Trial sequential analysis in meta-analyses: A clinically oriented approach with real-world example

Antihypertensive effect and mechanism of the traditional recipe of medicine food homology (Buyang Huanwu Decoction) in China: Meta analysis and network pharmacological exploration

Background

Hypertension has become a part of the lives of many people worldwide. With the development, an increasing number of people have begun to control their hypertension through products of medicine food homology, such as Buyang Huanwu Decoction (BYHWD). However, there has been no objective review of the regulation of hypertension by BYHWD.

Methods

As of 9 October 2023, this review made a detailed search of nine databases to look for random controlled trials (RCTs) focused on the use of BYHWD for treating hypertension. This was followed by network pharmacological analysis, and molecular docking assessment using AutoDockTools to explore the mode of action.

Results

BYHWD was effective in reducing SBP (MD: 0.767; 95 % CI: 0.629, 0.905; p = 0.000), DBP (MD: 0.427; 95 % CI: 0.292, 0.561; p = 0.000), 24h SBP (MD: 0.665; 95 % CI: 0.368, 0.962; p = 0.000), 24h DBP (MD: 0.547; 95 % CI: 0.318, 0.777; p = 0.000), dSBP (MD: 0.625; 95 % CI: 0.395, 0.855; p = 0.000), dDBP (MD: 0.632; 95 % CI: 0.401, 0.862; p = 0.000), nSBP (MD: 0.859; 95 % CI: 0.340, 1.377; p = 0.001), nDBP (MD: 0.704; 95 % CI: 0.297, 1.112; p = 0.001), pv (MD: 1.311; 95 % CI: 0.363, 2.259; p = 0.007) and NIHSS (MD: 1.149; 95 % CI: 0.100, 2.199; p = 0.032), and elevating CER (OR = 2.848; 95 % CI: 1.388, 5.843; p = 0.004). However, BYHWD did not significantly reduce HCY, and there was no significant difference in the incidence of AE. In terms of the mechanism of action, the main active ingredient of BYHWD is quercetin, and the core targets are AKT1, MMP9, and others. Molecular docking also showed that quercetin mainly interacts with the amino acid residue CYS-28 of MMP2. Second, the KEGG analysis showed that BYHWD mainly act on HIF-1, Apelin, and cGMP-PKG signalling pathways, and GO analysis showed that it related to the apical part of the cell, circulatory system processes, and nuclear receptor activity. Conclusion: BYHWD can lowered blood pressure, reduced plasma viscosity, and restored neurological function with good tolerability, and had no significant effect on HCY levels. This study further demonstrated that quercetin is the main active ingredient of BYHWD that acts via the AKT1 and HIF-1 signalling pathways. These results provide new guidance for people's dietary choices by the general public.

Trial sequential analysis of efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants and vitamin K antagonists against left ventricular thrombus

Meta-analysis may increase the risk of random errors. Trial sequential analysis (TSA) has been developed to adjust for these random errors. We conducted TSA on the efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) in left ventricular thrombus (LVT) patients in order to estimate how many additional patients should be required to draw definite conclusions. PubMed, Scopus, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for articles directly comparing DOACs and VKAs for LVT in LV thrombus resolution, stroke, any thromboembolism, major bleeding, any bleeding, and all-cause death. TSA was conducted with a cumulative Z-curve, monitoring boundaries, and required sample size. A simulated trial was run and TSA estimated the sample sizes of trials needed to draw definite conclusions. Of 4749 articles, 25 studies were used for the analysis. TSA revealed the current sample size already demonstrated superiority of DOACs in LV thrombus resolution and stroke, and futility in any thromboembolism and all-cause death. Two other outcomes did not achieve the required sample size. The sample size of new trials needed to demonstrate the superiority of DOACs over VKAs was estimated 400 for any bleeding. Corresponding trials needed to demonstrate no significant differences could be estimated for major bleeding and any bleeding (n = 200 and n = 2000, respectively). Current results show that the sample size required to draw definite conclusions was not reached for two outcomes, and there was a risk of random error. Further randomized controlled trials with sample sizes estimated by TSA will work effectively to obtain valid conclusions.

