Change in plasma copeptin level after acute spontaneous basal ganglia hemorrhage

Development and validation of a nomogram to predict the 30-day mortality risk of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage

Background

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a stroke syndrome with an unfavorable prognosis. Currently, there is no comprehensive clinical indicator for mortality prediction of ICH patients. The purpose of our study was to construct and evaluate a nomogram for predicting the 30-day mortality risk of ICH patients.

Methods

ICH patients were extracted from the MIMIC-III database according to the ICD-9 code and randomly divided into training and verification cohorts. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method and multivariate logistic regression were applied to determine independent risk factors. These risk factors were used to construct a nomogram model for predicting the 30-day mortality risk of ICH patients. The nomogram was verified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

A total of 890 ICH patients were included in the study. Logistic regression analysis revealed that age (OR = 1.05, P < 0.001), Glasgow Coma Scale score (OR = 0.91, P < 0.001), creatinine (OR = 1.30, P < 0.001), white blood cell count (OR = 1.10, P < 0.001), temperature (OR = 1.73, P < 0.001), glucose (OR = 1.01, P < 0.001), urine output (OR = 1.00, P = 0.020), and bleeding volume (OR = 1.02, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality of ICH patients. The calibration curve indicated that the nomogram was well calibrated. When predicting the 30-day mortality risk, the nomogram exhibited good discrimination in the training and validation cohorts (C-index: 0.782 and 0.778, respectively). The AUCs were 0.778, 0.733, and 0.728 for the nomogram, Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPSII), and Oxford Acute Severity of Illness Score (OASIS), respectively, in the validation cohort. The IDI and NRI calculations and DCA analysis revealed that the nomogram model had a greater net benefit than the SAPSII and OASIS scoring systems.

Conclusion

This study identified independent risk factors for 30-day mortality of ICH patients and constructed a predictive nomogram model, which may help to improve the prognosis of ICH patients.

Copeptin and Stress

Vasopressin (AVP) and copeptin are released in equimolar amounts from the same precursor. Due to its molecular stability and countless advantages as compared with AVP, copeptin perfectly mirrors AVP presence and has progressively emerged as a reliable marker of vasopressinergic activation in response to osmotic and hemodynamic stimuli in clinical practice. Moreover, evidence highlighting the prognostic potential of copeptin in several acute diseases, where the activation of the AVP system is primarily linked to stress, as well as in psychologically stressful conditions, has progressively emerged. Furthermore, organic stressors induce a rise in copeptin levels which, although non-specific, is unrelated to plasma osmolality but proportional to their magnitude: suggesting disease severity, copeptin proved to be a reliable prognostic biomarker in acute conditions, such as sepsis, early post-surgical period, cardiovascular, cerebrovascular or pulmonary diseases, and even in critical settings. Evidence on this topic will be briefly discussed in this article.

Prognostic Utility of Serum Biomarkers in Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Systematic Review

Background. Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) accounts for 10-20% of all strokes and is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Recent studies have identified serum biomarkers as a means to improve outcome prognostication in poor grade ICH patients. Poor prognosis of ICH patients and complex pathophysiology of the disease necessitate prognostic serum biomarkers to help guide treatment recommendations. Objective. The objective is to systematically review all biomarkers used to predict long-term functional outcome in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage. Results. We identified 36 studies investigating the predictive utility of 50 discrete biomarkers. Data from 4865 ICH patients were reviewed. Inflammatory biomarkers (11/50) were most often studied, followed by oxidative (8/50), then neuron and astrocyte-specific (7/50). S100 calcium binding protein B, white blood cell count, and copeptin were the most often studied individual biomarkers. The prognostic utility of 23 biomarkers was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic curves. Area under the curve (AUC) values for all available biomarkers except neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio were acceptable. Twenty of the 23 biomarkers were characterized by at least one excellent AUC value. Vascular endothelial growth factor, glial fibrillary astrocyte protein, and S100 calcium binding protein B were characterized by outstanding AUC. Conclusions. We identified the inflammatory and neuron and astrocyte-specific biomarker categories as having the greatest number of significant individual biomarker predictors of long-term outcome. Further investigation utilizing cross-validation of prediction models in a second independent group and blinded assessment of outcomes for the predictive utility of biomarkers in patients with ICH is warranted.

