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Poirot MG, Ruhe HG, Mutsaerts HJMM, Maximov II, Groote IR, Bjørnerud A, Marquering HA, Reneman L, Caan MWA. Treatment Response Prediction in Major Depressive Disorder Using Multimodal MRI and Clinical Data: Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial. Am J Psychiatry 2024; 181:223-233. [PMID: 38321916 DOI: 10.1176/appi.ajp.20230206] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/08/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Response to antidepressant treatment in major depressive disorder varies substantially between individuals, which lengthens the process of finding effective treatment. The authors sought to determine whether a multimodal machine learning approach could predict early sertraline response in patients with major depressive disorder. They assessed the predictive contribution of MR neuroimaging and clinical assessments at baseline and after 1 week of treatment. METHODS This was a preregistered secondary analysis of data from the Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response in Clinical Care (EMBARC) study, a multisite double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial that included 296 adult outpatients with unmedicated recurrent or chronic major depressive disorder. MR neuroimaging and clinical data were collected before and after 1 week of treatment. Performance in predicting response and remission, collected after 8 weeks, was quantified using balanced accuracy (bAcc) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) scores. RESULTS A total of 229 patients were included in the analyses (mean age, 38 years [SD=13]; 66% female). Internal cross-validation performance in predicting response to sertraline (bAcc=68% [SD=10], AUROC=0.73 [SD=0.03]) was significantly better than chance. External cross-validation on data from placebo nonresponders (bAcc=62%, AUROC=0.66) and placebo nonresponders who were switched to sertraline (bAcc=65%, AUROC=0.68) resulted in differences that suggest specificity for sertraline treatment compared with placebo treatment. Finally, multimodal models outperformed unimodal models. CONCLUSIONS The study results confirm that early sertraline treatment response can be predicted; that the models are sertraline specific compared with placebo; that prediction benefits from integrating multimodal MRI data with clinical data; and that perfusion imaging contributes most to these predictions. Using this approach, a lean and effective protocol could individualize sertraline treatment planning to improve psychiatric care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maarten G Poirot
- Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine (Poirot, Ruhe, Marquering, Reneman) and Department of Biomedical Engineering and Physics (Poirot, Marquering, Reneman, Caan), Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam; Brain Imaging, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam (Poirot, Mutsaerts, Reneman, Caan); Department of Psychiatry, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition, and Behavior, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC location, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam (Mutsaerts); Department of Health and Functioning, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen (Maximov, Bjørnerud); Division of Radiology, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway (Groote, Caan); Computational Radiology and Artificial Intelligence, Division of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo (Groote, Bjørnerud); Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo (Bjørnerud)
| | - Henricus G Ruhe
- Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine (Poirot, Ruhe, Marquering, Reneman) and Department of Biomedical Engineering and Physics (Poirot, Marquering, Reneman, Caan), Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam; Brain Imaging, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam (Poirot, Mutsaerts, Reneman, Caan); Department of Psychiatry, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition, and Behavior, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC location, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam (Mutsaerts); Department of Health and Functioning, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen (Maximov, Bjørnerud); Division of Radiology, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway (Groote, Caan); Computational Radiology and Artificial Intelligence, Division of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo (Groote, Bjørnerud); Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo (Bjørnerud)
| | - Henk-Jan M M Mutsaerts
- Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine (Poirot, Ruhe, Marquering, Reneman) and Department of Biomedical Engineering and Physics (Poirot, Marquering, Reneman, Caan), Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam; Brain Imaging, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam (Poirot, Mutsaerts, Reneman, Caan); Department of Psychiatry, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition, and Behavior, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC location, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam (Mutsaerts); Department of Health and Functioning, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen (Maximov, Bjørnerud); Division of Radiology, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway (Groote, Caan); Computational Radiology and Artificial Intelligence, Division of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo (Groote, Bjørnerud); Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo (Bjørnerud)
| | - Ivan I Maximov
- Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine (Poirot, Ruhe, Marquering, Reneman) and Department of Biomedical Engineering and Physics (Poirot, Marquering, Reneman, Caan), Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam; Brain Imaging, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam (Poirot, Mutsaerts, Reneman, Caan); Department of Psychiatry, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition, and Behavior, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC location, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam (Mutsaerts); Department of Health and Functioning, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen (Maximov, Bjørnerud); Division of Radiology, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway (Groote, Caan); Computational Radiology and Artificial Intelligence, Division of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo (Groote, Bjørnerud); Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo (Bjørnerud)
| | - Inge R Groote
- Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine (Poirot, Ruhe, Marquering, Reneman) and Department of Biomedical Engineering and Physics (Poirot, Marquering, Reneman, Caan), Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam; Brain Imaging, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam (Poirot, Mutsaerts, Reneman, Caan); Department of Psychiatry, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition, and Behavior, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC location, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam (Mutsaerts); Department of Health and Functioning, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen (Maximov, Bjørnerud); Division of Radiology, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway (Groote, Caan); Computational Radiology and Artificial Intelligence, Division of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo (Groote, Bjørnerud); Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo (Bjørnerud)
| | - Atle Bjørnerud
- Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine (Poirot, Ruhe, Marquering, Reneman) and Department of Biomedical Engineering and Physics (Poirot, Marquering, Reneman, Caan), Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam; Brain Imaging, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam (Poirot, Mutsaerts, Reneman, Caan); Department of Psychiatry, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition, and Behavior, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC location, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam (Mutsaerts); Department of Health and Functioning, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen (Maximov, Bjørnerud); Division of Radiology, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway (Groote, Caan); Computational Radiology and Artificial Intelligence, Division of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo (Groote, Bjørnerud); Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo (Bjørnerud)
| | - Henk A Marquering
- Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine (Poirot, Ruhe, Marquering, Reneman) and Department of Biomedical Engineering and Physics (Poirot, Marquering, Reneman, Caan), Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam; Brain Imaging, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam (Poirot, Mutsaerts, Reneman, Caan); Department of Psychiatry, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition, and Behavior, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC location, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam (Mutsaerts); Department of Health and Functioning, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen (Maximov, Bjørnerud); Division of Radiology, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway (Groote, Caan); Computational Radiology and Artificial Intelligence, Division of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo (Groote, Bjørnerud); Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo (Bjørnerud)
| | - Liesbeth Reneman
- Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine (Poirot, Ruhe, Marquering, Reneman) and Department of Biomedical Engineering and Physics (Poirot, Marquering, Reneman, Caan), Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam; Brain Imaging, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam (Poirot, Mutsaerts, Reneman, Caan); Department of Psychiatry, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition, and Behavior, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC location, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam (Mutsaerts); Department of Health and Functioning, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen (Maximov, Bjørnerud); Division of Radiology, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway (Groote, Caan); Computational Radiology and Artificial Intelligence, Division of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo (Groote, Bjørnerud); Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo (Bjørnerud)
| | - Matthan W A Caan
- Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine (Poirot, Ruhe, Marquering, Reneman) and Department of Biomedical Engineering and Physics (Poirot, Marquering, Reneman, Caan), Amsterdam UMC Location AMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam; Brain Imaging, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam (Poirot, Mutsaerts, Reneman, Caan); Department of Psychiatry, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition, and Behavior, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands (Ruhe); Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC location, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam (Mutsaerts); Department of Health and Functioning, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen (Maximov, Bjørnerud); Division of Radiology, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway (Groote, Caan); Computational Radiology and Artificial Intelligence, Division of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo (Groote, Bjørnerud); Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo (Bjørnerud)
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