Complex Data-driven Predictive Modeling in Personalized Clinical Decision Support for Acute Coronary Syndrome Episodes

Machine Learning Methods for Pregnancy and Childbirth Risk Management

Machine learning methods enable medical systems to automatically generate data-driven decision support models using real-world data inputs, eliminating the need for explicit rule design. In this research, we investigated the application of machine learning methods in healthcare, specifically focusing on pregnancy and childbirth risks. The timely identification of risk factors during early pregnancy, along with risk management, mitigation, prevention, and adherence management, can significantly reduce adverse perinatal outcomes and complications for both mother and child. Given the existing burden on medical professionals, clinical decision support systems (CDSSs) can play a role in risk management. However, these systems require high-quality decision support models based on validated medical data that are also clinically interpretable. To develop models for predicting childbirth risks and due dates, we conducted a retrospective analysis of electronic health records from the perinatal Center of the Almazov Specialized Medical Center in Saint-Petersburg, Russia. The dataset, which was exported from the medical information system, consisted of structured and semi-structured data, encompassing a total of 73,115 lines for 12,989 female patients. Our proposed approach, which includes a detailed analysis of predictive model performance and interpretability, offers numerous opportunities for decision support in perinatal care provision. The high predictive performance achieved by our models ensures precise support for both individual patient care and overall health organization management.

Machine learning for predictive data analytics in medicine: A review illustrated by cardiovascular and nuclear medicine examples

The evidence-based medicine allows the physician to evaluate the risk-benefit ratio of a treatment through setting and data. Risk-based choices can be done by the doctor using different information. With the emergence of new technologies, a large amount of data is recorded offering interesting perspectives with machine learning for predictive data analytics. Machine learning is an ensemble of methods that process data to model a learning problem. Supervised machine learning algorithms consist in using annotated data to construct the model. This category allows to solve prediction data analytics problems. In this paper, we detail the use of supervised machine learning algorithms for predictive data analytics problems in medicine. In the medical field, data can be split into two categories: medical images and other data. For brevity, our review deals with any kind of medical data excluding images. In this article, we offer a discussion around four supervised machine learning approaches: information-based, similarity-based, probability-based and error-based approaches. Each method is illustrated with detailed cardiovascular and nuclear medicine examples. Our review shows that model ensemble (ME) and support vector machine (SVM) methods are the most popular. SVM, ME and artificial neural networks often lead to better results than those given by other algorithms. In the coming years, more studies, more data, more tools and more methods will, for sure, be proposed.

Human Computer Interaction During Clinical Decision Support With Electronic Health Records Improvement

This study investigated the most common challenges of human-computer interaction (HCI) while using electronic health records (EHR) based on the experience of a large Russian medical research center. The article presents the results of testing DSS implemented in the mode of an additional interface with the EHR. The percentage of erroneous data for two groups of users (with and without notifications) is presented for the entire period of the experiment and the weekly dynamics of changes. The implementation of CDSS in the supplemented interface mode of the main medical information system (MIS) has had a positive effect in reducing user errors in the data. The results of users' survey are presented, showing a satisfactory evaluation of the implemented system. This study is part of a larger project to develop complex CDSS on cardiovascular disorders for medical research centers.

Simulation of patient flow in multiple healthcare units using process and data mining techniques for model identification

INTRODUCTION

An approach to building a hybrid simulation of patient flow is introduced with a combination of data-driven methods for automation of model identification. The approach is described with a conceptual framework and basic methods for combination of different techniques. The implementation of the proposed approach for simulation of the acute coronary syndrome (ACS) was developed and used in an experimental study.

METHODS

A combination of data, text, process mining techniques, and machine learning approaches for the analysis of electronic health records (EHRs) with discrete-event simulation (DES) and queueing theory for the simulation of patient flow was proposed. The performed analysis of EHRs for ACS patients enabled identification of several classes of clinical pathways (CPs) which were used to implement a more realistic simulation of the patient flow. The developed solution was implemented using Python libraries (SimPy, SciPy, and others).

RESULTS

The proposed approach enables more a realistic and detailed simulation of the patient flow within a group of related departments. An experimental study shows an improved simulation of patient length of stay for ACS patient flow obtained from EHRs in Almazov National Medical Research Centre in Saint Petersburg, Russia.

CONCLUSION

The proposed approach, methods, and solutions provide a conceptual, methodological, and programming framework for the implementation of a simulation of complex and diverse scenarios within a flow of patients for different purposes: decision making, training, management optimization, and others.