Premorbid function, comorbidity, and frailty predict outcomes after ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm repair

A systematic review of frailty assessment tools used in vascular surgery research

OBJECTIVE

Frailty is common in vascular patients and is recognized for its prognostic value. In the absence of consensus, a multitude of frailty assessment tools exist. This systematic review aimed to quantify the variety in these tools and describe their content and application to inform future research and clinical practice.

METHODS

Multiple cross-disciplinary electronic literature databases were searched from inception to August 2022. Studies describing frailty assessment in a vascular surgical population were eligible. Data extraction to a validated template included patient demographics, tool content, and analysis methods. A secondary systematic search for papers describing the psychometric properties of commonly used frailty tools was then performed.

RESULTS

Screening 5358 records identified 111 eligible studies, with an aggregate population of 5,418,236 patients. Forty-three differing frailty assessment tools were identified. One-third of these failed to assess frailty as a multidomain deficit and there was a reliance on assessing function and presence of comorbidity. Substantial methodological variability in data analysis and lack of methodological description was also identified. Published psychometric assessment was available for only 4 of the 10 most commonly used frailty tools. The Clinical Frailty Scale was the most studied and demonstrates good psychometric properties within a surgical population.

CONCLUSIONS

Substantial heterogeneity in frailty assessment is demonstrated, precluding meaningful comparisons of services and data pooling. A uniform approach to assessment is required to guide future frailty research. Based on the literature, we make the following recommendations: frailty should be considered a continuous construct and the reporting of frailty tools' application needs standardized. In the absence of consensus, the Clinical Frailty Scale is a validated tool with good psychometric properties that demonstrates usefulness in vascular surgery.

Comparative performance of three comorbidity scores in predicting survival after the elective repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms

BACKGROUND

We aimed to study the discriminative power of 3 comorbidity scores for predicting 5-year survival after the elective repair of aorto-iliac aneurysms (AAA).

METHODS

444 patients with AAA undergoing elective repair (33% open and 67% endovascular) between 2000 and 2020 were reviewed. The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and subsequent adjustments by Schneeweiss, Quan and Armitage, the Modified Frailty Index (MFI) and the American Society of Anesthesiologists Score (ASA) were calculated from preoperative data. Their association with 5-year survival was analyzed using Cox regression models and their discriminative power and its changes with C statistics and Net Reclassification Index (NRI).

RESULTS

All comorbidity scores were associated with survival after adjusting by age, sex and type of surgical repair: original CCI HR=1.24, P<0.001; Schneeweiss CCI HR=1.23, P<0.001; Quan CCI HR=1.27, P<0.001, Armitage CCI HR=1.46, P<0.001, MFI HR=1.39, P<0.001 and ASA HR=1.68 (P=0.04) and 2.86 (P=0.01) for classes III and IV, respectively. Associated C statistics were of 0.64, 0.65, 0.65, 0.64, 0.61 and 0.59, respectively. Compared with the original CCI, models based on Schneeweiss CCI and Armitage CCI provided minor improvements in NRI (0.32 and 0.23), and the model based on ASA showed lower C statistics (P=0.014) and NRI (-0.30).

CONCLUSIONS

Established comorbidity scores, such as CCI, MFI or ASA, are all associated with 5-year survival after the elective repair of AAAs, being ASA the worst of them. However, their predictive power is in no case sufficient to identify, by themselves, those patients who may not be eligible for intervention on the basis of life expectancy.

Frailty predicts poor longer-term outcomes in patients following lower limb open surgical revascularization

BACKGROUND

Frailty in vascular surgery patients is increasingly recognized as a marker of poor outcome. This provides particular challenges for patients with lower limb peripheral arterial disease who require surgical revascularization. This study aimed to assess the impact of frailty on short- and long-term outcome in this specific patient group using a specialty specific frailty score.

METHODS

Patients undergoing open surgical revascularization for chronic limb ischemia (January 2015-December 2016) were assessed. Demographics, mode of admission, diagnosis, and site of surgery were recorded alongside a variety of frailty-specific characteristics. We calculated the previously validated Addenbrookes Vascular Frailty Score (AVFS) and Long AVFS (LAVFS). Primary outcome was 3-year mortality.

