Optimizing the radiomics-machine-learning model based on non-contrast enhanced CT for the simplified risk categorization of thymic epithelial tumors: A large cohort retrospective study

Deep learning-based radiomic nomogram to predict risk categorization of thymic epithelial tumors: A multicenter study

PURPOSE

The study was aimed to develop and evaluate a deep learning-based radiomics to predict the histological risk categorization of thymic epithelial tumors (TETs), which can be highly informative for patient treatment planning and prognostic assessment.

METHOD

A total of 681 patients with TETs from three independent hospitals were included and separated into derivation cohort and external test cohort. Handcrafted and deep learning features were extracted from preoperative contrast-enhanced CT images and selected to build three radiomics signatures (radiomics signature [Rad_Sig], deep learning signature [DL_Sig] and deep learning radiomics signature [DLR_Sig]) to predict risk categorization of TETs. A deep learning-based radiomic nomogram (DLRN) was then depicted to visualize the classification evaluation. The performance of predictive models was compared using the receiver operating characteristic and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Among three radiomics signatures, DLR_Sig demonstrated optimum performance with an AUC of 0.883 for the derivation cohort and 0.749 for the external test cohort. Combining DLR_Sig with age and gender, DLRN was depict and exhibited optimum performance among all radiomics models with an AUC of 0.965, accuracy of 0.911, sensitivity of 0.921 and specificity of 0.902 in the derivation cohort, and an AUC of 0.786, accuracy of 0.774, sensitivity of 0.778 and specificity of 0.771 in the external test cohort. The DCA showed that DLRN had greater clinical benefit than other radiomics signatures.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study developed and validated a DLRN to accurately predict the risk categorization of TETs, which has potential to facilitate individualized treatment and improve patient prognosis evaluation.

Risk factor analysis for major mediastinal vessel invasion in thymic epithelial tumors based on multi-slice CT Imaging

Objective

To explore the characteristics and risk factors for major mediastinal vessel invasion in different risk grades of thymic epithelial tumors (TETs) based on computed tomography (CT) imaging, and to develop prediction models of major mediastinal artery and vein invasion.

Methods

One hundred and twenty-two TET patients confirmed by histopathological analysis who underwent thorax CT were enrolled in this study. Clinical and CT data were retrospectively reviewed for these patients. According to the abutment degree between the tumor and major mediastinal vessels, the arterial invasion was divided into grade I, II, and III (< 25%, 25 - 49%, and ≥ 50%, respectively); the venous invasion was divided into grade I and II (< 50% and ≥ 50%). The degree of vessel invasion was compared among different defined subtypes or stages of TETs using the chi-square tests. The risk factors associated with TET vascular invasion were identified using multivariate logistic regression analysis.

Results

Based on logistic regression analysis, male patients (β = 1.549; odds ratio, 4.824) and the pericardium or pleural invasion (β = 2.209; odds ratio, 9.110) were independent predictors of 25% artery invasion, and the midline location (β = 2.504; odds ratio, 12.234) and mediastinal lymphadenopathy (β = 2.490; odds ratio, 12.06) were independent predictors of 50% artery invasion. As for 50% venous invasion, the risk factors include midline location (β = 2.303; odds ratio, 10.0), maximum tumor diameter larger than 5.9 cm (β = 4.038; odds ratio, 56.736), and pericardial or pleural effusion (β = 1.460; odds ratio, 4.306). The multivariate logistic model obtained relatively high predicting efficacy, and the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity were 0.944, 84.6%, and 91.7% for predicting 50% artery invasion, and 0.913, 81.8%, and 86.0% for 50% venous invasion in TET patients, respectively.

Conclusion

Several CT features can be used as independent predictors of ≥50% artery or venous invasion. A multivariate logistic regression model based on CT features is helpful in predicting the vascular invasion grades in patients with TET.

Diagnostic performance of radiomics model for preoperative risk categorization in thymic epithelial tumors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Incidental thymus region masses during thoracic examinations are not uncommon. The clinician's decision-making for treatment largely depends on imaging findings. Due to the lack of specific indicators, it may be of great value to explore the role of radiomics in risk categorization of the thymic epithelial tumors (TETs).

