The expected cumulative incidence of live birth for patients starting IVF treatment at age 41 years or older

Live birth rate following a failed first in vitro fertilization cycle with no embryos for transfer

After a failed in vitro fertilization (IVF) procedure in which no transferable embryo was obtained, the possibility of a subsequent pregnancy for the patient is unknown. We conducted a cohort retrospective study evaluating the live birth rate in the subsequent cycles of the patients with no embryo for transfer in their first IVF attempt between 2017and 2020. The first cycle variables of patients who conceived in subsequent cycles were compared to those who did not. Additionally, for patients who conceived at last, variables related to ovarian stimulation were compared between the first cycle and the conceiving cycle. In accordance with the inclusion criteria, 529 were enrolled during the study period, of which 230 had successful pregnancies and 192 gave birth to a live infant. Cumulative live birth rates (CLBR) per cycle and patient were 26% and 36% respectively. Moreover, 99% of the live births were obtained within the first three attempts, beyond six cycles, there was no pregnancy. Stimulating variables in the first cycle were not effective in predicting the likelihood of a patient's subsequent pregnancy. Overall, patients who did not have embryos available for transfer in the first cycle had a 36% chance of getting a live birth in subsequent attempts, and the cause of failure should be considered.

Risk Factors of Pregnancy Failure in Infertile Patients Undergoing Assisted Reproductive Technology

Background

Infertile couples need to use assisted reproductive technology (ART) to give birth. However, pregnancy failure after ART is not uncommon. At present, the results of studies on the causes of pregnancy failure after ART are inconsistent.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study involving 715 embryo transfer cycles was conducted at the Reproductive Medicine Center of Meizhou People's Hospital, from December 2015 to June 2022. According to the pregnancy, they were divided into clinical pregnancy group and pregnancy failure group. The relationship between demographic characteristics and pregnancy status between the two groups was analyzed.

Results

The pregnancy failure rate after ART was 49.7% (355/715). There were statistically significant distribution differences of maternal age, paternal age, COH protocols, and number of embryos transferred between clinical pregnancy and pregnancy failure groups (all P<0.01). Multiple logistic regression analysis shows that high maternal age (>35 years old vs ≤35 years old: OR 2.173, 95% CI: 1.386-3.407, P=0.001), and GnRH-a short protocol (GnRH-a short protocol vs GnRH-a long protocol: OR 2.139, 95% CI: 1.127-4.058, P=0.020) may increase risk of pregnancy failure in ART pregnancies, while two embryos transferred (two embryos transferred vs one embryo transferred: OR 0.563, 95% CI: 0.377-0.839, P=0.005) may reduce risk of pregnancy failure. In addition, high maternal age, GnRH antagonist protocol, and GnRH-a short protocol may increase risk of implantation failure, while two embryos transferred may reduce risk of implantation failure. And high maternal age may increase risk of biochemical pregnancy.

Conclusion

The risk of pregnancy failure increased in ART cycles with maternal age >35 years old and GnRH-a short protocol, while reduced with two embryos transferred.

Clinical outcome of planned oocyte cryopreservation at advanced age

PURPOSE

To report outcome of planned oocyte cryopreservation (POC) in the first 8 years of this treatment in our center.

METHODS

A retrospective study in a university-affiliated medical center.

RESULTS

A total of 446 women underwent POC during 2011-2018. Fifty-seven (13%) women presented to use these oocytes during the study period (until June 2021). POC was performed at a mean age of 37.9 ± 2.0 (range 33-41). Age at thawing was 43.3 ± 2.1 (range 38-49). A total of 34 (60%) women transferred their oocytes for thawing at other units. Oocyte survival after thawing was significantly higher at our center than following shipping to ancillary sites (78 vs. 63%, p = 0.047). Forty-nine women completed their treatment, either depleting their cryopreserved oocytes without conceiving (36) or attaining a live birth (13)-27% live birth rate per woman. Only one of eleven women who cryopreserved oocytes aged 40 and older had a live birth using thawed oocytes.

CONCLUSION

Women should be advised to complete planned oocyte cryopreservation before age 40, given low success rates in women who underwent cryopreservation at advanced reproductive age. In this study, oocyte shipping was associated with lower survival rate. These findings may be relevant for women considering POC and utilization of cryopreserved oocytes.