RESULTS

Two hundred and sixty-one patients (75% men, median age 69 years) were studied. The median length of stay was 6 days with a 3-year mortality of 23%. The predictive power of vascular frailty scores showed that for 3-year mortality, area under the receiver operator curve values (AUROC) were specific for both the AVFS score (AUROC: 0.724, 95% CI: 0.654-0.794) and LAVFS Score (AUROC: 0.741, 95%CI: 0.670-0.813). Furthermore, the cumulative AVFS and LAVFS scores both predicted mortality over the follow-up period (P=0.0001) with increased mortality among patients with higher scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Incremental worsening of frailty, determined using a specialty specific frailty score, predicts mortality risk in patients undergoing lower limb surgical revascularization.

Frailty scoring in vascular and endovascular surgery: A systematic review

One in 10 independently living adults aged 65 years old and older is considered frail, and frailty is associated with poor postoperative outcomes. This systematic review aimed to examine the association between frailty assessments and postoperative outcomes in patients with vascular disease. Electronic databases - MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library - were searched from inception until January 2022, resulting in 648 articles reviewed for potential inclusion and 16 studies selected. Demographic data, surgery type, frailty measure, and postoperative outcomes predicted by frailty were extracted from the selected studies. The risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. The selected studies (mean age: 56.1-76.3 years) had low-to-moderate risk of bias and included 16 vascular (elective and nonelective) surgeries and eight frailty measures. Significant associations (p < 0.05) were established between mortality (30-day, 90-day, 1-year, 5-year), 30-day morbidity, nonhome discharge, adverse events, failure to rescue, patient requiring care after discharge, and amputation following critical limb ischaemia. The strongest evidence was found between 30-day mortality and frailty. Composite 30-day morbidity and mortality, functional status at discharge, length of stay, spinal cord deficit, and access site complications were found to be nonsignificantly associated with frailty. With frailty being significantly associated with several adverse postoperative outcomes, preoperative frailty assessments can potentially be clinically useful in helping practitioners predict and guide the pre-, peri-, and postoperative management of frail with vascular disease.

Association of SARC-F Score and Rockwood Clinical Frailty Scale with CT-Derived Muscle Mass in Patients with Aortic Aneurysms

OBJECTIVES

Patients with aortic aneurysms (AA) are often co-morbid and susceptible to frailty. Low core muscle mass has been used as a surrogate marker of sarcopenia and indicator of frailty. This study aimed to assess association between core muscle mass with sarcopenia screening tool SARC-F and Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) in patients with AA.

METHODS

Prospective audit of patients in pre-operative aortic clinic between 01/07/2019-31/01/2020 including frailty assessment using Rockwood CFS and sarcopenia screening using SARC-F questionnaire. Psoas and sartorius muscle area were measured on pre-operative CT scans and adjusted for height. Association was assessed using Spearman's rank correlation coefficient.

RESULTS

Of 84 patients assessed, median age was 75 years [72,82], 84.5% were men, 65.5% were multimorbid and 63.1% had polypharmacy. Nineteen percent were identified as frail (CFS score >3) and 6.1% positively screened for sarcopenia (SARC-F score 4 or more). Median psoas area (PMA) at L3 was 5.6cm2/m2 [4.8,6.6] and L4 was 7.4cm2/m2 [6.3,8.6]. Median sartorius area (SMA) was 1.8 cm2/m2 [1.5,2.2]. CFS demonstrated weak but statistically significant negative correlation with height-adjusted PMA at L3 (r=-0.25, p=0.034) but not at L4 (r=-0.23, p=0.051) or with SMA (r=-0.22, p=0.065). No association was observed between SARC-F score and PMA or SMA (L3 PMA r=-0.015, p=0.9; L4 PMA r=-0.0014, p= 0.99; SMA r=-0.051, p=0.67).

