Prognostic Value of p53 for High Risk Superficial Bladder Cancer With Long-Term Followup

Progress in the development of tissue-based biomarkers for urothelial cancer

INTRODUCTION

As the understanding of molecular mechanisms of bladder cancer advances, molecularly-guided precision medicine becomes increasingly relevant. Biomarkers play a critical role in this setting, predicting treatment response and identifying candidates for targeted therapies.

AREAS COVERED

Current literature on biomarkers in their role in disease prognosis, and response to neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapies. In non-muscle invasive bladder cancer, particular focus is on markers of disease progression, and response to intravesical therapy. In muscle invasive and advanced bladder cancer, particular emphasis is on markers associated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy, as well as systemic immunotherapy. We discuss current shortcomings and pitfalls in contemporary markers, and future avenues of prospective research.

EXPERT OPINION

The focus on biomarkers has moved from immunohistochemical analysis and tumor-related phenotypic changes to examining genetic alterations. Single marker analysis has been shown to be insufficient in predicting both disease course and response to therapy, and studies have shifted towards examining marker combinations and genetic classifiers. Ultimately, significant progress in implementing biomarkers into clinical guidelines remains elusive, largely due to lack of prospective studies in well-defined patient cohorts and with clinically-meaningful endpoints. Until then, despite their promising value, tissue markers should be limited to experimental settings and clinical trials.

Expression of p53 Protein Associates with Anti-PD-L1 Treatment Response on Human-Derived Xenograft Model of GATA3/CR5/6-Negative Recurrent Nonmuscular Invasive Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The possible involvement of p53 signaling, FGFR3 expression, and FGFR3 mutation rates in the prediction of the NMIBC anti-PD-L1 treatment response needs to be clarified. The main aim of our study was to explore predictive value of p53 expression, FGFR3 expression, and its gene mutation status for the therapeutic success of anti-PD-L1 treatment in the patient-derived murine model of recurrent high-PD-L1(+) GATA3(-)/CR5/6(-) high-grade and low-grade NMIBC.

METHODS

twenty lines of patient-derived xenografts (PDXs) of relapsed high-PD-L1(+) double-negative NMIBC were developed, of which 10 lines represented high-grade tumors and the other ones-low-grade bladder cancer. Acceptors of each grade-related branch received specific anti-PD-L1 antibodies. Animals' survival, tumor-doubling time, and remote metastasis were followed during the post-interventional period. PD-L1, GATA3, CR5/6, and p53 protein expressions in engrafted tumors were assessed by immunohistochemistry. The FGFR3 expression and FGFR3 mutations in codons 248 and 249 were detected by real-time polymerase chain reaction.

RESULTS

The expression of p53 protein is an independent factor affecting the animals' survival time [HR = 0.036, p = 0.031] of anti-PD-L1-treated mice with low-grade high-PD-L1(+) double-negative NMIBC PDX. The FGFR3 expression and FGFR3 mutation rate have no impact on the anti-PD-L1 treatment response in the interventional groups.

CONCLUSIONS

p53 expression may be considered as a prognostic factor for the anti-PD-L1 treatment efficacy of low-grade high-PD-L1-positive GATA3(-)/CR5/6(-)-relapsed noninvasive bladder cancer.

The Role and Importance of Timely Radical Cystectomy for High-Risk Non-muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer

Non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer accounts for the majority of incident bladder cancers but is a heterogeneous disease with variation in clinical presentation, course, and outcomes. Risk stratification techniques have attempted to identify those at highest risk of cancer recurrence and progression to help personalize and individualize treatment options. Radical cystectomy during the optimal window of curability could improve cancer outcomes; however, identifying the disease and patient characteristics as well as the correct timing to intervene remains difficult. We review the natural history of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer, discuss different risk-stratification techniques and how they can help identify those most likely to benefit from radical treatment, and examine the evidence supporting the benefit of timely cystectomy.

