Imaging Outcomes in Clinical Trials of Treatments for Glaucoma

Predicting Visual Fields From Optical Coherence Tomography via an Ensemble of Deep Representation Learners

PURPOSE

To develop and validate a deep learning method of predicting visual function from spectral domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT)-derived retinal nerve fiber layer thickness (RNFLT) measurements and corresponding SD-OCT images.

DESIGN

Development and evaluation of diagnostic technology.

METHODS

Two deep learning ensemble models to predict pointwise VF sensitivity from SD-OCT images (model 1: RNFLT profile only; model 2: RNFLT profile plus SD-OCT image) and 2 reference models were developed. All models were tested in an independent test-retest data set comprising 2181 SD-OCT/VF pairs; the median of ∼10 VFs per eye was taken as the best available estimate (BAE) of the true VF. The performance of single VFs predicting the BAE VF was also evaluated. The training data set comprised 954 eyes of 220 healthy and 332 glaucomatous participants, and the test data set, 144 eyes of 72 glaucomatous participants. The main outcome measures included the pointwise prediction mean error (ME), mean absolute error (MAE), and correlation of predictions with the BAE VF sensitivity.

RESULTS

The median mean deviation was -4.17 dB (-14.22 to 0.88). Model 2 had excellent accuracy (ME 0.5 dB, SD 0.8) and overall performance (MAE 2.3 dB, SD 3.1), and significantly (paired t test) outperformed the other methods. For single VFs predicting the BAE VF, the pointwise MAE was 1.5 dB (SD 0.7). The association between SD-OCT and single VF predictions of the BAE pointwise VF sensitivities was R² = 0.78 and R² = 0.88, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our method outperformed standard statistical and deep learning approaches. Predictions of BAEs from OCT images approached the accuracy of single real VF estimates of the BAE.