CONCLUSION

CFS showed higher association with CT-derived muscle mass than SARC-F. Comprehensive pre-operative risk-stratification tools which incorporate frailty assessment and body composition analysis may assist in decision making for surgery and allow opportunity for pre-habilitation.

Current Clinical Implications of Frailty and Sarcopenia in Vascular Surgery: A Comprehensive Review of the Literature and Consideration of Perioperative Management

Frailty is a well-known geriatric syndrome of impaired physiological reserve and increased vulnerability to stressors. Sarcopenia is also used as a parameter of physical impairment characterized by muscle weakness. As population aging has become more prominent in recent years, both modalities are now regarded as clinically important prognostic tools defined by multidimensional factors that may affect clinical outcomes in various clinical settings. A preoperative surgical risk analysis is mandatory to predict clinical and surgical outcomes in all surgical practices, particularly in high-risk surgical patients. In vascular surgical settings, frailty and sarcopenia have been accepted as useful prognostic tools to evaluate patient characteristics before surgery, as these may predict perioperative clinical and surgical outcomes. Although minimally invasive surgical approaches, such as endovascular therapy, and hybrid approaches have been universally developed, achieving good vascular surgical outcomes for high-risk cohorts remains to be challenge due to the increasing prevalence of elderly patients and multiple preoperative co-morbidities in addition to frailty and sarcopenia. Therefore, to further improve clinical and surgical outcomes, these preoperative geriatric prognostic factors will be of great importance and interest in vascular surgical settings for both physicians and surgeons.

The Association Between Preoperative Independent Ambulatory Status and Outcomes After Open Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repairs

OBJECTIVE

Preoperative functional status is appreciated as a key determinant of decision-making when evaluating patients for complex elective surgeries. We used the Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) to analyze the effect of being able to independently ambulate on outcomes after open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repairs.

METHODS

We identified all patients who underwent elective or urgent open AAA repairs from January 2013 to August 2019 in the VQI registry. We recorded demographic variables, comorbidities, and operative factors such as approach, operative ischemia time, proximal clamp site, and presence of iliac aneurysms. Short-term and long-term outcomes included 30-day mortality, any perioperative complications, failure to rescue (defined as death after a complication), and one-year all-cause mortality. We dichotomized patients based on their ability to independently ambulate (Ambulatory) or inability to ambulate independently (Non-Ambulatory) and used both multivariable logistic regressions and cox-proportional hazards models to evaluate outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 5,371 patients, 328 (6.1%) could not ambulate independently and were more likely to be older (median age 69 vs 72), female (25% vs. 38%), and have greater comorbidities. Overall outcomes were: 4.3% for 30-day mortality, 38.7% for complications, 10.2% for failure-to-rescue, and 6.9% for one-year mortality. Univariate analysis showed higher rates of all adverse outcomes in non-ambulatory patients. On adjusted analysis, non-ambulatory patients had increased odds of complications by 46% (OR 1.46 [95%-CI 1.11-1.91]) and one-year mortality by 46% (HR 1.46 [95%-CI 1.06-1.99]), but not failure to rescue (OR 1.05 [95%-CI 0.67-1.62]) or 30-day mortality (OR 1.22 [95%-CI 0.82-1.81]). Increased hospital volume, age, and increased operative renal ischemia time were independently associated with adverse outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-ambulatory status was observed in a small percentage of patients undergoing open AAA repair but was associated with higher rates of post-operative complications and one-year mortality. Ambulatory capacity is one of the key determinants of outcomes following open AAA repair. In patients with poor ambulatory function, a conservative approach is highly recommended over invasive open surgical intervention.

Multidisciplinary quality improvement programme for older patients admitted to a vascular surgery ward

BACKGROUND

Older vascular surgical patients are at high risk of hospital-associated complications and prolonged stays.

AIMS

To implement a multidisciplinary co-management model for older vascular patients and evaluate impact on length of stay (LOS), delirium incidence, functional decline, medical complications and discharge destination.

