Epidemiology of familial multiple sclerosis: A population-based study in Tehran during 1999–2018

Familial vs sporadic multiple sclerosis in the Israeli population: Differences in ethnicity distribution and disease progression, with anticipation in successive generations

BACKGROUND

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) may cluster in families, an entity known as familial MS (FMS), possibly due to aggregation of genetic and environmental factors. Though previous studies have characterized FMS in different populations, no study to the best of our knowledge has yet characterized FMS in the unique Israeli population, which is comprised of relatively endogamous ethnicities. Our goal in this study was to compare demographic and clinical characteristics between FMS and sporadic MS (SMS), and to search for intra-familial patterns.

METHODS

In a retrospective study of 101 FMS patients and 508 SMS patients, ethnicity and sex distribution was assessed. Clinical aspects were compared between 172 paired FMS and SMS patients, matched for sex, age and ethnicity, and between generations of the FMS cohort.

RESULTS

Females comprised 75.3 % of FMS and 67.5 % of SMS patients (p = 0.1). Ethnic distribution was significantly different between FMS and SMS (p = 0.014), with the former comprising a higher proportion of Christian-Arabs (15.4% vs. 5.1 %, p = 0.004) and lower proportion of Jews (60% vs. 74.2 %, p = 0.016). Age at disease onset or diagnosis, frequency of positive Oligoclonal bands and comorbidity of other autoimmune/inflammatory disease or chronic diseases was comparable between FMS and SMS, yet motor symptoms at onset were more prevalent in FMS (34% vs. 20 %, p = 0.02). Annualized relapse rates throughout 10 years from onset were comparable. Among FMS, mean Expanded-Disability-Status-Scale (EDSS) and slope of deterioration in EDSS over 20 years from diagnosis were higher (p = 0.0004 and p = 0.023, respectively), time to EDSS ≥ 3 was shorter (7.1 vs. 12.1 years, HR 1.6, p = 0.036) and MS-Severity-Score (MSSS) was higher (3.84 vs. 2.95, p = 0.04), compared to SMS. Following adjustment for smoking, which tended to be higher among FMS patients (P = 0.06), mean EDSS and slope of deterioration in EDSS over 20 years remained significantly higher (p = 0.0006 and p = 0.025, respectively) in FMS, time to EDSS ≥ 3 tended to be higher (HR 1.5, p = 0.06), while MSSS was comparable. An inter-generational analysis of the total FMS cohort, as well as an intra-familial analysis, both adjusted for year of diagnosis, revealed significantly earlier age of onset (p < 0.0001 and p < 0.0001) and diagnosis (p = 0.001 and p < 0.0001) in the younger compared to the older generations, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In this Israeli cohort, the proportions of specific ethnicities differ between FMS and SMS, indicating that FMS has a population-specific prevalence pattern, and that further investigation for susceptibility genes is warranted. Disease progression is faster in FMS patients and anticipation is observed in families with multiple cases of MS. Closer surveillance and application of a pro-active induction or early highly-effective therapeutic strategy for FMS patients should be considered, to reduce high disease activity and fast disability progression.

Epidemiology of familial multiple sclerosis in Iran: a national registry-based study

Background

Admittedly, little is known about the epidemiological signatures of familial multiple sclerosis (FMS) in different geographical regions of Iran.

Objective

To determine the epidemiology and the risk of FMS incidence in several provinces of Iran with a different ethnic population including, Fars, Tehran, Isfahan (Persians), and Mazandaran (Mazanis), Kermanshah (Kurds), and Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari (Lors).

Methods

This cross-sectional registry-based study was performed on nationwide MS registry of Iran (NMSRI) data collected from 2018 to 2021. This system, registers baseline characteristics, clinical presentations and symptoms, diagnostic and treatments at regional and national levels.

Results

A total of 9200 patients including, 7003 (76.1%) female and 2197 (23.9%) male, were participated. About 19% of patients reported a family history of MS; the order from highest to lowest FMS prevalence was as follows: Fars (26.5%), Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari (21.1%), Tehran (20.5%), Isfahan (20.3%), Mazandaran (18.0%), and Kermanshah (12.5%). Of all FMS cases, 74.7% (1308 cases) were female and 25.3% (442 cases) were male. FMS occurrence was much more common in females than males (P-value = 0.001). Further, the mean age at onset was 30 years among FMS cases. A substantially higher probability of relapsing-remitting MS and secondary-progressive MS was found among FMS cases than sporadic MS (SMS) (P_value = 0.001). There was no significant difference in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores between FMS and SMS. The majority of FMS cases were observed among first-degree relatives, with the highest rate in siblings. There was a significant association between MS risk and positive familial history in both maternal and paternal aunt/uncle (P_value = 0.043 and P_value = 0.019, respectively). Multiple sclerosis occurrence among offspring of females was higher than males (P_value = 0.027).

