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Zanca A, Osborne JM, Zaloumis SG, Weller CD, Flegg JA. How quickly does a wound heal? Bayesian calibration of a mathematical model of venous leg ulcer healing. MATHEMATICAL MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY : A JOURNAL OF THE IMA 2022; 39:313-331. [PMID: 35698448 DOI: 10.1093/imammb/dqac007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/05/2021] [Revised: 03/27/2022] [Accepted: 05/14/2022] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
Chronic wounds, such as venous leg ulcers, are difficult to treat and can reduce the quality of life for patients. Clinical trials have been conducted to identify the most effective venous leg ulcer treatments and the clinical factors that may indicate whether a wound will successfully heal. More recently, mathematical modelling has been used to gain insight into biological factors that may affect treatment success but are difficult to measure clinically, such as the rate of oxygen flow into wounded tissue. In this work, we calibrate an existing mathematical model using a Bayesian approach with clinical data for individual patients to explore which clinical factors may impact the rate of wound healing for individuals. Although the model describes group-level behaviour well, it is not able to capture individual-level responses in all cases. From the individual-level analysis, we propose distributions for coefficients of clinical factors in a linear regression model, but ultimately find that it is difficult to draw conclusions about which factors lead to faster wound healing based on the existing model and data. This work highlights the challenges of using Bayesian methods to calibrate partial differential equation models to individual patient clinical data. However, the methods used in this work may be modified and extended to calibrate spatiotemporal mathematical models to multiple data sets, such as clinical trials with several patients, to extract additional information from the model and answer outstanding biological questions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adriana Zanca
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne, Parkville, 3010, Victoria, Australia
| | - James M Osborne
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne, Parkville, 3010, Victoria, Australia
| | - Sophie G Zaloumis
- School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, 3010, Victoria, Australia
| | - Carolina D Weller
- School of Nursing and Midwifery, Monash University, Clayton, 3800, Victoria, Australia
| | - Jennifer A Flegg
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne, Parkville, 3010, Victoria, Australia
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Menon SN, Flegg JA. Mathematical Modeling Can Advance Wound Healing Research. Adv Wound Care (New Rochelle) 2021; 10:328-344. [PMID: 32634070 PMCID: PMC8082733 DOI: 10.1089/wound.2019.1132] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2019] [Accepted: 06/26/2020] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Significance: For over 30 years, there has been sustained interest in the development of mathematical models for investigating the complex mechanisms underlying each stage of the wound healing process. Despite the immense associated challenges, such models have helped usher in a paradigm shift in wound healing research. Recent Advances: In this article, we review contributions in the field that span epidermal, dermal, and corneal wound healing, and treatments of nonhealing wounds. The recent influence of mathematical models on biological experiments is detailed, with a focus on wound healing assays and fibroblast-populated collagen lattices. Critical Issues: We provide an overview of the field of mathematical modeling of wound healing, highlighting key advances made in recent decades, and discuss how such models have contributed to the development of improved treatment strategies and/or an enhanced understanding of the tightly regulated steps that comprise the healing process. Future Directions: We detail some of the open problems in the field that could be addressed through a combination of theoretical and/or experimental approaches. To move the field forward, we need to have a common language between scientists to facilitate cross-collaboration, which we hope this review can support by highlighting progress to date.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Jennifer A. Flegg
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
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Flegg JA, Menon SN, Byrne HM, McElwain DLS. A Current Perspective on Wound Healing and Tumour-Induced Angiogenesis. Bull Math Biol 2020; 82:23. [DOI: 10.1007/s11538-020-00696-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/15/2019] [Accepted: 01/02/2020] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
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Yan R, Zhao W, Sun Q. Research on a physical activity tracking system based upon three-axis accelerometer for patients with leg ulcers. Healthc Technol Lett 2019; 6:147-152. [PMID: 31839971 PMCID: PMC6863144 DOI: 10.1049/htl.2019.0008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/20/2019] [Revised: 06/10/2019] [Accepted: 07/01/2019] [Indexed: 01/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Venous leg ulcerations are a common problem, with high prevalence in the middle-aged and elderly population, and more attention on research of their physical activities has been paid, as they have great effects on the blood circulation of the lower limb. With enough, appropriate training, the chronic venous ulcerations in the lower limb can be avoided and alleviated, and venous hypertension can be reduced