METHODS

Prospective pre-post evaluation of a quality improvement intervention, enrolling pre-intervention (August 2012-January 2013) and post-intervention cohort (September 2013-March 2014). Participants were consenting patients aged 65 years and over admitted to the vascular surgical ward of a metropolitan teaching hospital for at least 3 days. Intervention was physician-led co-management plus a multidisciplinary improvement programme targeting delirium and functional decline. Primary outcomes were LOS, delirium and functional decline. Secondary outcomes were medical complications and discharge destination. Process measures included documented consultation patterns. Administrative data were also compared for all patients aged 65 and older for 12 months pre- and post-intervention.

RESULTS

We enrolled 112 participants pre-intervention and 123 participants post-intervention. LOS was reduced post-intervention (geometric mean 7.6 days vs 9.3 days; ratio of geometric means 0.82 (95% confidence interval CI0.68-1.00), P = 0.04). There was a trend to less delirium (18 (14.6%) vs 24 (21.4%), P = 0.17) and functional decline (18 (14.6%) vs 27 (24.3%), P = 0.06), with greatest reductions in the urgently admitted subgroup. Administrative data showed reduced median LOS (5.2 days vs 6 days, P = 0.03) and greater discharge home (72% vs 50%, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Physician-led co-management plus a multidisciplinary improvement programme may reduce LOS and improve functional outcomes in older vascular surgical patients.

Transition in Frailty State Among Elderly Patients After Vascular Surgery

BACKGROUND

Frailty in the vascular surgical ward is common and predicts poor surgical outcomes. The aim of this study was to analyze transitions in frailty state in elderly patients after vascular surgery and to evaluate influence of patient characteristics on this transition.

METHODS

Between 2014 and 2018, 310 patients, ≥65 years and scheduled for elective vascular surgery, were included in this cohort study. Transition in frailty state between preoperative and follow-up measurement was determined using the Groningen Frailty Indicator (GFI), a validated tool to measure frailty in vascular surgery patients. Frailty is defined as a GFI score ≥4. Patient characteristics leading to a transition in frailty state were analyzed using multivariable Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Mean age was 72.7 ± 5.2 years, and 74.5% were male. Mean follow-up time was 22.7 ± 9.5 months. At baseline measurement, 79 patients (25.5%) were considered frail. In total, 64 non-frail patients (20.6%) shifted to frail and 29 frail patients (9.4%) to non-frail. Frail patients with a high Charlson Comorbidity Index (HR = 0.329 (CI: 0.133-0.812), p = 0.016) and that underwent a major vascular intervention (HR = 0.365 (CI: 0.154-0.865), p = 0.022) had a significantly higher risk to remain frail after the intervention.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study, showing that after vascular surgery almost 21% of the non-frail patients become frail, may lead to a more effective shared decision-making process when considering treatment options, by providing more insight in the postoperative frailty course of patients.

Frailty is a Poor Predictor of Postoperative Morbidity and Mortality After Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm

BACKGROUND

Frailty has gained prominence as a predictor of postoperative outcomes across a number of surgical specialties, vascular surgery included. The role of frailty is less defined in the acute surgical setting. We assessed the prognostic value of frailty for patients undergoing surgery for a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA).

METHODS

A single-institution retrospective chart review of all patients undergoing surgical intervention for rAAA between January 1, 2011 and November 27, 2019 was performed. Frailty was assessed for each patient using the modified frailty index (mFI), a validated frailty metric based on the Canadian Study of Health and Aging. Frailty was defined as an mFI ≥0.27. The performance of the mFI was compared to that of the Vascular Study Group of New England (VSGNE) rAAA mortality risk score. Chi square, Fisher's exact, and t tests, were used to evaluate for associations between frailty and in-hospital outcomes. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to obtain odds ratios for in-hospital mortality. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to compare the predictive value of the mFI and VSGNE score for in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Sixty patients were identified during the study period with an in-hospital mortality rate of 37%. Twenty-one patients were deemed frail by mFI metric and included all patients with known myocardial infarction, stroke with a neurologic deficit or dependent functional status, however the mortality rate did not differ significantly based on frailty status (33% nonfrail vs. 43% frail, P= 0.47). Frailty status was not significantly different for patients with acute kidney injury (10% nonfrail vs. 10% frail), prolonged intubation (13% vs. 5%), abdominal compartment syndrome (8% vs. 10%), and Type I or Type III endoleak (8% vs. 19%). On multivariate analysis controlling for systolic blood pressure <70 mm Hg, suprarenal aortic control, and creatinine >2.0 mg/dl, the mFI produced an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 0.7 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.2-3.0). The ROC curve for the mFI produced an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.55 (P= 0.55) for in-hospital mortality while that of the VSGNE score produced an AUC of 0.69 (P= 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