Proenkephalin A Adds No Incremental Prognostic Value After Acute Ischemic Stroke

Objective:

The aim of this study was to confirm previous observations that proenkephalin A (PENK-A) may serve as prognostic marker in the setting of acute ischemic stroke in a large stroke cohort.

Methods:

The plasma concentration of PENK-A was measured within 72 hours of symptom onset in 320 consecutively enrolled patients with stroke. The primary outcome measures were unfavorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 0-2 vs 3-6) and mortality within 90 days. Logistic and cox proportional regression analyses were fitted to estimate odds ratios (ORs), hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), respectively, for the association between PENK-A and the primary outcome measures.

Results:

After adjusting for demographic and vascular risk factors, PENK-A was neither independently associated with functional outcome (OR: 1.29, 95% CI: 0.16-10.35) nor mortality (HR: 1.02, 95% CI: 0.14-7.33).

Conclusion:

Among patients with acute stroke, PENK-A does not serve as an independent prognostic marker in this external validation cohort.

Serum lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 as a promising prognostic biomarker in association with 90-day outcome of acute intracerebral hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) is reflective of vascular inflammation and plays a role in the pathophysiology of cerebrovascular disease. We determine usefulness of serum Lp-PLA2 as a prognostic biomarker for intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

METHODS

In this prospective, observational study, serum Lp-PLA2 concentrations were detected among 164 patients with acute spontaneous basal ganglia hemorrhage and 164 healthy controls. Using multivariate analysis, we analyzed its association with poor outcome (modified Rankin Scale >2) at poststroke 90 days and hemorrhagic severity indicated by National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score and hematoma volume.

RESULTS

Serum Lp-PLA2 concentrations were remarkably higher in patients than in controls. Lp-PLA2 concentrations were independently correlated with NIHSS score (t = 5.095, P < .001) and hematoma volume (t = 2.850, P = .005). At 90-day follow-up, 85 patients (51.8%) had poor outcome. Under receiver operating characteristic curve, serum Lp-PLA2 showed a significant prognostic discriminatory capability (AUC, 0.813; 95% CI, 0.744-0.869). Serum Lp-PLA2 concentrations ≥304 ng/ml was an independent predictor associated with poor outcome (OR 7.052; 95% CI 1.971-25.228).

CONCLUSIONS

Rising serum Lp-PLA2 concentrations are closely hemorrhagic severity and clinical outcomes after ICH, substantializing serum Lp-PLA2 as a potential prognostic biomarker of ICH.

The increase in copeptin levels in mild head trauma does not predict the severity and the outcome of brain damage

Aim: To investigate the copeptin prognostic role in mild head trauma. Methods: We enrolled 105 adult patients who entered the emergency room because of recent mild head trauma; we evaluated: clinical picture, imaging and laboratory data (including copeptin). Results: Copeptin resulted higher in mild head trauma patients compared with controls: 29.89 pmol/l versus 7.05 pmol/l (p = 0.0008). Copeptin failed in identifying patients with or without brain lesions detected by CT scan, and patients with or without adverse events during the 30 days follow-up. Conclusion: We confirmed that mild head trauma patients have a significantly higher copeptin plasma levels compared with controls. Nevertheless, we did not observe a significant role for copeptin in traumatic brain injury patients regarding brain damage and outcome.

Comparison of plasma copeptin and multiple biomarkers for assessing prognosis of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Increased plasma copeptin concentrations are related to poor prognosis after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). The aim of this study was to assess prognostic significance of plasma copeptin detection compared with glial fibrillary astrocyte protein, myelin basic protein, S100B, phosphorylated axonal neurofilament subunit H, neuron-specific enolase, tau and ubiquitin carboxyl-terminal hydrolase L1 in aSAH.

METHODS

We detected plasma concentrations of the aforementioned biomarkers in 105 healthy controls using ELISA. Their predictive ability for symptomatic cerebral vasospasm and 6-month poor outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale score of 1-3) were compared.