METHODS

Four databases (PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library) were screened to identify eligible articles reporting radiomics models of diagnostic performance for risk categorization in TETs patients. The quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies 2 (QUADAS-2) and radiomics quality score (RQS) were used for methodological quality assessment. The pooled area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity with their 95% confidence intervals were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 2134 patients in 13 studies were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled AUC of 11 studies reporting high/low-risk histologic subtypes was 0.855 (95% CI, 0.817-0.893), while the pooled AUC of 4 studies differentiating stage classification was 0.826 (95% CI, 0.817-0.893). Meta-regression revealed no source of significant heterogeneity. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that the best diagnostic imaging was contrast enhanced computer tomography (CECT) with largest pooled AUC (0.873, 95% CI 0.832-0.914). Publication bias was found to be no significance by Deeks' funnel plot.

CONCLUSIONS

This present study shows promise for preoperative selection of high-risk TETs patients based on radiomics signatures with current available evidence. However, methodological quality in further studies still needs to be improved for feasibility confirmation and clinical application of radiomics-based models in predicting risk categorization of the thymic epithelial tumors.

Integrating CT-based radiomic model with clinical features improves long-term prognostication in high-risk prostate cancer

Objective

High-risk prostate cancer (PCa) is often treated by prostate-only radiotherapy (PORT) owing to its favourable toxicity profile compared to whole-pelvic radiotherapy. Unfortunately, more than 50% patients still developed disease progression following PORT. Conventional clinical factors may be unable to identify at-risk subgroups in the era of precision medicine. In this study, we aimed to investigate the prognostic value of pre-treatment planning computed tomography (pCT)-based radiomic features and clinical attributes to predict 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) in high-risk PCa patients following PORT.

Materials and methods

A total of 176 biopsy-confirmed PCa patients who were treated at the Hong Kong Princess Margaret Hospital were retrospectively screened for eligibility. Clinical data and pCT of one hundred eligible high-risk PCa patients were analysed. Radiomic features were extracted from the gross-tumour-volume (GTV) with and without applying Laplacian-of-Gaussian (LoG) filter. The entire patient cohort was temporally stratified into a training and an independent validation cohort in a ratio of 3:1. Radiomics (R), clinical (C) and radiomic-clinical (RC) combined models were developed by Ridge regression through 5-fold cross-validation with 100 iterations on the training cohort. A model score was calculated for each model based on the included features. Model classification performance on 5-year PFS was evaluated in the independent validation cohort by average area-under-curve (AUC) of receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC) curve and precision-recall curve (PRC). Delong's test was used for model comparison.

Results

The RC combined model which contains 6 predictive features (tumour flatness, root-mean-square on fine LoG-filtered image, prostate-specific antigen serum concentration, Gleason score, Roach score and GTV volume) was the best-performing model (AUC = 0.797, 95%CI = 0.768-0.826), which significantly outperformed the R-model (AUC = 0.795, 95%CI = 0.774-0.816) and C-model (AUC = 0.625, 95%CI = 0.585-0.665) in the independent validation cohort. Besides, only the RC model score significantly classified patients in both cohorts into progression and progression-free groups regarding their 5-year PFS (p< 0.05).

Conclusion

Combining pCT-based radiomic and clinical attributes provided superior prognostication value regarding 5-year PFS in high-risk PCa patients following PORT. A large multi-centre study will potentially aid clinicians in implementing personalised treatment for this vulnerable subgroup in the future.

Practical Model for Residual/Recurrent Cervical Intraepithelial Lesions in Patients with Negative Margins after Cold-Knife Conization

Objective: This study aimed to identify reliable risk factors for residual/recurrent cervical intraepithelial lesions in patients with negative margins after cold-knife conization. Methods: A total of 2352 women with HSILs (high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions) with negative margins who underwent cold-knife conization between January 2014 and December 2020 were included; in total, 1411 women were assigned to the development cohort, and 941 women were assigned to the validation cohort. Multivariate logistic regression was used to build four predictive models based on the different combinations of follow-up data (Model A: preoperative factors; Model B: first-follow-up data; Model C: second-follow-up data; Model D: data from both follow-ups). The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, false-positive rate (FPR), false-negative rate (FNR), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were evaluated on the validation cohort. The predictive power of risk factors was further validated using six machine learning algorithms. Results: Model D demonstrated the highest AUC of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.87 to 0.96) in the validation cohort, whereas Models A, B, and C achieved AUCs of 0.69 (95% CI, 0.59 to 0.78), 0.88 (95% CI, 0.80 to 0.95), and 0.89 (95% CI, 0.81 to 0.97) respectively. The six machine learning methods achieved consistent results. Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curves demonstrated that our models could effectively stratify patients with all models (p < 0.05 for all models). Conclusion: Our model, which is based on preoperative and follow-up factors, can serve as a complementary screening procedure for the early detection or prediction of recurrence after cold-knife conization in HSIL patients.