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Jutla A, Usmani M, Brumfield KD, Singh K, McBean F, Potter A, Gutierrez A, Gama S, Huq A, Colwell RR. Anticipatory decision-making for cholera in Malawi. mBio 2023; 14:e0052923. [PMID: 37962395 PMCID: PMC10746182 DOI: 10.1128/mbio.00529-23] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2023] Open
Abstract
Climate change raises an old disease to a new level of public health threat. The causative agent, Vibrio cholerae, native to aquatic ecosystems, is influenced by climate and weather processes. The risk of cholera is elevated in vulnerable populations lacking access to safe water and sanitation infrastructure. Predictive intelligence, employing mathematical algorithms that integrate earth observations and heuristics derived from microbiological, sociological, and weather data, can provide anticipatory decision-making capabilities to reduce the burden of cholera and save human lives. An example offered here is the recent outbreak of cholera in Malawi, predicted in advance by such algorithms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Antarpreet Jutla
- Department of Environmental Engineering Sciences, GeoHealth and Hydrology Laboratory, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Moiz Usmani
- Department of Environmental Engineering Sciences, GeoHealth and Hydrology Laboratory, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Kyle D. Brumfield
- Maryland Pathogen Research Institute, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA
- University of Maryland Institute for Advanced Computer Studies, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA
| | - Komalpreet Singh
- Department of Environmental Engineering Sciences, GeoHealth and Hydrology Laboratory, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Fergus McBean
- Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office, London, United Kingdom
| | - Amy Potter
- Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office, London, United Kingdom
| | - Angelica Gutierrez
- Office of Water Prediction, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
| | - Samuel Gama
- Department of Disaster Management Affairs, Office of the President and Cabinet, Lilongwe, Malawi
| | - Anwar Huq
- Maryland Pathogen Research Institute, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA
- University of Maryland Institute for Advanced Computer Studies, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA
| | - Rita R. Colwell
- Maryland Pathogen Research Institute, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA
- University of Maryland Institute for Advanced Computer Studies, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA
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Usmani M, Brumfield KD, Magers BM, Huq A, Barciela R, Nguyen TH, Colwell RR, Jutla A. Predictive Intelligence for Cholera in Ukraine? GEOHEALTH 2022; 6:e2022GH000681. [PMID: 36185317 PMCID: PMC9514009 DOI: 10.1029/2022gh000681] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2022] [Revised: 08/02/2022] [Accepted: 08/06/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
Cholera, an ancient waterborne diarrheal disease, remains a threat to public health, especially when climate/weather processes, microbiological parameters, and sociological determinants intersect with population vulnerabilities of loss of access to safe drinking water and sanitation infrastructure. The ongoing war in Ukraine has either damaged or severely crippled civil infrastructure, following which the human population is at risk of health disasters. This editorial highlights a perspective on using predictive intelligence to combat potential (and perhaps impending) cholera outbreaks in various regions of Ukraine. Reliable and judicious use of existing earth observations inspired mathematical algorithms integrating heuristic understanding of microbiological, sociological, and weather parameters have the potential to save or reduce the disease burden.
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Affiliation(s)
- Moiz Usmani
- GeoHealth and Hydrology LaboratoryDepartment of Environmental Engineering SciencesUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFLUSA
| | - Kyle D. Brumfield
- Maryland Pathogen Research InstituteUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMDUSA
- University of Maryland Institute for Advanced Computer StudiesUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMDUSA
| | - Bailey M. Magers
- GeoHealth and Hydrology LaboratoryDepartment of Environmental Engineering SciencesUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFLUSA
| | - Anwar Huq
- Maryland Pathogen Research InstituteUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMDUSA
- University of Maryland Institute for Advanced Computer StudiesUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMDUSA
| | | | - Thanh H. Nguyen
- Department of Civil and Environmental EngineeringUniversity of Illinois at Urbana‐ChampaignUrbanaILUSA
| | - Rita R. Colwell
- Maryland Pathogen Research InstituteUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMDUSA
- University of Maryland Institute for Advanced Computer StudiesUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMDUSA
| | - Antarpreet Jutla
- GeoHealth and Hydrology LaboratoryDepartment of Environmental Engineering SciencesUniversity of FloridaGainesvilleFLUSA
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Holley MA, Wiley LA, Marass AD. Watch Me Grow: A Well-Child Examination Protocol to Improve Preventive Care in Dominican Children. J Pediatr Health Care 2019; 33:263-269. [PMID: 30472029 DOI: 10.1016/j.pedhc.2018.09.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/05/2018] [Revised: 08/24/2018] [Accepted: 09/08/2018] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Morbidity and mortality rates among Dominican children are a serious health concern worsened by a lack of preventive care that hinders early identification and avoidance of illnesses. The purpose of this study was to improve health outcomes in Dominican children by implementing a well-child examination (WCE) protocol entitled "Watch Me Grow." METHODS A quantitative, descriptive methodology was used. Twelve adults involved in pediatric care with the Foundation for Peace organization in the Dominican Republic were designated to receive WCE protocol education, and 159 children received WCEs and health promotion teaching. RESULTS No statistically significant improvement in WCE knowledge was noted. The most common abnormal findings were unhealthy weight (47.8%), dental caries (46.5%), low vision (17.0%), and elevated blood pressure (15.7%). DISCUSSION The WCE protocol facilitated early identification of many pediatric health concerns and may help diminish the potential future impact of illnesses on Dominican children.
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Affiliation(s)
- Melanie A Holley
- Melanie A. Holley, Certified Pediatric Nurse Practitioner, Marysville Pediatric Clinic, Marysville, CA; and Certified Pediatric Nurse Practitioner, Gridley Pediatric Clinic, Gridley, CA..
| | - Lanetra A Wiley
- Lanetra A. Wiley, Registered Nurse, Lebonheur Children's Hospital, Memphis, TN
| | - Ashley D Marass
- Ashley D. Marass, Assistant Professor and Certified Pediatric Nurse Practitioner, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL
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