RESULTS

Plasma concentrations of the preceding biomarkers were highly correlated with World Federation of Neurological Surgeons subarachnoid hemorrhage scale (WFNS) scores as well as were significantly higher in patients with symptomatic cerebral vasospasm than in those without symptomatic cerebral vasospasm and in patients with poor outcome than in those with good outcome. In terms of area under receiver operating characteristic curve, their predictive value for symptomatic cerebral vasospasm and 6-month poor outcome was in the range of WFNS scores. Plasma copeptin concentration, but not plasma concentrations of other biomarkers, statistically significantly improved the predictive performance of WFNS scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Copeptin in plasma might have the potential to be a useful prognostic biomarker for aSAH.

Association Between Circulating Copeptin Level and Mortality Risk in Patients with Intracerebral Hemorrhage: a Systemic Review and Meta-Analysis

Copeptin has been identified as a biomarker of disease severity and is associated with mortality risk in several common diseases. This study sought to determine the association between circulating copeptin level and mortality risk in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. PubMed, Web of Science, and Wanfang Medicine Database were searched for studies assessing the association between circulating copeptin level and mortality risk in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) of mortality was calculated and presented with 95 % confidence interval (95 % CI). Data from 1332 intracerebral hemorrhage patients were derived from 9 studies. Meta-analysis showed that intracerebral hemorrhage patients with poor prognosis had much higher copeptin levels than those survivors (standardized mean difference = 1.68, 95 % CI 1.26-2.11, P < 0.00001). Meta-analysis of 8 studies with HRs showed that high circulating copeptin level was associated with higher risk of mortality in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (HR = 2.42, 95 % CI 1.60-3.65, P < 0.0001). Meta-analysis of 6 studies with adjusted HRs showed that high circulating copeptin level was independently associated with higher risk of mortality in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (HR = 1.67, 95 % CI 1.26-2.22, P = 0.0003). Our study suggests that there is an obvious association between circulating copeptin level and mortality in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. High circulating copeptin level is independently associated with higher risk of mortality in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage.

Biomarkers to enhance accuracy and precision of prediction of short-term and long-term outcome after spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage: a study protocol for a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Several studies reported prognostic value of biomarker in intracerebral hemorrhagic (ICH) but they are either preliminary observation or inadequately powered to analyse independent contribution of biomarkers over and above clinical and neuroimaging data.

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether the biomarker can significantly add to the predictive accuracy of prognosis of ICH.

METHOD/DESIGN

In a multi-centric prospective cohort study, 1020 patients with ICH within 72 hours of onset are being recruited. After obtaining written informed consent from patients/proxy, venous blood sample (10 ml) is being collected and analysed for C-reactive protein (CRP) level, S100B, Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), Troponin, change in leukocyte count and Copeptin levels. The patients are telephonically followed using stroke scales (Barthel Index and modified Rankin Scale) at 3, 6, 12 months and 2 years after the recruitment.

DISCUSSION

This protocol will aim at predicting the short term or long term prognosis with the use of clinical, neuroimaging and biomarkers in order to help clinician to stratify patients for early referral or intervention.

Prognostic role of copeptin after stroke: A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies

Copeptin, the C-terminal part of provasopressin, has emerged as a novel prognostic marker after hemorrhagic or ischemic stroke. The aim of this study was to quantitatively assess the prognostic significance of plasma copeptin level on functional outcome and mortality in patients with acute stroke using a meta-analysis of the available evidence. Thirteen relevant studies from 2,746 patients were finally included in our study. An elevated plasma copeptin level was associated with an increased risk of unfavorable outcome and mortality after stroke (OR 1.77; 95% CI, 1.44–2.19 and OR 3.90; 95% CI 3.07–4.95, respectively). The result of the pooled measure on standardized mean difference (SMD) was that plasma copeptin levels were found to be significantly higher in patients who died compared to survivors (SMD 1.70; 95% CI, 1.36–2.03). A stratified analysis by study region showed significant differences in SMD of copeptin, and the heterogeneity among studies was significantly decreased. However, the positive association of copeptin with poor prognosis after stroke was consistent in each stratified analysis. The present meta-analysis suggests that early measurement of plasma copeptin could provide better prognostic information about functional outcome and mortality in patients with acute stroke.

