Impacts of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Care Pathway on Healthcare Utilization and Costs: A Matched Multiple Control Cohort Study in Saskatchewan, Canada

An economic evaluation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease clinical pathway in Saskatchewan, Canada: Data-driven techniques to identify cost-effectiveness among patient subgroups

BACKGROUND

Saskatchewan has implemented care pathways for several common health conditions. To date, there has not been any cost-effectiveness evaluation of care pathways in the province. The objective of this study was to evaluate the real-world cost-effectiveness of a chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) care pathway program in Saskatchewan.

METHODS

Using patient-level administrative health data, we identified adults (35+ years) with COPD diagnosis recruited into the care pathway program in Regina between April 1, 2018, and March 31, 2019 (N = 759). The control group comprised adults (35+ years) with COPD who lived in Saskatoon during the same period (N = 759). The control group was matched to the intervention group using propensity scores. Costs were calculated at the patient level. The outcome measure was the number of days patients remained without experiencing COPD exacerbation within 1-year follow-up. Both manual and data-driven policy learning approaches were used to assess heterogeneity in the cost-effectiveness by patient demographic and disease characteristics. Bootstrapping was used to quantify uncertainty in the results.

RESULTS

In the overall sample, the estimates indicate that the COPD care pathway was not cost-effective using the willingness to pay (WTP) threshold values in the range of $1,000 and $5,000/exacerbation day averted. The manual subgroup analyses show the COPD care pathway was dominant among patients with comorbidities and among patients aged 65 years or younger at the WTP threshold of $2000/exacerbation day averted. Although similar profiles as those identified in the manual subgroup analyses were confirmed, the data-driven policy learning approach suggests more nuanced demographic and disease profiles that the care pathway would be most appropriate for.

CONCLUSIONS

Both manual subgroup analysis and data-driven policy learning approach showed that the COPD care pathway consistently produced cost savings and better health outcomes among patients with comorbidities or among those relatively younger. The care pathway was not cost-effective in the entire sample.

Real-World Cost-Consequence Analysis of an Integrated Chronic Disease Management Program in Saskatchewan, Canada

An integrated disease management program otherwise called a clinical pathway was recently implemented in Saskatchewan, Canada for patients living with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This study compared the real-world costs and consequences of the COPD clinical pathway program with 2 control treatment programs. The study comprised adult COPD patients in Regina (clinical pathway group, N = 759) matched on propensity scores to 2 independent control groups of similar adults in (1) Regina (historical controls, N = 759) and (2) Saskatoon (contemporaneous controls, N = 759). The study measures included patient-level healthcare costs and acute COPD exacerbation outcomes, both tracked in population-based administrative health data over a one-year follow-up period. Analyses included Cox proportional hazards models and differences in means between groups. The bias-corrected and accelerated bootstrap method was used to calculate 95% confidence intervals (CI). The COPD pathway patients had lower risks of moderate (hazard ratio [HR] =0.57, 95% CI [0.40-0.83]) and severe (HR = 0.43, 95% CI [0.28-0.66]) exacerbations compared to the historical control group, but similar risks compared with the contemporaneous control group. The COPD pathway patients experienced fewer episodes of exacerbations compared with the historical control group (mean difference = -0.30, 95% CI [-0.40, -0.20]) and the contemporaneous control group (mean difference = -0.12, 95% CI [-0.20, -0.03]). Average annual healthcare costs in Canadian dollars were marginally higher among patients in the COPD clinical pathway (mean = $10 549, standard deviation [SD] =$18 149) than those in the contemporaneous control group ($8841, SD = $17 120), but comparable to the historical control group ($10 677, SD = $21 201). The COPD pathway provides better outcomes at about the same costs when compared to the historical controls, but only slightly better outcomes and at a marginally higher cost when compared to the contemporaneous controls.