Bridging Hepatocellular Carcinoma to Transplant: Transarterial Chemoembolization Response, Tumor Biology, and Recurrence after Transplantation in a 12-Year Transplant Cohort

Imaging Delay Following Liver-Directed Therapy Increases Progression Risk in Early- to Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains one of the leading causes of cancer-related deaths in the world. Patients with early-stage HCC are treated with liver-directed therapies to bridge or downstage for liver transplantation (LT). In this study, the impact of HCC care delay on HCC progression among early-stage patients was investigated. Early-stage HCC patients undergoing their first cycle of liver-directed therapy (LDT) for bridge/downstaging to LT between 04/2016 and 04/2022 were retrospectively analyzed. Baseline variables were analyzed for risk of disease progression and time to progression (TTP). HCC care delay was determined by the number of rescheduled appointments related to HCC care. The study cohort consisted of 316 patients who received first-cycle LDT. The HCC care no-show rate was associated with TTP (p = 0.004), while the overall no-show rate was not (p = 0.242). The HCC care no-show rate and HCC care delay were further expanded as no-show rates and rescheduled appointments for imaging, laboratory, and office visits, respectively. More than 60% of patients experienced HCC care delay for imaging and laboratory appointments compared to just 8% for office visits. Multivariate analysis revealed that HCC-specific no-show rates and HCC care delay for imaging (p < 0.001) were both independently associated with TTP, highlighting the importance of minimizing delays in early-stage HCC imaging surveillance to reduce disease progression risk.

Factors Associated With Complete Pathologic Necrosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma on Explant Evaluation After Locoregional Therapy: A National Analysis Using the UNOS Database

BACKGROUND. Complete pathologic necrosis (CPN) is associated with improved survival in patients who undergo liver transplant (LT) after locoregional therapy (LRT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this article was to identify patient, HCC, and transplant center characteristics associated with rates of CPN on explant evaluation using a large national sample of patients undergoing LT after LRT for HCC measuring 3 cm or smaller. METHODS. This retrospective study used data from the United Network for Organ Sharing database. The study included 6265 adults (median age, 62 years; 1505 women, 4760 men) who underwent LT after a single type LRT (either transarterial chemoembolization [TACE], thermal ablation, or transarterial radioembolization [TARE]) for HCCs measuring 3 cm or smaller at one of 118 U.S. transplant centers from April 12, 2012, to March 31, 2020. Patients were classified as having CPN if explant evaluation showed 100% necrosis of all HCCs. Associations with CPN were explored. Centers were categorized into tertiles on the basis of center-level CPN rates, and tertiles were compared. RESULTS. LRT was performed by TACE in 69.5% (4352/6265), thermal ablation in 19.4% (1217/6265), and TARE in 11.1% (696/6265) of patients. CPN rate was 18.5% (805/4352) after TACE, 35.8% (436/1217) after thermal ablation, 33.6% (234/696) after TARE, and 23.5% (1475/6265) overall. In multivariable analysis incorporating age, sex, model for end-stage liver disease score, α-fetoprotein level before LRT, wait list time, number of HCCs, HCC size, and the transplant center (as a random factor), use of thermal ablation (OR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.86-2.57; p < .001) or TARE (OR, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.57-2.36; p < .001), with TACE as reference, independently predicted greater likelihood of CPN. Center-level CPN rates ranged from 0.0% to 50.0%. Stratifying centers by CPN rates, ablation was performed more frequently than TACE in 5.0% of centers in the first, 15.4% in the second, and 23.1% in the third tertiles (p = .07). CONCLUSION. CPN rate on explant evaluation was low. Thermal ablation or TARE, rather than TACE, was associated with higher likelihood of CPN in patient-level and center-level analyses. CLINICAL IMPACT. Findings from this large national sample support a potential role of thermal ablation or TARE for achieving CPN of HCC measuring 3 cm or smaller.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Interventional Liver-Directed Therapies for a Single, Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Liver Transplant Candidates

PURPOSE

To assess the cost effectiveness of 3 main locoregional therapies (LRTs) (transarterial chemoembolization [TACE], transarterial radioembolization [TARE], and percutaneous ablation) as bridging therapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A cost-effectiveness analysis was performed comparing the 3 LRTs for patients with a single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with a diameter of 3 cm or less over a 5-year time horizon from a payer's perspective. The clinical courses, including transplantation, decompensation resulting in delisting, and the need for a second LRT, were based on data from the United Network for Organ Sharing (2016-2019). Costs and effectiveness were measured in U.S. dollars and quality-adjusted life-years, respectively. Probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses were performed.