Conclusions

In summary, our findings imply a noteworthy upward trend of FMS in Iran, even more than the global prevalence, which suggests a unique Atlas of FMS prevalence in this multi-ethnic population. Despite the highest rate of FMS within Persian and Lor ethnicities, no statistically significant difference was observed among the provinces.

Prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in Iran: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) is increasing world-wide. Iran is not exception. As the prevalence reported differently in various provinces, we designed this systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate pooled prevalence of MS in Iran.

METHODS

Two researchers systematically searched Scientific Information Database (SID), PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, Web of Science, and google scholar. They also searched references of the included studies, and conference abstracts which were published up to April 2021. The search strategy included the MeSH and text words as ((((Multiple Sclerosis OR Sclerosis, Multiple) OR Sclerosis, Disseminated) OR Dis-seminated Sclerosis) OR MS (Multiple Sclerosis)) OR Multiple Sclerosis, Acute Fulminating)) AND (prevalence OR prevalences OR period prevalence OR prevalence, period OR point prevalence OR point prevalences OR prevalence, point) AND (Iran OR Islamic Republic of Iran)))).

RESULTS

The literature search revealed 2817 articles, after deleting duplicates 2184 remained. For the systematic review, 34 studies were included. The prevalence is highest in Tehran and lowest in Khuzestan and Sistan-Baluchestan provinces. The pooled prevalence was 0.001 (95% CI: 0.000-0.001) (I²=0, P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

The results of this study show that the pooled prevalence of MS in Iran is 100 in 100,000 which is high. The prevalence in provinces increases dramatically.

MRI but not demographic or clinical characteristics differ between familial and sporadic MS cases

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic immune-mediated demyelinating disease. The prevalence and incidence of MS in Iran is high and is rising over time. This study was conducted to compare the demographic, clinical features and MRI findings of MS patients with history of the disease in the first-degree family members (fMS) with sporadic MS patients (sMS) to determine the importance of genetic or non-genetic factors in the development of the disease and its effect in diagnostic and therapeutic modalities.

METHODS

Among the 185 patients admitted to the study, 62 were fMS patients and 123 were sMS patients. All patients underwent clinical examination and data was gathered on age, sex, age of onset, symptoms, number of attacks, disease course, family history, disease-modifying drugs, and other accompanying diseases as well as MRI findings and EDSS scores.

RESULTS

In this study, we demonstrated that the frequency of plaques in the periventricular area was significantly higher in sMS patients (97.56% vs 88.71%, p = 0.01) while the callosal plaques were more common in fMS patients (62.9% vs 47.97%, p = 0.05) which was statistically borderline and nonsignificant. In other evaluated parameters, no significant difference was observed.

CONCLUSION

In our study, no significant difference was observed between the demographic and clinical characteristics of fMS and sMS patients, while there was a significant difference between the two groups in MRI findings.

The global prevalence of familial multiple sclerosis: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Considering that many recent studies have reported the prevalence of familial multiple sclerosis (FMS), we performed an updated meta-analysis of the worldwide prevalence of FMS by the addition of recent publications.

METHODS

A search in PubMed, Scopus, the ISI Web of Science, and Google Scholar was undertaken up to 20 December 2020. The inclusion criteria were based on the CoCoPop approach (condition, context, and population). Meta-analysis of the qualified studies was conducted by comprehensive meta-analysis ver. 2 software.

RESULTS

The pooled prevalence of MS in relatives of 16,179 FMS cases was estimated to be 11.8% (95% CI: 10.7-13) based on a random-effects model. The pooled mean age of disease onset in adult probands was calculated to be 28.7 years (95% CI: 27.2 ± 30.2). Regarding 13 studies that reported the data of FMS in pediatrics (n = 877) and adults (n = 6636), the FMS prevalence in pediatrics and adults was 15.5% (95% CI: 13.8-17.4) and 10.8% (95% CI: 8.1-14.2), respectively. The prevalence of FMS in affected males (n = 5243) and females (n = 11,503) was calculated to be 13.7% (95% CI: 10.1-18.2) and 15.4% (95% CI: 10.3-22.4), respectively. The odds ratio of male/female in FMS cases was not statistically significant (OR = 0.9; 95% CI: 0.6-1.2, P = 0.55). Subgroup analysis demonstrated a significant difference in the prevalence of FMS between the geographical areas (P = 0.007). The meta-regression model indicated that the prevalence of FMS is lower with higher latitude and higher MS prevalence (P < 0.001). In contrast, meta-regression based on prevalence day was not statistically significant (P = 0.29).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of FMS is higher in the pediatric group than that of adults, distinct between geographical areas, and diminishes with the increment of MS prevalence and latitude. Also, the symptoms initiate relatively at younger ages in the FMS cases. Interestingly, our analysis unveiled that FMS is not more prevalent in men than women and the risk of MS development in relatives is not higher when the affected proband is male.