The effect and safety of constraint-induced movement therapy for post-stroke motor dysfunction: a meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis

Background

Due to motor function insufficiency, patients with post-stroke motor dysfunction (PSMD) have limitations in performing an activity, feel restricted during social participation, and feel impaired in their quality of life. Constraint-induced movement therapy (CIMT) is a neurorehabilitation technique, but its effectiveness on PSMD after stroke still remains controversial.

Objective

This meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis (TSA) aimed to comprehensively evaluate the effect and safety of CIMT for PSMD.

Methods

Four electronic databases were searched from their inception to 1 January 2023 to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the effectiveness of CIMT for PSMD. Two reviewers independently extracted the data and assessed the risk of bias and reporting quality. The primary outcome was a motor activity log for the amount of use (MAL-AOU) and the quality of movement (MAL-QOM). RevMan 5.4, Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) 25.0, and STATA 13.0 software were used for statistical analysis. The certainty of the evidence was appraised using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) system. We also performed the TSA to assess the reliability of the evidence.

Results

A total of 44 eligible RCTs were included. Our results showed that CIMT combined with conventional rehabilitation (CR) was superior to CR in improving MAL-AOU and MAL-QOM scores. The results of TSA indicated that the above evidence was reliable. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that CIMT (≥6 h per day or duration ≤ 20 days) combined with CR was more effective than CR. Meanwhile, both CIMT and modified CIMT (mCIMT) combined with CR were more efficient than CR at all stages of stroke. No severe CIMT-related adverse events occurred.

Conclusion

CIMT may be an optional and safe rehabilitation therapy to improve PSMD. However, due to limited studies, the optimal protocol of CIMT for PSMD was undetermined, and more RCTs are required for further exploration.

Clinical trial registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?RecordID=143490, identifier: CRD42019143490.

Efficacy and safety of Songling Xuemaikang capsule for essential hypertension: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Hypertension is one of the most significant public health challenges worldwide. An increasing number of patients prefer to incorporate traditional Chinese medicine into their hypertensive care. The Songling Xuemaikang capsule (SXC), a Chinese herbal formula, is widely used in China for essential hypertension.

PURPOSE

To assess the efficacy and safety of SXC for essential hypertension.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs).

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature search of seven databases to identify randomized controlled trials of SXC for hypertension. The outcome measures included blood pressure parameters and patient-reported outcomes. Potential heterogeneity between the studies was resolved by subgroup and sensitivity analyses. The quality of the results was evaluated using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation) approach.

RESULTS

A total of 34 trials with 4306 patients were included. The results showed that SXC plus antihypertensive drugs produced a greater effect on reducing systolic blood pressure (SBP) (MD: -7.54 mmHg; 95% CI: -8.92, -6.17; p < 0.00001), diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (MD: -6.42 mmHg; 95% CI: -7.54, -5.29; p < 0.00001), 24-hour SBP (MD: -6.88 mmHg; 95% CI: -8.36, -5.39; p < 0.00001), and 24-hour DBP (MD: -4.31 mmHg; 95% CI: -6.55, -2.07; p = 0.0002) and improving hypertensive symptoms (SMD: -1.09; 95% CI: -1.34, -0.84; p < 0.00001) than antihypertensive drugs alone. SXC monotherapy was less effective than antihypertensive drugs for 24-hour SBP reduction (MD: 2.07 mmHg; 95% CI: 0.19, 3.96; p = 0.03). No significant difference was observed in the incidence of adverse events between the SXC and control groups.

CONCLUSION

SXC is beneficial for essential hypertension; it can lower BP, improve hypertensive symptoms and is well tolerated.

Efficacy of vasopressin, steroid, and epinephrine protocol for in-hospital cardiac arrest resuscitation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials with trial sequential analysis

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effect of vasopressin, steroid and epinephrine (VSE) combination therapy on return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) after in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA), and test the conclusiveness of evidence using trial sequential analysis (TSA).

