Eligibility for Active Surveillance and Pathological Outcomes for Men Undergoing Radical Prostatectomy in a Large, Community Based Cohort

Progression and treatment rates using an active surveillance protocol incorporating image-guided baseline biopsies and multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging monitoring for men with favourable-risk prostate cancer

OBJECTIVE

To assess early outcomes since the introduction of an active surveillance (AS) protocol incorporating multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI)-guided baseline biopsies and image-based surveillance.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A new AS protocol mandating image-guided baseline biopsies, annual mpMRI and 3-monthly prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing, but which retained protocol re-biopsies, was tested. Pathological progression, treatment conversion and triggers for non-protocol biopsy were recorded prospectively.

RESULTS

Data from 157 men enrolled in the AS protocol (median age 64 years, PSA 6.8 ng/mL, follow-up 39 months) were interrogated. A total of 12 men (7.6%) left the AS programme by choice. Of the 145 men who remained, 104 had re-biopsies either triggered by a rise in PSA level, change in mpMRI findings or by protocol. Overall, 23 men (15.9%) experienced disease progression; pathological changes were observed in 20 men and changes in imaging results were observed in three men. Of these 23 men, 17 switched to treatment, giving a conversion rate of 11.7% (<4% per year). Of the 20 men with pathological progression, this was detected in four of them after a PSA increase triggered a re-biopsy, while in 10 men progression was detected after an mpMRI change. Progression was detected in six men, however, solely after a protocol re-biopsy without prior PSA or mpMRI changes. Using PSA and mpMRI changes alone to detect progression was found to have a sensitivity and specificity of 70.0% and 81.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our AS protocol, with thorough baseline assessment and imaging-based surveillance, showed low rates of progression and treatment conversion. Changes in mpMRI findings were the principle trigger for detecting progression by imaging alone or pathologically; however, per protocol re-biopsy still detected a significant number of pathological progressions without mpMRI or PSA changes.

Active surveillance for intermediate-risk prostate cancer

Background

Utilization of active surveillance (AS) for prostate cancer is increasing. Optimal selection criteria for this approach are undefined and questions remain on how best to expand inclusion beyond typical men with very low or low risk disease. We sought to review the current experience with AS for men with intermediate risk features.

Methods

Pubmed was queried for all relevant original publications describing outcomes for men with prostate cancer managed with AS. Outcomes for patients with intermediate risk features as defined by the primary investigators were studied when available and compared with similar risk men undergoing immediate treatment.

Results

Cancer specific survival for men managed initially with AS is similar to results published with immediate radical intervention. A total of 5 published AS series describe some outcomes for men with intermediate risk features. Definitions of intermediate risk vary between studies. Men with Gleason 7 disease experience higher rates of clinical progression and are more likely to undergo treatment over time. Intermediate risk men with Gleason 6 disease have similar outcomes to low risk men. Men with Gleason 7 disease appear at higher risk for metastatic disease. Novel technologies including imaging and biomarkers may assist with patient selection and disease surveillance.

Conclusions

The contemporary experiences of AS for men with intermediate risk features suggest that although these men are at higher risk for eventual prostate directed treatment, some are not significantly compromising chances for longer-term cure. Men with more than minimal Gleason pattern 4, however, must be carefully selected and surveyed for early signs of progression and may be at increased risk of metastases. Incorporating information from advanced imaging and biomarker technology will likely individualize future treatment decisions while improving overall surveillance strategies.

Validation of Selection Criteria for Active Surveillance in Prostate Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Considerable Proportion of Prostate Cancer (PCa) patients suitable for Active Surveillance (AS) harbour aggressive disease at surgical histopathology. Identification of truly indolent prostate cancer at diagnosis is difficult.

AIM

Of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of current AS protocols in identifying low risk PCa by comparing the histopathology at biopsy and surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study was performed on all patients who underwent Radical Prostatectomy (RP) between 2008 and 2012. We identified patients who fulfilled inclusion criteria of five different established AS protocols. Histopathology at biopsy was compared with final surgical histopathology to identify upgrading or upstaging of disease. The biochemical recurrence rate in the cohort was also determined.

