Deciphering the glioblastoma phenotype by computed tomography radiomics

Tumour Size and Overall Survival in a Cohort of Patients with Unifocal Glioblastoma: A Uni- and Multivariable Prognostic Modelling and Resampling Study

Published models inconsistently associate glioblastoma size with overall survival (OS). This study aimed to investigate the prognostic effect of tumour size in a large cohort of patients diagnosed with GBM and interrogate how sample size and non-linear transformations may impact on the likelihood of finding a prognostic effect. In total, 279 patients with a IDH-wildtype unifocal WHO grade 4 GBM between 2014 and 2020 from a retrospective cohort were included. Uni-/multivariable association between core volume, whole volume (CV and WV), and diameter with OS was assessed with (1) Cox proportional hazard models +/- log transformation and (2) resampling with 1,000,000 repetitions and varying sample size to identify the percentage of models, which showed a significant effect of tumour size. Models adjusted for operation type and a diameter model adjusted for all clinical variables remained significant (p = 0.03). Multivariable resampling increased the significant effects (p < 0.05) of all size variables as sample size increased. Log transformation also had a large effect on the chances of a prognostic effect of WV. For models adjusted for operation type, 19.5% of WV vs. 26.3% log-WV (n = 50) and 69.9% WV and 89.9% log-WV (n = 279) were significant. In this large well-curated cohort, multivariable modelling and resampling suggest tumour volume is prognostic at larger sample sizes and with log transformation for WV.

A PET/CT radiomics model for predicting distant metastasis in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with stereotactic body radiotherapy: a multicentric study

OBJECTIVES

Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) is a treatment option for patients with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who are unfit for surgery. Some patients may experience distant metastasis. This study aimed to develop and validate a radiomics model for predicting distant metastasis in patients with early-stage NSCLC treated with SBRT.

METHODS

Patients at five institutions were enrolled in this study. Radiomics features were extracted based on the PET/CT images. After feature selection in the training set (from Tianjin), CT-based and PET-based radiomics signatures were built. Models based on CT and PET signatures were built and validated using external datasets (from Zhejiang, Zhengzhou, Shandong, and Shanghai). An integrated model that included CT and PET radiomic signatures was developed. The performance of the proposed model was evaluated in terms of its discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Multivariate logistic regression was used to calculate the probability of distant metastases. The cutoff value was obtained using the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC), and the patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate the distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) of different risk groups.

RESULTS

In total, 228 patients were enrolled. The median follow-up time was 31.4 (2.0-111.4) months. The model based on CT radiomics signatures had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.819 in the training set (n = 139) and 0.786 in the external dataset (n = 89). The PET radiomics model had an AUC of 0.763 for the training set and 0.804 for the external dataset. The model combining CT and PET radiomics had an AUC of 0.835 for the training set and 0.819 for the external dataset. The combined model showed a moderate calibration and a positive net benefit. When the probability of distant metastasis was greater than 0.19, the patient was considered to be at high risk. The DMFS of patients with high- and low-risk was significantly stratified (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed PET/CT radiomics model can be used to predict distant metastasis in patients with early-stage NSCLC treated with SBRT and provide a reference for clinical decision-making. In this study, the model was established by combining CT and PET radiomics signatures in a moderate-quantity training cohort of early-stage NSCLC patients treated with SBRT and was successfully validated in independent cohorts. Physicians could use this easy-to-use model to assess the risk of distant metastasis after SBRT. Identifying subgroups of patients with different risk factors for distant metastasis is useful for guiding personalized treatment approaches.

Radiomics-based decision support tool assists radiologists in small lung nodule classification and improves lung cancer early diagnosis

BACKGROUND

Methods to improve stratification of small (≤15 mm) lung nodules are needed. We aimed to develop a radiomics model to assist lung cancer diagnosis.