Biphasic (5-2%) oxygen concentration strategy significantly improves the usable blastocyst and cumulative live birth rates in in vitro fertilization

Oxygen (O₂) concentration is approximately 5% in the fallopian tube and 2% in the uterus in humans. A "back to nature" approach could increase in vitro fertilization (IVF) outcomes. This hypothesis was tested in this monocentric observational retrospective study that included 120 couples who underwent two IVF cycles between 2014 and 2019. Embryos were cultured at 5% from day 0 (D0) to D5/6 (monophasic O₂ concentration strategy) in the first IVF cycle, and at 5% O₂ from D0 to D3 and 2% O₂ from D3 to D5/6 (biphasic O₂ concentration strategy) in the second IVF cycle. The total and usable blastocyst rates (44.4% vs. 54.8%, p = 0.049 and 21.8% vs. 32.8%, p = 0.002, respectively) and the cumulative live birth rate (17.9% vs. 44.1%, p = 0.027) were significantly higher with the biphasic (5%-2%) O₂ concentration strategy. Whole transcriptome analysis of blastocysts donated for research identified 707 RNAs that were differentially expressed in function of the O₂ strategy (fold-change > 2, p value < 0.05). These genes are mainly involved in embryo development, DNA repair, embryonic stem cell pluripotency, and implantation potential. The biphasic (5-2%) O₂ concentration strategy for preimplantation embryo culture could increase the "take home baby rate", thus improving IVF cost-effectiveness and infertility management.

Future fertility of patients with zero oocytes yield in their first IVF cycle attempt

PURPOSE

We aim to estimate the future fertility of patient undergoing their first IVF cycle attempt with no oocyte retrieved, and to identify factors that might predict those who will conceive in subsequent IVF cycle attempt.

METHODS

A cohort retrospective study of all consecutive women attending our IVF unit, for their first IVF cycle attempt, between January 2013 to December 2019, who reached the ovum pick-up (OPU) stage with zero oocyte retrieved. Patients' characteristics and infertility-treatment-related variables in the first IVF cycle attempt were compared between those who conceived in a subsequent cycle and those who did not. Moreover, infertility-treatment-related variables during successful cycles resulting in pregnancy were compared to those without.

RESULTS

59 met the study inclusion criteria, yielding zero oocytes. During the follow-up period, 12 (20.3%) women conceived (one conceived twice), and 8 (14%) gave birth to a live infant. Cumulative live-birth rate per OPU and per patients were 4% and 14%, respectively. Clinical pregnancies were achieved after 3.61+1.4 cycle attempts (range: 1-6), with no live-births following the fifth IVF cycle attempt. No in-between group differences were observed in ovarian stimulation variables of their first IVF cycle attempt. Moreover, in those cycles resulting in pregnancy, patients achieved a significantly higher number of fertilized oocytes (2.15+1.5 vs 0.94+1.5, respectively; p<0.01) and a higher mean top-quality embryos (TQE) (1.76+0.9 vs 0.73+1.2, respectively; p<0.003).

CONCLUSION

Women yielding zero oocytes at their first IVF cycle attempt, may achieve 14% cumulative live-birth rate after 5 IVF cycle attempts. Moreover, those who conceived in subsequent IVF cycle attempts were those achieving 2 or more fertilized oocytes/TQE.

Optimising Follicular Development, Pituitary Suppression, Triggering and Luteal Phase Support During Assisted Reproductive Technology: A Delphi Consensus

BACKGROUND

A Delphi consensus was conducted to evaluate global expert opinions on key aspects of assisted reproductive technology (ART) treatment.

METHODS

Ten experts plus the Scientific Coordinator discussed and amended statements plus supporting references proposed by the Scientific Coordinator. The statements were distributed via an online survey to 35 experts, who voted on their level of agreement or disagreement with each statement. Consensus was reached if the proportion of participants agreeing or disagreeing with a statement was >66%.