RESULTS

A total of 59 patients (24%) met criteria of at least one protocol. Sixteen patients (28%) were eligible for AS based on all studied criteria. Overall 24 patients (40.6%) were upgraded in their final histopathology while 12 patients (20%) upstaged from their original TRUS biopsy. Two patients (3%) had PSA failure, both had salvage radiotherapy.

CONCLUSION

There is considerable discrepency in current AS selection criteria which makes it necessary to introduce novel markers to identify indolent disease as a part of AS protocol for PCa.

Can Prostate-Specific Antigen Kinetics before Prostate Biopsy Predict the Malignant Potential of Prostate Cancer?

PURPOSE

To predict the malignant potential of prostate cancer (PCa) according to prostate-specific antigen velocity (PSAV), PSA density (PSAD), free/total PSA ratio (%fPSA), and digital rectal examination (DRE).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From January 2009 to December 2012, 548 adult male patients were diagnosed with PCa by prostate biopsy at four hospitals in Korea. We retrospectively analyzed 155 adult male patients with an initial PSA level≤10 ng/mL and whose PSA levels had been checked more than two times at least 6 months before they had been diagnosed with PCa, with test intervals of more than 3 months. Patients with a urinary tract infection, and patients who had previously undergone cystoscopy or surgery of the prostate were excluded. We separated patients into two groups according to Gleason sum [Gleason sum≤7 (n=134) or Gleason sum≥8 (n=21)] and the presence of extracapsular invasion [organ confined (n=129) or extracapsular invasion (n=26)]. Differences between the groups were compared.

RESULTS

The group with a Gleason sum≥8 or extracapsular invasion of PCa showed high PSAV and significantly lower %fPSA. There were no significant differences in PSAD and the presence of an abnormality on DRE between two groups.

CONCLUSION

In PCa patients treated with other therapies besides prostatectomy, a high PSA velocity and a low %fPSA may predict high grade PCa with a Gleason sum≥8 or the presence of extracapsular invasion.

Comparison of pathological data between prostate biopsy and radical prostatectomy specimen in patients with low to very low risk prostate cancer

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the correlation between pathological data found in radical prostatectomy and previously performed biopsy in patients at low risk prostate cancer.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A descriptive, cross-sectional study was conducted to assess the characteristics of radical prostatectomies performed in our center from January 2012 to November 2014. The inclusion criteria were patients with low-risk disease (cT1c-T2a, PSA≤10ng/mL and Gleason score≤6). We excluded patients who had fewer than 8 cores in the biopsy, an unspecified number of affected cores, rectal examinations not reported in the medical history or biopsies performed in another center.

RESULTS

Of the 184 patients who underwent prostatectomy during this period, 87 met the inclusion criteria, and 26 of these had<3 affected cores and PSA density≤.15 (very low risk). In the entire sample, the percentage of undergrading (Gleason score≥7) and extracapsular invasion (pT3) was 18.4% (95% CI 10.3-27.6) and 10.35% (95% CI 4.6-17.2), respectively. The percentage of positive margins was 21.8% (95% CI 12.6-29.9). In the very low-risk group, we found no cases of extracapsular invasion and only 1 case of undergrading (Gleason 7 [3+4]), representing 3.8% of the total (95% CI 0-12.5). Predictors of no correlation (stage≥pT3a or undergrading) were the initial risk group, volume, PSA density and affected cores.

CONCLUSIONS

Prostate volume, PSA density, the number of affected cores and the patient's initial risk group influence the poor pathological prognosis in the radical prostatectomy specimen (extracapsular invasion and Gleason score≥7).

Cryotherapy in prostate cancer

Review objectives:

Cryotherapy use has increased due to technological advances. A review of the literature was performed to evaluate the efficacy and outcomes of whole gland, salvage and targeted focal cryotherapy in the management of prostate cancer.

Review findings:

Cryotherapy use has increased significantly over the last 10 years with a trend towards focal ablation. Whole gland cryotherapy, salvage cryotherapy and focal cryotherapy biochemical recurrence rates appear to be comparable to other treatment modalities for low risk disease, however biochemical failure remains difficult to compare across studies due to a lack of consensus regarding appropriate end points for evaluation of cryotherapy. Short-term focal cryotherapy outcomes are encouraging. Side effect profiles for cryotherapy have significantly improved with fourth generation systems while salvage cryotherapy continues to carry a slightly higher risk of incontinence than primary whole gland cryotherapy. The incidence of erectile dysfunction after focal cryotherapy is dramatically lower than that for whole gland ablation.