FOXO1 down-regulation is associated with worse outcome in bladder cancer and adds significant prognostic information to p53 overexpression

Nuclear FOXOs mediate cell cycle arrest and promote apoptosis. FOXOs and p53 could have similar effects as tumor suppressor genes. In spite of extensive literature, little is known about the role of FOXO1 and its relationship with p53 status in bladder cancer. Expression of FOXO1 and p53 were analyzed by immunohistochemistry in 162 urothelial carcinomas (UC). Decreased FOXO1 expression, p53 overexpression and the combination FOXO1 down-regulation/p53 overexpression were strongly associated with high grade (P=.030; P=.017; P=.004, respectively), high stage (P=.0001; P<.0001; P<.0001, respectively) or both (P=.0004; P<.0001; P<.0001, respectively). In the overall series of cases, p53 overexpression was associated with tumor progression (hazard ratio [HR]=3.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-8.48, P=.02), but this association was even stronger if having any alteration in any of the 2 genes was considered (HR=3.51, 95% CI 1.34-9.21, P=.01). Having both FOXO1 down-regulation and p53 overexpression was associated with disease recurrence (HR=2.75, 95% CI 1.06-7.13, P=.03). In the analysis of the different subgroups, having any alteration in any of the 2 genes was associated with progression in low-grade (P=.005) and pTa (P=.006) tumors. Finally, the combined FOXO1 down-regulation/p53 overexpression was associated with disease recurrence specifically in high-grade (P=.04) and in pT1 stage tumors (P=.007). Adding FOXO1 expression to the immunohistochemical analysis of p53 can provide relevant prognostic information on progression and recurrence of bladder cancer. It may be particularly informative on the risk of progression in the more indolent and on the risk of recurrence in the more aggressive tumors.

New and contemporary markers of prognosis in nonmuscle invasive urothelial cancer

Nonmuscle invasive (NMI) urothelial cancer (UC) is associated with varied biological potential. It is characterized by frequent recurrence and progression, which thus worsens the oncological outcome. Nearly three-quarters of NMI UCs recur within 5 years, whereas half can progress during follow-up. Progression is particularly seen in T1 and carcinoma in situ (CIS). Undoubtedly, NMI UC is one of the most expensive cancers to manage. The European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk calculator is a commonly used tool for assessing the recurrence and progression potential of a newly diagnosed cancer. The parameters used in the assessment are tumor size and number, pathological stage and grade of the cancer, presence of CIS, and prior recurrence rate. The main advantages of the EORTC tool are its ease of use and the lack of need to run expensive molecular tests. However, reproducibility of pathologic stage and grade is modest, which is a concern to clinicians. Molecular markers have potential for predicting the clinical outcome of NMI UC, given that clinico-pathologic variables are not sufficient for prediction of prognosis in an individual. Significant work has been done in the past 2 decades in understanding the molecular biology of bladder cancer; however, the translational value of this knowledge remains poor. The role for molecular markers in predicting recurrence seems limited because multifocal disease and incomplete treatment are probably more important for recurrence than the molecular features of a resected tumor. Urinary markers have very limited value in prognostication of bladder cancer and are used (mainly as an adjunct to cytology) for detection and surveillance of urothelial cell cancer recurrence. Prediction of progression with molecular markers holds considerable promise. Nevertheless, the contemporary value of molecular markers over clinico-pathologic indexes is limited.

Landmarks in non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer

Bladder cancer is divided into two entities: non-muscle-invasive (NMIBC) and muscle invasive bladder cancer. NMIBC represents 75% of primary diagnoses and is characterized by frequent recurrence but a low risk of mortality. Throughout urological history, significant progress in detection, diagnosis, and treatment of NMIBC has been made. However, bladder cancer remains a heterogeneous disease with varying pathology, molecular background, diagnostic options, and subsequent therapies for the individual patient. Although significant progress has been made over the years, the improvement of bladder cancer outcomes remains the goal of future research.

