Challenging a dogma; AJCC 8th staging system is not sufficient to predict outcomes of patients with malignant pleural mesothelioma

Nationwide prospective registry database of patients with newly diagnosed untreated pleural mesothelioma in Japan

Due to the scarcity of large-sized prospective databases, the Japanese Joint Committee for Lung Cancer Registry conducted a nationwide prospective registry for newly diagnosed and untreated pleural mesothelioma. All new cases diagnosed pathologically as any subtype of pleural mesothelioma in Japan during the period between April 1, 2017, to March 31, 2019, were included before treatment. Data on survival were collected in April 2021. The eligible 346 patients (285 men [82.3%]; 61 women [17.7%]; median age, 71.0 years [range, 44-88]) were included for analysis. Among these patients, 138 (39.9%) underwent surgery, 164 (47.4%) underwent non-surgical therapy, and the remaining 44 (12.7%) underwent best supportive care. The median overall survival for all 346 patients was 19.0 months. Survival rates at 1, 2, and 3 years for all patients were, 62.8%, 42.3%, and 26.5%, respectively. Median overall survival was significantly different among patients undergoing surgery, non-surgical treatment, and best supportive care (32.2 months vs. 14.0 months vs. 3.8 months, p < 0.001). The median overall survival of patients undergoing pleurectomy/decortication and extrapleural pneumonectomy was 41.8 months and 25.0 months, respectively. Macroscopic complete resection resulted in longer overall survival than R2 resection and partial pleurectomy/exploratory thoracotomy (41.8 months vs. 32.2 months vs. 16.8 months, p < 0.001). Tumor shape, maximum tumor thickness, and sum of three level thickness were significant prognostic factors. The data in the prospective database would serve as a valuable reference for clinical practice and further studies for pleural mesothelioma.

Establishment of predictive nomogram and web-based survival risk calculator for malignant pleural mesothelioma: A SEER database analysis

Background

Malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is an uncommon condition with limited available therapies and dismal prognoses. The purpose of this work was to create a multivariate clinical prognostic nomogram and a web-based survival risk calculator to forecast patients’ prognoses.

Methods

Using a randomization process, training and validation groups were created for a retrospective cohort study that examined the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2015 for individuals diagnosed with MPM (7:3 ratio). Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were the primary endpoints. Clinical traits linked to OS and CSS were identified using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis, which was also utilized to develop nomogram survival models and online survival risk calculators. By charting the receiver operating characteristic (ROC), consistency index (C-index), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA), the model’s performance was assessed. The nomogram was used to classify patients into various risk categories, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to examine each risk group’s survival rate.

Results

The prognostic model comprised a total of 1978 patients. For the total group, the median OS and CSS were 10 (9.4-10.5) and 11 (9.4-12.6) months, respectively. As independent factors for OS and CSS, age, gender, insurance, histology, T stage, M stage, surgery, and chemotherapy were chosen. The calibration graphs demonstrated good concordance. In the training and validation groups, the C-indices for OS and CSS were 0.729, 0.717, 0.711, and 0.721, respectively. Our nomogram produced a greater clinical net benefit than the AJCC 7th edition, according to DCA and ROC analysis. According to the cut-off values of 171 for OS and 189 for CSS of the total scores from our nomogram, patients were classified into two risk groups. The P-value &lt; 0.001 on the Kaplan-Meier plot revealed a significant difference in survival between the two patient groups.

Conclusions

Patient survival in MPM was correctly predicted by the risk evaluation model. This will support clinicians in the practice of individualized medicine.

The clinical prognostic factors of patients with stage IB lung adenocarcinoma

Background

Lung adenocarcinoma (ADC) at stage IB has its own prognostic characteristics. This study aimed to investigate the clinical factors that may affect the prognosis of patients with stage IB ADC.

Methods

The data of ADC cases were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2010–2016) and patients in Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University (Department of Thoracic Surgery, 2015–2016). Kaplan-Meier method was used to obtain the overall survival (OS). Factors that significantly related to the prognosis were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analysis (UVA, MVA) using the Cox model. A nomogram was developed and validated to predict the 3-year OSs of those patients.

Results

7,605 patients with stage IB ADC were included ultimately and were divided into two groups, a training cohort (n=5,324) and a test cohort (n=2,281). Besides, there was a validation cohort (n=272) for the verification of the nomogram model. Those with significantly older age, male, the white race, lower grades of tumor differentiation, larger tumor size (31–40 mm) without pleural layer (PL) invasion as well as receiving sublobectomy suffered from poorer survival (P<0.001), which were identified as independent factors for stage IB ADC (P<0.001), and according to which, a nomogram model was created.