Conclusions:

Cryotherapy continues to have an active role in the primary and salvage treatment of prostate cancer. Targeted focal cryotherapy is a promising treatment with minimal morbidity. Further long-term data is needed to support targeted therapy in addition to direct comparison with other treatment modalities.

Predictive factors of unfavorable prostate cancer in patients who underwent prostatectomy but eligible for active surveillance

PURPOSE

To investigate the predictive factors of unfavorable prostate cancer in Korean men who underwent radical prostatectomy but eligible for active surveillance according to Epstein criteria.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 2,036 patients who underwent radical prostatectomy for prostate cancer between 1994 and 2011. Among these, 233 patients were eligible for active surveillance based on Epstein criteria. Unfavorable prostate cancer was defined as pathologic Gleason sum ≥7 or non-organ-confined disease. We investigated pathologic outcomes and predictive factors for unfavorable prostate cancer.

RESULTS

Of 233 cases, 91 patients (39.1%) were pathologic Gleason sum ≥7, 11 (4.7%) had extracapsular extension, and three (1.3%) had seminal vesicle invasion. Ninety-eight patients (42.1%) had unfavorable prostate cancer. When comparing clinically insignificant and significant prostate cancer, there were significant differences in mean age (P=0.007), prostate volume (P=0.021), prostate-specific antigen (PSA) density (P=0.03), maximum tumor volume in biopsy core (P<0.001), and rate of two positive cores (P=0.001). On multivariate analysis, age (P=0.015), PSA density (P=0.017) and two positive cores (P=0.001) were independent predictive factors for unfavorable prostate cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant proportion of patients who were candidates for active surveillance had unfavorable prostate cancer. Age, PSA density, and two positive cores were independent significant predictive factors for unfavorable prostate cancer. These factors should be considered when performing active surveillance.

The Study of Active Monitoring in Sweden (SAMS): a randomized study comparing two different follow-up schedules for active surveillance of low-risk prostate cancer

OBJECTIVE

Only a minority of patients with low-risk prostate cancer needs treatment, but the methods for optimal selection of patients for treatment are not established. This article describes the Study of Active Monitoring in Sweden (SAMS), which aims to improve those methods.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

SAMS is a prospective, multicentre study of active surveillance for low-risk prostate cancer. It consists of a randomized part comparing standard rebiopsy and follow-up with an extensive initial rebiopsy coupled with less intensive follow-up and no further scheduled biopsies (SAMS-FU), as well as an observational part (SAMS-ObsQoL). Quality of life is assessed with questionnaires and compared with patients receiving primary curative treatment. SAMS-FU is planned to randomize 500 patients and SAMS-ObsQoL to include at least 500 patients during 5 years. The primary endpoint is conversion to active treatment. The secondary endpoints include symptoms, distant metastases and mortality. All patients will be followed for 10-15 years.

RESULTS

Inclusion started in October 2011. In March 2013, 148 patients were included at 13 Swedish urological centres.

CONCLUSIONS

It is hoped that the results of SAMS will contribute to fewer patients with indolent, low-risk prostate cancer receiving unnecessary treatment and more patients on active surveillance who need treatment receiving it when the disease is still curable. The less intensive investigational follow-up in the SAMS-FU trial would reduce the healthcare resources allocated to this large group of patients if it replaced the present standard schedule.

Expressed prostatic secretion biomarkers improve stratification of NCCN active surveillance candidates: performance of secretion capacity and TMPRSS2:ERG models

PURPOSE

Active surveillance is a viable patient option for prostate cancer provided that a clinical determination of low risk and presumably organ confined disease can be made. To standardize risk stratification schemes the NCCN (National Comprehensive Cancer Network®) provides guidelines for the active surveillance option. We determined the effectiveness of expressed prostatic secretion biomarkers for detecting occult risk factors in NCCN active surveillance candidates.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Expressed prostatic secretion specimens were obtained before robot-assisted radical prostatectomy. Secretion capacity biomarkers, including total RNA and expressed prostatic secretion specimen volume, were measured by standard techniques. RNA expression biomarkers, including TXNRD1 mRNA, prostate specific antigen mRNA, TMPRSS2:ERG fusion mRNA and PCA3 mRNA, were measured by quantitative reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction.