Genetic alterations of chromosomes, p53 and p16 genes in low- and high-grade bladder cancer

A majority of patients with bladder cancer present with superficial disease and subsequently, some patients show progression to muscle invasive or metastatic disease. Bladder cancer has a complex genetic process and identification of the genetic alterations which occur during progression may lead to the understanding of the nature of the disease and provide the possibility of early treatment. The aim of the present study was to compare the structural and numerical chromosomal differences and changes in the p16 and p53 genes between low-grade (LG) and high-grade (HG) bladder cancer (BC) using cytogenetic and molecular cytogenetic methods. Between March 2009 and March 2010, cytogenetic analyses were carried out on tumor and blood samples in 34 patients with transitional cell type BC, and on blood samples of 34 healthy patients as a control group. Fluorescence in situ hybridization probes for the p16 and p53 genes were also used to screen the alterations in these genes in 32 patients with BC. The patients were divided into two groups (LG and HG) and the findings were compared. A total of 11 (32.3%) patients exhibited LGBC, 22 (64.7%) exhibited HGBC and one (3%) patient exhibited carcinoma in situ. There were no differences between the LGBC and HGBC groups according to the number of chromosomal aberrations (P=0.714); however, differences between alterations of the p16 and p53 genes were significant (P=0.002 and P=0.039). Almost all structural abnormalities were found to be located to the 1q21, 1q32, 3p21 and 5q31 regions in patients with HG tumors. In conclusion, the p16 and p53 genes were altered more prominently in patients with HG tumors compared with LG tumors. The structural abnormalities in the 1q21, 1q32, 3p21 and 5q31 regions were observed more frequently in patients with HG tumors. These regions may play significant roles in the progression of BC, but further studies are required to find candidate genes for a panel of BC.

Clinical significance of definite muscle layer in TUR specimen for evaluating progression rate in T1G3 bladder cancer: multicenter retrospective study by the Sapporo Medical University Urologic Oncology Consortium (SUOC)

PURPOSE

To evaluate the clinical impact on progression and recurrence according to presence and absence of a muscle layer, we conducted a retrospective, multicenter study.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 247 patients who received transurethral resection (TUR) of bladder tumors and were pathologically diagnosed as having T1G3 bladder cancer from 1990 to 2009. We ruled out 8 patients who received immediate cystectomy and analyzed the remaining 239 T1G3 patients. Patients who had invasion to the prostatic urethra and patients who underwent a second TUR were not included.

RESULTS

TUR specimens from 194 patients were confirmed to have a definite muscle layer and those from 45 did not. The median follow-up period was 53 months, ranging from 3 to 181 months. The progression-free survival rates at 5 years after TUR were 91.1 % for patients who had a muscle layer in their specimen and 77.3 % for those who did not (p = 0.005, log-rank test). Multivariate analysis indicated that the absence of a muscle layer was a risk factor for progression (p = 0.006, Cox proportional hazards analysis).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients without a muscle layer in the specimen had high risk for progression. The initial TUR must have a muscle layer in the specimen. Variations of progression rates in previous studies might be due to different proportions of patients who had a muscle layer in TUR specimens.

Immunohistochemical biomarkers for bladder cancer prognosis

Urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) is an especially complex and heterogeneous disease with a broad spectrum of histologic findings and potentially lethal behavior. Despite advances in surgical techniques, as well as intravesical and systemic therapies, up to 30% of patients with non-muscle-invasive UCB and 50% of patients with muscle-invasive UCB experience disease progression, recurrence, and eventual death. Standard prognostic features, such as pathologic stage and grade, have limited ability to predict the outcomes of this heterogeneous population. Current risk-stratification algorithms using clinical and pathologic parameters are limited in their prognostic ability. Molecular medicine holds the promise that clinical outcomes will be improved by more accurate prognostication and directing therapy towards the mechanisms and targets associated with the growth of an individual patient's tumor. Immunohistochemical analysis of biomarker expression has provided insight into the molecular pathogenesis of UCB and offers the potential for improving clinical decision making. Numerous candidate immunohistochemical biomarkers for patients with UCB have been identified, with those relating to the cell cycle and apoptosis/cell proliferation being the most extensively studied. The present review discusses the most promising immunohistochemical biomarkers. Special attention is paid to recent data from a multi-institutional collaboration that has implemented a regulated, phased biomarker discovery and validation pathway. Because UCB tumorigenesis and progression is a process involving multiple genetic and epigenetic alterations, multiple biomarkers need to be integrated into a prognostic signature to accurately predict outcomes. There is no doubt that biomarkers will eventually guide our clinical decision making regarding follow-up scheduling and treatment choice.