Prognostic value of copeptin in patients with acute stroke

CONTEXT

There is a need to improve stroke care through the prompt identification of stroke patients at increased risk of an adverse outcome.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic value of copeptin in patients with stroke.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed and Embase for relevant studies. Poor outcome and mortality were analyzed.

RESULTS

Twelve studies, containing 2682 patients, were included. Pooled analysis showed that copeptin is an independent prognostic marker of poor outcome after acute stroke and there is a borderline effect of copeptin in predicting mortality after acute stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Copeptin is an independent predictor of poor outcome and mortality for patients with acute stroke.

Plasma pituitary adenylate cyclase-activating polypeptide concentrations and mortality after acute spontaneous basal ganglia hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Plasma pituitary adenylate cyclase activating polypeptide (PACAP) concentrations are elevated after traumatic brain injury. We assessed the prognostic value of PACAP for short-term and long-term mortality of acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients.

METHODS

A total of 150 patients and 150 age- and gender- matched healthy controls were recruited. The plasma PACAP concentrations were measured using sandwich immunoassays. ICH severity was assessed using hematoma volume and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score. The end points included 1-week mortality and 6-month mortality. The relationships between plasma PACAP concentrations and ICH severity and the end points were analyzed statistically.

RESULTS

Plasma PACAP concentrations were statistically significantly higher in the ICH patients than in the healthy controls and were correlated positively with hematoma volumes and NIHSS scores using a multivariate linear regression. Multivariate analysis results indicated that plasma PACAP concentration was an independent predictor of 1-week mortality, 6-month mortality and 6-month overall survival. It also had high predictive value based on receiver operating characteristic curve.

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma PACAP concentrations are increased and are highly associated with the severity of ICH; PACAP may be a good predictor of short-term and long-term mortality of ICH.

Postoperative plasma copeptin levels independently predict delirium and cognitive dysfunction after coronary artery bypass graft surgery

Copeptin can reflect individual's stress state and are correlated with poor outcome of critical illness. The occurrence of postoperative delirium (POD) and cognitive dysfunction (POCD) is associated with worse outcome after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. The present study aimed to investigate the ability of postoperative plasma copeptin level to predict POD and POCD in patients undergoing CABG surgery. Postoperative plasma copeptin levels of 108 patients were measured by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. It was demonstrated that plasma copeptin levels were substantially higher in patients with POD than without POD (1.8±0.6 ng/mL vs. 1.1±0.3 ng/mL; P<0.001) and in patients with POCD than without POCD (1.9±0.6 ng/mL vs. 1.1±0.4 ng/mL; P<0.001). Plasma copeptin level and age were identified as independent predictors for POD [odds ratio (OR), 67.386; 95% confidence interval (CI), 12.031-377.426; P<0.001 and OR, 1.202; 95% CI, 1.075-1.345; P=0.001] and POCD (OR, 28.814; 95% CI, 7.131-116.425; P<0.001 and OR, 1.151; 95% CI, 1.030-1.285; P=0.003) using a multivariate analysis. For prediction of POD, the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the copeptin concentration (AUC, 0.883; 95% CI, 0.807-0.937) was markedly higher than that of age (AUC, 0.746; 95% CI, 0.653-0.825; P=0.020). For prediction of POCD, the AUC of the copeptin concentration (AUC, 0.870; 95% CI, 0.792-0.927) was markedly higher than that of age (AUC, 0.735; 95% CI, 0.641-0.815; P=0.043). Thus, postoperative plasma copeptin level may be a useful, complementary tool to predict POD and POCD in patients undergoing CABG surgery.