The mFI did not significantly predict in-hospital outcomes after rAAA in this cohort. This suggests that the baseline health status of a patient with rAAA may play a less significant role in their postoperative prognosis than their acuity on presentation.

Frailty Factors and Outcomes in Vascular Surgery Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To describe and critique tools used to assess frailty in vascular surgery patients, and investigate its associations with patient factors and outcomes.

BACKGROUND

Increasing evidence shows negative impacts of frailty on outcomes in surgical patients, but little investigation of its associations with patient factors has been undertaken.

METHODS

Systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting frailty in vascular surgery patients (PROSPERO registration: CRD42018116253) searching Medline, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and Scopus. Quality of studies was assessed using Newcastle-Ottawa scores (NOS) and quality of evidence using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation criteria. Associations of frailty with patient factors were investigated by difference in means (MD) or expressed as risk ratios (RRs), and associations with outcomes expressed as odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs). Data were pooled using random-effects models.

RESULTS

Fifty-three studies were included in the review and only 8 (15%) were both good quality (NOS ≥ 7) and used a well-validated frailty measure. Eighteen studies (62,976 patients) provided data for the meta-analysis. Frailty was associated with increased age [MD 4.05 years; 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.35, 4.75], female sex (RR 1.32; 95% CI 1.14, 1.54), and lower body mass index (MD -1.81; 95% CI -2.94, -0.68). Frailty was associated with 30-day mortality [adjusted OR (AOR) 2.77; 95% CI 2.01-3.81), postoperative complications (AOR 2.16; 95% CI 1.55, 3.02), and long-term mortality (HR 1.85; 95% CI 1.31, 2.62). Sarcopenia was not associated with any outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Frailty, but not sarcopenia, is associated with worse outcomes in vascular surgery patients. Well-validated frailty assessment tools should be preferred clinically, and in future research.

Frailty In Patients Undergoing Vascular Surgery: A Narrative Review Of Current Evidence

Frailty is presumably associated with an elevated risk of postoperative mortality and adverse outcome in vascular surgery patients. The aim of our review was to identify possible methods for risk assessment and prehabilitation in order to improve recovery and postoperative outcome. The literature search was performed via PubMed, Embase, OvidSP, and the Cochrane Library. We collected papers published in peer-reviewed journals between 2001 and 2018. The selection criterion was the relationship between vascular surgery, frailty and postoperative outcome or mortality. A total number of 52 publications were included. Frailty increases the risk of non-home discharge independently of presence or absence of postoperative complications and it is related to a higher 30-day mortality and major morbidity. The modified Frailty Index showed significant association with elevated risk for post-interventional stroke, myocardial infarction, prolonged in-hospital stays and higher readmission rates. When adjusted for comorbidity and surgery type, frailty seems to impact medium-term survival (within 2 years). Preoperative physical exercising, avoidance of hypalbuminemia, psychological and cognitive training, maintenance of muscle strength, adequate perioperative nutrition, and management of smoking behaviours are leading to a reduced length of stay and a decreased incidence of readmission rate, thus improving the effectiveness of early rehabilitation. Pre-frailty is a dynamically changing state of the patient, capable of deteriorating or improving over time. With goal-directed preoperative interventions, the decline can be prevented.

Initial clinical evaluation of preoperative frailty in surgical patients with Stanford type A acute aortic dissection

BACKGROUND

We retrospectively assessed the initial clinical role of preoperative frailty in surgical patients with Stanford type A acute aortic dissection (AAAD).