Intervention of nicotine on MNU-induced bladder cancer in rats

This study examined the effect of nicotine on the expression of mutant p53 (mt-p53) in bladder cancer rats. The rat models of bladder cancer were established by infusing N-methyl-nitroso-urea (MNU, 10 mg/kg every 2 weeks for 8 weeks) into the bladder. Pathological examination on the bladder was conducted to confirm the establishment of the model. All the bladder cancer rats were randomly divided into an MNU group and 3 nicotine groups. In the nicotine groups, the rats were intragastrically administered nicotine at different concentrations (25, 15, 5 mg/kg respectively) 3 times per week for 8 weeks. The mt-p53 expression was detected by the immunohistochemical method. The results showed that rat bladder cancer models developed histopathological changes of bladder transitional cell carcinoma. The positive rate of mt-p53 expression in the 3 nicotine groups (25, 15, 5 mg/kg) was 75.00%, 58.33% and 41.67% by the 14th week, respectively, significantly higher than that in the MNU group (33.33%) (all P<0.05). The mt-p53 expression rate was positively correlated with the medication dose and time (P<0.05). It is concluded that nicotine may play an important role in the development of bladder cancer partially by increasing the expression of mt-p53.

Bladder cancer: translating molecular genetic insights into clinical practice

Transitional cell (urothelial) carcinoma of the bladder is the second most common urologic malignancy and is one of the best understood neoplasms, with relatively well-defined pathogenetic pathways, natural history, and tumor biology. Conventional clinical and pathologic parameters are widely used to grade and stage tumors and to predict clinical outcome of transitional cell carcinoma; but the predictive ability of these parameters is limited, and there is a lack of indices that could allow prospective assessment of risk for individual patients. In the last decade, a wide range of candidate biomarkers representing key pathways in carcinogenesis have been reported to be clinically relevant and potentially useful as diagnostic and prognostic molecular markers, and as potential therapeutic targets. The use of molecular markers has facilitated the development of novel and more accurate diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic strategies. FGFR3 and TP53 mutations have been recognized as key genetic pathways in the carcinogenesis of transitional cell carcinoma. FGFR3 appears to be the most frequently mutated oncogene in transitional cell carcinoma; its mutation is strongly associated with low tumor grade, early stage, and low recurrence rate, which confer a better overall prognosis. In contrast, TP53 mutations are associated with higher tumor grade, more advanced stage, and more frequent tumor recurrences. These molecular markers offer the potential to characterize individual urothelial neoplasms more completely than is possible by histologic evaluation alone. Areas in which molecular markers may prove valuable include prediction of tumor recurrence, molecular staging of transitional cell carcinoma, detection of lymph node metastasis and circulating cancer cells, identification of therapeutic targets, and prediction of response to therapy. With accumulating molecular knowledge of transitional cell carcinoma, we are closer to the goal of bridging the gap between molecular findings and clinical outcomes. Assessment of key genetic pathways and expression profiles could ultimately establish a set of molecular markers to predict the biological nature of tumors and to establish new standards for molecular tumor grading, classification, and prognostication. The main focus of this review is to discuss clinically relevant biomarkers that might be useful in the management of transitional cell carcinoma and to provide approaches in the analysis of molecular pathways that influence the clinical course of bladder cancer.

Molecular biomarkers for urothelial carcinoma of the bladder: challenges in clinical use

Conventional clinical and pathological parameters are limited in their capacity to detect patients with urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) who are at high risk for recurrence or mortality. The assessment of molecular biomarkers in surgical UCB specimens offers additional information on the biology of the disease, and might improve the prediction of oncologic end points. A wide range of candidate biomarkers, including key cell-cycle regulators, apoptotic markers and specific growth factors, have been reported to be of prognostic value. To date, however, no molecular biomarker for UCB has been introduced into clinical practice, mainly owing to insufficient validation and the absence of prospective studies. Knowledge about the value of molecular biomarkers in predicting the response to adjuvant or neoadjuvant therapies is also lacking. Prospective trials need to be initiated in high-risk patients selected on the basis of the expression patterns of molecular biomarkers that have already passed the initial steps towards clinical utility.

Bladder tumor markers: from hematuria to molecular diagnostics--where do we stand?