RESULTS

A total of 2,594, 1,576, and 903 patients underwent TACE, ablation, and TARE, respectively. Ablation was the dominant strategy, with the lowest expected cost and highest effectiveness. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that ablation was the most cost-effective strategy in 93.9% of simulations. A subgroup analysis was performed for different wait times, with ablation remaining the most cost-effective strategy. The sensitivity analysis showed that ablation was most effective if the risk of waitlist dropout was less than 2.00% and the rate of transplantation was more than 15.1% quarterly. TARE was most effective if the risk of dropout was less than 1.19% and the rate of transplantation was more than 24.0%. TACE was most effective if the risk of dropout was less than 1.01% and the rate of transplantation was more than 45.7%. Ablation remained the most cost-effective modality until its procedural cost was more than $34,843.

CONCLUSIONS

Ablation is the most cost-effective bridging strategy for patients with a single, small (≤3 cm) HCC prior to liver transplantation. The conclusion remained robust in multiple sensitivity analyses.

Locoregional Treatments for Bridging and Downstaging HCC to Liver Transplantation

Liver transplantation (LT) is the first-line treatment for patients diagnosed with unresectable early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the setting of cirrhosis. It is well known that HCC patients within the Milan criteria (solitary tumour ≤ 5 cm or ≤3 tumours, each <3 cm) could undergo LT with excellent results. However, there is a growing tendency to enlarge inclusion criteria since the Milan criteria are nowadays considered too restrictive and may exclude patients who would benefit from LT. On the other hand, there is a persistent shortage of donor organs. In this scenario, there is consensus about the role of loco-regional therapy (LRT) during the waiting list to select patients who would benefit more from LT, reducing the risk of drop off from the waiting list as well as decreasing tumour dimension to meet acceptable criteria for LT. In this review, current evidence on the safety, efficacy and utility of LRTs as neoadjuvant therapies before LT are summarized.

PD-1 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma predicts liver-directed therapy response and bridge-to-transplant survival

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergo liver-directed therapy (LDT) to control tumor burden while awaiting liver transplantation with response impacting waitlist survival. In this study, we investigate the link between absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) and PD-1 expression with response to LDT and bridge-to-transplant survival.

METHODS

Treatment-naïve HCC patients (n = 86) undergoing LDT were enrolled at a single center from August 2016-March 2020. Response to LDT was determined using mRECIST. Blood samples were collected on the day of LDT and at follow-up. Cells were analyzed for phenotype by flow cytometry. Outcomes were liver transplantation or tumor progression.

RESULTS

Incomplete response to initial LDT was associated with tumor progression precluding liver transplantation (OR: 7.6, 1.7 - 33.3, P < 0.001). Univariate analysis of baseline T cell phenotypes revealed ALC (OR: 0.44, 0.24-0.85, P = 0.009) as well as intermediate expression of PD-1 on CD4 (OR: 3.3, 1.03-10.3, P = 0.034) and CD8 T cells (OR: 3.0, 0.99-8.8 P = 0.043) associated with incomplete response to LDT. Elevations in PD-1 expression were associated with increased risk of bridge-to-transplant tumor progression (HR: 3.2, 1.2-9.4). In patients successfully bridged to liver transplantation, pre-treatment peripheral PD-1 profile was associated with advanced tumor staging (P < 0.005) with 2/4 of patients with elevations in PD-1 having T3-T4 TNM staging compared to 0 with low PD-1 expression.

CONCLUSION

Low lymphocyte count or elevated expression of the PD-1 checkpoint inhibitor is associated with incomplete response to LDT and increased risk of bridge-to-transplant tumor progression. Patients with impaired T cell homeostasis may benefit from PD-1 immunotherapy to improve response to LDT and improve bridge-to-transplant outcomes.

Immunological Markers, Prognostic Factors and Challenges Following Curative Treatments for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related mortalities worldwide. Patients with early-stage HCC are eligible for curative treatments, such as surgical resection, liver transplantation (LT) and percutaneous ablation. Although curative treatments provide excellent long-term survival, almost 70–80% of patients experience HCC recurrence after curative treatments. Tumor-related factors, including tumor size, number and differentiation, and underlying liver disease, are well-known risk factors for recurrence following curative therapies. Moreover, the tumor microenvironment (TME) also plays a key role in the recurrence of HCC. Many immunosuppressive mechanisms, such as an increase in regulatory T cells and myeloid-derived suppressor cells with a decrease in cytotoxic T cells, are implicated in HCC recurrence. These suppressive TMEs are also modulated by several factors and pathways, including mammalian target of rapamycin signaling, vascular endothelial growth factor, programmed cell death protein 1 and its ligand 1. Based on these mechanisms and the promising results of immune checkpoint blockers (ICBs) in advanced HCC, there have been several ongoing adjuvant studies using a single or combination of ICB following curative treatments in HCC. In this review, we strive to provide biologic and immunological markers, prognostic factors, and challenges associated with clinical outcomes after curative treatments, including resection, LT and ablation.

