Precision toxicity correlates of tumor spatial proximity to organs at risk in cancer patients receiving intensity-modulated radiotherapy

Machine learning in the evaluation of voice and swallowing in the head and neck cancer patient

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The purpose of this review is to present recent advances and limitations in machine learning applied to the evaluation of speech, voice, and swallowing in head and neck cancer.

RECENT FINDINGS

Novel machine learning models incorporating diverse data modalities with improved discriminatory capabilities have been developed for predicting toxicities following head and neck cancer therapy, including dysphagia, dysphonia, xerostomia, and weight loss as well as guiding treatment planning. Machine learning has been applied to the care of posttreatment voice and swallowing dysfunction by offering objective and standardized assessments and aiding innovative technologies for functional restoration. Voice and speech are also being utilized in machine learning algorithms to screen laryngeal cancer.

SUMMARY

Machine learning has the potential to help optimize, assess, predict, and rehabilitate voice and swallowing function in head and neck cancer patients as well as aid in cancer screening. However, existing studies are limited by the lack of sufficient external validation and generalizability, insufficient transparency and reproducibility, and no clear superior predictive modeling strategies. Algorithms and applications will need to be trained on large multiinstitutional data sets, incorporate sociodemographic data to reduce bias, and achieve validation through clinical trials for optimal performance and utility.

Roses Have Thorns: Understanding the Downside of Oncological Care Delivery Through Visual Analytics and Sequential Rule Mining

Personalized head and neck cancer therapeutics have greatly improved survival rates for patients, but are often leading to understudied long-lasting symptoms which affect quality of life. Sequential rule mining (SRM) is a promising unsupervised machine learning method for predicting longitudinal patterns in temporal data which, however, can output many repetitive patterns that are difficult to interpret without the assistance of visual analytics. We present a data-driven, human-machine analysis visual system developed in collaboration with SRM model builders in cancer symptom research, which facilitates mechanistic knowledge discovery in large scale, multivariate cohort symptom data. Our system supports multivariate predictive modeling of post-treatment symptoms based on during-treatment symptoms. It supports this goal through an SRM, clustering, and aggregation back end, and a custom front end to help develop and tune the predictive models. The system also explains the resulting predictions in the context of therapeutic decisions typical in personalized care delivery. We evaluate the resulting models and system with an interdisciplinary group of modelers and head and neck oncology researchers. The results demonstrate that our system effectively supports clinical and symptom research.

Spatially-aware clustering improves AJCC-8 risk stratification performance in oropharyngeal carcinomas

OBJECTIVE

Evaluate the effectiveness of machine learning tools that incorporate spatial information such as disease location and lymph node metastatic patterns-of-spread, for prediction of survival and toxicity in HPV+ oropharyngeal cancer (OPC).

MATERIALS & METHODS

675 HPV+ OPC patients that were treated at MD Anderson Cancer Center between 2005 and 2013 with curative intent IMRT were retrospectively collected under IRB approval. Risk stratifications incorporating patient radiometric data and lymph node metastasis patterns via an anatomically-adjacent representation with hierarchical clustering were identified. These clusterings were combined into a 3-level patient stratification and included along with other known clinical features in a Cox model for predicting survival outcomes, and logistic regression for toxicity, using independent subsets for training and validation.

RESULTS

Four groups were identified and combined into a 3-level stratification. The inclusion of patient stratifications in predictive models for 5-yr Overall survival (OS), 5-year recurrence free survival, (RFS) and Radiation-associated dysphagia (RAD) consistently improved model performance measured using the area under the curve (AUC). Test set AUC improvements over models with clinical covariates, was 9 % for predicting OS, and 18 % for predicting RFS, and 7 % for predicting RAD. For models with both clinical and AJCC covariates, AUC improvement was 7 %, 9 %, and 2 % for OS, RFS, and RAD, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Including data-driven patient stratifications considerably improve prognosis for survival and toxicity outcomes over the performance achieved by clinical staging and clinical covariates alone. These stratifications generalize well to across cohorts, and sufficient information for reproducing these clusters is included.

Multi-organ spatial stratification of 3-D dose distributions improves risk prediction of long-term self-reported severe symptoms in oropharyngeal cancer patients receiving radiotherapy: development of a pre-treatment decision support tool

Purpose

Identify Oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) patients at high-risk of developing long-term severe radiation-associated symptoms using dose volume histograms for organs-at-risk, via unsupervised clustering.