RESULTS

Of the 528 patients from whom expressed prostatic secretions were collected 216 were eligible for active surveillance under NCCN guidelines. Variable selection on logistic regression identified 2 models, including one featuring types III and VI TMPRSS2:ERG variants, and one featuring 2 secretion capacity biomarkers. Of the 2 high performing models the secretion capacity model was most effective for detecting cases in this group that were up-staged or up-staged plus upgraded. It decreased the risk of up-staging in patients with a negative test almost eightfold and decreased the risk of up-staging plus upgrading about fivefold while doubling the prevalence of up-staging in the positive test group.

CONCLUSIONS

Noninvasive expressed prostatic secretion testing may improve patient acceptance of active surveillance by dramatically reducing the presence of occult risk factors among those eligible for active surveillance under NCCN guidelines.

Medium-term outcomes of active surveillance for localised prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Active surveillance (AS) aims to allow men with favourable-risk, localised prostate cancer to avoid unnecessary treatment.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the clinical outcomes of a prospective study of AS.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A single-centre, prospective cohort study. Eligibility criteria included histologically proven prostate adenocarcinoma, age 50-80 yr, stage T1/T2, prostate-specific antigen level (PSA) <15 ng/ml, Gleason score (GS) ≤ 3+3 (GS ≤ 3+4 if aged >65 yr), and percent positive biopsy cores (PPC) ≤ 50%.

INTERVENTION

Patients were assessed by serum PSA level, and digital rectal examination at 3-mo intervals in year 1, 4-mo intervals in year 2, and at 6-mo intervals thereafter. Transrectal ultrasound-guided prostate biopsy was performed after 18-24 mo and every 2 yr thereafter. Treatment was recommended for PSA velocity (PSAV) >1 ng/ml per year or adverse histology, defined as GS ≥ 4+3 or PPC >50%.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Outcomes described, using Kaplan-Meier methods, were rate of adverse histology on repeat biopsy, freedom from treatment, biochemical control after deferred treatment, and overall survival. Analyses using Cox regression were performed to determine predictors of deferred treatment and adverse histology.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

The study enrolled 471 eligible patients from 2002 to 2011. Median age was 66 yr and median initial PSA value was 6.4 ng/ml. Eighty-eight percent of patients had T1 disease and 93% had GS ≤ 3+3. At median follow-up of 5.7 yr, the 5-yr rate of adverse histology and treatment-free probability was 22% (95% confidence interval [CI], 16-29%) and 70% (95% CI, 65-75%), respectively. There were two deaths from prostate cancer. Predictors of time to adverse histology were GS 7, PSAV >1 ng/ml per year, low ratio of free PSA to total PSA, and PPC >25%. Longer follow-up is needed to confirm the safety of this strategy.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates satisfactory medium-term outcomes for AS in selected men with localised prostate cancer.

Pathological findings at radical prostatectomy in patients initially managed by active surveillance: a comparative analysis

BACKGROUND

The purpose of our analysis was to determine if delays in treatment caused by active surveillance result in significant pathological changes when patients no longer meet the criteria on repeat biopsy and to study whether or not these changes may affect treatment outcomes.

METHODS

Out of 207 men who were on active surveillance, 47 (23%) no longer met the criteria after one of the repeat biopsies. Twenty-two underwent radical prostatectomy at our institution and formed the main group (Group 1) of this study. One hundred sixty-four patients met the criteria for active surveillance but underwent immediate surgery. Of these patients, we selected 38 (23%) with the lowest predicted biochemical recurrence-free survival. These patients formed the comparison group (Group 2). Pathological features as well as postoperative biochemical outcomes were compared between the groups.