METHODS

Patients were retrospectively identified using health records from January 2007 to December 2018. The external test set was obtained from the national LIBRA study and a prospective Lung Cancer Screening programme. Radiomics features were extracted from multi-region CT segmentations using TexLab2.0. LASSO regression generated the 5-feature small nodule radiomics-predictive-vector (SN-RPV). K-means clustering was used to split patients into risk groups according to SN-RPV. Model performance was compared to 6 thoracic radiologists. SN-RPV and radiologist risk groups were combined to generate "Safety-Net" and "Early Diagnosis" decision-support tools.

RESULTS

In total, 810 patients with 990 nodules were included. The AUC for malignancy prediction was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.82-0.87), 0.78 (95% CI: 0.70-0.85) and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.59-0.92) for the training, test and external test datasets, respectively. The test set accuracy was 73% (95% CI: 65-81%) and resulted in 66.67% improvements in potentially missed [8/12] or delayed [6/9] cancers, compared to the radiologist with performance closest to the mean of six readers.

CONCLUSIONS

SN-RPV may provide net-benefit in terms of earlier cancer diagnosis.

Identifying radiomics signatures in body composition imaging for the prediction of outcome following pancreatic cancer resection

Background

Computerized radiological image analysis (radiomics) enables the investigation of image-derived phenotypes by extracting large numbers of quantitative features. We hypothesized that radiomics features may contain prognostic information that enhances conventional body composition analysis. We aimed to investigate whether body composition-associated radiomics features hold additional value over conventional body composition analysis and clinical patient characteristics used to predict survival of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients.

Methods

Computed tomography images of 304 patients undergoing elective pancreatic cancer resection were analysed. 2D radiomics features were extracted from skeletal muscle and subcutaneous and visceral adipose tissue (SAT and VAT) compartments from a single slice at the third lumbar vertebra. The study population was randomly split (80:20) into training and holdout subsets. Feature ranking with Least Absolute Shrinkage Selection Operator (LASSO) followed by multivariable stepwise Cox regression in 1000 bootstrapped re-samples of the training data was performed and tested on the holdout data. The fitted regression predictors were used as "scores" for a clinical (C-Score), body composition (B-Score), and radiomics (R-Score) model. To stratify patients into the highest 25% and lowest 25% risk of mortality compared to the middle 50%, the Harrell Concordance Index was used.

Results

Based on LASSO and stepwise cox regression for overall survival, ASA ≥3 and age were the most important clinical variables and constituted the C-score, and VAT-index (VATI) was the most important body composition variable and constituted the B-score. Three radiomics features (SATI_original_shape2D_Perimeter, VATI_original_glszm_SmallAreaEmphasis, and VATI_original_firstorder_Maximum) emerged as the most frequent set of features and yielded an R-Score. Of the mean concordance indices of C-, B-, and R-scores, R-score performed best (0.61, 95% CI 0.56-0.65, p<0.001), followed by the C-score (0.59, 95% CI 0.55-0.63, p<0.001) and B-score (0.55, 95% CI 0.50-0.60, p=0.03). Kaplan-Meier projection revealed that C-, B, and R-scores showed a clear split in the survival curves in the training set, although none remained significant in the holdout set.

Conclusion

It is feasible to implement a data-driven radiomics approach to body composition imaging. Radiomics features provided improved predictive performance compared to conventional body composition variables for the prediction of overall survival of PDAC patients undergoing primary resection.

The Association of Gross Tumor Volume and Its Radiomics Features with Brain Metastases Development in Patients with Radically Treated Stage III Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

PURPOSE

To identify clinical risk factors, including gross tumor volume (GTV) and radiomics features, for developing brain metastases (BM) in patients with radically treated stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

Clinical data and planning CT scans for thoracic radiotherapy were retrieved from patients with radically treated stage III NSCLC. Radiomics features were extracted from the GTV, primary lung tumor (GTVp), and involved lymph nodes (GTVn), separately. Competing risk analysis was used to develop models (clinical, radiomics, and combined model). LASSO regression was performed to select radiomics features and train models. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC-ROC) and calibration were performed to assess the models' performance.