Material and methods

All patients were treated using radiation therapy for OPC. Dose-volume histograms of organs-at-risk were extracted from patients' treatment plans. Symptom ratings were collected via the MD Anderson Symptom Inventory (MDASI) given weekly during, and 6 months post-treatment. Drymouth, trouble swallowing, mucus, and vocal dysfunction were selected for analysis in this study. Patient stratifications were obtained by applying Bayesian Mixture Models with three components to patient's dose histograms for relevant organs. The clusters with the highest total mean doses were translated into dose thresholds using rule mining. Patient stratifications were compared against Tumor staging information using multivariate likelihood ratio tests. Model performance for prediction of moderate/severe symptoms at 6 months was compared against normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models using cross-validation.

Results

A total of 349 patients were included for long-term symptom prediction. High-risk clusters were significantly correlated with outcomes for severe late drymouth (p <.0001, OR = 2.94), swallow (p = .002, OR = 5.13), mucus (p = .001, OR = 3.18), and voice (p = .009, OR = 8.99). Simplified clusters were also correlated with late severe symptoms for drymouth (p <.001, OR = 2.77), swallow (p = .01, OR = 3.63), mucus (p = .01, OR = 2.37), and voice (p <.001, OR = 19.75). Proposed cluster stratifications show better performance than NTCP models for severe drymouth (AUC.598 vs.559, MCC.143 vs.062), swallow (AUC.631 vs.561, MCC.20 vs -.030), mucus (AUC.596 vs.492, MCC.164 vs -.041), and voice (AUC.681 vs.555, MCC.181 vs -.019). Simplified dose thresholds also show better performance than baseline models for predicting late severe ratings for all symptoms.

Conclusion

Our results show that leveraging the 3-D dose histograms from radiation therapy plan improves stratification of patients according to their risk of experiencing long-term severe radiation associated symptoms, beyond existing NTPC models. Our rule-based method can approximate our stratifications with minimal loss of accuracy and can proactively identify risk factors for radiation-associated toxicity.

DASS Good: Explainable Data Mining of Spatial Cohort Data

Developing applicable clinical machine learning models is a difficult task when the data includes spatial information, for example, radiation dose distributions across adjacent organs at risk. We describe the co-design of a modeling system, DASS, to support the hybrid human-machine development and validation of predictive models for estimating long-term toxicities related to radiotherapy doses in head and neck cancer patients. Developed in collaboration with domain experts in oncology and data mining, DASS incorporates human-in-the-loop visual steering, spatial data, and explainable AI to augment domain knowledge with automatic data mining. We demonstrate DASS with the development of two practical clinical stratification models and report feedback from domain experts. Finally, we describe the design lessons learned from this collaborative experience.

Improving Prediction of Late Symptoms using LSTM and Patient-reported Outcomes for Head and Neck Cancer Patients

Patient-Reported Outcomes (PRO) are collected directly from the patients using symptom questionnaires. In the case of head and neck cancer patients, PRO surveys are recorded every week during treatment with each patient's visit to the clinic and at different follow-up times after the treatment has concluded. PRO surveys can be very informative regarding the patient's status and the effect of treatment on the patient's quality of life (QoL). Processing PRO data is challenging for several reasons. First, missing data is frequent as patients might skip a question or a questionnaire altogether. Second, PROs are patient-dependent, a rating of 5 for one patient might be a rating of 10 for another patient. Finally, most patients experience severe symptoms during treatment which usually subside over time. However, for some patients, late toxicities persist negatively affecting the patient's QoL. These long-term severe symptoms are hard to predict and are the focus of this study. In this work, we model PRO data collected from head and neck cancer patients treated at the MD Anderson Cancer Center using the MD Anderson Symptom Inventory (MDASI) questionnaire as time series. We impute missing values with a combination of K nearest neighbor (KNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks, and finally, apply LSTM to predict late symptom severity 12 months after treatment. We compare performance against clinical and ARIMA models. We show that the LSTM model combined with KNN imputation is effective in predicting late-stage symptom ratings for occurrence and severity under the AUC and F1 score metrics.

Machine learning for the prediction of toxicities from head and neck cancer treatment: A systematic review with meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

The aim of the present systematic review (SR) is to summarize Machine Learning (ML) models currently used to predict head and neck cancer (HNC) treatment-related toxicities, and to understand the impact of image biomarkers (IBMs) in prediction models (PMs). The present SR was conducted following the guidelines of the PRISMA 2022 and registered in PROSPERO database (CRD42020219304).

METHODS

The acronym PICOS was used to develop the focused review question (Can PMs accurately predict HNC treatment toxicities?) and the eligibility criteria. The inclusion criteria enrolled Prediction Model Studies (PMSs) with patient cohorts that were treated for HNC and developed toxicities. Electronic database search encompassed PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, LILACS, and Gray Literature (Google Scholar and ProQuest). Risk of Bias (RoB) was assessed through PROBAST and the results were synthesized based on the data format (with and without IBMs) to allow comparison.

