnosing no/mild, moderate, and severe cirrhosis was 89.1%, 72.8%, and 72.1%, respectively. In addition, CSS was superior to ICG-R15 in predicting PHLF and 90-day mortality.

Conclusions

CSS was more useful than ICG-R15 in the preoperative assessment of cirrhotic severity in HCC patients with Child-Pugh grade A liver function. More studies are needed to further validate CSS in patients with different Child-Pugh grades.

Predictive validation of qualitative fibrosis staging in patients with chronic hepatitis B on antiviral therapy

The fibrosis in chronic hepatitis shows dynamic changes during antiviral therapy (AVT). We investigated whether P-I-R (progressive vs. indeterminate vs. regressive) staging is predictive of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) taking AVT who underwent resection. Patients with CHB-related HCC who underwent curative resection between 2004 and 2017 and had received ≥2 years AVT at the time of resection were eligible. Two pathologists performed P-I-R staging. In total, 104 patients with CHB-related HCC were enrolled. The mean age of the study population was 56.3 years. The mean duration of AVT at the time of resection was 62.6 months. During the follow-up period (mean, 45.5 months), 20 (19.2%) and 14 (13.5%) patients developed early and late recurrence of HCC, respectively. The cumulative incidence of late recurrence was significantly lower in patients with regressive patterns than in those with indeterminate and progressive patterns according to P-I-R staging (P = 0.015, log-rank test), although the cumulative incidence of overall recurrence according to P-I-R staging was similar. Hepatitis B virus DNA levels (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.200, P = 0.020) and the regressive P-I-R staging pattern (HR = 0.127, P = 0.047) independently predicted the risk of late recurrence. One-time assessment of the P-I-R staging at the time of curative resection in patients with CHB-related HCC receiving AVT independently predicted late HCC recurrence. Therefore, qualitative fibrosis assessment by P-I-R staging might be useful in predicting the outcomes of patients with CHB undergoing AVT.

ALBI/ST ratio versus FIB-4 and APRI as a predictor of posthepatectomy liver failure in hepatocellular carcinoma patients

A precise and noninvasive method to predict posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) in clinical practice is still lacking. Liver fibrosis or cirrhosis accompanied with varying degrees of portal hypertension plays an important role in the occurrence of PHLF in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. This study aims to compare the predictive ability of the albumin-bilirubin score to spleen thickness ratio (ALBI/ST) versus fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet count ratio index (ARPI) for the occurrence of PHLF. We retrospectively enrolled 932 patients who underwent liver resection for HCC between 2010 and 2017. The predictive accuracy of ALBI/ST ratio, FIB-4, and APRI for occurrence of PHLF was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. PHLF was diagnosed in 69 (7.4%) patients. The ALBI/ST ratio was found to be a significant predictor of PHLF. The AUC of ALBI/ST (AUC = 0.774; 95% CI, 0.731-0.817; P <.001) was larger than that of FIB-4 (AUC = 0.696; 95% CI, 0.634-0.759; P <.001) and APRI (AUC = 0.697; 95% CI, 0.629-0.764; P <.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that ALBI/ST ratio was a strong risk factor of PHLF in all hepatectomy subgroups. In conclusion, the ALBI/ST ratio has a superior predictive ability for PHLF compared with APRI and FIB-4.

The relationship between serum hepatitis B virus DNA level and liver histology in patients with chronic HBV infection

BACKGROUND

There is no consensus regarding the relationship between HBV DNA and liver fibrosis, and the relationship between HBV DNA and the degree of liver cirrhosis has not been reported in patients with chronic HBV infection.

METHODS

From January 2011 to December 2016, liver biopsies were performed on 396 patients with chronic hepatitis B and cirrhosis. Assessments of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis were based on the Laennec staging system.

RESULTS

Serum levels of HBV DNA were correlated with fibrosis and cirrhosis (KW = 73.946, P<0.001). Serum HBV DNA level was correlated with mild fibrosis, moderate to severe fibrosis and cirrhosis (P = 0.009, P<0.001, and P<0.001, respectively). The HBeAg-positive group and HBeAg-negative group showed significant differences in HBV DNA levels, and the rates of mild fibrosis, severe fibrosis and cirrhosis were significantly different between these two groups (F = 17.585, P<0.001 and F = 6.017, P = 0.003, respectively). The replication status of the serum HBV DNA affected fibrosis formation as well as cirrhosis (χ2 = 53.76, P<0.001). In the HBeAg-positive group, the sensitivity, specificity and AUC values of HBV DNA as a predictor for mild fibrosis and cirrhosis were 64.3%, 78.94% and 0.818, respectively, and 81.0%, 69.2%, and 0.871, respectively. In the HBeAg-negative group, the sensitivity, specificity and AUC values of HBV DNA for liver sclerosis prediction were 48%, 76.8% and 0.697, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Different HBV DNA levels had different effects on the formation of fibrosis and sclerosis in liver tissues. HBV DNA levels can predict mild fibrosis and cirrhosis in liver tissue, which is enhanced in HBeAg-positive patients.