METHODS

One hundred and fourteen consecutive patients who underwent emergent or urgent surgical interventions for AAAD in our institute between April 2000 and March 2016 participated in this retrospective study. Patients with more than three of the following six modalities were defined as being frail: age older than 75 years, preoperative requirement of assistance in daily living, body mass index less than 18.5 kg/m², female, history of major stroke, and chronic kidney disease greater than class 3b. Twenty-three patients (20.2%) were diagnosed with frailty (group F), while 91 patients (79.8%) were not (group N). Early clinical outcomes, major postoperative complications, postoperative recovery of activity, and early or mid-term survival were evaluated.

RESULTS

Although early clinical outcomes and the prevalence of major postoperative complications were similar in both groups, postoperative activity of daily living (ADL), such as the rate of being ambulatory on discharge (p < 0.05) and home discharge (p < 0.01), was significantly lower in group F than in group N. A Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that 1- and 5-year survival rates were similar in groups F (85.9 and 76.4%, respectively) and N (86.0 and 76.9%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative frailty in AAAD surgical patients has potential as a prognostic factor that affects delays in ADL recovery, but does not influence the early or mid-term clinical outcomes of prompt surgical strategies for life rescue in AAAD patients with frailty.

Value of risk scores in the decision to palliate patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm

Background

The aim of this study was to develop a 48‐h mortality risk score, which included morphology data, for patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm presenting to an emergency department, and to assess its predictive accuracy and clinical effectiveness in triaging patients to immediate aneurysm repair, transfer or palliative care.

Methods

Data from patients in the IMPROVE (Immediate Management of the Patient With Ruptured Aneurysm: Open Versus Endovascular Repair) randomized trial were used to develop the risk score. Variables considered included age, sex, haemodynamic markers and aortic morphology. Backwards selection was used to identify relevant predictors. Predictive performance was assessed using calibration plots and the C‐statistic. Validation of the newly developed and other previously published scores was conducted in four external populations. The net benefit of treating patients based on a risk threshold compared with treating none was quantified.

Results

Data from 536 patients in the IMPROVE trial were included. The final variables retained were age, sex, haemoglobin level, serum creatinine level, systolic BP, aortic neck length and angle, and acute myocardial ischaemia. The discrimination of the score for 48‐h mortality in the IMPROVE data was reasonable (C‐statistic 0·710, 95 per cent c.i. 0·659 to 0·760), but varied in external populations (from 0·652 to 0·761). The new score outperformed other published risk scores in some, but not all, populations. An 8 (95 per cent c.i. 5 to 11) per cent improvement in the C‐statistic was estimated compared with using age alone.

Conclusion

The assessed risk scores did not have sufficient accuracy to enable potentially life‐saving decisions to be made regarding intervention. Focus should therefore shift to offering repair to more patients and reducing non‐intervention rates, while respecting the wishes of the patient and family.

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An Accumulated Deficits Model Predicts Perioperative and Long-term Adverse Events after Carotid Endarterectomy

BACKGROUND

There is increasing recognition that decreased reserve in multiple organ systems, known as accumulated deficits (AD), may better stratify perioperative risk than traditional risk indices. We hypothesized that an AD model would predict both perioperative adverse events and long-term survival after carotid endarterectomy (CEA), particularly important in asymptomatic patients.

METHODS

Consecutive patients undergoing CEA between 1st January 2000 and 31st December 2010 were retrospectively identified. Seven of the deficit items from the Canadian Study of Health and Aging-frailty index (coronary disease, renal insufficiency, pulmonary disease, peripheral vascular disease, heart failure, hypertension, and diabetes) were tabulated for each patient. Predictors of perioperative and long-term outcomes were evaluated using regression analysis.