RESULTS

Three-hundred-ten patients were eligible and 52 (16.8%) developed BM. Three clinical variables (age, NSCLC subtype, and GTVn) and five radiomics features from each radiomics model were significantly associated with BM. Radiomic features measuring tumor heterogeneity were the most relevant. The AUCs and calibration curves of the models showed that the GTVn radiomics model had the best performance (AUC: 0.74; 95% CI: 0.71-0.86; sensitivity: 84%; specificity: 61%; positive predictive value [PPV]: 29%; negative predictive value [NPV]: 95%; accuracy: 65%).

CONCLUSION

Age, NSCLC subtype, and GTVn were significant risk factors for BM. GTVn radiomics features provided higher predictive value than GTVp and GTV for BM development. GTVp and GTVn should be separated in clinical and research practice.

Computed tomography-based radiomics for the differential diagnosis of pneumonitis in stage IV non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors

INTRODUCTION

Immunotherapy-induced pneumonitis (IIP) is a serious side-effect which requires accurate diagnosis and management with high-dose corticosteroids. The differential diagnosis between IIP and other types of pneumonitis (OTP) remains challenging due to similar radiological patterns. This study was aimed to develop a prediction model to differentiate IIP from OTP in patients with stage IV non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who developed pneumonitis during immunotherapy.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with metastatic NSCLC treated with immunotherapy in six centres in the Netherlands and Belgium from 2017 to 2020 were reviewed and cause-specific pneumonitis events were identified. Seven regions of interest (segmented lungs and spheroidal/cubical regions surrounding the inflammation) were examined to extract the most predictive radiomic features from the chest computed tomography images obtained at pneumonitis manifestation. Models were internally tested regarding discrimination, calibration and decisional benefit. To evaluate the clinical application of the models, predicted labels were compared with the separate clinical and radiological judgements.

RESULTS

A total of 556 patients were reviewed; 31 patients (5.6%) developed IIP and 41 patients developed OTP (7.4%). The line of immunotherapy was the only predictive factor in the clinical model (2nd versus 1st odds ratio = 0.08, 95% confidence interval:0.01-0.77). The best radiomic model was achieved using a 75-mm spheroidal region of interest which showed an optimism-corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.83 (95% confidence interval:0.77-0.95) with negative and positive predictive values of 80% and 79%, respectively. Good calibration and net benefits were achieved for the radiomic model across the entire range of probabilities. A correct diagnosis was provided by the radiomic model in 10 out of 12 cases with non-conclusive radiological judgements.

CONCLUSION

Radiomic biomarkers applied to computed tomography imaging may support clinicians making the differential diagnosis of pneumonitis in patients with NSCLC receiving immunotherapy, especially when the radiologic assessment is non-conclusive.

Radiomics and Dosiomics Signature From Whole Lung Predicts Radiation Pneumonitis: A Model Development Study With Prospective External Validation and Decision-curve Analysis

PURPOSE

Radiation pneumonitis (RP) is one of the common side effects of radiation therapy in the thoracic region. Radiomics and dosiomics quantify information implicit within medical images and radiation therapy dose distributions. In this study we demonstrate the prognostic potential of radiomics, dosiomics, and clinical features for RP prediction.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Radiomics, dosiomics, dose-volume histogram (DVH) metrics, and clinical parameters were obtained on 314 retrospectively collected and 35 prospectively enrolled patients diagnosed with lung cancer between 2013 to 2019. A radiomics risk score (R score) and dosiomics risk score (D score), as well as a DVH-score, were calculated based on logistic regression after feature selection. Six models were built using different combinations of R score, D score, DVH score, and clinical parameters to evaluate their added prognostic power. Overoptimism was evaluated by bootstrap resampling from the training set, and the prospectively collected cohort was used as the external test set. Model calibration and decision-curve characteristics of the best-performing models were evaluated. For ease of further evaluation, nomograms were constructed for selected models.

RESULTS

A model built by integrating all of the R score, D score, and clinical parameters had the best discriminative ability with areas under the curve of 0.793 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.735-0.851), 0.774 (95% CI, 0.762-0.786), and 0.855 (95% CI, 0.719-0.990) in the training, bootstrapping, and external test sets, respectively. The calibration curve image showed good agreement between the predicted and actual values, with a slope of 1.21 and intercept of -0.04. The decision curve image showed a positive net benefit for the final model based on the nomogram.