RESULTS

Seven patients (32%) in Group 1 and four (11%) in Group 2 have predominantly high-grade cancer (i.e., ≥4/5 + 3) at pathology. The visually estimated percent of carcinoma was also higher in patients initially managed by active surveillance (median 12.5 vs. 5.0 in Groups 1 and 2, respectively, P = 0.009). Other pathological characteristics were similar in both groups. With limited duration of follow-up, postoperative biochemical recurrence-free survival did not differ significantly between the groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study has demonstrated that both tumor grade and volume may increase during active surveillance. However, the clinical significance of these changes with respect to the outcomes of delayed treatment remains to be established.

A biopsy simulation study to assess the accuracy of several transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS)-biopsy strategies compared with template prostate mapping biopsies in patients who have undergone radical prostatectomy

What's known on the subject? and What does the study add? Transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS)-guided biopsies can miss prostate cancer and misclassify risk in a diagnostic setting; the exact extent to which it does so in a repeat biopsy strategy in men with low-intermediate risk prostate cancer is unknown. A simulation study of different biopsy strategies showed that repeat 12-core TRUS biopsy performs poorly. Adding anterior sampling improves on this but the highest accuracy is achieved using transperineal template prostate mapping using a 5 mm sampling frame.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effectiveness of two sampling strategies; repeat transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS)-biopsy and transperineal template prostate mapping (TPM) to detect and exclude lesions of ≥0.2 mL or ≥0.5 mL using computer simulation on reconstructed three-dimensional (3-D) computer models of radical whole-mount specimens.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Computer simulation on reconstructed 3-D computer models of radical whole-mount specimens was used to evaluate the performance characteristics of repeat TRUS-biopsy and TPM to detect and exclude lesions of ≥0.2 mL or ≥0.5 mL. In all, 107 consecutive cases were analysed (1999-2001) with simulations repeated 500 times for each biopsy strategy. TPM and five different TRUS-biopsy strategies were simulated; the latter involved a standard 12-core sampling and incorporated variable amounts of error, as well as the addition of anterior cores. Sensitivity, specificity, negative and positive predictive values for detection of lesions with a volume of ≥0.2 mL or ≥0.5 mL were calculated.

RESULTS

The mean (SD) age and PSA concentration were 61 (6.4) years and 8.5 (5.9) ng/mL, respectively.In all, 53% (57/107) had low-intermediate risk disease. In all, 665 foci were reconstructed; there were 149 foci ≥0.2 mL and 97 ≥ 0.5 mL in the full cohort and 68 ≥ 0.2 mL and 43 ≥ 0.5 mL in the low-intermediate risk group. Overall, TPM accuracy (area under the receiver operating curve, AUC) was ≈0.90 compared with AUC 0.70-0.80 for TRUS-biopsy. In addition, at best, TRUS-biopsy missed 30-40% of lesions of ≥0.2 mL and ≥0.5 mL whilst TPM missed 5% of such lesions.

CONCLUSION

TPM under simulation conditions appears the most effective re-classification strategy, although augmented TRUS-biopsy techniques are better than standard TRUS-biopsy.

Active surveillance for favorable-risk prostate cancer: background, patient selection, triggers for intervention, and outcomes

With the advent of increasingly sensitive and widely used diagnostic testing, cancer overdiagnosis in particular has emerged as a problem in multiple organ sites. This has the greatest ramifications in the case of prostate cancer because of the very high incidence of latent prostate cancer in aging men, the availability of the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) test, and the long-term effects of definitive therapy. The condition of most men with favorable-risk prostate cancer is far removed from the consequences of a rampaging, aggressive disease. Most of these men are not destined to die of their disease, even in the absence of treatment. Unfortunately, most of these patients are treated radically and are exposed to the risk of significant side effects. Therefore, a selective approach to treatment is appealing. The concept is to identify the subset that harbor more aggressive disease early enough that curative therapy is still a possibility, thereby allowing the others to enjoy improved quality of life, free from the side effects of treatment. This review article summarizes the evidence supporting active surveillance, and the current approach to this management strategy, including the roles of serial biopsy, PSA kinetics, and MR imaging.