effectively. The study deals with a physical activity tracking system for the patients based on a three-axis accelerometer. The system uses a three-axis accelerometer, a microcontroller, and a wireless Bluetooth module to form a data acquisition platform to acquire accelerations of the lower limb movement, and sends it to a smart mobile phone via the wireless Bluetooth module. The system takes advantages of the smart mobile phone to guide the chronic venous leg ulcers to do prescribed rehabilitation exercises for the lower limb muscles, perform acceleration data preprocessing, wavelet transform and reconstruction, denoising and feature extraction, obtain the results of the rehabilitation exercises, and then give reasonable evaluation and judgment. It is helpful to treat underlying venous reflux, create such an environment that allows skin to grow across an ulcer, and accelerate ulcer healing process consequently.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rongguo Yan
- School of Medical Instrument and Food Engineering, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, 200093, People's Republic of China
| | - Weibing Zhao
- School of Medical Instrument and Food Engineering, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, 200093, People's Republic of China
| | - Qi Sun
- School of Medical Instrument and Food Engineering, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, 200093, People's Republic of China
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González-Mendoza B, López-Callejas R, Rodríguez-Méndez BG, Eguiluz RP, Mercado-Cabrera A, Valencia-Alvarado R, Betancourt-Ángeles M, Reyes-Frías MDL, Reboyo-Barrios D, Chávez-Aguilar E. Healing of wounds in lower extremities employing a non-thermal plasma. CLINICAL PLASMA MEDICINE 2019. [DOI: 10.1016/j.cpme.2020.100094] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
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Weller CD, Bouguettaya A, Team V, Flegg J, Kasza J, Jayathilake C. Associations between patient, treatment, or wound‐level factors and venous leg ulcer healing: Wound characteristics are the key factors in determining healing outcomes. Wound Repair Regen 2019; 28:211-218. [DOI: 10.1111/wrr.12773] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2019] [Revised: 09/10/2019] [Accepted: 10/07/2019] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Carolina D. Weller
- Monash Nursing and Midwifery Level 5 Alfred Centre, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne Victoria 3004 Australia
| | - Ayoub Bouguettaya
- Monash Nursing and Midwifery Level 5 Alfred Centre, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne Victoria 3004 Australia
| | - Victoria Team
- Monash Nursing and Midwifery Level 5 Alfred Centre, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne Victoria 3004 Australia
| | - Jennifer Flegg
- School of Mathematics and StatisticsUniversity of Melbourne Level 3, Old Geology South, Parkville Victoria 3010 Australia
| | - Jessica Kasza
- Monash School of Public Health and Preventative MedicineMonash University 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne Victoria 3004 Australia
| | - Chathranee Jayathilake
- School of Mathematics and StatisticsUniversity of Melbourne Level 3, Old Geology South, Parkville Victoria 3010 Australia
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Russell D, Atkin L, Betts A, Dowsett C, Fatoye F, Gardner S, Green J, Manu C, McKenzie T, Meally H, Mitchell L, Mullings J, Odeyemi I, Sharpe A, Yeowell G, Devlin N. Using a modified Delphi methodology to gain consensus on the use of dressings in chronic wounds management. J Wound Care 2019; 27:156-165. [PMID: 29509111 DOI: 10.12968/jowc.2018.27.3.156] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Managing chronic wounds is associated with a burden to patients, caregivers, health services and society and there is a lack of clarity regarding the role of dressings in improving outcomes. This study aimed to provide understanding on a range of topics, including: the definition of chronicity in wounds, the burden of illness, clinical outcomes of reducing healing time and the impact of early interventions on clinical and economic outcomes and the role of matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) in wound healing. METHOD A systematic review of the literature was carried out on the role of dressings in diabetic foot ulcer (DFU), and venous leg ulcer (VLU) management strategies, their effectiveness, associated resource use/cost, and quality of life (QoL) impact on patients. From this evidence-base statements were written regarding chronicity in wounds, burden of illness, healing time, and the role of MMPs, early interventions and dressings. A modified Delphi methodology involving two iterations of email questionnaires followed by a face-to-face meeting was used to validate the statements, in order to arrive at a consensus for each. Clinical experts were selected, representing nurses, surgeons, podiatrists, academics, and policy experts. RESULTS In the first round, 38/47 statements reached or exceeded the consensus threshold of 80% and none were rejected. According to the protocol, any statement not confirmed or rejected had to be modified using the comments from participants and resubmitted. In the second round, 5/9 remaining statements were confirmed and none rejected, leaving 4 to discuss at the meeting. All final statements were confirmed with at least 80% consensus. CONCLUSION This modified Delphi panel sought to gain clarity from clinical experts surrounding the use of dressings in the management of chronic wounds. A full consensus statement was developed to help clinicians and policy makers improve the management of patients with these conditions.