CONCLUSIONS

Radiomic and dosiomic features have the potential to assist with the prediction of RP, and the combination of radiomics, dosiomics, and clinical parameters led to the best prognostic model in the present study.

Preoperative prediction of invasive behavior of pancreatic solid pseudopapillary neoplasm by MRI-based multiparametric radiomics models

OBJECTIVE

A log-combined model was developed to predict the invasive behavior of pancreatic solid pseudopapillary neoplasm (pSPN) based on clinical and radiomic features extracted from multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 111 patients with pathologically confirmed pSPN who underwent preoperative plain and contrast-enhanced MRI were included, and divided into an invasive group (n = 34) and non-invasive group (n = 77). Clinical features and laboratory data related to pSPN invasive behavior were analyzed. Regions of interest were delineated based on T1-weighted imaging (T1WI), T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI), and contrast-enhanced T1WI (CE-T1WI) to extract radiomic features. Correlation analysis was performed for these features, followed by L1_based feature selection (C = 0.15). A logistic regression algorithm was used to construct models based on each of the four sequences and a log-combined model was used to integrate the sequences. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to evaluate the model performance, and the Brier score was used to assess the overall accuracy of the model predictions.

RESULTS

The area under the ROC curve was 0.68, 0.73, 0.71, and 0.49 for Log-T1WI, Log-T2WI, Log-DWI, and Log-CE models, respectively, and 0.81 for the log-combined model. The accuracy, precision, sensitivity, and specificity of the log-combined model were 0.77, 0.88, 0.75, and 0.78, respectively. The best performance was obtained with the log-combined model with a Brier score of 0.18. Tumor location was identified as a significant clinical feature in comparison between the two groups (p < 0.05), and invasive pSPN was more frequent in the tail of the pancreas.

CONCLUSION

The log-combined model based on multiparametric MRI and clinical features can be used as a non-invasive diagnostic tool for preoperative prediction of pSPN invasive behavior and to facilitate the development of individualized treatment strategies and monitoring management plans.

A multicenter study on the preoperative prediction of gastric cancer microsatellite instability status based on computed tomography radiomics

PURPOSE

To construct and validate a radiomics feature model based on computed tomography (CT) images and clinical characteristics to predict the microsatellite instability (MSI) status of gastric cancer patients before surgery.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected the upper abdominal or the entire abdominal-enhanced CT scans of 189 gastric cancer patients before surgery. The patients underwent postoperative gastric cancer MSI status testing, and the dates of their radiologic images and clinicopathological data were from January 2015 to August 2021. These 189 patients were divided into a training set (n = 90) and an external validation set (n = 99). The patients were divided by MSI status into the MSI-high (H) arm (30 and 33 patients in the training set and external validation set, respectively) and MSI-low/stable (L/S) arm (60 and 66 patients in the training set and external validation set, respectively). In the training set, the clinical characteristics and tumor radiologic characteristics of the patients were extracted, and the tenfold cross-validation method was used for internal validation of the training set. The external validation set was used to assess its generalized performance. A receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to assess the model performance, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated.

RESULTS

The AUC of the radiomics model in the training set and external validation set was 0.8228 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.7355-0.9101] and 0.7603 [95% CI 0.6625-0.8581], respectively, showing that the constructed radiomics model exhibited satisfactory generalization capabilities. The accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the training dataset were 0.72, 0.63, and 0.77, respectively. The accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the external validation dataset were 0.67, 0.79, and 0.60, respectively. Statistical analysis was carried out on the clinical data, and there was statistical significance for the tumor site and age (p < 0.05). MSI-H gastric cancer was mostly seen in the gastric antrum and older patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Radiomics markers based on CT images and clinical characteristics have the potential to be a non-invasive auxiliary diagnostic tool for preoperative assessment of gastric cancer MSI status, and they can aid in clinical decision-making and improve patient outcomes.