Plasma copeptin level predicts acute traumatic coagulopathy and progressive hemorrhagic injury after traumatic brain injury

Higher plasma copeptin levels correlate with poor clinical outcomes after traumatic brain injury. Nevertheless, their links with acute traumatic coagulopathy and progressive hemorrhagic injury are unknown. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the relationship between plasma copeptin levels, acute traumatic coagulopathy and progressive hemorrhagic injury in patients with severe traumatic brain injury. We prospectively studied 100 consecutive patients presenting within 6h from head trauma. Progressive hemorrhagic injury was present when the follow-up computerized tomography scan reported any increase in size or number of the hemorrhagic lesion, including newly developed ones. Acute traumatic coagulopathy was defined as an activated partial thromboplastic time greater than 40s and/or international normalized ratio greater than 1.2 and/or a platelet count less than 120×10(9)/L. We measured plasma copeptin levels on admission using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in a blinded fashion. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, plasma copeptin level emerged as an independent predictor of progressive hemorrhagic injury and acute traumatic coagulopathy. Using receiver operating characteristic curves, we calculated areas under the curve for progressive hemorrhagic injury and acute traumatic coagulopathy. The predictive performance of copeptin was similar to that of Glasgow Coma Scale score. However, copeptin did not obviously improve the predictive value of Glasgow Coma Scale score. Thus, copeptin may help in the prediction of progressive hemorrhagic injury and acute traumatic coagulopathy after traumatic brain injury.

Plasma copeptin levels are associated with prognosis of severe acute pancreatitis

Copeptin reflects the individual stress level, and is correlated with outcomes of critical illness. This study was designed to evaluate its relationship with disease severity, local complications, organ failure and mortality of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). Seventy-eight SAP patients and 78 sex- and age-matched healthy individuals were recruited. Plasma samples were obtained on admission from SAP patients and at study entry from healthy individuals. Copeptin concentration was determined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Plasma copeptin level was obviously higher in patients than in healthy individuals, was identified as an independent predictor of local complications, organ failure and in-hospital mortality, was highly associated with traditional predictors of disease severity and mortality including the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Care Evaluation II score, Ranson score, multiple organ dysfunction score, sequential organ failure assessment score, and predicted local complications, organ failure, and in-hospital mortality of SAP patients with high areas under receiver operating characteristic curve. Furthermore, its predictive value was similar to the traditional predictors'. However, it could not improve these traditional predictors' predictive values. Therefore, increased plasma copeptin level is associated with disease severity and identified as a novel prognostic marker of local complications, organ failure and mortality after SAP.

Copeptin and its potential role in diagnosis and prognosis of various diseases

The need for faster diagnosis, more accurate prognostic assessment and treatment decisions in various diseases has lead to the investigations of new biomarkers. The hope is that this new biomarkers will enable early decision making in clinical practice. Arginine vasopressin (AVP) is one of the main hormones of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis. Its main stimulus for secretion is hyperosmolarity, but AVP system is also stimulated by exposure of the body to endogenous stress. Reliable measurement of AVP concentration is difficult because it is subject to preanalytical and analytical errors. It is therefore not used in clinical practice. Copeptin, a 39-aminoacid glycopeptide, is a C-terminal part of the precursor pre-provasopressin (pre-proAVP). Activation of AVP system stimulates copeptin secretion into the circulation from the posterior pituitary gland in equimolar amounts with AVP. Therefore, copeptin directly reflects AVP concentration and can be used as surrogate biomarker of AVP secretion. Even mild to moderate stress situations contribute to release of copeptin. These reasons have lead to a handful of research on copeptin in various diseases. This review summarizes the current achievements in the research of copeptin as a diagnostic and prognostic marker and also discusses its association in different disease processes.