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Affiliation(s)
- David Russell
- Consultant Vascular Surgeon and Honorary Clinical Associate Professor, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust
| | - Leanne Atkin
- Vascular Nurse Specialist, Mid Yorkshire Hospitals NHS Trust
| | - April Betts
- Health Technology Assessment Project Manager, Manchester Metropolitan University
| | - Caroline Dowsett
- Nurse Consultant Tissue Viability, East London NHS Foundation Trust, London
| | - Francis Fatoye
- Professor of Health Economics and Outcomes, Manchester Metropolitan University
| | - Sarah Gardner
- Clinical Lead, Tissue Viability, Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust
| | - Julie Green
- Senior Lecturer in Nursing, Director of Postgraduate Programmes, Keele University, School of Nursing and Midwifery
| | - Chris Manu
- Consultant Diabetologist and Clinical Researcher in Diabetic Foot, King's College Hospital, London
| | - Tracey McKenzie
- Head of Tissue Viability Services, Torbay and Southern Devon NHS Foundation Trust
| | - Helena Meally
- Hospital Podiatrist, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust
| | | | - Julie Mullings
- Lead Tissue Viability Nurse, University Hospital of South Manchester, NHS Foundation Trust
| | - Isaac Odeyemi
- Visiting Professor of Health Technology Assessment and Health Policy, Manchester Metropolitan University
| | - Andrew Sharpe
- Advanced Podiatrist and Lecturer Practitioner, West Lancashire Community Service, Virgin Care and University of Huddersfield
| | - Gillian Yeowell
- MSc Advanced Physiotherapy Programme Leader, Manchester Metropolitan University
| | - Nancy Devlin
- Director of Research, Professor, Office of Health Economics, Victoria Street, London
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Team V, Chandler PG, Weller CD. Adjuvant therapies in venous leg ulcer management: A scoping review. Wound Repair Regen 2019; 27:562-590. [PMID: 31025794 DOI: 10.1111/wrr.12724] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2019] [Revised: 04/17/2019] [Accepted: 04/22/2019] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
Compression therapy is the current evidence-based approach to manage venous leg ulcers (VLU); however, adherence is a major barrier to successful treatment. Combination approaches may relieve the burden of treatment by shortening the time to ulcer healing. This scoping review conducted by Australian researchers aimed to establish the evidence of effectiveness of various adjuvant methods on wound healing and recurrence. Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs), and Systematic Reviews (SR) and Meta-Analyses (MA) on VLU management approaches published from January 2015 to December 2018 were included in this review. The articles included in the scoping review were grouped according to the management approaches, including (1) pharmaceutical interventions, (2) surgical interventions, (3) topical agents, (4) the use of devices, and (5) other, such as physiotherapy and psychological interventions. Results of this scoping review indicate that there is a limited high-quality evidence of effectiveness in most adjuvant therapies on wound healing and recurrence. Given the low-quality evidence observed in this scoping review for adjuvant treatments, the implication for practice is that current management guidelines be followed. Further rigorous studies have the potential to produce better quality evidence. Quality of evidence can be improved by ensuring large sample sizes of a single etiology wounds, standardizing reporting outcomes, and maintaining detailed and evidence-based protocols in physiological or psychological interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Victoria Team
- Monash Nursing and Midwifery, Level 3, 35 Rainforest Walk, Monash University, Wellington Road, Clayton, 3800, Victoria, Australia
| | - Peter G Chandler
- Monash Nursing and Midwifery, Level 3, 35 Rainforest Walk, Monash University, Wellington Road, Clayton, 3800, Victoria, Australia
| | - Carolina D Weller
- Monash Nursing and Midwifery, Level 3, 35 Rainforest Walk, Monash University, Wellington Road, Clayton, 3800, Victoria, Australia
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