The emergence, dynamics and significance of SARS-CoV-2 variants

Structural basis for the mechanism of interaction of SARS-CoV-2 B.1.640.2 variant RBD with the host receptors hACE2 and GRP78

The inflicted chaos instigated by the SARS-CoV-2 (Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) globally continues with the emergence of novel variants. The current global outbreak is aggravated by the manifestation of novel variants, which affect the effectiveness of the vaccine, attachment with hACE2 (human Angiotensin-converting enzyme 2) and immune evasion. Recently, a new variant named University Hospital Institute (IHU) (B.1.640.2) was reported in France in November 2021 and is spreading globally affecting public healthcare. The B.1.640.2 SARS-CoV-2 strain revealed 14 mutations and 9 deletions in spike protein. Thus, it is important to understand how these variations in the spike protein impact the communication with the host. A protein coupling approach along with molecular simulation protocols was used to interpret the variation in the binding of the wild type (WT) and B.1.640.2 variant with hACE2 and Glucose-regulating protein 78 (GRP78) receptors. The initial docking scores revealed a stronger binding of the B.1.640.2-RBD with both the hACE2 and GRP78. To further understand the crucial dynamic changes, we looked at the structural and dynamic characteristics and also explored the variations in the bonding networks between the WT and B.1.640.2-RBD (receptor-binding domain) in association with hACE2 and GRP78, respectively. Our findings revealed that the variant complex demonstrated distinct dynamic properties in contrast to the wild type due to the acquired mutations. Finally, to provide conclusive evidence on the higher binding by the B.1.640.2 variant the TBE was computed for each complex. For the WT with hACE2 the TBE was quantified to be-61.38 ± 0.96 kcal/mol and for B.1.640.2 variant the TBE was estimated to be -70.47 ± 1.00 kcal/mol. For the WT-RBD-GRP78 the TBE -was computed to be 32.32 ± 0.56 kcal/mol and for the B.1.640.2-RBD a TBE of -50.39 ± 0.88 kcal/mol was reported. This show that these mutations are the basis for higher binding and infectivity produced by B.1.640.2 variant and can be targeted for drug designing against it.Communicated by Ramaswamy H. Sarma.

The doubling effect of COVID-19 cases on key health indicators

From the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, researchers advised policy makers to make informed decisions towards the adoption of mitigating interventions. Key easy-to-interpret metrics applied over time can measure the public health impact of epidemic outbreaks. We propose a novel method which quantifies the effect of hospitalizations or mortality when the number of COVID-19 cases doubles. Two analyses are used, a country-by-country analysis and a multi-country approach which considers all countries simultaneously. The new measure is applied to several European countries, where the presence of different variants, vaccination rates and intervention measures taken over time leads to a different risk. Based on our results, the vaccination campaign has a clear effect for all countries analyzed, reducing the risk over time. However, the constant emergence of new variants combined with distinct intervention measures impacts differently the risk per country.

Structural Dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 Spike Protein: A 2-Year Retrospective Analysis of SARS-CoV-2 Variants (from Alpha to Omicron) Reveals an Early Divergence between Conserved and Variable Epitopes

We analyzed the epitope evolution of the spike protein in 1,860,489 SARS-CoV-2 genomes. The structural dynamics of these epitopes was determined by molecular modeling approaches. The D614G mutation, selected in the first months of the pandemic, is still present in currently circulating SARS-CoV-2 strains. This mutation facilitates the conformational change leading to the demasking of the ACE2 binding domain. D614G also abrogated the binding of facilitating antibodies to a linear epitope common to SARS-CoV-1 and SARS-CoV-2. The main neutralizing epitope of the N-terminal domain (NTD) of the spike protein showed extensive structural variability in SARS-CoV-2 variants, especially Delta and Omicron. This epitope is located on the flat surface of the NTD, a large electropositive area which binds to electronegatively charged lipid rafts of host cells. A facilitating epitope located on the lower part of the NTD appeared to be highly conserved among most SARS-CoV-2 variants, which may represent a risk of antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE). Overall, this retrospective analysis revealed an early divergence between conserved (facilitating) and variable (neutralizing) epitopes of the spike protein. These data aid in the designing of new antiviral strategies that could help to control COVID-19 infection by mimicking neutralizing antibodies or by blocking facilitating antibodies.