Relationship between plasma copeptin levels and complications of community-acquired pneumonia in preschool children

High plasma copeptin level has been associated with clinical outcomes after acute illness. The present study was undertaken to investigate the plasma copeptin concentrations in preschool children with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and to analyze the correlations of copeptin with CAP-related complications and pleural effusion. Plasma copeptin concentrations of 100 healthy children and 165 preschool children with CAP were measured. 35 children (21.2%) presented with complicated CAP and 28 children (17.0%) presented with pleural effusion. The admission copeptin levels were significantly increased in all patients (49.7 ± 21.4 pmol/L), children with complicated CAP (73.0 ± 16.9 pmol/L), those with uncomplicated CAP (43.4 ± 17.8 pmol/L), those with pleural effusion (70.9 ± 17.4 pmol/L) and those without pleural effusion (45.3 ± 19.5 pmol/L) compared with healthy control individuals (9.0 ± 2.7 pmol/L, all P<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that plasma copeptin levels were independently related to CAP-related complications (odds ratio 1.214, 95% confidence interval 1.104-1.872, P<0.001) and pleural effusion (odds ratio 1.226, 95% confidence interval 1.109-1.917, P<0.001). A receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed plasma copeptin level better predicted CAP-related complications (area under curve 0.876, 95% confidence interval 0.815-0.922) and pleural effusion (area under curve 0.831, 95% confidence interval 0.765-0.885). Thus, plasma copeptin level may represent a novel biomarker for predicting CAP-related complications in preschool children.

Plasma copeptin concentration and outcome after pediatric traumatic brain injury

Higher plasma copeptin level has been associated with poor outcomes of critical illness. The present study was undertaken to investigate the plasma copeptin concentrations in children with traumatic brain injury (TBI) and to analyze the correlation of copeptin with disease outcome. Plasma copeptin concentrations of 126 healthy children and 126 children with acute severe TBI were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Twenty-one patients (16.7%) died and 38 patients (30.2%) had an unfavorable outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale score of 1-3) at 6 months. Plasma copeptin level was obviously higher in patients than in healthy children (46.2±20.8 pmol/L vs. 9.6±3.0 pmol/L, P<0.001). Plasma copeptin level was identified as an independent predictor for 6-month mortality [odds ratio (OR) 1.261, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.112-1.538, P=0.005] and unfavorable outcome (OR 1.313, 95% CI 1.146-1.659, P=0.003). The predictive value of copeptin was similar to that of Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score for 6-month mortality [area under curve (AUC) 0.832, 95% CI 0.755-0.892 vs. AUC 0.873, 95% CI 0.802-0.926, P=0.412] and unfavorable outcome (AUC 0.863, 95% CI 0.790-0.918 vs. AUC 0.885, 95% CI 0.816-0.935, P=0.596). Copeptin improved the AUC of GCS score for 6-month unfavorable outcome (AUC 0.929, 95% CI 0.869-0.967, P=0.013), but not for 6-month mortality (AUC 0.887, 95% CI 0.818-0.936, P=0.600). Thus, plasma copeptin level represents a novel biomarker for predicting 6-month clinical outcome in children with TBI.

Potential blood biomarkers for stroke

Stroke is one of the most common causes of death worldwide and a major cause of acquired disability in adults. Despite advances in research during the last decade, prevention and treatment strategies still suffer from significant limitations, and therefore new theoretical and technical approaches are required. Technological advances in the proteomic and metabolomic areas, during recent years, have permitted a more effective search for novel biomarkers and therapeutic targets that may allow for effective risk stratification and early diagnosis with subsequent rapid treatment. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the latest candidate proteins and metabolites proposed as new potential biomarkers in stroke.

Year in review 2011: Critical Care--Neurocritical care

Contributions from the neurosciences to Critical Care in 2011 covered an array of topics. We learned about potential biomarkers for, and the effect of cerebral oxygen metabolism on, delirium, in addition to treatment of the latter. A group of investigators studied surface cooling in healthy awake volunteers, and incidence of infection associated with therapeutic hypothermia. The effects of statin and erythropoietin on stroke were revisited, and the role of adhesion molecule in the inflammatory reaction accompanying intracerebral hemorrhage was scrutinized. Biomarkers in subarachnoid hemorrhage and their relationship to vasospasm and outcome, and effect of daylight on outcome in this patient population, as well as a new meta-analysis of statin therapy were among the research in subarachnoid hemorrhage. Moreover, 2011 witnessed the publication of a multidisciplinary consensus conference's recommendations on the critical care management of subarachnoid hemorrhage. Results of studies regarding the diagnosis and vascular complications of meningitis were reported. Traumatic brain injury received its share of articles addressing therapy with hypertonic saline and surgical decompression, the development of coagulopathy, and biomarkers to help with prognostication. Finally, research on the treatment of Guillain-Barre syndrome in children, prediction of long-term need of ventilatory support, and pathophysiology of critical illness polyneuropathy and myopathy were reported.