Baseline Alpha-Fetoprotein, Alpha-Fetoprotein-L3, and Des-Gamma-Carboxy Prothrombin Biomarker Status in Bridge to Liver Transplant Outcomes for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Simple Summary

An abnormal alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) test is often associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development, although as many as 40% of HCC diagnoses are made in the absence of an abnormal AFP test. In Japan and other Asian countries, Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive AFP fraction (AFP-L3) and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) are used in combination with AFP for HCC diagnosis. Combined testing with all three biomarkers increases early diagnosis in addition to providing a patient-specific profile of HCC aggressiveness. The utility of AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP for HCC prognosis in the bridge to liver transplantation has not been established. The goal of this study is to define prognosis to first-line HCC treatment and the risk of progression prior to liver transplantation associated with biomarker profile at diagnosis. Biomarker profiling may have future implications in precision therapeutic management of HCC as a bridge to transplantation.

Abstract

The biomarkers α-fetoprotein (AFP), Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive AFP fraction (AFP-L3), and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) have emerging implications in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance, overall prognosis, and post-surgical recurrence risk. This retrospective study investigated treatment and bridge to liver transplant (LT) prognosis associated with AFP, AFP-L3%, and DCP biomarker profiles prior to liver-directed therapy (LDT). In a 140-patient cohort, each biomarker was associated with HCC progression risk using the established thresholds of AFP > 20 ng/mL, AFP-L3 > 15%, and DCP > 7.5 ng/mL. Over 60% of the cohort expressed at least one biomarker at baseline. Although most biomarker-positive patients expressed the clinical standard AFP (57/87), only 32% were positive for AFP alone. Biomarker accumulation increased HCC progression risk but was not associated with demographic factors or preserved liver function. Biomarker triple negative patients had smaller index HCC (p = 0.003), decreased multifocal burden (p = 0.010), and a higher objective response rate (ORR, 62% compared to 46%, p = 0.011). Expressing all three biomarkers at baseline was associated with dismal first-line ORR (12%) with a median time to progression (TTP) of only 181 days post-LDT. Patients with triple negative status for the HCC biomarkers AFP, AFP-L3%, and DCP have the highest first-line ORR with < 5% HCC progression 1-year post-LDT. Biomarker profiling can establish baseline prognosis for identifying optimal bridge to LT and downstaging to LT candidates with triple negative biomarker status and providing an ideal post-LDT target as a compliment to radiographic response.

Current Strategies to Identify Patients That Will Benefit from TACE Treatment and Future Directions a Practical Step-by-Step Guide

Treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) depends on the stage of disease. In the Western Hemisphere, the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer classification (BCLC) is the preferred staging system. Approximately one-third of patients initially present with intermediate-stage disease. For these patients, transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the treatment of choice. However, the intermediate-stage comprises a heterogeneous subgroup of patients with considerable differences in tumor burden and liver function. In addition, differences in individual factors that are not captured by the BCLC framework, such as the tumor growth pattern, degree of hypervascularity, and vascular supply, complicate further evaluation of these patients. Due to these differences, not all patients benefit equally from TACE. Several tools and scoring systems have been devised to provide decision-making support. All of these have shown promising initial results but failed external evaluation and have not been translated to the clinic. Nevertheless, criteria for objectifying treatment decisions in daily clinical practice are needed in all stages of disease. Therefore, this review provides a concise practical step-by-step guide on current strategies for patient selection and decision-making, with a focus on TACE, to critically evaluate the existing decision-support tools and provide a summary of the latest updates in the field.

What Should Be the Rules for Downstaging for Hepatocellular Carcinoma?

INTRODUCTION

Liver transplantation remains the main curative treatment method for hepatocellular carcinoma. There are several criteria for hepatocellular carcinoma to be eligible for liver transplantation, and it depends on main transplantation centers worldwide. Locoregional treatments and downstaging protocols are used for either to achieve these criteria or to prevent drop outs on the transplant waiting lists. But who can benefit from these bridging therapies effectively for the main purpose of curative treatment? Main contraindications are known for locoregional treatments like cirrhosis or low hepatic function, total main portal vein occlusion, and extrahepatic metastasis. HCCs, which are confined to liver but have high tumor burden, remains the main controversial issue.

AIM

On this aspect, we reviewed the literature for downstaging protocols for hepatocellular carcinoma with their effect on survival and recurrence rates after liver transplantation.

CONCLUSION

Although candidates for downstaging is still controversial, with the absence of main contraindications, LRT can be applied to selected HCCs, which have a certain degree of tumor burden.