Conclusions

Age, sex, race, histological grade, surgery to the primary site, and tumor size combined with PL invasion were independent risk factors for stage IB ADC, based on which a nomogram was constructed to predict the prognosis.

Effect of lymphadenectomy on the prognosis for N0 gallbladder carcinoma patients: A study based on SEER database

Background

It remains unclear whether lymph node dissection is necessary for patients with N0 gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). The objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of lymphadenectomy on the prognosis for N0 GBC patients. The secondary objective was to establish a prognostic model of survival for N0 GBC patients being founded on the large samples.

Methods

Patient data were obtained from the database named SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database) between 2010 and 2014. Analyses of Kaplan–Meier survival and multivariate Cox regression were performed in subgroups based on regional lymph nodes removal (LNR) to calculate the excess risk of cause‐specific death. A prognosis nomogram was constructed build on the results of a multivariate analysis to predict the specific survival time (CSS) rates of N0 GBC patients.

Result

A total of 1406 N0 GBC patients were included in this research. The majority of N0 GBC patients undergoing cancer‐directed surgery did not undergo LNR (64.5%). The results showed that LNR can improve the survival of N0 GBC patients, including those at the T1a and T1b stages, and a wider range of lymph node dissection (LNR2) compared to LNR1 was more conducive to the prognosis. Furthermore, multivariate regression analysis showed that LNR was an independent favorable prognostic factor of N0 GBC. Finally, a nomogram was constructed to accurately predict the prognosis of N0 gallbladder cancer patients.

Conclusion

This study demonstrated a significant survival benefit for extended lymph nodes removed in N0 GBC patients. These results recommend that an extended lymph node dissection strategy is needed for N0 GBC patients.

The use of a next-generation sequencing-derived machine-learning risk-prediction model (OncoCast-MPM) for malignant pleural mesothelioma: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Current risk stratification for patients with malignant pleural mesothelioma based on disease stage and histology is inadequate. For some individuals with early-stage epithelioid tumours, a good prognosis by current guidelines can progress rapidly; for others with advanced sarcomatoid cancers, a poor prognosis can progress slowly. Therefore, we aimed to develop and validate a machine-learning tool-known as OncoCast-MPM-that could create a model for patient prognosis.

METHODS

We did a retrospective study looking at malignant pleural mesothelioma tumours using next-generation sequencing from the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center-Integrated Mutation Profiling of Actionable Cancer Targets (MSK-IMPACT). We collected clinical, pathological, and routine next-generation sequencing data from consecutive patients with malignant pleural mesothelioma treated at the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (New York, NY, USA), as well as the MSK-IMPACT data. Together, these data comprised the MSK-IMPACT cohort. Using OncoCast-MPM, an open-source, web-accessible, machine-learning risk-prediction model, we integrated available data to create risk scores that stratified patients into low-risk and high-risk groups. Risk stratification of the MSK-IMPACT cohort was then validated using publicly available malignant pleural mesothelioma data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (ie, the TCGA cohort).

FINDINGS

Between Feb 15, 2014, and Jan 28, 2019, we collected MSK-IMPACT data from the tumour tissue of 194 patients in the MSK-IMPACT cohort. The median overall survival was higher in the low-risk group than in the high-risk group as determined by OncoCast-MPM (30·8 months [95% CI 22·7-36·2] vs 13·9 months [10·7-18·0]; hazard ratio [HR] 3·0 [95% CI 2·0-4·5]; p<0·0001). No single factor or gene alteration drove risk differentiation. OncoCast-MPM was validated against the TCGA cohort, which consisted of 74 patients. The median overall survival was higher in the low-risk group than in the high-risk group (23·6 months [95% CI 15·1-28·4] vs 13·6 months [9·8-17·9]; HR 2·3 [95% CI 1·3-3·8]; p=0·0019). Although stage-based risk stratification was unable to differentiate survival among risk groups at 3 years in the MSK-IMPACT cohort (31% for early-stage disease vs 30% for advanced-stage disease; p=0·90), the OncoCast-MPM-derived 3-year survival was significantly higher in the low-risk group than in the high-risk group (40% vs 7%; p=0·0052).

INTERPRETATION

OncoCast-MPM generated accurate, individual patient-level risk assessment scores. After prospective validation with the TCGA cohort, OncoCast-MPM might offer new opportunities for enhanced risk stratification of patients with malignant pleural mesothelioma in clinical trials and drug development.

FUNDING

US National Institutes of Health/National Cancer Institute.