METHODS

The systematic search included PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that included adult patients with IHCA, with at least one group receiving combined VSE therapy were selected. Data was extracted independently by two reviewers. The main outcome of interest was ROSC. Other outcomes included survival to hospital discharge or survival to 30 and 90 days, with good neurological outcomes.

RESULTS

We included a total of three RCTs (n = 869). Results showed that VSE combination therapy increased ROSC (risk ratio = 1.41; 95% CI: 1.25-1.59) as compared to placebo. TSA demonstrated that the existing evidence is conclusive. This was also validated by the alpha-spending adjusted relative risk (1.32 [1.16, 1.49], P < 0.0001). Other outcomes could not be meta-analysed due to differences in timeframe in the included studies.

CONCLUSIONS

VSE combination therapy administered in cardiopulmonary resuscitation led to improved rates of ROSC. Future trials of VSE therapy should evaluate survival to hospital discharge, neurological function and long-term survival.

Ganglioside-monosialic acid (GM1) for prevention of chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy: a meta-analysis with trial sequential analysis

BACKGROUND

Chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy (CIPN) is a dose-limiting side effect that largely remains an unresolved clinical issue, leading to long-term morbidity. This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of Ganglioside-monosialic acid (GM1) in preventing CIPN.

METHODS

Systematic literature searches of PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and ClinicalTrials.gov were performed to identify randomized controlled trials and cohort studies that evaluated the efficacy of GM1 for preventing CIPN. Conventional meta-analysis with a random-effects model and trial sequential analysis (TSA) were performed.

RESULTS

A total of five studies involving 868 participants were included. The results showed that GM1 did not reduce the overall incidence of grade ≥ 2 CIPN when the common terminology criteria for adverse events (CTCAE) was used (OR 0.34, 95% CI 0.34-1.11). Subgroup analyses showed that GM1 could not reduce the risk of CTCAE grade ≥ 2 CIPN (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.35-1.13) and neurotoxicity criteria of Debiopharm (DEB-NTC) grade ≥ 2 CIPN (OR 0.25, 95% CI 0.01-7.10) in oxaliplatin-treated patients, despite that GM1 was associated with a reduced risk of CTCAE grade ≥ 2 CIPN in the taxane subgroup of one study (OR 0.003, 95% CI 0.00-0.05). These results were confirmed by the sub-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). In TSA, the z-curve for the taxane subgroup crossed the upper trial sequential monitoring boundary (TSMB) but do not reach the required information size (RIS). The z-curves for the oxaliplatin subgroup remained in the nonsignificant area and did not reach the RIS. Further, GM1 did not influence the rate of response to chemotherapy and CTCAE grade ≥ 2 adverse events such as fatigue, nausea, diarrhea, and rash.

CONCLUSIONS

GM1 seemed to be well-tolerated and did not influence the anti-cancer effects of chemotherapeutic agents. Although the data did not confirm the effectiveness of GM1 in preventing oxaliplatin-induced peripheral neuropathy, GM1 might be able to prevent taxane-induced peripheral neuropathy. More studies are required in different ethnic populations receiving taxane-based chemotherapy to confirm these findings.

Trial sequential analysis: novel approach for meta-analysis

Systematic reviews and meta-analyses rank the highest in the evidence hierarchy. However, they still have the risk of spurious results because they include too few studies and participants. The use of trial sequential analysis (TSA) has increased recently, providing more information on the precision and uncertainty of meta-analysis results. This makes it a powerful tool for clinicians to assess the conclusiveness of meta-analysis. TSA provides monitoring boundaries or futility boundaries, helping clinicians prevent unnecessary trials. The use and interpretation of TSA should be based on an understanding of the principles and assumptions behind TSA, which may provide more accurate, precise, and unbiased information to clinicians, patients, and policymakers. In this article, the history, background, principles, and assumptions behind TSA are described, which would lead to its better understanding, implementation, and interpretation.