The effect of time of day on driver's injury severity at highway-rail grade crossings in the United States

Comparative analysis of pedestrian crash severity at United Kingdom rural road intersections and Non-Intersections using latent class clustering and ordered probit model

Pedestrian safety is a critical issue in the United Kingdom (UK) as pedestrians are the most vulnerable road users. Despite numerous studies on pedestrian-vehicle crashes globally, limited research has been conducted to explore the factors contributing to such incidents in the UK, especially on rural roads. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the severity of pedestrian injuries sustained on rural roads in the UK, including crashes at intersections and non-intersections. We utilized the STATS19 dataset, which provided comprehensive road safety data from 2015 to 2019. To overcome the challenges posed by heterogeneity in the data, we employed a Latent Class Analysis to identify homogeneous clusters of crashes. Additionally, we utilized the Ordered Probit model to identify contributing factors within each cluster. Our findings revealed that various factors had distinct effects on the severity of pedestrian injuries at intersections and non-intersections. Several parameters like the pedestrian location in footway and one-way roads are only statistically significant in the intersection section. Certain factors such as the day of the week, the pedestrian's location in a refuge, and minor roads (class B roads) were found to be significant only in the non-intersection section.Parameters includingpedestrians aged over 65 years and under 15 years, drivers under 25 years, male drivers and pedestrians, darkness, heavy vehicles, speed limits exceeding 96 km/h (60 mph), major roads (class A roads), and single carriageway roadsare significant in both sections. The study proposes various measures to mitigate the severity of pedestrian-vehicle crashes, such as improving lighting conditions, enhancing pedestrian infrastructure, reducing speed limits in crash-prone areas, and promoting education and awareness among pedestrians and drivers. The findings and suggested measures could help policymakers and practitioners develop effective strategies and interventions to reduce the severity of these incidents and enhance pedestrian safety.

Analysis of distracted driving crashes in New Jersey using mixed logit model

INTRODUCTION

Distracted driving is a concern for traffic safety in the 21st century, and can be held responsible for the increasing propensity and severity of traffic crashes. With the advent of mobile technologies, distractions involving the use of cellphones while driving have emerged, and young drivers in particular are getting more and more engaged in these distractions. Texting or receiving phone calls while driving are offenses in most states, and they are punished with fiscal penalties. Awareness campaigns have also been arranged over recent decades across the United States in order to minimize crashes due to distracted driving. The severity of such crashes depends on driver behavior, which can also be affected by various factors like the geometric design of the roadway, lighting and environmental conditions, and temporal variables.

METHOD

In this study, we analyzed data on five years (2015-2019) of crashes involving cellphone use in New Jersey using a mixed logit model. As estimated model parameters can vary randomly across roadway segments in this approach, this allowed us to account for unobserved heterogeneities relating to roadway characteristics, environmental factors, and driver behavior. A pseudo-elasticity analysis was further employed to observe the sensitivity of the significant explanatory variables to crash severity.

RESULTS

We found that higher speed limits and a larger total number of vehicles involved both increased crash severity, while higher annual average daily traffic (AADT) levels and the presence of an urban road setting reduced it.

PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS

These findings will help decision-makers to comprehend what the significant contributing factors associated with crash injury severity due to distracted driving are, and how to implement necessary interventions to reduce this severity.

Predicting and Analyzing Road Traffic Injury Severity Using Boosting-Based Ensemble Learning Models with SHAPley Additive exPlanations

Road traffic accidents are one of the world’s most serious problems, as they result in numerous fatalities and injuries, as well as economic losses each year. Assessing the factors that contribute to the severity of road traffic injuries has proven to be insightful. The findings may contribute to a better understanding of and potential mitigation of the risk of serious injuries associated with crashes. While ensemble learning approaches are capable of establishing complex and non-linear relationships between input risk variables and outcomes for the purpose of injury severity prediction and classification, most of them share a critical limitation: their “black-box” nature. To develop interpretable predictive models for road traffic injury severity, this paper proposes four boosting-based ensemble learning models, namely a novel Natural Gradient Boosting, Adaptive Gradient Boosting, Categorical Gradient Boosting, and Light Gradient Boosting Machine, and uses a recently developed SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis to rank the risk variables and explain the optimal model. Among four models, LightGBM achieved the highest classification accuracy (73.63%), precision (72.61%), and recall (70.09%), F1-scores (70.81%), and AUC (0.71) when tested on 2015–2019 Pakistan’s National Highway N-5 (Peshawar to Rahim Yar Khan Section) accident data. By incorporating the SHapley Additive exPlanations approach, we were able to interpret the model’s estimation results from both global and local perspectives. Following interpretation, it was determined that the Month_of_Year, Cause_of_Accident, Driver_Age and Collision_Type all played a significant role in the estimation process. According to the analysis, young drivers and pedestrians struck by a trailer have a higher risk of suffering fatal injuries. The combination of trailers and passenger vehicles, as well as driver at-fault, hitting pedestrians and rear-end collisions, significantly increases the risk of fatal injuries. This study suggests that combining LightGBM and SHAP has the potential to develop an interpretable model for predicting road traffic injury severity.