A comparison between MRI and CT in the assessment of primary tumour volume in mesothelioma

INTRODUCTION

Primary tumour staging in Malignant Pleural Mesothelioma (MPM) using Computed Tomography (CT) imaging is confounded by perception errors reflecting low spatial resolution between tumour and adjacent structures. Augmentation using perfusion CT is constrained by radiation dosage. In this study, we evaluated an alternative tumour staging method using perfusion-tuned Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI).

METHODS

Consecutive patients with suspected MPM were recruited to a prospective observational study. All had MRI (T1-weighted, isotropic, contrast-enhanced 3-Tesla perfusion imaging) and CT (contrast-enhanced) pre-biopsy. Patients diagnosed with MPM underwent MRI and CT volumetry, with readers blinded to clinical data. MRI volumetry was semi-automated, using signal intensity limits from perfusion studies to grow tumour regions within a pleural volume. A similar CT method was not possible, therefore all visible tumour was manually segmented. MRI and CT volumes were compared (agreement, correlation, analysis time, reproducibility) and associations with survival examined using Cox regression.

RESULTS

58 patients were recruited and had MRI before biopsy. 31/58 were diagnosed with MPM and these scans were used for volumetry. Mean (SD) MRI and CT volumes were 370 cm3 and 302 cm3, respectively. MRI volumes were larger (average bias 61.9 cm3 (SD 116), 95 % limits (-165.5 - 289 cm3), moderately correlated with CT (r = 0.56, p = 0.002) and independently associated with survival (HR 4.03 (95 % CI 1.5-11.55), p = 0.006). CT volumes were not associated with survival, took longer to compute than MRI volumes (mean (SD) 151 (19) v 14 (2) minutes, p=<0.0001) and were less reproducible (inter-observer ICC 0.72 for CT, 0.96 for MRI).

CONCLUSIONS

MRI and CT generate different tumour volumes in MPM. In this study, MRI volumes were larger and were independently associated with survival. MRI volumetry was quicker and more reproducible than CT.

Preliminary results of entire pleural intensity-modulated radiotherapy in a neoadjuvant setting for resectable malignant mesothelioma

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the safety and efficacy of the multimodality treatment with neoadjuvant intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) for resectable clinical T1-3N0-1M0 malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM).

Materials and Methods

A total of eleven patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radiotherapy between March 2016 and June 2018 were reviewed. Patients received 25 Gy in 5 fractions to entire ipsilateral hemithorax with helical tomotherapy.

Results

All of patients were men with a median age of 56 years. Epithelioid subtype was found in 10 patients. All patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy with pemetrexed-cisplatin regimen. Ten patients (90.9%) completed 25 Gy/5 fractions and one (9.0%) completed 20 Gy/4 fractions of radiotherapy. IMRT was well tolerated with only one acute grade 3 radiation pneumonitis. Surgery was performed 1 week (median, 8 days; range, 1 to 15 days) after completing IMRT. Extrapleural pneumonectomy was performed in 4 patients (36.3%), extended pleurectomy/decortication in 2 (18.2%) and pleurectomy/decortications in 5 (63.6%). There was no grade 3+ surgical complication except two deaths after EPP in 1 month. Based on operative findings and pathologic staging, adjuvant chemotherapy was delivered in 7 patients (63.6%), and 2 (18.2%) were decided to add adjuvant radiotherapy. After a median follow-up of 14.6 months (range, 2.8 to 30 months), there were 3 local recurrence (33.3%) and 1 distant metastasis (11.1%).

Conclusion

Neoadjuvant entire pleural IMRT can be delivered with a favorable radiation complication. An optimal strategy has to be made in resectable MPM patients who would benefit from neoadjuvant radiation and surgery. Further studies are needed to look at long-term outcomes.

The timing of chemotherapy in the management plan for medically operable early-stage malignant pleural mesothelioma

Introduction: Trimodality therapy (including surgery, chemotherapy and radiation therapy) represents an important management approach of early-stage malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM). The oncological value, as well as the proper sequence of the three modalities, is still under investigations. Areas Covered: The article covers the timing of chemotherapy in the management plan with either a neoadjuvant approach or adjuvant approach. It evaluates also how to select patients for induction chemotherapy and how to assess the response to treatment. Expert Opinion: Management of patients with early-stage MPM must be completed in a multidisciplinary team in tertiary centers. Availability of newer prognostic and response assessment tools should facilitate the use of induction chemotherapy as well as the selection of patients who might benefit from radical surgery.