Predictive models for worsening prognosis in potential candidates for active surveillance of presumed low-risk prostate cancer

PURPOSE

Low-risk prostate cancer patients clinically eligible for active surveillance can also be managed surgically. We evaluated the pathologic outcomes for this cohort that was treated by radical prostatectomy and devised nomograms to predict patients at risk of upgrading and/or upstaging.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Seven hundred and fifty patients treated by radical prostatectomy from Jan 2005 to the present fulfilled conventional active surveillance criteria and formed the study cohort. Preoperative data on standard clinicopathologic parameters were available. The radical prostatectomy specimens were graded and staged, and any upgrading to Gleason sum >6 or upstaging to ≥pT3 ('worsening prognosis') were noted. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to develop predictive nomograms.

RESULTS

Of the 750 patients, 303 (40.4%) patients were either upgraded or upstaged. Multivariable analysis found that preoperative PSA, number of positive cores, and prostate volume were significantly predictive of worsening prognosis and formed the nomogram criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

Of patients deemed eligible for active surveillance based on conventional criteria, 40.4% have worse prognostic factors after radical prostatectomy. Current active surveillance criteria may be too relaxed, and the use of nomograms which we have devised, may aid in counseling primary prostate cancer patients considering active surveillance as their therapy of choice.

[Active surveillance for localized prostate cancer]

Active surveillance as an alternative approach to immediate curative treatment is demonstrated for an increasing number of patients with low risk prostate cancer. Optimization of selection and surveillance criteria to guarantee a low risk issue to patients are discussed in this review. They lead to consider active surveillance as an option rather than a standard of care for patients ideally included in clinical research protocols.

Outcomes of active surveillance for men with intermediate-risk prostate cancer

PURPOSE

Active surveillance (AS) is an option for the initial management of early-stage prostate cancer. Current risk stratification schema identify patients with low-risk disease who are presumed to be most suitable for AS. However, some men with higher risk disease also elect AS; outcomes for such men have not been widely reported.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Men managed with AS at University of California, San Francisco, were classified as low- or intermediate-risk based on serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA), Gleason grade, extent of biopsy involvement, and T stage. Clinical and demographic characteristics, and progression in terms of Gleason score, PSA kinetics, and active treatment were compared between men with low- and intermediate-risk tumors.

RESULTS

Compared to men with low-risk tumors, those with intermediate-risk tumors were older (mean, 64.9 v 62.3 years) with higher mean PSA values (10.9 v 5.1 ng/mL), and more tumor involvement (mean, 20.4% v 15.3% positive biopsy cores; all P < .01). Within 4 years of the first positive biopsy, the clinical risk group did not differ in terms of the proportions experiencing progression-free survival, (low [54%] v intermediate [61%]; log-rank P = .22) or the proportions who underwent active treatment (low [30%] v intermediate [35%]; log-rank P = .88). Among men undergoing surgery, none were node positive and none had biochemical recurrence within 3 years.

CONCLUSION

Selected men with intermediate-risk features be appropriate candidates for AS, and are not necessarily more likely to progress. AS for these men may provide an opportunity to further reduce overtreatment of disease that is unlikely to progress to advanced cancer.

Relationship between initial PSA density with future PSA kinetics and repeat biopsies in men with prostate cancer on active surveillance

The objective of our study is to examine the correlation between PSA density (PSAd) at the time of diagnosis with PSA velocity (PSAV), PSA doubling time and tumour progression, on repeat biopsy, in men with prostate cancer on active surveillance. Data from 102 patients with clinically localized prostate cancer on active surveillance in the period between 1992 and 2007, who had the necessary parameters available, were collected. PSAd was calculated and correlated with PSAV, PSA doubling time (PSADT), Gleason score at diagnosis and local progression on repeated biopsies. PSAV was 0.64 and 1.31 ng ml^–1 per year (P=0.02), PSADT of 192 and 113 months (P=0.4) for PSAd below and above 0.15, respectively. The rate of detecting high Gleason score (⩾7) at diagnosis was 6 and 23% for PSAd below and above 0.15, respectively. A total of 101 patients underwent at least a second biopsy and the incidence of upgrading was 10 and 31% for PSAd below and above 0.15, respectively (P=0.001). Although low PSAd is an accepted measure for suggesting insignificant prostate cancer, our study expands its role to indicate that PSAd <0.15 may be an additional clinical parameter that may suggest indolent disease, as measured by future PSAV and repeat biopsy over time.