RESULTS

Eighteen statements were developed. All statements reached consensus and the most relevant are summarised here. (1) Follicular development and stimulation with gonadotropins (n = 9 statements): Recombinant human follicle stimulating hormone (r-hFSH) alone is sufficient for follicular development in normogonadotropic patients aged <35 years. Oocyte number and live birth rate are strongly correlated; there is a positive linear correlation with cumulative live birth rate. Different r-hFSH preparations have identical polypeptide chains but different glycosylation patterns, affecting the biospecific activity of r-hFSH. r-hFSH plus recombinant human LH (r-hFSH:r-hLH) demonstrates improved pregnancy rates and cost efficacy versus human menopausal gonadotropin (hMG) in patients with severe FSH and LH deficiency. (2) Pituitary suppression (n = 2 statements): Gonadotropin releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonists are associated with lower rates of any grade ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS) and cycle cancellation versus GnRH agonists. (3) Final oocyte maturation triggering (n=4 statements): Human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) represents the gold standard in fresh cycles. The efficacy of hCG triggering for frozen transfers in modified natural cycles is controversial compared with LH peak monitoring. Current evidence supports significantly higher pregnancy rates with hCG + GnRH agonist versus hCG alone, but further evidence is needed. GnRH agonist trigger, in GnRH antagonist protocol, is recommended for final oocyte maturation in women at risk of OHSS. (4) Luteal-phase support (n = 3 statements): Vaginal progesterone therapy represents the gold standard for luteal-phase support.

CONCLUSIONS

This Delphi consensus provides a real-world clinical perspective on the specific approaches during the key steps of ART treatment from a diverse group of international experts. Additional guidance from clinicians on ART strategies could complement guidelines and policies, and may help to further improve treatment outcomes.

Mining of variables from embryo morphokinetics, blastocyst's morphology and patient parameters: an approach to predict the live birth in the assisted reproduction service

Based on growing demand for assisted reproduction technology, improved predictive models are required to optimize in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmatic sperm injection strategies, prioritizing single embryo transfer. There are still several obstacles to overcome for the purpose of improving assisted reproductive success, such as intra- and inter-observer subjectivity in embryonic selection, high occurrence of multiple pregnancies, maternal and neonatal complications. Here, we compare studies that used several variables that impact the success of assisted reproduction, such as blastocyst morphology and morphokinetic aspects of embryo development as well as characteristics of the patients submitted to assisted reproduction, in order to predict embryo quality, implantation or live birth. Thereby, we emphasize the proposal of an artificial intelligence-based platform for a more objective method to predict live birth.

'Luckily, I don't believe in statistics': survey of women's understanding of chance of success with futile fertility treatments

RESEARCH QUESTION

Why are women who face poor prognoses for success in assisted reproductive technology (ART) treatment choosing to pursue procedures using their own eggs, despite receiving information that their chances of success are very low.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study based on an anonymous questionnaire distributed to women aged between 43 and 45 years, undergoing ART using their own oocytes, at six public outpatient fertility clinics and three public in-hospital IVF units in Israel between 2015 and 2016. The main outcome measure was personal estimation of chance to achieve a live birth after the current ART treatment cycle and the cumulative estimated rate after all the treatment cycles the patient intended to undergo.

RESULTS

Response rate was 70.0%, with 91 participants of mean age 43.8 ± 0.7 years. Participants estimated their delivery rates after the next ART treatment cycle at 49.0 ± 31.8% (response rate 93.4%) and their cumulative delivery rates after all the ART treatments they would undergo at 57.7 ± 36.3% (response rate 90.1%). This is significantly higher than the predicted success rates of 5% and 15%, respectively (both P < 0.001), which are based on national register data. Nearly one-half of patients rated themselves as having a better than average chance of conception (47.3%).

CONCLUSION

Women do not pursue futile treatments because they lack information. Despite being informed of the low success rates of conception using ART treatments, many patients of advanced maternal age have unrealistically high expectations from ART, essentially ignoring their estimated prognosis when deciding on treatment continuation. Future work should examine the psychological reasons behind continuing futile fertility treatments.