Bladder cancer is a common malignancy in the USA. Currently, the detection of initial tumors and recurrent disease is based on evaluation of voided urinary specimens, often followed by cystoscopy. With the high rate of recurrence, cystoscopies are regularly repeated with the aim of halting progression of the disease. For patients, this process is fraught with anxiety, pain and high cost. As a result, intense work is being done in the field of bladder tumor markers with the goal of identifying bladder cancer earlier, both in the initial diagnosis and in recurrences of known tumor. The possibility of identifying a marker that could noninvasively differentiate benign and malignant causes of hematuria, and identify recurrences prior to their pathologic progression is the objective of this area of research. Currently, a large number of tumor markers exist, each scrutinized in both the laboratory and in clinical trials. Here we present many of the most widely used and tested markers. Background details are provided as to the mechanism of detection of malignant cells, the results of recent trials and future directions of study. Some novel modalities for tumor detection are also presented. The next few years will no doubt bring newer markers and lead to the elimination of others. Studies continue to refine the role of these markers in clinical practice, but their ultimate efficacy will need to be borne out in large-scale clinical trials in a multitude of settings.

Molecular markers in bladder cancer

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Bladder cancer is a diverse disease whose molecular phenotypes are being elucidated. In this review, we summarize currently known molecular pathways and associated markers in bladder cancer.

RECENT FINDINGS

Genetic and epigenetic aberrations have been closely associated with tumor pathogenesis and prognosis. Cell cycle markers have been most extensively studied. More recently, apoptotic and angiogenic pathways are being investigated. Studying the role of multiple concurrent molecular alterations improves the prognostic ability of these markers. The use of tissue microarrays and high-throughput molecular profiling is accelerating the discovery of new markers.

SUMMARY

Molecular biology is paramount to our understanding of bladder cancer pathogenesis. The search for new markers, and elucidating cross-talk between markers in different pathways, is warranted. Molecular markers have the potential benefit of improving detection, prognosis and treatment of bladder cancer. In addition, understanding the molecular profile of the individual patient could usher us into a new era of improving prediction of the natural history of the disease and providing a more personalized and tailored treatment. Prospective trials are still needed, however, to objectively establish the true benefit of these markers in prognostic and therapeutic arenas.

Implications of p53 gene mutations on patient survival in transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder: a long-term study

OBJECTIVE

To determine the prognostic value of p53 gene mutations and P53 overexpression for predicting the incidence of recurrence, progression and long-term survival of patients with transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) of the bladder.

METHODS

Prospective cohort study with 94 consecutive patients diagnosed and treated for TCC. DNA was obtained from tumor tissue to perform PCR-SSCP of p53 exons 5-9, with automatic sequencing of any mutated samples. Immunohistochemistry using anti-human P53 monoclonal antibody was also performed. Survival was analyzed and the survival curves compared (Mantel-Haenszel). Lastly, a Cox proportional hazards model was constructed.

RESULTS

Mutations were found in 46.8% of samples, with 61.8% in infiltrating tumors. Exon 8 was involved in 42.3%. P53 overexpression (cutoff > or =20%) was found in 52.1%. Mean follow-up was 44.1 months; 43.6% had died by the end of this period. Mean survival was lower in patients with exon 8 mutations (38.4 months), compared with patients without this exon mutated (P = 0.016). There were no differences in patient survival based on positive or negative immunohistochemistry (cutoff > or =20%), although survival was lower in patients with a percentage higher than 50% of antibody-stained cells (P = 0.02). In the Cox analysis, tumor stage, pM stage, and interaction between stage > or =pT2 and mutated p53 gene were independent risk factors, with a 6.13-fold risk of death in these patients (P = 0.019). The number of tumors, nuclear grade, pTa stage, and the interaction between GI degree and nonmutated p53 gene remained in the Cox model for superficial tumors, such that these patients had a lower risk of recurrence or progression (P = 0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

Alterations in the p53 gene may be indicative of poorer prognosis and greater recurrence in patients with urothelial bladder tumor, in particular, the presence of mutations in exon 8 and a greater percentage of stained cells in the immunohistochemistry. Nevertheless, the classic prognostic factors (primarily, pTNM stage) should still be considered the most useful factors for follow-up of these patients.