Multiple sclerosis projection in Tehran, Iran using Bayesian structural time series

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of Multiple Sclerosis (MS) has been increasing worldwide and the highest prevalence ratio among Asian countries was reported in Iran. This study aims to estimate the increase in MS occurrence during more than three decades in Tehran and forecast the future condition of the disease using time series approaches for the next ten years.

METHODS

The cross-sectional study was conducted from 1999 to 2019 based on records of MS cases from Iranian MS Society (IMSS) registry system. The prevalence was estimated using population data presented by the Statistical Centre of Iran. Through Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS) model, we want to predict the prevalence of familial and sporadic MS in the next ten years. .

RESULTS

Among 22,421 cases with MS, 16,831 (75.1 %) were female and 5589 (24.9 %) were male. Female to male ratio was 3.0:1 and the number of familial MS cases were 2982 (13.3 %) of subjects. Female gender was less responsible for higher rate of MS in familial definition (beta = 0.020) in comparison to sporadic cases (beta = 0.034). Forecasting by BSTS revealed an increase in MS prevalence for the next ten years so that the prevalence rate for total, familial and sporadic MS respectively begins with 189.50 (183.94-195.14), 25.69 (24.97-26.45) and 163.74(159.06-168.57) in 2020 and ends with 220.84 (171.48-266.92), 30.79 (24.16-37.15), and 189.33(146.97-230.19) in 2029.

CONCLUSIONS

According to the findings, MS prevalence increased during three decades and it will increase over the next ten years. Tehran province is one of the regions with highest MS prevalence in Asia. The results of present study indicated that females are at higher risk for MS than males in both sporadic and familial MS.

Exome sequencing reveals novel rare variants in Iranian familial multiple sclerosis: The importance of POLD2 in the disease pathogenesis

The prevalence of familial multiple sclerosis (FMS) is increasing worldwide which endorses the heritability of the disease. Given that many genome variations are ethnicity-specific and consanguineous marriage could affect genetic diseases, hereditary disease gene analysis among FMS patients from Iran, a country with high rates of parental consanguinity, could be highly effective in finding mutations underlying disease pathogenesis. To examine rare genetic mutations, we selected three Iranian FMS cases with ≥3 MS patients in more than one generation and performed whole exome sequencing. We identified a homozygous rare missense variant in POLD2 (p. Arg141Cys; rs372336011). Molecular dynamics analysis showed reduced polar dehydration energy and conformational changes in POLD2 mutant. Further, we found a heterozygote rare missense variant in NBFP1 (p. Gly487Asp; rs778806175). Our study revealed the possible role of novel rare variants in FMS. Molecular dynamic simulation provided the initial evidence of the structural changes behind POLD2 mutant.

Age and sex adjusted prevalence and annual incidence of multiple sclerosis in East-Azerbaijan, Iran

BACKGROUND

Incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) is postulated to be rising in recent decades. Therefore, updating and completing the information of patients is essential, especially in high population areas. East-Azerbaijan is the largest and most populous province in the northwest of Iran. This study aimed to determine the prevalence and annual incidence of MS from 2008 to 2017 in East-Azerbaijan.

METHODS

We evaluated the data of all patients who had registered at the MS center in the university hospital. The data include nearly all MS patients in the East-Azerbaijan region, because it is the only referral site in the area. All of the reported rates were calculated in 100,000 of the total population.

RESULTS

By the end of 2017, the number of MS patients was 2995 (residing in the, with 769 (25.67%) men and 2226 (74.32%) women. The prevalence rate was 75.72/100,000 (95 % CI: 73.06-78.48), 38.2 in men (95% CI: 35.5-41.0), and 114.61 for women (95% CI: 109.9-119.4), with a female to male (F/M) ratio of 3:1. The mean annual incidence rate was 7.63/100,000 (95% CI: 5.6-9.3), and this rate was higher in women than men. During the nine years, the incidence rate increased. The patients' mean age was 32.33 ± 8.92, with a peak prevalence in 25-29 years for both genders. In this study, 13.9% of patients had a positive MS family history.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed a high prevalence of MS in the region. There is a significant increase in the incidence of MS during the nine years in East-Azerbaijan. The increment of incidence was more prominent in women. Also, considering the increasing incidence rate, it is concluded that the risk of MS is increasing in this region.