Do fertility treatments affect labor induction success rate? A retrospective cohort study

Purpose: To evaluate labor induction success rate by Foley catheter (FC) on patients who conceived spontaneously, as compared to those who underwent fertility treatments.Materials and methods: This retrospective cohort study included all pregnant women hospitalized at a single tertiary care center between January 2011 and May 2018 for induction of labor with FC. The study groups included patients with a singleton pregnancy who conceived after fertility treatments: controlled ovarian hyperstimulation (COH) or in vitro fertilization (IVF), while control group included patients who conceived spontaneously. Our primary outcome was the rate of cesarean deliveries. Regression analysis was conducted on the following parameters: age, gravidity, parity, the gestational week, and IVF.Results: The study groups included 59, 321, and 3159 patients who conceived following COH, IVF, or spontaneously, respectively. While 72.1% of patients who conceived spontaneously had a vaginal delivery, only 62.7% and 58% of patients who conceived by COH and IVF had successful labor induction (respectively, p < .01). Similarly, significantly higher cesarean section (CS) rates were demonstrated by patients who conceived by COH and IVF (28.8% and 30%, respectively), compared to the control group (18.7%, p < .01). Regression analysis demonstrated that although age, parity, and the gestational week were significantly related to cesarean sections, no statistically significant association was found regarding fertility treatments (p = .050).Conclusions: The possible association between fertility treatments and cesarean delivery remains an important dilemma for obstetricians and fertility experts. While unadjusted analysis demonstrated such association among patients who undergo labor induction by FC, adjusted analysis has not supported that finding. Further studies focusing on the causes of failed vaginal delivery are needed to further expand our knowledge and to improve patient consultation.

Cancer in IVF patients treated at age 40 years and older: long term follow-up

RESEARCH QUESTION

Current knowledge of cancer risk among women who undergo IVF is based mainly on studies of women treated in their thirties, frequently with short follow-up periods. Therefore, information about cancer risk among infertile menopausal women is limited. We aimed to evaluate the risk of cancer among IVF patients treated at age 40 years and older, followed up for an extended period.

DESIGN

Historical cohort study of all IVF patients treated at the age of 40 years or older at two university-affiliated IVF units in Jerusalem, Israel, between 1994 and 2002. Data were cross-linked with the Israel National Cancer Registry to 2016. Standardized incidence ratios (SIR) and 95% confidence intervals were computed by comparing the observed number of cancer cases with the expected cancer rate in the general Israeli population adjusted for age and year of birth. In addition, Kaplan-Meier analysis was conducted to account for the length of follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 501 patients were included in the analysis, with mean follow-up of 16.7 ± 3.7 years (range 2-22 years). Mean age at first IVF cycle was 42.3 years (±2.1). Mean number of IVF cycles was 3.2 ± 2.6 (range 1-15). Thirty-six women (7.2%) developed invasive cancer, compared with 47.2 expected cases; SIR 0.76 (95% CI 0.53 to 1.06); 22 women were diagnosed with invasive breast cancer, compared with 19.84 expected; SIR 1.11 (95% CI 0.69 to 1.68).

CONCLUSIONS

Older women undergoing IVF treatment were not significantly associated with an excess risk of cancer at long-term follow up. Further studies, however, are needed to confirm these findings.

Do poor-responder patients undergoing IVF benefit from splitting and increasing the daily gonadotropin dose?

We aim to retrospectively evaluate the role of increasing the gonadotropin daily dose from 450 IU/day to 300 IU twice a day on IVF-ET outcome in poor responder patients. All consecutive women admitted to our IVF unit and underwent COH consisting of daily gonadotropin dose of 450 IU, followed by an IVF cycle using 300 IU twice a day, were included. Ovarian stimulation characteristics, number of oocytes retrieved, number of embryo transferred and pregnancy rate was assessed. Twenty-three patients undergoing both cycles were evaluated. While there was no between-group difference in the duration of COH, number of 2PN embryos, fertilization rate and number of embryos transferred, patients receiving daily gonadotropin 300 IU twice a day achieved a significantly higher peak estradiol levels (3350.39 ± 2364.26 vs. 2223.74 ± 1299.91; p < .03, respectively), and yielded significantly higher number of follicles >15 mm in diameter on day of hCG administration (3.2 ± 2.4 vs 1.8 ± 1; p < .03, respectively) and higher number of oocytes retrieved (3.48 ± 2.54 vs 1.87 ± 1.1; p < .02, respectively) with an acceptable live birth rate (5%). To conclude, in poor responders undergoing COH a daily gonadotropin dose of 450 IU, increasing the dose to 300 IU twice daily may result in higher oocyte yield, with the possible improvement in IVF outcome.