RESULTS

About 1,782 CEAs in 1,496 patients (mean age: 71.3 ± 9.3 years, 56.3% male, 35.4% symptomatic) were included. The risk of major adverse events (stroke, death, or myocardial infarction) at 30 days for patients with ≤3 deficits was 2.53% vs. 8.81% for patients with ≥4 deficits (P < 0.001). For patients with ≥5 deficits, the risk was 15.18%. Each additional deficit increased the odds of a 30-day major adverse event and hospital stay >2 days by 1.64 (P < 0.001) and 1.15 (P < 0.001), respectively. In multivariate analysis, the presence of ≥4 deficits was more predictive of perioperative major adverse events (odds ratio [OR] = 3.62, P < 0.001) than symptomatology within 6 months (OR = 1.57, P = 0.08) or octogenarian status (OR = 2.00, P = 0.02). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly decreased survival over time with accumulating deficits (P < 0.001). Patients with ≥4 deficits have a hazards ratio for death of 2.6 compared to patients with ≤3 deficits (P < 0.001). Overall survival is estimated at 79.5% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.77-0.82) at 5 years in patients with ≤3 deficits versus 52.4% (95% CI: 0.46-0.58) in patients with ≥4 deficits, respectively. In subgroup analysis of asymptomatic patients, 5-year survival for octogenarian male patients with ≥4 deficits was only 26.8%. For asymptomatic males aged 70-79 years with ≥4 deficits, 5-year survival was 59.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

An AD model is more predictive of perioperative adverse events after CEA than age or symptomatic status. This model remains predictive of long-term survival. In asymptomatic male octogenarians with 4 or more AD, 5-year survival is severely limited.

Abdominal aortic aneurysm repair in octogenarians is associated with higher mortality compared with nonoctogenarians

OBJECTIVE

Age is a well-known independent risk factor for death after abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair. However, there is significant debate about the utility of AAA repair in older patients. In this study, mortality outcomes after endovascular AAA repair (EVAR) and open AAA repair (OAR) in octogenarians (aged ≥80 years) were compared with younger patients (aged <80 years).

METHODS

All patients recorded in the Vascular Quality Initiative database (2002-2012) who underwent infrarenal AAA repair were included. Univariable and multivariable statistics were used to compare perioperative (30-day) and 1-year mortality outcomes between octogenarians vs nonoctogenarians for OAR and EVAR.

RESULTS

During the study period, 21,874 patients underwent AAA repair (OAR, 5765; EVAR, 16,109), including 4839 octogenarians (OAR, 765; EVAR, 4074) and 17,035 nonoctogenarians (OAR, 5000; EVAR, 12,035). Octogenarians (mean age, 83.0 ± 0.1 years) were less frequently male (66% vs 75%) and had a higher prevalence of congestive heart failure (9.9% vs 7.1%), chronic renal insufficiency (12.2% vs 7.5%), and a history of aortic surgery (14.3% vs 7.7%) compared with nonoctogenarians (P < .01 for all). Intraoperative use of blood transfusions and vasopressors was more common in octogenarians for OAR (blood: 3.3 ± 4.4 vs 1.8 ± 3.7 units; vasopressors: 45.2% vs 32.8%) and EVAR (blood: 0.43 ± 1.7 vs 0.31 ± 1.6 units; vasopressors: 7.6% vs 5.7%; P < .01 for all). Contrast dye volumes used during EVAR were similar in octogenarians and nonoctogenarians (108 ± 71 vs 107 ± 68 mL; P = .18). Perioperative mortality after OAR was 20.1% in octogenarians compared with 7.1% in nonoctogenarians (P < .01). Perioperative mortality after EVAR was 3.8% in the octogenarians compared with 1.6% in nonoctogenarians (P < .01). One-year mortality among octogenarians vs nonoctogenarians was 26% vs 9.7% for OAR and 8.9% vs 4.3% for EVAR (log-rank test, P < .01 for both). Multivariable analysis controlling for baseline and intraoperative differences between groups demonstrated that age ≥80 years increased the risk of 30-day and 1-year mortality after AAA repair by 223% and 187%, respectively (P < .01 for both).

CONCLUSIONS

AAA repair should be approached with extreme caution in octogenarians. Perioperative and 1-year mortality rates after OAR are particularly high in the older population, suggesting that the appropriate aneurysm size threshold for OAR might be larger due to the greater operative risk in octogenarian patients.