Imaging prediction of islet yield and post-operative insulin requirement in children undergoing total pancreatectomy with islet autotransplantation

Predicting endocrine function after total pancreatectomy and islet cell autotransplantation: A novel approach utilizing computed tomography texture analysis

BACKGROUND

Islet cell autotransplantation is an effective method to prevent morbidity associated with type IIIc diabetes after total pancreatectomy. However, there is no valid method to predict long-term endocrine function. Our aim was to assess computed tomography texture analysis as a strategy to predict long-term endocrine function after total pancreatectomy and islet cell autotransplantation.

METHODS

All patients undergoing total pancreatectomy and islet cell autotransplantation from 2007 to 2020 who had high-quality preoperative computed tomography imaging available for texture analysis were included. The primary outcome was optimal long-term endocrine function, defined as stable glycemic control with <10 units of insulin/day.

RESULTS

Sixty-three patients met inclusion criteria. Median yield was 6,111 islet equivalent/kg body weight. At a median follow-up of 64.2 months, 12.7% (n = 8) of patients were insulin independent and 39.7% (n = 25) demonstrated optimal endocrine function. Neither total islet equivalent nor islet equivalent/kg body weight alone were associated with optimal endocrine function. To improve endocrine function prediction, computed tomography texture analysis parameters were analyzed, identifying an association between kurtosis (odds ratio, 2.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-4.80; P = .02) and optimal endocrine function. Sensitivity analysis discovered a cutoff for kurtosis = 0.60, with optimal endocrine function seen in 66.7% with kurtosis ≥0.60, compared with only 26.2% with kurtosis <0.60 (P < .01). On multivariate logistic regression including islet equivalent yield, only kurtosis ≥0.60 (odds ratio, 5.61; 95% confidence interval, 1.56-20.19; P = .01) and fewer small islet equivalent (odds ratio, 1.00; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.00; P = .02) were associated with optimal endocrine function, with the whole model demonstrating excellent prediction of long-term endocrine function (area under the curve, 0.775).

CONCLUSION

Computed tomography texture analysis can provide qualitative data, that when used in combination with quantitative islet equivalent yield, can accurately predict long-term endocrine function after total pancreatectomy and islet cell autotransplantation.