Safety and associated parameters influencing performance of rail road grade crossings: A critical review of state of the art

INTRODUCTION

Railroad grade crossings (RRGCs) have emerged as critical transportation infrastructures from the point of safety and operational aspects because two modes of transportation intermingle at the intersecting zone; the understanding of safety and traffic operation at RRGC is of prime concern while planning and designing this transportation facility.

METHOD

In this context, this work tries to comprehend RRGC performance-related parameters from published literature and figure out critical gaps. An international synthesis on the identified potential parameters influencing the RRGC performance (i.e., safety, driver behavior, and operational impact) was carried out by critically reviewing the articles published worldwide. Furthermore, key findings, used variables, analysis methods, research gaps, and recommendations were studied.

RESULTS

The review revealed that many researchers had explored the driver behavior and safety aspect based on past crash data and violations prevailing at RRGC. However, little research has been done to evaluate the effect of highways' operational characteristics on the performance of RRGC. Moreover, limited investigation has been carried out to understand the dilemma of drivers and the proactive safety evaluation of pedestrians and non-motorized vehicles at RRGC. A total of seven critical research gaps concerning parameters are recognized, facilitating a clear agenda for further research pertaining to RRGC performance.

A Holistic Analysis of Train-Vehicle Accidents at Highway-Rail Grade Crossings in Florida

Highway-rail grade crossing (HRGC) accidents pose a serious risk of safety to highway users, including pedestrians trying to cross HRGCs. A significant increase in the number of HRGC accidents globally calls for greater research efforts, which are not limited to the analysis of accidents at HRGCs but also understanding user perception, driver behavior, potential conflicting areas at crossings, effectiveness of countermeasures and user perception towards them. HRGC safety is one of the priority areas in the State of Florida, since the state HRGCs experienced a total of 429 injuries and 146 fatalities between 2010 and 2019 with a significant increase in HRGC accidents over the last years. The present study aims to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the HRGCs that experienced accidents in Florida over the last years. The databases maintained by the Federal Rail Administration (FRA) are used to gather the relevant information for a total of 578 crossings that experienced at least one accident from 2010 to 2019. In contrast with many of the previous efforts, this study investigates a wide range of various factors, including physical and operational characteristics of crossings, vehicle and train characteristics, spatial characteristics, temporal and environmental characteristics, driver actions and related characteristics, and other relevant information. The outcomes of this research will help better understanding the major causes behind accidents at the HRGCs in the State of Florida in a holistic way by considering a variety of relevant factors, which will assist the appropriate stakeholders with implementation of safety improvement projects across the state.

A copula-based approach for jointly modeling crash severity and number of vehicles involved in express bus crashes on expressways considering temporal stability of data

The consequences of crashes, including injury, loss of lives, and damage to properties, are further worsened when buses plying expressways are involved in the crash. Previous studies have separately analyzed crash severity in terms of monetary cost, injuries and loss of lives, and the size of crashes in terms of the number of vehicles involved. However, as both outcome variables are correlated, it is imperative to perform a combined analysis using an appropriate econometric model to achieve a better model fit. This study contributes to the literature by jointly exploring the factors influencing the severity and size of express bus-involved crashes that occur on expressways and characterizes the dependence between both outcome variables by employing a more plausible copula regression framework. Likelihood ratio tests were also conducted to investigate the temporal stability of the factors that affect both crash severity and size. Based on the goodness-of-fit statistics, the Frank copula model proved superior to the independent ordered probit model. The estimate of the underlying dependence between the outcome variables provided a better comprehension of the correlation between them. Temporal instability was detected for the individual parameters in the models and is attributed to the changing driving behavior due to the heightened road safety campaigns. The results suggest that traffic exposure measures are significantly associated with a higher propensity of observing increased bus crash severity and size. Insights into the factors influencing the size and severity of express bus crashes are discussed, and appropriate engineering, enforcement, and education-related countermeasures are proposed.