Copeptin is associated with one-year mortality and functional outcome in patients with acute spontaneous basal ganglia hemorrhage

High plasma copeptin levels have been found to be associated with short-term poor outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We furthermore evaluate the relation of plasma copeptin levels to long-term outcome and early neurological deterioration after ICH. Fifty healthy controls and 89 patients with acute spontaneous basal ganglia hemorrhage were recruited in this study. Plasma copeptin concentrations on admission measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay were considerably high in patients than healthy controls. A multivariate analysis identified plasma copeptin level as an independent predictor for 1-year mortality, 1-year unfavorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale score>2) and early neurological deterioration. A receiver operating characteristic curve showed that the predictive value of plasma copeptin concentration was similar to that of National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores for long-term poor outcome and early neurological deterioration. However, copeptin did not obviously improve the predictive values of National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores. Thus, increased plasma copeptin level is an independent prognostic marker of 1-year mortality, 1-year unfavorable outcome and early neurological deterioration after ICH.

Prognostic value of copeptin: one-year outcome in patients with traumatic brain injury

High plasma copeptin level has been associated with one-month mortality after traumatic brain injury. However, not much is known regarding its relation with long-term outcome. Thus, we investigated the ability of copeptin to predict 1-year outcome in patients with traumatic brain injury. One hundred and six healthy controls and 106 patients with acute severe traumatic brain injury were included. Plasma samples were obtained on admission. Its concentration was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Forty-eight patients (45.3%) suffered from unfavorable outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale score of 1-3) and 31 patients (29.2%) died in 1 year after traumatic brain injury. Upon admission, plasma copeptin level in patients was substantially higher than that in healthy controls. A forward stepwise logistic regression selected plasma copeptin level as an independent predictor for 1-year unfavorable outcome and mortality of patients. A receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed plasma copeptin level predicted 1-year unfavorable outcome and mortality obviously. The predictive value of the copeptin concentration was thus similar to that of Glasgow Coma Scale score for the prediction of unfavorable outcome and mortality after 1 year. In a combined logistic-regression model, copeptin improved the area under curve of Glasgow Coma Scale score for the prediction of unfavorable outcome and mortality after 1 year, but the differences were not significant. Thus, copeptin level is a useful, complementary tool to predict functional outcome and mortality 1 year after traumatic brain injury.

Detection of copeptin in peripheral blood of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Introduction

Copeptin has been proposed as a prognostic marker in acute illness. This study investigated the ability of copeptin to predict the disease outcome and cerebrovasospasm in the patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Methods

In this retrospective study, 303 consecutive patients were included. Upon admission, plasma copeptin levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The end points were mortality after 1 year, in-hospital mortality, cerebrovasospasm and poor functional outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale score of 1-3) after 1 year.

Results

Upon admission, plasma copeptin level in patients was statistically significantly higher than that in healthy controls. A multivariate analysis showed that plasma copeptin level was an independent predictor of poor functional outcome and mortality after 1 year, in-hospital mortality and cerebrovasospasm. A receiver operating characteristic curve showed that plasma copeptin level on admission predicted poor functional outcome and mortality after 1 year, in-hospital mortality and cerebrovasospasm of patients statistically significantly. The area under curve of the copeptin concentration was similar to those of World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS) score and modified Fisher score for the prediction of poor functional outcome and mortality after 1 year, and in-hospital mortality, but not for the prediction of cerebrovasospasm. In a combined logistic-regression model, copeptin improved the area under curve of WFNS score and modified Fisher score for the prediction of poor functional outcome after 1 year, but not for the prediction of mortality after 1 year, in-hospital mortality, and cerebrovasospasm.

Conclusions

Copeptin level is a useful, complementary tool to predict functional outcome and mortality after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.