Expression of estrogen receptor beta (ERβ) and its prognostic value in pleural mesothelioma

Background

Overexpression of estrogen receptors in malignant pleural mesothelioma has shown an independent relation with a better prognosis of survival, and the use of selective estrogen receptor beta (ERβ) agonists increases the susceptibility to antitumor treatment.

Methods

This was a retrospective single center study that analyzed the response of malignant pleural mesothelioma with an expression of ERβ to first-line chemotherapy. The study included patients with pleural mesothelioma pathologically confirmed between 2013 and 2016 at the National Institute for Respiratory Disease (INER), who underwent an immunohistochemistry assay for ERβ (mouse monoclonal antibody PPG5/10). The primary endpoint was the response to chemotherapy based on RECIST 1.1 according to the ERβ expression; secondary outcomes were the overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

Results

We included 22 patients, regarding the expression of ERβ, 17 (77.2%) patients had high or moderate degree, while 5 (22.7%) had low degree or null expression. The response to treatment as by RECIST 1.1, 12 (54.5%) had partial response, 5 (22.7%) had stable disease, and 3 (13.6%) had progression. None of the patients had a complete response. Of those who had a partial response, 9 (75%) had a high or moderate degree of ERβ expression in tumor cells, and 3 (25%) had a low or null degree of expression.

Conclusions

High and moderate expression of ERβ group with advanced clinical stage malignant pleural mesothelioma was associated with a tendency of higher OS and better response to chemotherapy treatment resulting in longer PFS although statistical significance was not achieved.

Radical multimodality therapy for malignant pleural mesothelioma

BACKGROUND

Malignant pleural mesothelioma is an almost always fatal tumour, for which palliative platinum-based chemotherapy is currently the standard treatment. Multimodal therapeutic strategies incorporating surgery, radiation therapy or photodynamic therapy and chemotherapy have been recommended for selected patients but there is no consensus about their effectiveness.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the benefits and harms of radical multimodal treatment options (including radical surgery ± radical radiotherapy ± photodynamic therapy ± systemic therapy) compared to each other or to palliative treatments, for people with malignant pleural mesothelioma.

SEARCH METHODS

We reviewed data from the Cochrane Lung Cancer group's Specialised Register, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE and Embase. We also checked reference lists of primary original studies, review articles and relevant conference proceedings manually for further related articles up to 21 March 2017.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included parallel-group randomised controlled trials of multimodal therapy for people with malignant pleural mesothelioma (stages I, II or III) that measured at least one of the following endpoints: overall survival, health-related health-related quality of life, adverse events or progression-free survival. We considered studies regardless of language or publication status.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently extracted relevant information on participant characteristics, interventions, study outcomes, and data on the outcomes for this review, as well as information on the design and methodology of the studies. Two review authors assessed the risk of bias in the included trials using pre-defined 'Risk of bias' domains. We assessed the methodological quality using GRADE.

MAIN RESULTS

We conducted this review in accordance with the published Cochrane protocol. Two randomised clinical trials with 104 participants fulfilled our inclusion criteria. Both trials were at high risk of bias (for outcomes other than overall survival), and we rated the evidence as moderate quality for overall survival and low quality for all other outcomes. One trial compared combined extrapleural pneumonectomy (EPP) plus neoadjuvant platinum-based chemotherapy plus postoperative high-dose hemithoracic radiotherapy with combined EPP plus platinum-based chemotherapy. The other trial compared EPP plus postoperative hemithoracic radiotherapy with standard (non-radical) therapy alone following platinum-based chemotherapy (patients in the standard therapy arm received continued oncological management according to local policy, which could include further chemotherapy or palliative radiotherapy).For the first trial, median overall survival calculated from registration was 20.8 months (95% confidence interval (CI) 14.4 to 27.8) in the no-radiotherapy group and 19.3 months (95% CI 11.5 to 21.8) in the radiotherapy group. For the second trial, median overall survival was 14.4 months (95% CI 5.3 to 18.7) for patients allocated to EPP and 19.5 months (95% CI 13.4 to time not yet reached) for patients randomised to standard non-radical therapy. In the second trial, 12 serious adverse events were reported during the study period: ten in the EPP group and two in the non-radical therapy group. Overall health-related quality of life scores were not different between the two arms in either study. We could not perform a meta-analysis of the two included trials due to clinical heterogeneity. We also identified three ongoing trials evaluating the topic of our review.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The overall strength of the evidence gathered in this review is low and there is a lack of available evidence to support the use of radical multimodality therapy in routine clinical practice (particularly as one trial suggests greater harm). Given the added cost of multimodality treatment and the possible increase in risk of adverse effects, the lack of evidence of their effectiveness probably means that these interventions should currently be limited to clinical trials alone.