The lost art of mathematical modelling

Analogies for modeling belief dynamics

Belief dynamics has an important role in shaping our responses to natural and societal phenomena, ranging from climate change and pandemics to immigration and conflicts. Researchers often base their models of belief dynamics on analogies to other systems and processes, such as epidemics or ferromagnetism. Similar to other analogies, analogies for belief dynamics can help scientists notice and study properties of belief systems that they would not have noticed otherwise (conceptual mileage). However, forgetting the origins of an analogy may lead to some less appropriate inferences about belief dynamics (conceptual baggage). Here, we review various analogies for modeling belief dynamics, discuss their mileage and baggage, and offer recommendations for using analogies in model development.

Mixtures Recomposition by Neural Nets: A Multidisciplinary Overview

Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are transforming how we understand chemical mixtures, providing an expressive view of the chemical space and multiscale processes. Their hybridization with physical knowledge can bridge the gap between predictivity and understanding of the underlying processes. This overview explores recent progress in ANNs, particularly their potential in the 'recomposition' of chemical mixtures. Graph-based representations reveal patterns among mixture components, and deep learning models excel in capturing complexity and symmetries when compared to traditional Quantitative Structure-Property Relationship models. Key components, such as Hamiltonian networks and convolution operations, play a central role in representing multiscale mixtures. The integration of ANNs with Chemical Reaction Networks and Physics-Informed Neural Networks for inverse chemical kinetic problems is also examined. The combination of sensors with ANNs shows promise in optical and biomimetic applications. A common ground is identified in the context of statistical physics, where ANN-based methods iteratively adapt their models by blending their initial states with training data. The concept of mixture recomposition unveils a reciprocal inspiration between ANNs and reactive mixtures, highlighting learning behaviors influenced by the training environment.

Using neuronal models to capture burst-and-glide motion and leadership in fish

While mathematical models, in particular self-propelled particle models, capture many properties of large fish schools, they do not always capture the interactions of smaller shoals. Nor do these models tend to account for the use of intermittent locomotion, often referred to as burst-and-glide, by many species. In this paper, we propose a model of social burst-and-glide motion by combining a well-studied model of neuronal dynamics, the FitzHugh-Nagumo model, with a model of fish motion. We first show that our model can capture the motion of a single fish swimming down a channel. Extending to a two-fish model, where visual stimulus of a neighbour affects the internal burst or glide state of the fish, we observe a rich set of dynamics found in many species. These include: leader-follower behaviour; periodic changes in leadership; apparently random (i.e. chaotic) leadership change; and tit-for-tat turn taking. Moreover, unlike previous studies where a randomness is required for leadership switching to occur, we show that this can instead be the result of deterministic interactions. We give several empirically testable predictions for how bursting fish interact and discuss our results in light of recently established correlations between fish locomotion and brain activity.