RESULTS

A total of 28 studies and 4,713 patients were included. Xerostomia was the most frequently investigated toxicity (17; 60.71 %). Sixteen (57.14 %) studies reported using radiomics features in combination with clinical or dosimetrics/dosiomics for modelling. High RoB was identified in 23 studies. Meta-analysis (MA) showed an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) of 0.82 for models with IBMs and 0.81 for models without IBMs (p value < 0.001), demonstrating no difference among IBM- and non-IBM-based models.

DISCUSSION

The development of a PM based on sample-specific features represents patient selection bias and may affect a model's performance. Heterogeneity of the studies as well as non-standardized metrics prevent proper comparison of studies, and the absence of an independent/external test does not allow the evaluation of the model's generalization ability.

CONCLUSION

IBM-featured PMs are not superior to PMs based on non-IBM predictors. The evidence was appraised as of low certainty.

Optimal Treatment Selection in Sequential Systemic and Locoregional Therapy of Oropharyngeal Squamous Carcinomas: Deep Q-Learning With a Patient-Physician Digital Twin Dyad

BACKGROUND

Currently, selection of patients for sequential versus concurrent chemotherapy and radiation regimens lacks evidentiary support and it is based on locally optimal decisions for each step.

OBJECTIVE

We aim to optimize the multistep treatment of patients with head and neck cancer and predict multiple patient survival and toxicity outcomes, and we develop, apply, and evaluate a first application of deep Q-learning (DQL) and simulation to this problem.

METHODS

The treatment decision DQL digital twin and the patient's digital twin were created, trained, and evaluated on a data set of 536 patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma with the goal of, respectively, determining the optimal treatment decisions with respect to survival and toxicity metrics and predicting the outcomes of the optimal treatment on the patient. Of the data set of 536 patients, the models were trained on a subset of 402 (75%) patients (split randomly) and evaluated on a separate set of 134 (25%) patients. Training and evaluation of the digital twin dyad was completed in August 2020. The data set includes 3-step sequential treatment decisions and complete relevant history of the patient cohort treated at MD Anderson Cancer Center between 2005 and 2013, with radiomics analysis performed for the segmented primary tumor volumes.

RESULTS

On the test set, we found mean 87.35% (SD 11.15%) and median 90.85% (IQR 13.56%) accuracies in treatment outcome prediction, matching the clinicians' outcomes and improving the (predicted) survival rate by +3.73% (95% CI -0.75% to 8.96%) and the dysphagia rate by +0.75% (95% CI -4.48% to 6.72%) when following DQL treatment decisions.

CONCLUSIONS

Given the prediction accuracy and predicted improvement regarding the medically relevant outcomes yielded by this approach, this digital twin dyad of the patient-physician dynamic treatment problem has the potential of aiding physicians in determining the optimal course of treatment and in assessing its outcomes.

A Tale of Two Centers: Visual Exploration of Health Disparities in Cancer Care

The annual incidence of head and neck cancers (HNC) worldwide is more than 550,000 cases, with around 300,000 deaths each year. However, the incidence rates and disease-characteristics of HNC differ between treatment centers and different populations, due to undetermined reasons, which may or not include socioeconomic factors. The multi-faceted and multi-variate nature of the data in the context of the emerging field of health disparities research makes automated analysis impractical. Hence, we present a visual analysis approach to explore the health disparities in the data of HNC patients from two different cohorts at two cancer care centers. Our approach integrates data from multiple sources, including census data and city data, with custom visual encodings and with a nearest neighbor approach. Our design, created in collaboration with oncology experts, makes it possible to analyze the patients' demographic, disease characteristics, treatments and outcomes, and to make significant comparisons of these two cohorts and of individual patients. We evaluate this approach through two case studies performed with domain experts. The results demonstrate that this visual analysis approach successfully accomplishes the goal of comparing two cohorts in terms of different significant factors, and can provide insights into the main source of health disparities between the two centers.

THALIS: Human-Machine Analysis of Longitudinal Symptoms in Cancer Therapy

Although cancer patients survive years after oncologic therapy, they are plagued with long-lasting or permanent residual symptoms, whose severity, rate of development, and resolution after treatment vary largely between survivors. The analysis and interpretation of symptoms is complicated by their partial co-occurrence, variability across populations and across time, and, in the case of cancers that use radiotherapy, by further symptom dependency on the tumor location and prescribed treatment. We describe THALIS, an environment for visual analysis and knowledge discovery from cancer therapy symptom data, developed in close collaboration with oncology experts. Our approach leverages unsupervised machine learning methodology over cohorts of patients, and, in conjunction with custom visual encodings and interactions, provides context for new patients based on patients with similar diagnostic features and symptom evolution. We evaluate this approach on data collected from a cohort of head and neck cancer patients. Feedback from our clinician collaborators indicates that THALIS supports knowledge discovery beyond the limits of machines or humans alone, and that it serves as a valuable tool in both the clinic and symptom research.

Identifying Symptom Clusters Through Association Rule Mining

Cancer patients experience many symptoms throughout their cancer treatment and sometimes suffer from lasting effects post-treatment. Patient-Reported Outcome (PRO) surveys provide a means for monitoring the patient's symptoms during and after treatment. Symptom cluster (SC) research seeks to understand these symptoms and their relationships to define new treatment and disease management methods to improve patient's quality of life. This paper introduces association rule mining (ARM) as a novel alternative for identifying symptom clusters. We compare the results to prior research and find that while some of the SCs are similar, ARM uncovers more nuanced relationships between symptoms such as anchor symptoms that serve as connections between interference and cancer-specific symptoms.

Precision association of lymphatic disease spread with radiation-associated toxicity in oropharyngeal squamous carcinomas

PURPOSE

To determine whether patient similarity in terms of head and neck cancer spread through lymph nodes correlates significantly with radiation-associated toxicity.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

582 head and neck cancer patients received radiotherapy for oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) and had non-metastatic affected lymph nodes in the head and neck. Affected lymph nodes were segmented from pretreatment contrast-enhanced tomography scans and categorized according to consensus guidelines. Similar patients were clustered into 4 groups according to a graph-based representation of disease spread through affected lymph nodes. Correlation between dysphagia-associated symptoms and patient groups was calculated.

RESULTS

Out of 582 patients, 26% (152) experienced toxicity during a follow up evaluation 6 months after completion of radiotherapy treatment. Patient groups identified by our approach were significantly correlated with dysphagia, feeding tube, and aspiration toxicity (p < .0005).

DISCUSSION

Our results suggest that structural geometry-aware characterization of affected lymph nodes can be used to better predict radiation-associated dysphagia at time of diagnosis, and better inform treatment guidelines.

CONCLUSION

Our work successfully stratified a patient cohort into similar groups using a structural geometry, graph-encoding of affected lymph nodes in oropharyngeal cancer patients, that were predictive of late radiation-associated dysphagia and toxicity.

Oropharyngeal cancer patient stratification using random forest based-learning over high-dimensional radiomic features

To improve risk prediction for oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) patients using cluster analysis on the radiomic features extracted from pre-treatment Computed Tomography (CT) scans. 553 OPC Patients randomly split into training (80%) and validation (20%), were classified into 2 or 3 risk groups by applying hierarchical clustering over the co-occurrence matrix obtained from a random survival forest (RSF) trained over 301 radiomic features. The cluster label was included together with other clinical data to train an ensemble model using five predictive models (Cox, random forest, RSF, logistic regression, and logistic-elastic net). Ensemble performance was evaluated over the independent test set for both recurrence free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). The Kaplan-Meier curves for OS stratified by cluster label show significant differences for both training and testing (p val < 0.0001). When compared to the models trained using clinical data only, the inclusion of the cluster label improves AUC test performance from .62 to .79 and from .66 to .80 for OS and RFS, respectively. The extraction of a single feature, namely a cluster label, to represent the high-dimensional radiomic feature space reduces the dimensionality and sparsity of the data. Moreover, inclusion of the cluster label improves model performance compared to clinical data only and offers comparable performance to the models including raw radiomic features.

Predicting late symptoms of head and neck cancer treatment using LSTM and patient reported outcomes

Patient-Reported Outcome (PRO) surveys are used to monitor patients' symptoms during and after cancer treatment. Acute symptoms refer to those experienced during treatment and late symptoms refer to those experienced after treatment. While most patients experience severe symptoms during treatment, these usually subside in the late stage. However, for some patients, late toxicities persist negatively affecting the patient's quality of life (QoL). In the case of head and neck cancer patients, PRO surveys are recorded every week during the patient's visit to the clinic and at different follow-up times after the treatment has concluded. In this paper, we model the PRO data as a time-series and apply Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks for predicting symptom severity in the late stage. The PRO data used in this project corresponds to MD Anderson Symptom Inventory (MDASI) questionnaires collected from head and neck cancer patients treated at the MD Anderson Cancer Center. We show that the LSTM model is effective in predicting symptom ratings under the RMSE and NRMSE metrics. Our experiments show that the LSTM model also outperforms other machine learning models and time-series prediction models for these data.